UKI NAZIS GETTING THEIR ASSES KICKED – 40,000 DEAD

You won’t be getting this situation report from the American Corporate Media Propaganda Machine. You judge who is telling the truth.

Via Vineyard of the Saker

September 4th 23:53 UTC/ZULU Ukraine SITREP: Maybe, just maybe?

Many major developments to report today.  First, though I was trying very hard to contain my excitement over the past days, the level of success the Novorussian Armed Forces (NAF) against the Junta Repression Forces (JRF) appears to be absolutely amazing and, should Mariupol fall, which appears to be likely, I would speak of a strategic victory, something which I am normally extremely reluctant to do, especially when speaking to a force which only recently was a volunteer militia force.  How could that possibly have happened?

Military situation:

I think that there is a second expression which now can be used without exaggeration: all the signs are that the JRF have reached their breaking point: this is the moment when a military force suddenly and completely collapses, like a damn which blows out under the pressure of water.  The JRF is not retreating on one, two or even three directions, it is retreating everywhere (except north of Lugansk).  Entire battalions are leaving the front under orders of their battalion commanders and without the approval of the Junta leaders.  At least one such battalion commander is already being judged for desertion.  The entire Ukie leadership seems to be in a panic mode, especially Iatseniuk and Kolomoiski, while the Nazis are mad as hell at the Poroshenko administration.  There are constant rumors of an anti-Poroshenko coup by outraged Nazi nationalists.  And then, there are the absolutely staggering Ukrainian losses.  There is one such list which I reader sent me who, according to my reader, was published on Zero Hedge, but I could not find it there.  I did find it here though:

Ukrainian forces casualties and losses 2 May – 21 August
Casualties
Total: 32.702
Dead and wounded: 20.274
Prisoner, deserters and missing: 12.418
Destroyed or captured materiel:
I. Aviation
Attack
– 16 Su-25 (one captured 7 July)
Bomber
– 7 Su-24
Fighter
– 2 MiG-29
Recon
– 1 AN-30
– 6 drones
Transport
– 2 AN-26
– 2 IL 76
I.a Helicopters
– 20 attack and transport Mi-24, Mi-17 y Mi-8
II. Ground forces materiel
Tanks Total: 347 ( 68 captured )
– 319 T-64 ( 65 captured )
– 2 T-64 Bulat
– 7 T-72 ( 3 captured )
– 19 T-84-U Oplot
Armored vehicles Total: 602 ( 119 captured )
– 163 BMP Infantry Fighting Vehicle, tracked ( 69 capturados )
– 125 BMD IFV Paratroopers, tracked ( 9 captured )
– 312 BTR Armored Personnel Carrier, wheeled ( 39 captured )
– 2 BRDM Scout Vehicle, wheeled ( 2 captured )
Artillery Total: 180 ( 122 captured pieces )
– 4 SO-203 2S7 “Pion” 203mm
– 5 SAU 2S3 “Acacia” 152mm (1 captured )
– 30 SAU 122 2S1 Gvozdika 122mm ( 25 captured )
– 2 Mortars 2S4 Tyulpan 240mm(2 captured
– 6 Mortars SAU Nona 120mm (6 captured )
– 21 Antiaircraft guns ZU 23-2 ( 18 captured )
– 24 Rocket launcher Grad 122mm ( 24 captured )
– 11 Rocket launcher Uragan 220mm (4 captured )
– 45 howitzer D-30 122mm ( 10 captured )
– 32 mortars82mm ( 32 captured )
Trucks and cars Total: 153 (124 captured )
– 5 Hummer
– Jeep
– 25-66 GaZ
– Staff car
– Mobile crane
– 1 ZIL 131
– 2 KrAZ
– 58 Ural trucks
– 69 Kamaz trucks
– 4 UAZ 469
Last edited by von Junzt; 23 Aug 14 at 07:42. 

