Paul Farrell lives in San Luis Obispo. It is a beautiful place.

How does he manage to write such dire articles while living in paradise? This time it is about our population time bomb. He does a good job detailing the problem, but he doesn’t seem to have the guts to make a recommendation. How do you curtail population growth? China instituted a policy and it will end up destroying their economy. Should we sterilize dumb people? There really is no acceptable policy other than handing out condoms to the ignorant masses and hope they figure out what to do with them.

Therefore, his point has validity. The only way that the population growth will be curtailed is a good old world war. You kill off a few hundred million young men across the world and they don’t have babies. Sounds like a plan. This should occur near the end of this Fourth Turning. I reckon WW III should arrive around 2020.

Have a nice day, and use a condom.

Population bomb: 9 billion march to WWIII

Commentary: Can anyone halt this economic explosive?

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Sshh. Don’t tell anyone. But “while you are reading these words, four people will have died from starvation. Most of them children.” Seventeen words. Four deaths. That statistic is from a cover of Paul Ehrlich’s 1968 provocative “Population Bomb.”

By the time you finish this column, another five hundred will die. By starvation. Mostly kids. Dead.

But global population will just keep growing, growing, growing. Why? The math is simple: Today there are more than two births for every death worldwide. One death. Two new babies.

Bomb? Tick-tick-ticking? Or economic bubble? Population growth is a basic assumption hard-wired in traditional economic theory. Unquestioned. Yes, population is our core economic problem. Not a military problem. But the bigger this economic bubble grows, the more we all sink into denial, the closer the point of no return where bubble becomes bomb, where war is the only alternative.

Yes, folks, ultimately population growth is an economic nuclear bomb, tick-tick-ticking a silent countdown to global disaster. In denial, we march a self-destructive path to WWIII.

Simple math: One death + two births = America’s poison pill

Worldwide population doubled to 3.5 billion between the Great Depression and the Great Society. One generation, from the ‘30s to the ‘60s when “The Population Bomb” was published. Since the ‘60s, we’ve doubled again. This year global population shot past seven billion. Two billion living in poverty, surviving on less than two dollars a day. We do live in a globalized economy. And the math is simple: One death, two births.

Warning: This economic bomb will not stop tick-ticking any time soon. Why? Scientific American said population is “the most overlooked and essential strategy for achieving long-term balance with the environment.” No wonder Bill McKibben, author of “The End of Nature,” warns: “Act now, we’re told, if we want to save the planet from a climate catastrophe. Trouble is, it might be too late. The science is settled, and the damage has already begun.”

We’re on suicide watch and yet population control, the world’s No. 1 economic issue in “off the table.” Why? Last year Mother Jones made it abundantly clear why. In “The Last Taboo,” columnist Julia Whitty asked: “What unites the Vatican, lefties, conservatives and scientists in a conspiracy of silence? Population.” That hot-button issue ignites so many powerful reactions. Politicians won’t touch this third rail.

Our denial is a massive “conspiracy of silence.” Yes, we’re all in this global self-destructive conspiracy. Families love making babies. Economists obsess about their population-growth assumption.

Stockholders demand earnings growth. Wall Street is insatiable. Corporate CEOs shoot for quarterly targets to get ever bigger bonuses. The global Super Rich see population growth as opportunities to increase their wealth, widening the wealth gap. We’re all in this rat race together, in a “conspiracy of silence.”

Population is the key economic power driving all economic issues

Yes, you can forget “Peak Oil.” Forget global warming. Forget debt, deficits, defaults. Forget commodities, scarce resource depletion. Forget all other economic, political, military problems. Yes, forget all of them. None of them matter … if our leaders fail to deal with the world’s out-of-control population bomb. Nothing else matters. Nothing.

Still, the silence is defining. We’re trapped in this deafening “conspiracy of silence.” Neutered. Blind to this suicidal path, incapable and unwilling to face the greatest single economic challenge in history. Won’t wake up till it’s too late.

Why? Deep in our hearts we see no acceptable universal solution. So we wait … until this economic bomb stops tick-tick-ticking. Explodes in our faces. Till the wake-up call, a total economic collapse. Till then, the silence is deafening. We stay in denial. Waiting.

The United Nations predicts there will be nine billion or more humans on Earth by 2050. And while demographers want us to believe total population will level off, they’re just guessing. Depending on an unpredictable range of mathematical scenarios, maybe our planet could top 15 billion by 2100, all demanding a better lifestyle, all demanding more natural resources, more commodities, starting revolutions to achieve their economic goals.


Demonstrators shout slogans as they crowd Madrid’s Neptuno plaza near Spanish parliament in Madrid last week.Tens of thousands of Spaniards abandoned their customary Sunday quiet day with families and friends to march against the so-called “Euro Pact” and the handling of the economic crisis.

