It’s simply amazing how short people’s memories are. Practically nobody remembers the 2007/2008 crash. LIBOR froze up, intra-bank lending stopped. The whole financial system almost completely froze up. Somehow, a complete collapse was avoided, by the Fed pumping trillions into the banks and financial system. It was pretty scary, if you knew what was going on. Most people had no idea.
And now things are heading in exactly the same direction, only it’ll be much worse this time. The Federal Reserve didn’t see the housing bubble, didn’t see the collapse coming, and was saying “everything is okay” right up until things collapsed. The Fed had no idea, they were clueless, much like they are today. They keep blowing asset bubbles, ensuring another collapse. Take a look at this Michael Snyder article, the king of doom and gloom, and maybe you’ll be able to see what’s coming.
Exactly Like 7 Years Ago? 2014 Is Turning Out To Be Eerily Similar To 2007
By Michael Snyder, on April 23rd, 2014
The similarities between 2007 and 2014 continue to pile up. As you are about to see, U.S. home sales fell dramatically throughout 2007 even as the mainstream media, our politicians and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke promised us that everything was going to be just fine and that we definitely were not going to experience a recession. Of course we remember precisely what followed. It was the worst economic crisis since the days of the Great Depression. And you know what they say – if we do not learn from history we are doomed to repeat it. Just like seven years ago, the stock market has soared to all-time high after all-time high. Just like seven years ago, the authorities are telling us that there is nothing to worry about. Unfortunately, just like seven years ago, a housing bubble is imploding and another great economic crisis is rapidly approaching.
Posted below is a chart of existing home sales in the United States during 2007. As you can see, existing home sales declined precipitously throughout the year…
Now look at this chart which shows what has happened to existing home sales in the United States in recent months. If you compare the two charts, you will see that the numbers are eerily similar…
New home sales are also following a similar pattern. In fact, we just learned that new home sales have collapsed to an 8 month low…
Sales of new single-family homes dropped sharply last month as severe winter weather and higher mortgage rates continued to slow the housing recovery.
New home sales fell 14.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 385,000, down from February’s revised pace of 449,000, the Census Bureau said.
Once again, this is so similar to what we witnessed back in 2007. The following is a chart that shows how new home sales declined dramatically throughout that year…
And this chart shows what has happened to new homes sales during the past several months. Sadly, we have never even gotten close to returning to the level that we were at back in 2007. But even the modest “recovery” that we have experienced is now quickly unraveling…
If history does repeat, then what we are witnessing right now is a very troubling sign for the months to come. As you can see from this chart, new home sales usually start going down before a recession begins.
And don’t expect these housing numbers to rebound any time soon. The demand for mortgages has dropped through the floor. Just check out the following excerpt from a recent article by Michael Lombardi…
One of the key indicators I follow in respect to the state of the housing market is mortgage originations. This data gives me an idea about demand for homes, as rising demand for mortgages means more people are buying homes. And as demand increases, prices should be increasing.
But the opposite is happening…
In the first quarter of 2014, mortgage originations at Citigroup Inc. (NYSE/C) declined 71% from the same period a year ago. The bank issued $5.2 billion in mortgages in the first quarter of 2014, compared to $8.3 billion in the previous quarter and $18.0 billion in the first quarter of 2013. (Source: Citigroup Inc. web site, last accessed April 14, 2014.)
Total mortgage origination volume at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE/JPM) declined by 68% in the first quarter of 2014 from the same period a year ago. At JPMorgan, in the first quarter of 2014, $17.0 billion worth of mortgages were issued, compared to $52.7 billion in the same period a year ago. (Source: JPMorgan Chase & Co. web site, last accessed April 14, 2014.)
It is almost as if we are watching a replay of 2007 all over again, and yet nobody is talking about this.
Everyone wants to believe that this time will be different.
The human capacity for self-delusion is absolutely amazing.
There are a lot of other similarities between 2007 and today as well.
