The Four Questions

Guest Post by Dmitry Orlov

At the end of last week’s review of Age of Limits 2014, I posed the following four questions, which I think are key to moving beyond merely intellectualizing the predicament we face, and toward making actual meaningful changes to the way we live:

1. How can we communicate the reality of collapse to family and friends in ways that are constructive rather than destructive and find helpful ways to reflect our “endarkenment” in our everyday behavior?

2. How can we form personal relationships with people that can survive the disappearance of official life support systems based on finance, commerce and centralized authority?

3. How can we transform our physical selves into ones that will stand a chance, by eliminating lifestyle diseases, bad habits, luxuries and comforts, and by finding maximally independent and resilient ways to provide the necessities?

4. How can we make use of ritual and spiritual practice to transform a group of individuals into a community?

Over the past week I have collected a number of responses from a number of people. Rachel jumped the gun, sending in comments even before I posted my questions:

The biggest specific suggestion I have for next year is something you mentioned on Monday morning: the need for a session on how to respond and deal with family and friends around us who have a different worldview that does not involve a collapse narrative. I don’t know a single person who wouldn’t benefit from this discussion. … I talked to my sister when I got home. She had attended … just [on] Saturday and got a lot out of hearing both you and Dennis Meadows speak. … After coming home, she tried to explain the conference to her husband, who dismissed the conclusions, saying the usual types of things, like “Paul Ehrlich was proved wrong.” My sister didn’t know how to talk about it. How then can she even start making changes in her own family? … How can one make important changes if one’s spouse, parent, close friend, or whoever has a different worldview? Maybe in some cases it’s simply impossible without divorcing from a relationship. But maybe there are strategies.

Ellen wrote:

Your questions just posed need to be answered. … I don’t know if the human species can or even should survive. What poor stewards of the earth we have been. But if there is to be anything of value salvaged, if we as a species are not to degenerate into mindless barbarism, then we have to create a new paradigm and a new culture. Somehow I would like to save the intellectual capital our species has evolved over the millennia. How to accomplish that is worthy of prolonged and thoughtful debate and discussion.

Pete wrote:

[Collapse] is a very depressing subject for [my family] (not so much for me) and they therefore resist because they cannot “live there”. Well, I don’t live there. I am open to what comes, will do the best I can when it does and have made common sense preparations, in addition to putting some of my savings into precious metals. I am doubtful that we can convince most people of anything. Here in the US especially they live in their own made-up world, having always during their lifetime experienced nothing but relative prosperity.

Liam wrote:

Nobody can be … sold on collapse without first experiencing it in the own lives (illness, tragedy, dissolution, etc.) and then also being curious enough about the larger world to look.

Yossi wrote:

I worked as a psychotherapist and often used the [Kübler-Ross] model with people who had experienced loss. I was able to invest in the model emotionally as well as intellectually because I too had suffered losses. None of the people attending your conference have actually experienced collapse – if they had you would not be attending a conference, using a flush toilet, eating two nice meals a day and commenting about it on the internet. Nobody really knows how they will react to loss until they have suffered it and I think that the same will apply to collapse. I am not saying that it isn’t useful to think deeply about it and have a considered response ready but when it happens the trauma will be unimaginable and emotions will overwhelm people.

On question 2, Robert wrote:

The current deep drought in California may be a valuable empirical model of how very large numbers of people respond to accelerating depletion of an essential resource. The water supply situation in California is dire. … There is abundant data on the accelerating trend of water resource depletion and the situation will worsen in the coming months. If the drought persists through the coming winter the situation will take a dramatic turn to the realm of disaster. How will the populous behave? How is California government respond? Much handwrining in State government, especially the legislature, but no tangible plan and little action. Folks watering their front lawn at mid-afternoon on hot days.

Kathy wrote:

Thank you … for writing about the Ik and introducing me to the concept of culture death. It gave me a new way to perceive that what has happened to my people was a kinder gentler version of what happened to the Ik, and [that] we are simply a little kinder and gentler than the Ik but otherwise—well the mean-as-a-snake hillbilly is not a myth. … John Michael Greer [once] mentioned in a throw-away line that if you want to understand what culture death looks like, consider Southern Appalachia.

John wrote:

At some point there will be a turning of the collective ship towards the ominous black clouds of the collapse storm. I suspect the world will quickly divide into three groups, the hopeless/helpless/abandoned urban and suburban folk (dead) the pull together/circle the wagons/we can adapt folk (mostly dead, unless lucky in location) and the various flavors of nomads, prepared and unprepared (mostly dead as well, for where is there to go?).