Now I am not endorsing this list since I don’t even know who made it up or on what basis.  But I will say that it is consistent with this list and it is also consistent with this one (thanks to GM for the link!!).   Finally, this list is also consistent with all the footage shown on the various video hosting sites such as YouTube.  I will even add that this list is clearly incomplete since it was made before the biggest Ukie losses occurred.  But let’s not look at the exact numbers, let’s look at the suggested magnitude.  This tells us that:

  • 40,000+ Ukrainian soldiers have died.
  • 600+ armored vehicles have been lost.
  • 200+ artillery pieces have been lost (probably many more in reality).
  • Most of the Ukie aviation in flying condition has been lost.

If, as it appears likely, the real number of dead JRF soldiers is anywhere near the 30’000+40’000+ figure, then this is something absolutely unique in modern warfare.  There might be an exception to this I have missed, but as far I can know in every single conflict since WWII (and including WWII), civilians have died in far greater numbers than combatants.  This is also absolutely true of NAF soldiers who have died in far smaller numbers than Novorussian civilians.  So unless these figures are completely off the mark, and I see no reason to believe this, the Junta forces were absolutely massacred in an horrible butchery which cannot completely be explained by the superb fighting skills of the Novorussians: clearly the Junta has used these forces as cannon fodder with not even a modicum of care, nevermind support, for them.  Yes, the Novorussians had God, morale, common sense, the Truth, the GRU, history, decency, international law, covert support from Russia and whatever else on their side but that does not explain the mind-boggling casualty figures of the Ukie side.

To me a life is a life, and a Ukie life is no less precious than a Russki life.  Yes, I am delighted and relieved that the JRF were defeated and that the horrors which the Novorussians had to live through will possibly end soon.  But I feel heartbroken and immensely said for the thousands of innocent Ukrainians who were used by their Junta and sent to die in the process of a criminal operation whose goal was the ethnically cleanse the entire Donbass of its population.  And I am proud and happy by the way Russia and the Novorussians have treated the Ukie deserters and POWs.  Even the worst ones, the artillery crews, which were shown videos of whom they murdered and of what they destroyed, they were confronted with their victims and sometimes they were ordered to work to rebuilt, as much as can be, the buildings which they had destroyed (some broke down in complete hysterics, by the way).  But they were no shot, tortured, mistreated in any way.  They received medical attention, they were washed, clothed, fed and eventually sent back home.  I consider that treatment another huge moral victory for the Russian Orthodox side whose effects it will take many years to fully access.

The bottom line is this: Poroshenko promised a victory in a matter of weeks and his forces suffered one of the most total defeats in the history of warfare.  Can the Ukies rearm?  Yes, to some degree.  Do they still have huge weapons stores?  Yes, but all the (comparatively) better gear has been used by now.  Can they still conduct a 4th, 5th and 6th mobilization?  Possibly.  Though the public mood is ominous at this time.  Can the AngloZionists send them instructors, equipment and money?  Yes.  Will that turn the tide?  Probably not.  Unless the Ukies have held back and secretly trained a large number of soldiers over the past 3-4 months (like the Novorussians have done in Russia) and unless these soldiers are now ready to be sent in, fully equipped and ready to go, I don’t see the JRF bouncing back for a very long time.  But the most likely thing is that this ridiculous “Banderastan” experiment has seriously begun sinking now and that many rats are leaving the ship.  Last, but not least, for the very first time some mentally sane voices are being heard on Ukie TV.

For example, I have seen very interesting footage of a Ukie general (possibly retired) who, speaking in Russian, told a press conference that enough people had died and that it was wrong that people born in the same country, having the same culture and the same language (yes, he really said that!) were killing each other.  He concluded “we are not only tired of shooting, we are tired of killing”.  That kind of talk was never heard only weeks ago on Ukie TV.  Sure, that creep Savik Shuster is still inviting Nazis on his 3 hour long weekly program, but I bet you that he has already made his suitcases and has an exist strategy ready (a move to Israel is what I suspect he will do).