Just the other day, I noted that retail stores are closing in the United States at the fastest pace that we have seen since the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
Back in 2007, we saw margin debt on Wall Street spike dramatically and help fuel a remarkable run in the stock market. Just check out the chart:
But that spike in margin debt also made the eventual stock market collapse much worse than it had to be.
And just like 2007, consumer credit is totally out of control. As I noted in one recent article, during the fourth quarter of 2013 we witnessed the biggest increase in consumer debt in the U.S. that we have seen since 2007. Total consumer credit in the U.S. has risen by 22 percent over the past three years, and 56 percent of all Americans have “subprime credit” at this point.
Are you starting to get the picture? It is only 7 years later, and the same things that happened just prior to the last great financial crisis are happening again. Only this time we are in much worse shape to handle an economic meltdown. The following is a brief excerpt from my recent article entitled “We Are In FAR Worse Shape Than We Were Just Prior To The Last Great Financial Crisis”…
None of the problems that caused the last financial crisis have been fixed. In fact, they have all gotten worse. The total amount of debt in the world has grown by more than 40 percent since 2007, the too big to fail banks have gotten 37 percent larger, and the colossal derivatives bubble has spiraled so far out of control that the only thing left to do is to watch the spectacular crash landing that is inevitably coming.
For a long time, I have been convinced that this two year time period is going to represent a major “turning point” for America.
Right now, 2014 is turning out to be eerily similar to 2007.
Will 2015 turn out to be a repeat of 2008?
Back when we first decided to move to the country – buy a small farm way far away from any city – this was a few years before the first housing bubble blew…
We had been saving our cash for a few years in hopes of putting a down payment on a farm, but housing prices were just… well… way, way too high. I knew something had to give.
Enter the house bubble. Blam. We waited a few months for things to stabilize a bit, then went looking. We spent 6 months looking for the right place – far enough away, big enough to raise stock on and grow our own food, but small enough for one person to take care of it, natural water source on the property, etc.. finally found it and we bought this place for a decent price.
To me, it doesn’t matter if another housing bubble comes along. Let it come. I don’t much care one way or the other. I will never sell this land, no matter what happens…
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” —— George Santayana
“You can’t fix stupid.” ——- Stucky
Why does this keep happening? If I had to narrow it down to just one word, it would be ‘STUPID”.
The overwhelming majority of CITIZENS in this country are dumbfuk stupid. Just watch those ‘man-in-the-street’ interviews, or watch the morans in sold-out wrestling events, or the zombiefuks at an Obama speech, etc etc etc. Stupid fuckers by the millions upon millions.
Our LEADERS are bereft of any brain cells. They have but two solutions to EVERY problem; 1) make more laws and, 2) spend more money. That’s ALL they ever have, so don’t be fuckin’ surprised at the results.
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This keeps happening because the Federal Reserve keeps printing money, giving it to Jewish banksters and Hedge Funds, who dump it into “assets” to make even more money. They don’t care that their hubris and greed will once again destroy the economy and throw millions out of work. If you don’t like it, just get a SNAP card and sign up for welfare or disability. We don’t need no stinking jobs or an economy, we just need corrupt insiders robbing us blind.
“The overwhelming majority of CITIZENS in this country are dumbfuk stupid.”
The new-normal American:
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Let’s parse stupid:
Progressive left-wing Democrats, Greens, etc. – Not necessarily stupid but definitely full of shit.
FSA – Not stupid. They don’t give a fuck and are fully aware of it.
Most working apolitical Americans – Not stupid by they don’t give a fuck about politics until it’s too late.
Conventional republicans – Not stupid, just greedy pricks.
Conservative “tea party” republicans – Dumb as a box of rocks and heartless evil fuckers too. Almost everything they know is wrong.
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I’m calling you out, Zara.
I agree with your post, ‘cept for this happy horseshit —> “Conservative “tea party” republicans – Dumb as a box of rocks and heartless evil fuckers too. Almost everything they know is wrong.”
You need to back that shit up. PROVE that they’re wrong about everything and heartless evil fuckers…. or at least make a compelling argument.