Jerry wrote:

I have personal experience with recently moving to a small (pop 1,200) rural but compact town that is traditionally conservative, and down on its luck economically, but also has a small community of white, middle-aged liberal progressives (for lack of a better term). Those folks are somewhat aware of the problems we face, although it rarely goes beyond the usual litany of white middle class environmental issues such as GMO’s, factory farms, etc. As such, they have recently started a food co-op that sells VERY expensive and supposedly organic food. A few of them are currently engaged in trying to get a transition movement off the ground, but whenever I try to raise the issue of global ecological overshoot and collapse with them I am literally told to shut up for being too “negative.” Right to my face. There are one or two white, middle aged, right wing preppers in town, living in luxury RV’s and stockpiling guns, ammo, rice, and beans. I can talk to those folks about collapse, but mention anything remotely like an ecological basis for our predicament and I can expect a wild-eyed, spittle-flecked tirade against the climate change “hoax.” The vast majority of the remaining population are either low-wage working class, or people living in outright poverty. Most are politically conservative and very religious. Drugs and alcohol are big problems. How then can you present the challenges we face in terms that are not political, religious, or environmental, but which somehow still communicates the urgency of the situation? And how can you communicate that urgency in a way that is not perceived as fatalistic or unnecessarily negative? How can you ask people to explore the possibility of radically rethinking their living arrangements without posing a direct threat to their worldview? I am increasingly convinced that the answer lies in one word: Security.

Kevin wrote:

You need a clan. Not a bunch of folks like you or that you like, but a group that accepts each other and will circle the wagons and not bitch too much. We need to practice it on the crowded plane, the local fair, the funerals and weddings, the office, the home. It requires virtually no moving parts, and it is what keeps folks sane when things are crappy. So when the blowhard is yammering on at conference, I have been there, just see it as practice. You have socks! And a chair! And you’re not dead!

Doug wrote:

The greatest conundrum our species faces in this dire time is our tendency toward hierarchy. 10000 years of it may be too much for our species to overcome. I feel anarchy is the only way forward, but honestly can’t see how we get from here to there.

Liam wrote:

Get into the habit of trading favors, being reliable and nonjudgmental, and the relationships will blossom. Remember we live in a toxic social context, anything less pathological sells itself.

Only Pete ventured to say anything on question 3:

I’d say by knowing what’s what, exercising common sense and doing what’s sensible and prudent while we can. The milieu with which we will be confronted is so complex that any sort of detailed planning is useless. … I would include as sensible getting rid of as much debt as is possible, owning some precious metals and storing some food, water, currency and “tradeables”.

On question 4, Pete again:

I don’t think it can be done. … For myself, I have for decades looked into that realm between religion and science, if you will, with an open mind while accepting no dogmas, and have found, I think, a few answers. But these are just for myself, unburdened by any felt need to seek agreement.

Kathy wrote:

I’ve thought and thought about this … and I can’t really justify my stand from a secular point of view. I no longer have the proper secular vocabulary to do so. So anything I said would be meant specifically for a Christian struggling to come to terms [with collapse].

Don wrote:

I would like to make a suggestion relative to rituals. Paul Woodruff, a philosopher at the University of Texas and a former military officer, has written Reverence. As a philosopher, he makes fine discriminations so that we are able to communicate with a minimum or misunderstanding. For exsample, a religious person may be reverent, but a reverent person need not be religious. On page 250, Woodruff identifies music, poetry, and ritual as key languages of reverence. Sacraments and liturgy are not generally useful languages of reverence. Giving a knife blade a sharp edge can be an exercise in reverence, I think. Watching a skilled sharpener we experience the reverence also. My guess is that we need to “re-reverence” as much of our mundane world as possible. As the distractions wind down, we will need to satisfy ourselves with reverence for what we need to do.

I hope that this conversation continues, and actually leads us to something. In the meantime, here are some interim thoughts:

• I am sorry that I didn’t make it clear from the outset, but failure is not an option. If you can’t bring your family and friends on board, then by definition they will end up overboard, and, if you don’t find yourself another group, so will you. If any of us succeed at answering question 1 but fail at 2, 3 or 4, then, again, your chances will be slim to none. Needless to say, commentary along the lines of “We’re all gonna die!” is less than entirely helpful.

