WHAT COULD GO WRONG?

Guest Post by Jesse

“But never a truth has been destroyed;
They may curse it, and call it crime;
Pervert and betray, or slander and slay
Its teachers for a time.
But the sunshine aye shall light the sky,
As round and round we run;
And the truth shall ever come uppermost,
And justice shall be done.”

Charles Mackay

A banquet of consequence is coming, but I am afraid that justice is taking a more circuitous route, thanks in large part to the credibility trap. And the masters of the feast never seem to be around to pick up the check for their revels.

Myron Scholes, of the Black-Scholes Risk Pricing Model, said in an interview from the Milken Conference this morning that stagflation is the most likely outcome for the economy.

Stagflation! And what did Myron suggest that people invest in to protect themselves? Gold and silver, among other hard assets. He thinks that stocks are due for a decline.

Stagflation is coming, so buy gold and silver to protect at least some of your wealth. Where have we heard that forecast before?

I think a forward thinking person, looking at the nature of the Fed’s serial policy errors and the economic abuses that the monied interests have been inflicting on the real economy for quite some time, could have seen this outcome coming some years ago.

And some did. But it is nice to see the models catching up. The only surprise is that it has gone on as long as it has. Never underestimate the venality of unscrupulous greed, and the power of thinking in herds.

And this comes a day after Ken Rogoff has suggested that the emerging markets invest their surpluses in the safety of gold! Which of course any but the most casual observer knows very well that they have been doing, and in size, for some time.

So there we have two major economic thinkers coming out for gold and silver as safe havens this week. One might be excused if they wonder if these are not statements being made ahead of some event to protect a sage’s derrière.

There is one major hurdle, however, to executing that strategy to protect yourself by buying precious metals, as depicted in a single chart of a key market factor below.


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8 Comments
Dutchman
Dutchman
May 5, 2016 11:02 am

Many people don’t understand that they don’t own any gold or silver – they simply own a contract to pay them (with paper money) the value of the investment.

YODA_bite me, you know who
YODA_bite me, you know who
May 5, 2016 11:05 am

Money and women – don’t trust anyone.
Gold/Silver must be in your possession.

Ouirphuqd
Ouirphuqd
May 5, 2016 11:20 am

The rules of real estate being “location, location, location”, the rules for precious metals are “tangible, tangible, tangible”. Nothing wrong there!

rhs jr
rhs jr
May 5, 2016 11:28 am

No problem: the counterfeit gold will be paid off in counterfeit paper. Investors get richer and Goy will pay for it all with inflation. Real PM money, Truth, The Constitution and Christ will be de facto illegal but every perversion, dope, and Elite Crime will be de facto legal. Trump is not perfect but voting for him is the only sane choice. I fear that if Americans vote in the demon Harpy for POTUS, God will kill us all in disgust “Like In Noah’s Day” with natural disasters.

Bea Lever
Bea Lever
May 5, 2016 11:40 am

If you can’t hold the metal in your hand , YOU DON’T OWN IT………period.

Fiatman60
Fiatman60
May 5, 2016 11:40 am

What could go wrong?

Everything….. Gold’s fine little romp these past couple of weeks, shows it’s true colors when the stock market took a wee tumble this past week, so to,… gold went with it.

That was the paper market folks… they at the same old, same old game, rigging the markets!!

Jake
Jake
May 5, 2016 1:13 pm

Gold has been the best performing asset for 2016 and for a bit more than the last decade. This is in spite of massive price capping by the unlimited issuance of naked short paper contracts.
To quote Ann Barnhardt regarding the paper vs physical question: “It isn’t yours unless you can stand in front of it with an AR-15.”

Bard of Bumperstickers
Bard of Bumperstickers
May 5, 2016 7:40 pm

Actually, NOTHING “is yours unless you can stand in front of it with an AR-15.” The first and only true human right is the ability to use lethal force, or the threat of it, to retain any claim to rights. To paraphrase the worst dictator of all time (so far), Mr. Mao: “Liberty flows from the barrel of a gun.”