And “They’re wrong because I say so” ain’t an argument…
Billy says:
I’m calling you out, Zara.
I agree with your post, ‘cept for this happy horseshit —> “Conservative “tea party” republicans – Dumb as a box of rocks and heartless evil fuckers too. Almost everything they know is wrong.”
You need to back that shit up. PROVE that they’re wrong about everything and heartless evil fuckers…. or at least make a compelling argument.
And “They’re wrong because I say so” ain’t an argument…
_____________________________________
Okay, let’s play…
They listen and agree with Hannity, Limbaugh and all the rest.
They love Israel and worship Jews; they don’t give a rat’s ass about Christians in the ME
They believe in American Exceptionalism
They believe America will be wonderful if we just elect the “right” republicans (not RINOS)
They think Ron Paul is a crackpot
They love war and the military industrial complex
They like evil/corrupt/insane politicians like Mike Price, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Michelle Bachmann
They worship the vacuous bitch Sarah Palin..
Man, that was easy.
@ Billy and Zara
I don’t understand how people still believe there is a difference between any political party.
Or that democracy works, and your vote actually means something. Why even squabble about who’s “stupid , heartless, evil, insane”???
Just to clarify things, I’m NOT a tea party Republican. Got too big a dose of Libertarianism to be one. But, I’m allied with the tea party because a lot of what they believe in, I do as well.
Let’s dance, motherfucker…
“They listen and agree with Hannity, Limbaugh and all the rest.”
Can’t stand Hannity, but I do find myself agreeing with Lint-ball sometimes.
“They love Israel and worship Jews; they don’t give a rat’s ass about Christians in the ME”
I find it hard to believe that they WORSHIP the little squids… perhaps sympathize with them, wrongly, but they don’t worship them. And yeah, they DO give a rat’s ass about Christians in the ME. Here you say they don’t give a shit – but the alternative, actually giving a shit, would involve military intervention to save them. But later on, you excoriate them for being war-mongers. Can’t have it both ways, Z. You got your turban on crooked. If it were up to me, I would send in an armed expeditionary unit to settle matters. Same as I would send an armed expeditionary unit to South Africa to save every last white person there. Especially the Boers.
“They believe in American Exceptionalism”
Yeah? So? So do I. We were the best, once upon a time. Back when we had all that stuff you would probably consider “evil”, like segregation, close ties to religion, a homogenous people over 95% white, good schools, IQ tests, proper punishment, money backed by precious metals, a meritocracy… that they remember such a time and believe it was BETTER than this cluster fuck we have now? I’m right there with em…
“They believe America will be wonderful if we just elect the “right” republicans (not RINOS)”
There’s nothing wrong with Republicanism if you remove the influences of squid-backed money and go back to doing things the way the Framers intended – like Senators chosen by the respective state governments instead of direct elections, etc. If it were up to me, I would hang every fucking lawyer and lobbyist in Mordor and expel the squids. I didn’t leave the Republican party, they left me. Totally abandoned their bedrock principals, and now we have this cluster fuck. Electing the “right” Republicans? A noble sentiment, and they’re NOT wrong. The problem is the “right” Republicans don’t exist anymore.
“They think Ron Paul is a crackpot”
How would you know? And I might be a libertarian, but even I think Ron is fucking out there on a lot of things… I don’t agree with everything the man says, like it’s Holy Writ. Don’t agree 100% with his boy, either.
“They love war and the military industrial complex”
Yeah, well, I love war. I was born to it, was immersed in it. And I’m really good at it. The Military Industrial Complex? Not so much. What the military stands for, or is supposed to stand for – defense of the Constitution – that is becoming lost – IS lost. We are supposed to be used SPARINGLY, and only as a last resort. We’re not social workers or here for some dumbshit’s social experiment. We are a warrior people. The US was born in battle, expanded through battle and grew strong in battle. So what? You want us to go around the world handing out fucking flowers? We blow shit up and kill people. That’s what we’re FOR. That has changed. And I seriously doubt that tea party folks “love” the military industrial complex. Most of them, I wager, are ignorant of the relationship between Wall Street, Mordor and the Military Industrial Complex. How can you “love” something you are ignorant of?