• Existing society, be it urban or rural, will be of minimal use. Practice saying “culture death.” At best it will be a source of recycled material—human, animal, vegetable and mineral. Urban settings are definitely a better place to scavenge/recruit: it’s a richer environment, there are more people, a greater diversity of experience, and more immigrants (who have experienced something other than an overfed life on autopilot).

• Those who have led a sheltered and comfortable existence never having had a reason to question the assumptions on which their lives have been based will also be of minimal use. Understanding collapse requires going through it, or at least observing it directly. Prosperity, affluence and security have the same effect on character as a windless environment has on trees: even a weak gust of wind can snap them in half.

• Finally, an entirely intellectual approach will likewise be minimally useful. The task is to get people out of their heads and connect them to each other emotionally (feel the right “vibe,” if you will) and to nature physically (by dropping bad habits and developing good ones), all served up with a sense of reverence for nature (human and otherwise) and a healthy sense of awe for all that which we can never hope to understand.

Now, I would like to hear from someone—anyone—who has succeeded, to whatever small extent, and could tell us what it took and what it was like.

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15 Comments
Welshman
Welshman
June 3, 2014 9:11 am

Most people could not handle collapse of S.S., S.S. Disability, Medicare, or Medicade, let alone financil or climate collapse. If the grid goes down for good, life won’t be tolerable any longer.

I have 150% more life support than most, but kind of in Stuck’s camp and being old, you can only hold on for so long, then it is over. Only the young, tough, lucky, and totally prepared will survive. Life will be very hard and unforgiving.

Sacramento Bee today, states “Let Your Voice be Heard” LOL. today we vote. First time in my life I have not voted, I have become a total cynic.

Tommy
Tommy
June 3, 2014 9:36 am

………”Those who have led a sheltered and comfortable existence never having had a reason to question the assumptions on which their lives have been based will also be of minimal use. Understanding collapse requires going through it, or at least observing it directly. Prosperity, affluence and security have the same effect on character as a windless environment has on trees: even a weak gust of wind can snap them in half”.

– perfect. Exactly how I feel about the vast, vast majority all around me. Friends, parents, relatives, and on. Its funny how so many of the well-to-do act like they’ve got all the answers.

The next one nailed my irritation with the intellectuals – no offense boomers/silents, but many among you just want to keep the machine turning so it can spit out medi-shit benefits and social insecurity…….

“Finally, an entirely intellectual approach will likewise be minimally useful. The task is to get people out of their heads and connect them to each other emotionally (feel the right “vibe,” if you will) and to nature physically (by dropping bad habits and developing good ones), all served up with a sense of reverence for nature (human and otherwise) and a healthy sense of awe for all that which we can never hope to understand”.

Trying to find a true friend in this new environment – that we don’t even know what it will look like – very tough. When you’re young you just look past all the shit that clouds your thought and emotions now, older people trying to find tight friends now – carrying all that baggage, THAT is too me the hard part.

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
June 3, 2014 10:20 am

I communicate it fairly easily with family and friends . I tell them this is what’s going to happen, how it’s going to happen and how to prepare . Then I tell them if you don’t prepare then don’t look to me to save your ass .

Stucky
Stucky
June 3, 2014 10:25 am

“1. How can we communicate the reality of collapse to family and friends in ways that are constructive rather than destructive and find helpful ways to reflect our “endarkenment” in our everyday behavior?”

Invite them to read The Burning Platform.

“4. How can we make use of ritual and spiritual practice to transform a group of individuals into a community?”

Invite Nonanoymous, bb, and Flash as guest speakers.

Eddie
Eddie
June 3, 2014 10:38 am

I posted this on Orlov’s site.

I mark the beginning of my own efforts as around Christmas of 2010. That’s when I read Ruppert’s book and started reading in the collapse blogosphere.

Since then…

I’m on my third year of learning intensive gardening techniques. Gardening has been a good way of getting the family involved, at least in my case. They (wife and kids) don’t really believe we’ll collapse, but they like good organic food, so they participate.

By fate or circumstance I have surrounded myself with a functional family consisting of my three daughters and their significant others, and we live in a single house. This has allowed us to become much more efficient about how we live and husband our resources. We live on the edge of suburbia adjacent to a large green belt at the moment, but I have begun to establish a more secure retreat in a rural area some 50 miles out. They (my family)never expect to live there, but I expect we might.