NATO summit: the mouse that roared

It’s too early to call this one since it’s not over yet, but so far hot air and a general impression of irrelevance seems to be the only result from this summit.  First, the US and the UK have announced more sanctions which makes me wonder about the other countries.  Now they say the that US and EU will impose sanctions, but we know that the Czechs and Slovaks have promised to veto any such move.  But even if they do, this will be more of the kind of symbolic nonsense like banning Russian banks (who are leaving anyway) or Russian officials (who now see that as a mark of great honor).  The goofiest idea came from, what else, the British who want to cut Russia off the SWIFT network.  Which makes the Russians wonder how the EU wants to pay for its gas.  Oh, and then there is this 10’000 men rapid reaction force whose creation is supposed to terrify the Kremlin.  Let me tell you, as a military analyst, that rapid reaction forces are – by definition – not something you can use in a conventional war against a continental power like Russia with large number of men, artillery and armor.  That is absolutely laughable.  But even better is this: while the US and EU are discussing the creation of this force, Putin has already given the order to DOUBLE the size of the Russian Airborne Forces which, by the way, are superior (in training, equipment and capabilities) to any comparable western force, bar none.

art: Josetxo Ezcurra

Please understand me right: I am not dismissing NATO at all.  As a militarized political organization its capability for malevolence is immense, but this is primary a problem for the EU countries which, at best, are something between a US protectorate or colony, and who have to put up with the ugly consequences of being subservient to this fully US-controlled supra-national enforcement instrument.  For Russia the problem is the castrating effect NATO has on EU politicians as shown by the grotesquely stupid move by Francois Hollande to cancel (probably only *delay*) the delivery of the Mistrals to Russia.  That kind of nonsense is the real by-product of NATO membership, but that hardly makes NATO a credible military threat.

Speaking of Hollande and his decision to delay the delivery of the Mistrals, the BBC gave some figures of the costs involved for France:

A French diplomat earlier said the contract was suspended until November, and the delay “could cost us 1bn euros”.  The deal is worth 1.2bn euros – and Russia is reported to have paid most of it, so breach of contract would mean France having to reimburse that money.  In addition, France would be liable for an extra 251m-euro penalty payment, French news website LCI reports. 

Of course, the real costs of this debacle is a huge loss of credibility for France and its international image.  It’s is all very well to proudly say “la France! la France!” but when you act as a poodle you get treated like one.  In the polite world of international diplomacy nobody will say much, but everybody will know that everybody knows.  And, of course, none of that hurts Russia one bit.  At the most, the full complex of western “sanctions” against Russia are a short-term mild annoyance and a fantastic opportunity to finally tackle some much delayed and most urgently needed reforms.  Frankly, I think that these sanctions are a blessing and, apparently, so do most Russians (according to recent opinion polls).

The EU – finally getting a little fed up?

There is no doubt that the EU’s abject subservience to AngloZionists has really hurt European economic and political interests.  Not only that, but from an EU point of view, the situation in Banderastan is getting worse and worse and even worse.  There are some signs that both the Poroshenko regime and the EU are finally becoming aware that unless they do something really, really, soon things might get much worse.  And, exactly as Oleg Tsarev had predicted it, as soon as the NAF scored its first major victories the EU and Poroshenko suddenly became interested in negotiations.  And, right on time, Putin offered his peace plan.

Putin’s 7 point peace plan

As peace plans come, this one is pretty much a no-brainer and contains only rather obvious points.  Hardly earth shattering, but still a very good basis, especially when combined with a clear message to the Ukies that Russia is not a part to this conflict and that everything must be negotiated in direct talks with Novorussia.  As for the Novorussians, they have already basically agreed to a slightly amended version of the plan.  Interestingly, so apparently has Poroshenko.  In contrast, Iatseniuk is enraged and apparently wants to built a wall along the Russian border (he really seems off his meds recently).  Finally, it appears that Merkel and the OSCE are fully backing the plan, while Fabius is very reluctantly “not opposed”.

Of course, we all know that the Ukies and the EU have broken every single agreement they ever committed to since this war started, but this time there is no doubt left whatsoever about the outcome should no negotiated agreement be reached.  And since the Ukies and the EU need this peace plan much more than Russia, they might want to stick to their word this time.  Maybe.