“They like evil/corrupt/insane politicians like Mike Price, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Michelle Bachmann”
You are really going out on a limb here – you’re using pejoratives to smear politicians you don’t like without proving any of it, then you use guilt by association to excoriate the tea party folks. “These people are evil/corrupt/insane, and those people over there like them, so they must also be evil/corrupt/insane..” Yeah, you’re not gonna get any traction out of this bullshit…
“They worship the vacuous bitch Sarah Palin.”
Again with the “worship” shit… some things I agree with that Palin says, some things I don’t. I don’t “worship” her (though motorboating her tits would be epic)… and you’re slandering someone simply because you don’t agree with her political stance. Vacuous? I doubt it. A bitch? I’d have to ask her husband about that… off the record of course. It’s like me calling you a fudge packing faggot with a penchant for affectations, like your belief in an outdated, phony-baloney “religion” with big hats just because you think it makes you ‘different’ and ‘cool’ or “interesting” somehow in a life filled with mediocrity… I have no proof of any of it, and I totally said it just to slander you. You’re doing the same thing to Palin.
So, how you liking this dance so far?
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me says:
@ Billy and Zara
I don’t understand how people still believe there is a difference between any political party.
Or that democracy works, and your vote actually means something. Why even squabble about who’s “stupid , heartless, evil, insane”???
______________________________
I like to poke at snakes with a stick. Nobody’s perfect.
“I don’t understand how people still believe there is a difference between any political party.
Or that democracy works, and your vote actually means something. Why even squabble about who’s “stupid , heartless, evil, insane”???”
Thing is, my personal belief is that both are two sides to the same coin. I loathe both sides, but reserve a special burning hatred of leftists.
And we’re not arguing which side is more vile than the other. If you re-read my callout of Zara of the Big Hats, he smeared the tea party folks without offering up any proof whatsoever. His pathetic “proof” was just more of the same, and I stomped a mudhole in it…
He seems a bit fuzzy on what constitutes “proof”. I think his turban is a bit tight.
Zara’s sporting a new look these days… that giant gold swami hat was tres gauche… this one’s much nicer. Has his grandma’s old brooch on it…
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If voting actually changed things ….. they would make it illegal.
Billy
Fuck you. Muslims are the only valid species, not you fucking devil whites, not the worthless, lazy dull-normal blacks, not the inbred Asians. You will convert to Islam or you will die by the sword. We’ve converted Obama to Islam, he was born Islamic, and he will support Islam as we take over the world. Obama’s handing out billions to our brothers in arms all over. He changed the war on terror, from against Muslims to against white Christian patriots. But don’t worry Billy, you stupid white trash redneck, we’re not coming to Kentucky, because who the fuck cares about RedNeckTucky?
You’ll all be Muslims pretty soon….
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Doppleganger alert (above).
Zara is a Zoro Roaster, a lover of peace, and he would not speak like that.
Using my totally fucking AWESOME swami hat the size of a fucking beach ball, I deduce that the last comment by Zara was….. a phony!
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Your troll powers are nothing compared to the awesome might of the Swami Hat… STUCKY!
Yes, Stucky, it was you… you like poking a bear with a pointy stick, doncha? Just to see some shit happen… yeah, you mayhem loving psychotic bitch.. .:)
Go take your meds, you fuckin retard…
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Billy, Everything I posted was the absolute truth! “Know thy enemy” and shit. I do admire your tactic… declare victory and leave. As Stonewall Jackson would say, Very commendable. Very commendable.
Here’s a zoroastrian chick. Can you blame me?
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da fuq?
try this again.
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Billy
It wasn’t me. Really.
The other master doppler is llpoh, but he doesn’t post until late afternoon. My guess is it was AWD.