But the economic problem isn’t just the simple math of adding more bodies. “What really counts,” says Jared Diamond in “Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed,” “is not the number of people alone, but their impact on the environment,” the “per-capita impact.” First World citizens “consume 32 times more resources such as fossil fuels, and put out 32 times more waste, than do the inhabitants of the Third World.”

So the race to 2050 rages on: “Low impact people are becoming high-impact people” demanding “First World living standards.” But unfortunately, if all nations in the world consumed resources at the same rate as Americans, we’d need six Earths just to survive. Today.

Worse, the competition’s growing and we’re outnumbered. While America grows from 300 million to a 400 million by 2050, the rest of the world explodes into a nine billion bubble, with over 1.4 billion each in China and India. The bomb keeps tick-ticking.

Pentagon warns of ‘desperate all-out wars for food, water, energy’

What a “conspiracy of silence.” Seems everybody’s on the “economic growth” bandwagon. And with population growth comes chaos, anger, war. Remember 2011: Unemployed college kids in the Arab Spring. Higher pay for China’s workers. Wisconsin unions revolt. Warning, by 2100 the science-fiction solutions of “Avatar” and “Wall*E” will be reexamined seriously, perhaps even the unthinkable in the “Boomsday” novel.

WWIII is no fiction. We’re in the buildup now. During the Bush era, Fortune analyzed a classified Pentagon report predicting that “climate could change radically and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues.” Population unrest would then create “massive droughts, turning farmland into dust bowls and forests to ashes.” Soon “there is little doubt that something drastic is happening … as the planet’s carrying capacity shrinks, an ancient pattern reemerges: the eruption of desperate all-out wars over food, water, and energy supplies” with “warfare defining human life.”

Forget “Peak Oil.” The real economic force behind “Peak Oil” is “Peak Population.” Fail to defuse the population bomb and experts on sites like LifeAftertheOilCrash.com make clear the inevitable consequences of our denial, silence and inaction: “Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult … it is the scientific conclusion of the best paid, most widely respected geologists, physicists, bankers and investors in the world.”

We are at the tipping point: Failing to defuse the population bomb guarantees global economic collapse.

Throughout history, myopic leaders never act … till it’s too late

Will our leaders rise to the occasion? History says no. Diamond put all this in perspective in “Collapse”: “One of the disturbing facts of history is that so many civilizations collapse. Few people, however, least of all our politicians, realize that a primary cause of the collapse of those societies has been the destruction of the natural resources on which they depend. Fewer still appreciate that many of those civilizations share a sharp curve of decline. Indeed, a society’s demise may begin only a decade or two after it reaches its peak population, wealth and power.” Tick, tick, tick ….

So what is this one common flaw that drives nations to collapse worldwide and over the centuries? Diamond says leaders “focused only on issues likely to blow up in the next 90 days,” lacking the will “to make bold, courageous, anticipatory decisions.” Their short-term thinking, unfortunately, sets the stage for a rapid “sharp curve of decline.”

And given the myopic mind-set consuming American politicians today, it’s easy to see how the daily trench warfare of the 2012 presidential campaign is connected to the Pentagon’s prediction of WWIII, of “desperate all-out wars” dead ahead.

Unfortunately, that is the end game of our “conspiracy of silence,” our unwillingness to confront the inevitable. Our inaction means war will be the ultimate economic solution: For America, for capitalism, for civilization, for Planet Earth. The bomb just keeps tick-tick-ticking. Nothing can, nothing will, stop this tick-ticking population bomb. Nothing, except a global nuclear economic bomb.

Sshh, quiet, you’ll wake the babies.


  1. Politicians cannot solve over population; mother nature will. Wars are caused by leaders of nations and tribal leaders; World Wars by national leaders and regional wars by tribal leaders. I no longer see world war as a viable option because it uses up to many precious resourses. What will most likely reduce the world population in my opinion is disease.

  2. we have heard these threats of dire over-population since Malthus, Unfortunately most of these solutions have either been ineffective or just pure evil. Our problem is not just too many people but a mis-allocation of resources

  3. Shut down the grid. Population problem solved. The Bilderbergers covered the subject during their confab, I’m sure.

    It really is amusing to see the hand wringing by the “environmentalists”. Weren’t we supposed to all have starved by now?

    “So what is this one common flaw that drives nations to collapse worldwide and over the centuries? Diamond says leaders “focused only on issues likely to blow up in the next 90 days,” lacking the will “to make bold, courageous, anticipatory decisions.” Their short-term thinking, unfortunately, sets the stage for a rapid “sharp curve of decline.” ”

    What, pray tell, are these bold decisions? Mass sterilization? Murder of the unproductive? Who decides?

    I pray that God spares us from the “courageous” decisions made by some elitist urban-dwelling puke who wouldn’t know how to exist without the huge, top heavy infrastructure found in places like San Luis Obispo. In their blindness they can not admit that they are the problem they seek to correct. It’s the structure, not the numbers.

