MOST BOOMERS ARE UP SHIT’S CREEK WITHOUT A PADDLE

60 comments

Posted on 27th February 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , ,

The average retirement balance of all workers is $77,000. The median is much lower, as the highly paid employees have large balances. This is pitiful enough, but looking at the balances for 55 to 64 year olds is frightening. The chart below captures a future of cat food and Oodles of Noodles for millions of Boomers. No wonder they will never vote to reduce entitlements. There really is no excuse for this pitiful level of savings at their age. A 60 year old was born in 1953. They turned 27 years old in 1980 at the outset of a 20 year bull market. Anyone who contributed regularly to a 401k from 1980 until today should have hundreds of thousands accumulated. Instead you have 60% of all 55 to 64 year olds with less than $72,000 of retirement savings.

These people have a life expectancy of 20 years and many will only get $15,000 to $20,000 per year from Social Security, with increases that will be less than the true inflation rate. Meanwhile, their real estate taxes, food costs, energy costs, and health care costs go up by 5% per year or more. They can earn about $600 of interest per year on a $120,000 retirement account balance. They can’t expect more than 3% real annual stock market gains over the next ten years, with a couple of plunges mixed in for good measure.

I hope Boomers weren’t counting on the idyllic retirement they see on those Wall Street banker commercials. The only ones having an idyllic retirement are the bankers.

 

MY CAT SEEMS TO LIKE IT. MAYBE BOOMERS WILL LIKE IT TOO

 

INCOMPREHENSIBLE

104 comments

Posted on 28th April 2012 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , ,

When I read stories like the one below and the information about how much people have saved for their retirement, I’m flabbergasted by the delusional, utterly ridiculous behavior of American consumers. We know for a FACT that 60% of all workers in the country have less than $25,000 of total savings. Many have absolutely nothing saved. Even better, over 25% of all 401k participants have borrowed against their 401k plan as of the end of 2010. This data is for people with jobs. How about the 88 million people who aren’t in the labor market? I wonder how much savings they have. In order to retire at 65 and live above the poverty line, people need to have saved at least a couple hundred thousand dollars. Those who retired in the 1980s and 1990s had equity in their homes, many had defined benefit pensions, and could rely on Social Security and their savings.

Today you have 55 year old people with $25,000 of liquid assets earning .15%, underwater homes, no pension plans, and $15,000 of credit card debt. They cannot afford to retire. They will stay in the labor market until the day they die. This is not good news for the Millenials.

What I find incomprehensible is that Americans ramped up their spending in the 1st quarter of 2012 and their savings rate in back at a four year low of 3.9%. With the data about retirement savings being so pitiful consumers SHOULD BE saving 10% of their disposable income like they did in the early 1980s. Going further into debt in order to enjoy going out to dinner two times per week is about the stupidest thing anyone could do. And our leaders, media and Ivy League trained economists actually encourage this delusional foolish behavior. Can this many Americans be this stupid? What are they thinking? Are they counting on the government to come to their rescue when they are 75 years old, broke, homeless, and begging?

I find myself shaking my head and talking to myself when I see this data and watch the behavior of the majority. We’re surely doomed.   

Delaying retirement: 80 is the new 65

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — A quarter of middle-class Americans are now so pessimistic about their savings that they are planning to delay retirement until they are at least 80 years old — two years longer than the average person is even expected to live.

It sounds depressing, but for many it’s a necessity. On average, Americans have only saved a mere 7% of the retirement nest egg they were hoping to build, according to Wells Fargo’s latest retirement survey that polled 1,500 middle-class Americans.

While respondents (whose ages ranged from 20 to 80) had median savings of only $25,000, their median retirement savings goal was $350,000. And 30% of people in their 60s — right around the traditional retirement age of 65 — that were surveyed had saved less than $25,000 for retirement.

As a result, many people aren’t in a hurry to quit their day jobs.

Three-fourths of middle-class Americans expect to work throughout retirement. And this includes the 25% of Americans who say they will “need to work until at least age 80″ before being able to retire comfortably.