Billy, Everything I posted was the absolute truth! “Know thy enemy” and shit. I do admire your tactic… declare victory and leave. As Stonewall Jackson would say, Very commendable. Very commendable. — He of the Gigantic Hats
It’s the absolute truth… because you say so? See, ’cause I said so’ ain’t proof, swami. And I had to pick my boy up from school, then go to the grocery store for Ragu spaghetti sauce (which we’re having for dinner) and then to O’Reilly’s Auto Parts for a feeler gauge and some vacuum tubing for my truck- the feeler gauge is for the tractor. I need to replace the points and R&R the distributor… if you want to bust on me for having a fucking life other than TBP and like to maintain the fiction that I skated out on our little dance, then go right ahead, you disingenuous lying little prick.
Why doncha fly to Russia and suck Lenin’s moldy old cock, ya fucking stooge…
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Billy says:
if you want to bust on me for having a fucking life other than TBP
____________________________________
I am at work, dipshit. My schedule this week has been cleared so that I can devote my effort to preparing a powerpoint presentation at a prestigious national group in Chicago this June about a process of my own invention, which has been in development at a plant in Houston since last December. It’s just about finished so I have some time to kill. Ask HZK…we talked about it at our beer session.
Blow me.
Here’s a zoroastrian chick. Can you blame me? Fallen%20Zoroastrian%20Angel.jpg — He of the giant hats with grandma’s jewelry…
Sooo, you’re saying that you just joined your phony baloney “religion” to get chicks? Yeah, that sounds about right. Not like you actually believe that crap, you’re just in it for the chicks…
Do they have to wear giant goofy lookin swami hats too? I mean, I know looking like a gargantuan faggot is a prerequisite of Zoro-whatsisism, but how does that work with chicks?
Here’s a bunch of Zorofags having dinner and wearing the ever-stylish ceremonial sneeze guards..
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Here’s a Zorofag bumber sticker, showing all the good shit that Zara doesn’t bother with… too much trouble and besides, he’s a fucking lying snake of a hypocrite.
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Here’s a view of the giant Zorofag ceremonial communal turd hopper…
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And we wrap it up with an image of the ‘gods’ the Zorofags believe in… it’s that, or the Superfriends… I can’t tell. One wonders where the Legion of Doom fits into their belief system…
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“I am at work, dipshit. My schedule this week has been cleared so that I can suck dick, even preparing a powerpoint presentation at a prestigious national group of dick suckers in Chicago this June about a process of sucking dick of my own invention, which has been in development at a dick sucking plant in Houston since last December. It’s just about finished so I have some time to kill. Ask HZK…we talked about it at our beer session, but I had a dick in my mouth and was sorta drunk, so meh…
Blow me.”
Pfft… Like I give a fuck what you’re up to…
You came at ME and accused ME of skating out after “declaring victory”… you fucking disingenuous piece of weasel shit. I give a fuck what you’re up to.
“Blow me”? I could eat a bowl of Alphabits and shit a better comeback than that, ya douche..
Go back to your Powerpoint presentation on dick sucking in Houston… or whatever it is you got going on.
I’m going back to making spaghetti.
Eat my shit and choke.
Superfriends or Zoroastrian gods?
Cool… a religion based on a Saturday morning cartoon, remade into a comic book…
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Here’s the bad guys..
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Zoroastrian Action Figures! (Because Zoroastrian dolls sounds too gay)..
Collect them all! Trade with your friends!
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Tell you what, Z… I’m really liking this communal shitter you guys got..
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“For it is only through pinching a loaf together, shall peace be achieved….”
“In Zoroastrianism, the creator Ahura Mazda is all good, and no evil originates from him.”
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I win! Even though his motive in doing a bit of research on Zoroastrianism is to ridicule me, the education he derives from it can do nothing but good for him.
Welcome to the future newest member of the Zoroastrian faith… Billy!