    World War III? That may start after the population corrective action decided on by the elites of the world is initiated, but population control is much more simple and achievable than mobilizing for war. Try to live without electricity or running water today. Better yet, practice living without modern conveniences, it may mean the difference between survival and certain death.

  4. Wood Burner -Shut down the grid.

    LOL…most indeedy. About two years of no grid would certainly be a severe form of birth control……guaranteed 100 pecent effective.

  5. In the end where is all of the food going to come from to feed everyone?
    Even if you placed every one of the projected 15 billion on survival rations there wouldnt be enough to go around, and lets face it how many obese 1st worlders are going to accept living on a subsistance diet just so some faceless 3rd worlder can live.
    All it will take is 1 year in which there is a major drought in the U.S and half of the 3rd world will starve anyhow.
    I think that in the end food will be the the commodity that allows the U.S to maintain its 1st world status. The rest of the world will have to pay the prices we charge or starve( Some sort of a deal to exchange foriegn capital holdings for food?)

  6. It’s all about the Singularity. Upload people into the Matrix. Individual memory, experience, and everything else, all combined into one mechanical consciousness. Empathy for others is impossible unless you live their lives. Living their lives is impossible unless their entire consciousness is uploaded and then also mixed with yours. Have every person live every other person’s life in the upload. Then the merged consciousness can work on things on a cosmic scale.

    The problem with Peak Oil is that oil is cheap, and WAS relatively abundant. That’s why we all have cars with gas tanks. The solution, as with anything, is the opposite of faith – technology. How much would it cost for the Government to undertake the invention of fusion? Of course, the government would waste the money… But normal corporations don’t really have the resources or will to invent it either. It would be “too expensive”. The question isn’t the cost, but the possibility. Is it POSSIBLE? Solving energy problems FOREVER – how much would that “cost”? It’s like an investment. Defer consumption now, for limitless energy in the future.

    Carl Sagan wrote a short story about this. People use energy to evolve to the next level of development. 10,000 years ago, we used horses and cows, making farming efficient, and able to support more peeps. Then we used coal and oil. Now we have nuclear plants. Sagan goes on to say that the next step is to utilize worldwide energy – the sun, geothermal, water, whatever. People will eventually max out the earth, the population bomb makes that a guarantee. Once we reach the ~Zetajoule limit of the earth’s possible energy cultivation, Sagan theorizes that we would have to go straight to the ultimate power source – the sun. Once we harness the sun directly, we can move on to other stars. Eventually, we would go to the center of the galaxy, where there are millions of black holes and stars being born all the time. Tap that power source, expand to other galaxies. Before this, people as people would no longer exist. Space travel by humans is pretty much impossible in our meatbag bodies.

    No long term thinking on the part of humanity.

    At any rate, people will keep having children. History is an ebb and flow. People have been flowing through the world faster and faster, thanks to our energy exploitation. When the energy ebbs, population, too, will ebb. Dramatically. Painfully. Addressing this should start now, but it’s already too late.

  7. RE: Food. It’s been said many times recently that we’ll have to produce as much food from 2000 to 2050 as we have the last 10,000 years to feed the population at that time. That is hard to fathom, but I can tell you we won’t get there with corn based ethanol still taking 40 % of our corn crop and man made flooding on the Mississippi and Missouri river systems. GMOs will have to be a big part of the solution to achieve this level of food production. We’ll also need vast amounts of fertilizer to achieve these results. I personally don’t see it happening for a variety of factors. I see the government implementing so many environmental regulations that farmers’ hands will be tied. We’re already seeing it where the Army Corps is blaming farmers for phosphorus run-off in the Mississippi River. I don’t know about you, but farmers are the tightest people I know. As high as fertilizer is, I don’t know any folks who are buying and applying so much that it is running into the rivers.

    In Missouri, in the name of saving the “precious sturgeon”, the Corps is cutting side channels in the river, and dumping that dirt directly into the river. After the MO Clean Water Commission got them to stop, phosphorus levels dropped over half. Now they’re flooding the rivers in the name of environmentalism, instead of protecting the resource that affects everyone – food. WTF!!! The hand just keeps tightening. The States need to tell the Feds to STFU and take care of their own business. Until and that happens, this situation will only get worse. I’ll get off my soap box now. You all have a good day.

  8. If it’s against the Chicoms, prepare the slugs and the shotguns. all the preceding wars will appear as a walk in the park. they can afford to lose 1000 troops per mile, not a problem. this isn’t the case for all others…

    like the Russians during WW2. never piss bigger than you

  9. “Climate Wars” by Gwynne Dyer has quite a bit to say on this topic. Well worth reading if the opportunity presents itself.

  10. and stupid me (!) tought the cause of ww3 was the STUPIDITY of mankind ! Anyway…… May mankind rest in PEACE .


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