PLANO WE HAVE A PROBLEMO – JC PENNEY ENTERING RETAIL GRAVEYARD

The JC Penney farce is approaching its tragic ending. They will be joining Montgomery Ward and hundreds of other defunct retailers in the relatively near future. I predicted this the day they hired Ron Johnson. One year ago they reported 2nd quarter results that were absolutely horrific. The Wall Street assholes cheered. The stock soared that day. The retards who call themselves investment analysts drove the stock from $20 to $30 within a month. Their thesis was that it couldn’t get worse. As usual they were wrong. The stock traded at a 13 year low today, down 60% since the Wall Street crowd said buy last Sept.

The new CEO, who was the old CEO, is now going to be the ex-CEO again. They have no top management in place. The stores are a mess. Their suppliers won’t supply without COD. They are burning through millions in cash every day. Their balance sheet is a disaster. Last year their 2nd quarter same store sales were NEGATIVE 22%. That is almost impossible to accomplish. They report earnings on the 20th. I’ve seen estimates that same store sales have fallen another 16%. OMG!!! This is a death spiral.

The new CEO should have experience with liquidation plans. JC Penney will be filing bankruptcy. They will be closing hundreds, if not all of their stores. No one will notice. Sears and Kmart will follow. The long emergency methodically rolls on. Luckily, all those vacant rotting store fronts won’t result in the Too Big To Trust Wall Street banks writing off the loans to mall developers. The landlords will pretend they are getting rent and the banks will pretend the loan payments are being made. Accounting is awesome.

From JCPanic To JCPandemonium

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/09/2013 11:18 -0400

While outlining the ridiculous spectacle of the last 24 hours news flow on JCPenney is useful for some, a step back to view this charade for what it is – a hedge fund manager massivley under-water, a company careening into bankruptcy, a board desperate to show it has any relevance, and a most senior creditor (Goldman Sachs) chomping at the bit to securitize the firm’s T-Shirts and small appliances… the entire ‘bounce’ from yesterday has been retraced as Ackman and JCP’s board fling insults at each other… JCPanic has been downgraded to JCPandemonium… on its way to JCPoof…

First this…

  • *ACKMAN TELLS JCP NEW CEO SHOULD BE IN PLACE 30-45 DAYS:CNBC
  • *QUESTROM TO CNBC: JCP BOARD ‘DOESN’T HAVE A SENSE OF URGENCY’

Then this…

  • *J. C. PENNEY CO SAYS BOARD DISAGREES WITH ACKMAN        :JCP US
  • *JCPENNEY CHAIRMAN: ULLMAN RIGHT PERSON TO REBUILD COMPANY

and now this…

  • *ACKMAN:JCP BOARD HAS CEASED TO FUNCTION EFFECTIVELY RECENT WKS

 

 

Bear in mind that credit markets throughout all of this have been serially unimpressed… 5Y CDS now at new record highs 1232bps (equivalent running)  or ~70% probability of default…

 

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10 Comments
harry p.
harry p.
August 9, 2013 2:16 pm

there balance sheet, business plan and same store sales sounds like something run by the monkeys in the District of Criminals

note: no offense to real monkeys and other primates was intended

Oirfideach
Oirfideach
August 9, 2013 2:53 pm

Their.

JJ3
JJ3
August 9, 2013 3:12 pm

Prime 8’s.

Wyoming Mike
Wyoming Mike
August 9, 2013 3:13 pm

I call bullshit!!! I thought there they’re their brilliant scheme of eliminating having sales saved them a couple years ago. No?

Persnickety
Persnickety
August 9, 2013 3:34 pm

Meh.

bb
bb
August 9, 2013 5:00 pm

Damn , Kmart and Sears…..well thank God for Walmart.

Spinalator
Spinalator
August 9, 2013 6:20 pm

I heard Jesus was actually an accountant…That explains all the miracles.

Spinalator
Spinalator
August 9, 2013 6:23 pm

Shit…i wish i had studied accounting. I always wanted to learn how to levitate.

Chicago999444
Chicago999444
August 10, 2013 1:44 am

I’m surprised places like Penny’s and Sears are even still breathing, and if I hadn’t heard about it on this site, I wouldn’t know that K-Mart was even still around.

There is nothing in those places that you can’t find better, somewhere else for less money. I have only set foot in a Penny’s store once in my life, because I’d just exited my workplace nearby and it was 2 degrees below zero outside and I’d just lost my gloves and needed a pair that minute. I haven’t been in a Sears store since I went into one shopping for a washer and a flashlight, and found a dirty, unattractive store with disheveled tool department, and an appliance salesman who couldn’t tell me whether the one I was viewing ran on 120v or needed 220v.

The bald fact is that this country is seriously “overstored”. In 1964, during an era I remember as having a vast array of shopping venues already, there was an average of 4 sq feet of retail space per customer in this country. As of year 2000, there were 38 sq ft of retail space per customer. Since the 70s, when specialty stores and boutiques and shopping malls began to proliferate like weeds in every city and suburb in the country, I have wondered who in the hell keeps them in business, because it wasn’t women like me making the market for little cotton skirts that cost $250 and $100/pair sunglasses or stuffed toys from Build-A-Bear.

It turns out that the consumers were not the people supporting all these places, at least not voluntarily. It turns out that these stores have been heavily dependent upon the local taxpayers and that a regional shopping mall or Big Barn store like Target, Walmart, Home Depot et al, does not get built without a hefty gift from the taxpayers through TIF districts, tax abatements, and other tax-funded gimmes like a highway built at the behest of Walmart, who will not build a store without extorting a gift of at least $5 M from the municipality in which it is built, unless it is one of the little Walmart “markets” selling only groceries that are now appearing in high-density urban neighborhoods. If you are a suburbanite who is now being destroyed by property taxes that have tripled or even quadrupled since you bought your house 10 years ago, look no further than all the shopping malls and big box stores not far from your house, that your local authorities bent over for and bankrupted your town to attract because they wanted “economic development” and to build a “tax base”. How you build a tax base with businesses who had to be bribed $5 M to ??? to build in your town and who pick up and move to the next sucker town the minute the abatement expires, is not clear to me, and apparently is obscure to the municipal politicians who scratch their heads wondering why the taxes these places are supposed to generate never materialize and what are they going to do with all the empty, blighted shopping malls and power centers these companies leave behind.