Bernanke Says “No Large Mispricings In US Securities”; These 5 Charts Say Otherwise

We all know Bennie is a financial guru. His foresight is unquestioned. He saved the world, don’t you know? His wisdom and ability to portend the future is unrivaled. Who could forget his previous market calls?

(October 20, 2005) “House prices have risen by nearly 25 percent over the past two years. Although speculative activity has increased in some areas, at a national level these price increases largely reflect strong economic fundamentals.”

(January 10, 2008) “The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.”

(March 28, 2007) “At this juncture, however, the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained. In particular, mortgages to prime borrowers and fixed-rate mortgages to all classes of borrowers continue to perform well, with low rates of delinquency.”

(July, 2005) “We’ve never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. So, what I think what is more likely is that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a bit. I don’t think it’s gonna drive the economy too far from its full employment path, though.”

(February 15, 2007) “Despite the ongoing adjustments in the housing sector, overall economic prospects for households remain good. Household finances appear generally solid, and delinquency rates on most types of consumer loans and residential mortgages remain low.”

(November 15, 2005) “With respect to their safety, derivatives, for the most part, are traded among very sophisticated financial institutions and individuals who have considerable incentive to understand them and to use them properly.”

(January 18, 2008) “[The U.S. economy] has a strong labor force, excellent productivity and technology, and a deep and liquid financial market that is in the process of repairing itself.”

(May 17, 2007) “All that said, given the fundamental factors in place that should support the demand for housing, we believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited, and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system. The vast majority of mortgages, including even subprime mortgages, continue to perform well. Past gains in house prices have left most homeowners with significant amounts of home equity, and growth in jobs and incomes should help keep the financial obligations of most households manageable.”

“The GSEs are adequately capitalized. They are in no danger of failing.”

(Two months before Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collapsed and were nationalized) “They will make it through the storm.”

(June 10, 2008) “The risk that the economy has entered a substantial downturn appears to have diminished over the past month or so.”

Tyler Durden's picture

Retired central banker, blogger, bond guru and hedge fund consultant Ben Bernanke just uttered the following total rubbish…

  • *BERNANKE: NO LARGE MISPRICINGS IN U.S. SECURITIES, ASSET PRICES

In an effort to save whoever it is that will pay him $250,000 next for these wise words, we offer five charts.

 

One of these things is not like the others…

 

nope, no mispricing there at all…

 

Almost imperceptible amount of mispricing here…

 

So now “relative” mispriings at all..

How about “absolute” mispricings?

Cyclically, even Yellen thinks stocks are expensive…

 

and the median stock has never been more expensive…

 

But apart from that – nope – no mispricing whatsoever.

*  *  *

Which is why it seems odd that Bernanke would conclude his speech with this statement:

  • *BERNANKE: HOW TO MANAGE ASSET PRICE DROP SCENARIO MORE CRUCIAL

Why would asset prices drop if they are not mispriced?

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3 Comments
Westcoaster
Westcoaster
May 25, 2015 4:16 pm

As they say over at ZH; Fuck you Bernanke!

taxSlave
taxSlave
May 25, 2015 5:16 pm

Bernak and Krugman in a circle jerk.

starfcker
starfcker
May 25, 2015 5:35 pm

How to run an economy, by ben bernanke. “First, I will counterfeit trillions of dollars out of thin air, and then give it to my friends, so they can buy up all the productive assets you peons used to own. Fuck you, america” (that’ll be $250,000.)