An important thing about this plan is that it contains only immediate to short-term elements.  There is nothing at all in it about any final status for Novorussia or, for that matter, of the rest of the Ukraine.  And this exact how this should be.  Why? Because what is important in this plan is not what it says, but what it implies: “you have lost and we can restart this one anytime we want“.  Yes, I know, neither the Novorussians nor the Russians have said any such thing, but remember that making threats is not the Russian way.  Russians do not promise, they do not threaten – they just act.  And if Obama, Cameron or Hollande are too stupid to understand this, Poroshenko (being, as any other Ukie “oligarch”, a Mafia boss) knows that very well.  I promise you that there is a deep level of mutual understanding between Putin and Poroshenko which no western leader will ever imagine.

The smile which says it all

For all the bullshit about nationalism and politics, they are both Russian strongmen, clan bosses, and even if Poroshenko is a tiny little insect in comparison to Putin, they still have that “clan boss” culture in common and that means that Putin has absolutely no need to make any threats to Poroshenko simply because Poroshenko already knows.  For example, I heard on Ukie TV that Putin had allegedly told an OSCE official that “if he wanted he could take Kiev in two weeks”.  Whether this is true or not (I doubt it – it can be done is less time) is not the point.  The point is that this is exactly the kind of “explanations” which Putin does not need to convey to Poroshenko, but that he might need to “clarify reality” to some western diplomat of the “intellectual caliber” of, say, Hollande or Rasmussen.

So are the Europeans waking up?  Is the Russian strategy to push a wedge between the EU and the US working?  I think that this is too early to tell, but I am becoming cautiously optimistic.  The way Merkel immediately endorsed the “Putin plan” might be a sign that at least Germany is starting to seriously feel the heat.

Tomorrow in Minsk?

Tomorrow will be huge.  Not only is the NATO summit concluding, but the Ukies are meeting with the Novorussians under the watchful eyes of Russia and Belarus.  Apparently topics will range from energy to the peace plan (the EU probably will want guarantees for its gas in exchange for supporting the plan).  The biggest threat now is that the AngloZionists and their Nazi allies in the Ukraine will be very very angry if a deal is made.  Frankly, Poroshenko is taking a big personal risk, but since his situation is already very precarious, he might have figured that an 11th hour “rebranding” of himself as a “peacemaker” might not be the worst possible outcome, especially if the Germans try hard to protect him.  As for the US, it might turn to its time-honored tradition and simply dump Poroshenko.  My biggest concern are the bona fide Nazis a la Iarosh, Timoshenko, Iatseniuk or Tiagnibok who will be absolutely outraged at any deal made with Putin.  Likewise, the oligarchs like Akhmetov and Kolomoiski (who hate each other) will also be furious, as will Hunter Biden.

art: Josetxo Ezcurra

The sad fact is that there is a entire clique of Ukrainian Nazis and oligarchs who much rather continue the war against Russia (because this is, of course, what this is really all about!) to the last Ukrainian soldier if need be rather than accepting a deal, especially a very bitter one like the one presented to Kiev right now.  Because, let’s be honest here, this will be packaged in all sorts of noble and lofty words, but we are talking about a capitulation and not some kind of meaningful compromise, at least form the Ukie point of view.

What the Ukraine really needs right now is a real process of denazification.  There is another “Ukraine” out there, at least potentially if not historically, which could be very different from the Banderastan the AngloZionists have created.  Yes, Ukrainian nationalism is the product of centuries of west European machinations and conspiracies, but this does not mean that it has to forever remain hostage of the hateful forces which have created it.  For one thing, this conflict has constantly obfuscated the fact that most Ukrainians and most Russians want an independent Ukraine to exist.  This will be hard to prove at this point, but I believe that the only region of the ex-Ukraine which really wanted to join Russia was Crimea.  The Donbass would have settled for much less.  I am absolutely convinced that the stupid Nazis really did it to themselves, that blinded by their rabid hatred of everything Russia or Orthodox they simply could not help act the way they did, because it was “in their nature“.  Now it is too late to turn things around, you cannot magically undo that horrible and crazy civil war.  But it might be possible to use the reflexion about the causes and results of this outcome to push for a real denazification of the Ukraine.  After all, no matter how brainwashed they currently are, most Ukrainians will come to realize that it took the crazy Ukie nationalists only 6 months to completely destroy their country and that all that this sick ideology of hatred and ignorance brought them is poverty, violence, humiliation and death.  But I am looking way to far ahead.