Dude, if you think your comic book Superfriends raghead sand nigger phony baloney community shitter beach-ball swami hat “religion” has any attraction for me, you’re even more of a fucking retard than I think you are…
Go on now and go pinch off a loaf with your buddies, for it is through communal shit you shall achieve enlightenment… that, and the Fantastic Four, Beast-Man, I think I saw Gandalf in there somewhere, Captain Cold, Hawkman, Superdog, Bigfoot… shit, you assholes probably got Elvis in there somewhere too…
Ay-dee-os…
Billy smash Zorro. Billy win. Zorro no match for Billy’s great powers of logic. Billy a super-hero. BWAHAHAHAHAHA. Motherfucker, no one here can beat me, no one. I am Supreme. Bow to me peasants! Do not come at me unless you have done your homework. I, Billy, have spoken. Fuck you, everybody, just fuck off and die, I have a life, I don’t make TBP my entire past time. Eat my shit and die, Motherfuckers. Billy Rules, do not forget this.
Billy smash Zorro. Billy win. Zorro no match for Billy’s great powers of logic. Billy a super-hero. BWAHAHAHAHAHA. Motherfucker, no one here can beat me, no one. I am Supreme. Bow to me peasants! Do not come at me unless you have done your homework. I, Billy, have spoken. Fuck you, everybody, just fuck off and die, I have a life, I don’t make TBP my entire past time. Eat my shit and die, Motherfuckers. Billy Rules, do not forget this. — Dopple-Billy
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Billy
The Catlick Church is about to canonize two child molesters, errr popes, and they wear very funny hats. Why you no mock them?
Funny hats aside, Christianity and Zoroastrianism have VERY much in common. Look it up yourself, if interested, which I doubt you are. So, trust me. You mock one, you mock the other. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.
It’s a monotheistic religion, basically. So, Zara discards One-God-With-A-Big-Dick (Jehobah) and replaces him with another (Lt. Uhura), which is somewhat baffling to me.
Stucky says:
So, Zara discards One-God-With-A-Big-Dick (Jehobah) and replaces him with another (Lt. Uhura), which is somewhat baffling to me.
_______________________________
Because I, given my limited, but not absent knowledge of history, including the history of reilgion and physics has determined that Ahura Mazda is either God, or God doesn’t exist. I prefer the glass half full. From my vantage point, either Ahura Mazda is one one true God, or there is no God, because nothing beside the teaching of Zarathustra makes sense.
Stucky says:
“It’s a monotheistic religion, basically. So, Zara discards One-God-With-A-Big-Dick (Jehobah) and replaces him with another (Lt. Uhura), which is somewhat baffling to me.”
I’m not sure the “God-With-A-Big-Dick” is the Christian God. Paul did not argue with the pagans but he pointed out that the god they called the unknown god was the god he preached. Paul called him the one true god. Maybe he did not succeed in teaching them all about the saints and all but maybe he was glad to bring them closer to monotheism. I have heard people say that Allah is Jehova, I got thumbed down for agreeing with Zman that perhaps Ahura Mazda was an early concept of Jehova. It is interesting to me that few early societies had a monotheistic outlook.
Men have managed to trade god for an image more to their liking, a god they can set down on the mantle or hang on the wall is more manageable and comforting than a god who has the power to cast your soul into the abyss but a piece of wood cannot save you.
El Coyote says:
Men have managed to trade god for an image more to their liking, a god they can set down on the mantle or hang on the wall is more manageable and comforting than a god who has the power to cast your soul into the abyss but a piece of wood cannot save you.
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Either we have free will or we don’t. Obviously we do, although the vast majority choose not to exercise it. Given that we do, it means we have ability to grow beyond our culture and all that that entails; to find God is a journey of discovery. Clearly any God who imparted to mankind free will would wish for mankind to discover God by themselves, with no reward or threat of punishment. Okay so the Zaruthrustri are burdened by thousands of years of culture and history…that is only something to be filtered out for the rest of us to reach to the source of the original message.
” So, Zara discards One-God-With-A-Big-Dick (Jehobah) and replaces him with another (Lt. Uhura),”
———— me
Of course, I got the “big dick” reference from this guy;
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