You won’t see this chart on CNBC. Stocks lose again. They’ve been losing since 1999, but don’t worry. I’m sure they’ll win over the next ten years. The truth is that stocks, bonds, and gold are not undervalued today. The question is how overvalued they are. I believe bonds are extremely overvalued. I believe stocks are 30% to 40% overvalued. I believe gold will drop when stocks get hit in the next six months. I’d be a buyer after gold takes a 15% to 20% hit because we know Bernanke’s response to a stock market crash – print, print, print.
dd says:
when will you ever learn how to read charts?
show me 50 stocks that are overvalued and i’ll show you 50 stocks that are undervalued
i have made many thousands of dollars just in the past month picking winners. send me an email and i’ll show you my secrets.
it’s almost going to be embarassing to kick your ass again today. bring it on monkey.
Like or Dislike:
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15th August 2012 at 12:22 pm
FBD says:
We all lose.
Which grain of sand will bring down the entire system?
——
The Story of Sand.
Consider a pile of sand. If you drop one grain of sand on top of this pile every second, the pile will continue to grow in the shape of a cone. The general shape, size, and growth of this cone is fairly easy to model as a function of the rate at which new sand grains are added, the size and shape of the grains, and the number of grains in the pile.
The pile retains its shape because occasionally a new grain of sand will trigger an avalanche which causes some number of grains to slide down the side of the cone into new positions.
These avalanches are chaotic. It is nearly impossible to predict if the next grain of sand will cause an avalanche, where that avalanche will occur on the pile, how many grains of sand will be involved in the event, and so on.
However, the aggregate behavior of avalanches can be modeled statistically with some accuracy.
For example, you can reasonably predict the frequency of avalanche events of different sizes.
The avalanches are caused when the impact of a new grain of sand is sufficient to dislodge some group of sand grains. If that group is dislodged then its motion may be sufficient to cause a cascade failure in some neighboring groups, while other groups that are nearby may be strong enough to absorb the energy of the event without being disturbed.
Each group of sand grains can be thought of as a sub-system with its own state, and each sub-system can be made up of other sub-systems, and so on. In this way you can imagine the sand pile as a complex system made up of sub-systems ultimately made up of individual grains of sand (yet another sub-system).
Each of these sub-systems are more or less likely to suffer a cascade failure. Those that are likely to fail and reorganize can be said to be in a critical state. Put another way, the likelihood that any particular sub-system will fail (or experience a particular event) can be called its criticality.
Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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15th August 2012 at 12:41 pm
Administrator says:
FBD
I can see IP addresses.
Nice try.
Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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15th August 2012 at 1:50 pm
Stan says:
Get out of the market while the gettin is good.
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15th August 2012 at 1:54 pm
ThePessimisticChemist says:
“i have made many thousands of dollars just in the past month picking winners. send me an email and i’ll show you my secrets.”
Gave it away right here.
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15th August 2012 at 1:58 pm
dd says:
Admin
for every IP address you can see, I can post 10 IP addresses you can’t see
goddammit, i can’t stop myself. somebody help me.
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1
15th August 2012 at 2:18 pm
Administrator says:
You will always be chief shit stirrer on TBP.
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15th August 2012 at 2:23 pm
ThePessimisticChemist says:
FBD hard at work:
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15th August 2012 at 2:39 pm
dd says:
that was not me about the IP adresses, i had to look up the term.
super douche move.
i am happy that some ahole thumbs downed me but only it wasn’t me.
ha, the only loser bigger than the false poster is the loser who thumbed it down. ha.
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15th August 2012 at 2:44 pm
Administrator says:
dd
Dopple ganging is the highest form of flattery on TBP. You’ve made it into the club.
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15th August 2012 at 2:45 pm
Colma Rising says:
Dd gets a doppel-treat, the pissy C has mastered Google-Fu.
My benevolent work is almost done here.
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15th August 2012 at 3:54 pm
ThePessimisticChemist says:
Combine the two and you get Colma Rising.
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15th August 2012 at 4:02 pm
ecliptix543 says:
That can’t be right… neither of those two are illegal Mexicans. That can’t be Colma.
Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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15th August 2012 at 7:29 pm
Colma Rising says:
I ham heeer por de gonstrugchon yobs.
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15th August 2012 at 7:35 pm
Llpoh says:
Combine a pic of a fat skank with viagra and you get Colma Rising. Come to think of it, you don’t need the Viagra.
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15th August 2012 at 8:05 pm
Colma's Girlfriend says:
Llpoh – Colma couldn’t get it up with a forklift and a gross of Viagra.
Excuse me while I check to see if any of the Admin”s sponsors sell vibrators.
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15th August 2012 at 8:21 pm
AWD says:
Colma’s girlfriend:
Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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15th August 2012 at 8:34 pm
Colma's Girlfriend says:
AWD – that is not me! When I wear a bikini you cannot see my snatch because by belly covers it up.
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15th August 2012 at 10:38 pm
The Real Colma Rising says:
Which one of you old farts gets the gaggin’ first?
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15th August 2012 at 12:42 am