Let’s see what tomorrow brings (or not) and then where this might lead us.  What is certain is that even if tomorrow brings a vapid and meaningless NATO summit and a peace deal in Minsk, this will be way way way too early to celebrate.  At best, it will be one first step in the right direction, but only one step on a long and still very dangerous road.

Stay tuned, I will try to keep you informed the best I can.

Kind regards,

The Saker

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13 Comments
Stucky
Stucky
September 5, 2014 9:28 am

I don’t like the idea of a ceasefire … not just yet.

Yesterday I linked an article which stated that Ukie soldiers are abandoning their posts in droves … and heading back to Kiev, weapons and all …. and the mother of all Maidans may occur. Anything can happen. Maybe even worse Nazifuks will take over the government … crazy killerfuks like Right Sektor.

So, I would keep the battle going for another couple weeks before agreeing to a ceasefire. Not necessarily to kill Ukie soldiers … but to destroy, or capture, as many Nazi Ukie military assets as humanly possible. Make it so that any possible retaliatory attacks are impossible. Now is not the time to take the foot off the gas pedal.

What’s the worst that could happen? More sanctions? hahahaha

overthecliff
overthecliff
September 5, 2014 12:08 pm

Does anybody really believe the NATO states will commit actual combat forces in Ukraine? Does NATO actually have real combat forces other than the New World Orders cannon fodder Americans? Ukraine will be securely back into the Russian orbit soon. The NWO doesn`t have the capacity to fight the Russians in the Ukraine.

NATO is a toothless lion. It is only capable of half measures against uncivilized tribesmen ala Mussolini against Ethiopia. A real military like Russias scares the shit out of them.

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
September 5, 2014 12:45 pm

Hmmm…when I was single I looked at some of the Ukrainian ladies on one of the Russian ladies websites…fine looking gals .

I had a conversation with my son-in-law this week-end. He was repeating the MSM crap on Russia and the Ukraine. He had no clue as to Russian history etc. I asked if he’d ever read “The Charge Of The Light Brigrade ” ..he had but had no clue as to the area that the charge was fought. So I broke it down for him. He was speechless .

That’s the trouble with most mindless fuck in “Merica…..they repeat the mindless shit of the MSM

flash
flash
September 5, 2014 1:58 pm

interesting read here:

https://westernrifleshooters.wordpress.com/2014/09/04/a-view-from-a-professional-war-and-then-some-part-i/

A View From A Professional: War And Then Some – Part I

Subject: War and then some (Part I)

A new war that some are labeling WWIII is being discussed by pundits on a continuing basis as of late. In fact, so many articles are being written on the topic that it’s difficult to go a day without seeing a new version. Some are well done and have a good basis in fact. Others are meant to simply scare people into a mode of thought or reaction. Many miss the entire logic/strategy of warfare and oversimplify the outcomes.

In my thinking, a war of the magnitude being discussed will not leave the world a better place; far from it. But, I have been asked several times recently about my “take” on events and who could come out the victor. Honestly, I have difficulty choosing a victor in the war I see coming. No one will come through undefeated, unscarred and the survivors will be forever changed.

I will try to be as logical and unbiased as possible. Keeping it altruistic also keeps it realistic to my mind. To be sure, after nearly 40 years with DOD, I have my prejudices. Serving in and supporting several wars/conflicts during that time also moulds one’s thoughts.

I will wade into this grim topic this one time.

Joe
Joe
September 5, 2014 6:55 pm

30-40k!?! Seems unfathomable!