Out there I am laying the groundwork to produce enough electricity (from solar PV mainly) to get by okay without grid power, if that becomes necessary.

I am building an aquaponic garden that will eventually be all native fish and heirloom plants, that will run off solar. Maybe not sustainable ultimately, but I can keep it going for a while, I think.

I am not as well integrated into the rural community out there as I would like, but that may have to wait until such time as I’m in full time residence, if and when.

This year’s plan is to get an appropriate hybrid electric vehicle for my circumstances. I have a Prius, but I think for us the better solution will be a Volt (or alternately a plug-in Prius, but they don’t sell them here). I want a car I can use if I only have PV to fall back on. Until that time comes, the Volt and similar vehicles provide more than one alternative for locomotion over some distance.

Along with some people you might know, I organized and hosted a conclave of collapse bloggers here in April that came off well, although so far that hasn’t done anything more than cement some long time online friendships. My own takeaway is that long distance friends might come in really handy, and that it’s well worthwhile to network with like-minded people everywhere…but that most solutions are going to be very local.

In general, I am not a fan of nomadic living (at least as a response to collapse). It might work for someone like you or Ray (or even me, if I were solo) but I truly believe resilience will be easier to accomplish ultimately in the region where you happen to find yourself. I do worry about the climate chaos, but even here in a drought affected area, we have many way s to mitigate those problems before they become insurmountable.

If my farm/retreat fails due to weather, I am prepared to move, but to me that’s definitely a Plan B.

Much of my effort so far has been accomplished primarily by me, working alone. I am very interested in building community, but so far what I’ve learned is that,right now, before TSHTF, that’s hard to do. But I’m pretty sure if I build it, they will come.

Of course, I do understand the need for security. I don’t like to talk about that aspect too much, but I feel better prepared than most to deal with those issues. I do worry about government confiscation of my own precious resources in the event of a fast collapse event…much more so than I fear marauding zombies.

The likely scenario here, I think, will be similar to how things were in the Great Depression. Poor, rural, non-mobile society that maybe ekes out a living of the land. I doubt we’ll see many hungry hordes, at least not for too long.

I forgot to mention that I do have some months of carefully stored food and water. Not enough, but a start.

So that’s where I am today. Far from prepared, but still working on some aspect of it most days.

Rise Up
Rise Up
June 3, 2014 11:12 am

@Eddi, kudos to you for making what appear to be solid preps and plans. Suggest you consider the Nissan Leaf ($28k vs $34k for a Chevy Volt)–although it’s hard to predict whether owning any vehicle that requires fuel or electricity will be viable, depending on the collapse scenario.

And that’s the crux of the entire matter, isn’t it? What form will collapse take? So many possibilities that it’s impracticable to plan for everything that COULD happen. IMHO, the best scenario involves the guv becoming a non-factor somehow. I’d rather try to survive without their “help”.

In any case, thanks Admin for posting Orlov’s 4 questions–how people are thinking, planning, and reacting to collapse is fascinating to read.

bb
bb
June 3, 2014 11:14 am

Great article yesterday on the SHTF site …What will happen when the dollar collapses….History has shown that cannibalism will set in by the beginning of the third week .It’s the third week when people become bat shit crazy. If you can survive the first 2 to 3 months then you have a chance of living through a collapse unless the country goes into civil war then all bets are off.
I don’t think this country can survive another collapse like the great depression. America still had a Christian GOD consciousness but that is gone now thanks to people like Stucky and the ACLU.The country was at least 90% white of western European background but that’s also gone due to Third world immigration. Also ,blacks were given civil rights in 1964.So now they have the right to act like a bunch of Damn animals. We have no common culture , language, history or traditions now.The only thing holding us together is greed and greed is idolatry.

Stucky
Stucky
June 3, 2014 11:53 am

“America still had a Christian GOD consciousness but that is gone now thanks to people like Stucky and the ACLU” ———– bb, a.k.a. Village Idiot

I had no idea I had that kind of POWER! fuckmedead. I shoulda run for Congress.

You heard it here first folks ……. Stucky helped kill God in Amerika!!!! You can thank me later.

Eddie
Eddie
June 3, 2014 12:17 pm

Stuck

You might have noticed I dodged question four completely. For some many of us, that’s where we don’t really come together.