Bohdan Klid
Bohdan Klid
September 6, 2014 1:37 am

I am disappointed that anti-Americanism the Orwellian-style doublespeak that oozes from Mr. Saker is posted without critical commentary. If this is to be a site promoting Putin’s Eurasian dream, then so be it. But readers should be aware that Mr. Saker is simply a Russian ultranaltionalist masquerading as a fighter for freedom. The St. George ribbon he posts on his website is a symbol of the Russian empire. What has this to do with freedom? Nothing. With Russian nationalism and imperial might, everything. This symbol has now been rehabilitated by Vladimir Putin, that macho Mussolini-type intellectual midget, who is taking Russia to ruin by trying to resurrect the Russian empire. Those who read Russianand Ukrainian and who study seriously what is taking place see clearly that the Ukrainian revolution is basically a victory against corruption (toppling of Viktor Yanukovych, Putin’s stooge), against the Soviet Communist legacy (symbolized by the toppling of Lenin’s statues), and against imperial domination by Russia (symbolized by Ukraine’s move towards the EU). Ukraine has already won and Putin has lost, even though, as Putin stated, he could take the Ukrainian capital within two weeks. That is, he could occupy Ukraine, but he can now never defeat it, He has lost Ukraine. What you are seeing is an attempt by a gangster to hive off what he can get away with. I am not an apologist for the EU or the US, but there is such a thing as choosing between the lesser of the evils. In this imperfect, flawed, and unjust world, this is what Ukraine is doing. This is similar to what the founding fathers of America did in seeking an alliance with France against Great Britain during the war of the colonies for independence. Ukraine is seeking its independence and freedom from being a puppet state and colony of Russia. The war taking place now is its war for independence. Russia today is an ultranationalist, revanchist state. Russia’s main ideologist, Aleksandr Dugin, is a sick psychopath, who recently called for the physical destruction of Ukrainians, that is, genocide. The ultranationalists and fascists, Mr. Saker, are to be found in the Kremlin.

Homer
Homer
September 6, 2014 2:16 am

The only good thing that came out of Scientology was the ‘the third party rule’. When two parties can’t resolve their differences a third party is in there stirring the pot. There is a lot of third parties in this quagmire. The chief one, being US.

The goal in war is the complete annihilation of your enemies ability to engage in war without exception.
The USA’s goal in war is different, which is why we haven’t won a war since 1945. Watching the siege of Berlin and the downfall of the defenders with the horrible destruction of the city on a PBS documentary with actual footage is an eye opener to the horrors of war. Only mad men look to war.

Negotiations are good with real benefits for all if made with a contrite heart. If just a stalling tactic while hoping for a ‘Hail Mary’ victory as the goal, then it is in the interest of all to end it in defeat, which would be the inevitable outcome anyway. But, we are dealing with psychopaths so rationality is out of the question, I guess.

You truly have to be a God to love the human race as there is so much not to love. War is high on the list.

Homer
Homer
September 6, 2014 2:43 am

Buckhed—Don’t be too hard on you’re son in law. Nobody was born into this world knowing all the facts. We all learned it from others and our own experience, Nobody knows it all, although my wife is constantly says that I’m a big know it all.

Just keep informing the ignorant and get some learning along the way, too.

We are all on a journey. The goal isn’t the end of the journey, but the journey itself.

Stucky
Stucky
September 6, 2014 6:41 am

Well. it’s 6:30 Sat AM, and I’m getting ready to resume my basement paneling paint job.

I will be sticking my gloved hands inside some chemical goo to de-gloss the sheen on the paneling. It will also give off fumes.

I am happy for this. Hopefully, the chemical fumes will WASH OFF THE SHIT that’s in my brain after reading the post by Bohdan Klid.

Nonanonymous
Nonanonymous
September 6, 2014 8:02 am

I don’t think BK read the entire Saker article. He states there is another UA, the one not run by the oligarch.

So, BK and Saker have stated the same opinion. Oligarch bad, Russia bad. UA people, good, if they get a chance.

Estonia is claiming border and air space incursions by the Russians, as is Finland. Certainly, Russia should be stopped, but not to extend hegemony of the west. It’s the people of UA which need help, in an economy were criminal enterprise is the only form of work.

As the UA goes, so does the middle class everywhere. Where’s that hang man when you need him?

I hope the fumes clear Stucky’s head. I’ve got chores to do, too.