It’s a paradox to me that the more spiritually evolved someone might be, the less likely they are to fit into a religious pigeon hole.

I do expect that if I end up in some kind of village situation, it will be easier to work within the existing religious framework, as opposed to trying to pull small-minded, ignorant people towards enlightenment, or start a Buddhist Sangha or a New Age Tantric Temple.

In this region, being a Baptist makes you belong to something people understand. In Utah, you better be a Mormon if you want to get along. In India you might get a little more leeway than you would in the US of A. But here, being different is a good way to become a martyr.

bb
bb
June 3, 2014 5:58 pm

Yes you Stucky ,the country has committed apostasy. You have probably committed apostasy. So there is no hope for the nation. America will/is dying a slow death. It will/is being destroyed from within as a judgment from GOD . Just like a apostasy destroys the soul,it destroys a nation. You have done this to yourself just as the nation.Bye ,Bye American pie.

Westcoaster
Westcoaster
June 3, 2014 10:54 pm

Re: Eddie
I think those of us who are more evolved spiritually just don’t need or buy into the dogma of “religion”. Why put a ton of bullshit between you and the spirit? I accept the existence of a higher power, but I sure as hell don’t need some Baptist preacher or Catholic priest “interpreting” for me.

That said, the Mormons have probably the most collapse-survivable practices of contemporary religions. But in that scenario the Amish probably have the highest % of survival.

Coyote
Coyote
June 4, 2014 1:15 am

They were asking the same questions in Pompei, er Rome or was it that 150 year period when Noah was preaching about the 4th turning and people blew him off saying their culture was essential and no god worthy of his salt would destroy it.

Fundamental Christians misread the prophesies of the bible much like Oedipus misunderstood the Oracle at Delphi. America is not Armageddon where the nations of the earth are gathered. It is not the home of every foul bird and evil spirit. It is not drunk on the blood of innocents. And Gog and Magog are not joining forces against America/Babylon. We invaded Iraq, we own it as Colin Powell said we would but surely that doesn’t make us a modern day Babylon.

Nope, there is no end in sight for this most essential of nations as President Obama called it. The world needs a taskmaster and plunderer, an executioner with a loving touch, to say little of its wonderful culture of greed and lust with a delightful tinge of remote control murder.

O, America, America, you who kill the patriots and stone the whistle-blowers, how often I has God longed to gather your children together, as a hen gathers her chicks under her wings, and you were not willing.

Stucky
Stucky
June 4, 2014 9:35 am

Coyote

Wonderful, poetic post.

Pirate Jo
Pirate Jo
June 4, 2014 5:03 pm

“Needless to say, commentary along the lines of “We’re all gonna die!” is less than entirely helpful.”

In much the same manner, if you are riding in a car which has hurtled off a cliff and are plunging into a ravine, pointing out to the other passengers that the car is going to crash is “less than entirely helpful.” But it is still true. The time to be “helpful” was before the car went flying off the ledge in the first place, and we are already 40 or so years too late.

Paul Ehrlich was NOT wrong.

Failure is not an option, but only because at this point it is already baked into the cake. Therefore, it is no longer “optional.”

Eddie
Eddie
June 4, 2014 8:50 pm

@Westcoaster

I grew up in a Southern US Christian fundamentalist denomination with devout, peasant parents. When I left home, I was so pissed I didn’t darken any church doors for about twenty years, and I’m still not that crazy about most organized religion.

With that said, I was once married to the daughter of a Baptist minister who was probably one of the coolest people I’ve known in my life. But he was a guy who worked his way through grad school to a PhD while supporting his six kids…and he was not the usual intolerant run-of-the mill fundy.

And Mormons? (Guess I shoulda said LDS). The very best teacher in my profession is LDS, Probably the best known and best loved dentist in the world today. I’m proud to have him for a mentor. And it was a Mormon, old Howard Ruff, who (through his writing) who got me started as a prepper. The Mormons are who Dmitri should study. ( Haven’t read the book yet, maybe he already has.)They practically invented prepping, and they stick together like glue. I’ve spent a lot of time in Utah over the years, and I have great respect for those folks, even if I did go to see Book of Mormon and laughed my ass off.

Every religion has exceptional people. What I detest is the intolerance some religious people have for any view other than their own. That chaps my ass.

But when TSHTF, life is going to change. Churches are important social structures. Whatever is local and functioning is going to be a lifeline. You have to think of it in a completely different way than most of us think about religion.