The 2012 Retirement Confidence Survey: Job Insecurity, Debt Weigh on Retirement Confidence, Savings

March 2012 EBRI Issue Brief #369 Paperback, 36 pp. PDF, 1,585 kb Employee Benefit Research Institute,  2012

Download Issue Brief PDF

Executive Summary

  • Americans’ confidence in their ability to retire comfortably is stagnant at historically low levels. Just 14 percent are very confident they will have enough money to live comfortably in retirement (statistically equivalent to the low of 13 percent measured in 2011 and 2009).
  • Employment insecurity looms large: Forty-two percent identify job uncertainty as the most pressing financial issue facing most Americans today.
  • Worker confidence about having enough money to pay for medical expenses and long-term care expenses in retirement remains well below their confidence levels for paying basic expenses.
  • Many workers report they have virtually no savings and investments. In total, 60 percent of workers report that the total value of their household’s savings and investments, excluding the value of their primary home and any defined benefit plans, is less than $25,000.
  • Twenty-five percent of workers in the 2012 Retirement Confidence Survey say the age at which they expect to retire has changed in the past year. In 1991, 11 percent of workers said they expected to retire after age 65, and by 2012 that has grown to 37 percent.
  • Regardless of those retirement age expectations, and consistent with prior RCS findings, half of current retirees surveyed say they left the work force unexpectedly due to health problems, disability, or changes at their employer, such as downsizing or closure.
  • Those already in retirement tend to express higher levels of confidence than current workers about several key financial aspects of retirement.
  • Retirees report they are significantly more reliant on Social Security as a major source of their retirement income than current workers expect to be.
  • Although 56 percent of workers expect to receive benefits from a defined benefit plan in retirement, only 33 percent report that they and/or their spouse currently have such a benefit with a current or previous employer.
  • More than half of workers (56 percent) report they and/or their spouse have not tried to calculate how much money they will need to have saved by the time they retire so that they can live comfortably in retirement.
  • Only a minority of workers and retirees feel very comfortable using online technologies to perform various tasks related to financial management. Relatively few use mobile devices such as a smart phone or tablet to manage their finances, and just 10 percent say they are comfortable obtaining advice from financial professionals online.

401K STATEMENT

7 comments

Posted on 3rd October 2011 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

Within the next few weeks average Americans are going to be receiving their quarterly 401k statements in the mail. Most people are oblivious to the daily gyrations of the stock market and they don’t even know the percentage of their retirement savings is invested in stocks. They will get an eye opener when they see the 14% decline in their retirement wealth in just 3 months.

BOOMERS COULDN’T GET ENOUGH MEW SO THEY TURN TO REW

14 comments

Posted on 18th May 2011 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , ,

Image

Another fascinating tale of Boomer mismanagement of their finances. To be fair, Gen X seems to have committed the same faux paux. Between 2000 and 2008 Americans sucked $3 trillion of mortgage “equity” out of their houses and spent it on cars, vacations, TVs, appliances, home theaters, plastic surgery, granite countertops, pools, more vacations, etc. They lived the lifestyle of the rich and famous. Fast forward to 2011 and there is no equity left in their houses. The housing ATM is out of order.

What is a good Boomer to do? You guessed it. Raid your 401k. The story below details the sad plight of the delusional American. They have an average 401k balance of $40,000 and 28% are borrowing against that balance. Click the link to the report to see the sordid details. Where is personal responsibility and preparing for the future in this story? Anyone who enters retirement with $40,000 of savings is in for a long hard slog. I hope they like the taste of dog food.

Is REW the new MEW? (Retirement Equity Withdrawal)

by CalculatedRisk on 5/18/2011 10:50:00 AM

Reader “Soylent Green is People” asks if Retirement Equity Withdrawal is replacing Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) for those in need?

Borrowing from retirement accounts has definitely increased. From CNBC two weeks ago: More Americans Raiding Retirement Funds Early

… 19 percent of Americans — including 17 percent of full-time workers — have been compelled to take money from their retirement savings in the last year to cover urgent financial needs, the Financial Security Index found.

And from a new study by Aon Hewitt: Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and Cashouts Are Eroding Retirement Income Note: “DC” is Defined Contribution – like a 401(k) plan.

As of year-end 2010, nearly 28% of active participants had a loan outstanding, which is a record high. Nearly 14% of participants initiated new loans during 2010, slightly higher than previous years. The average balance of the outstanding amount was $7,860, which represented 21% of these participants’ total plan assets.

Hmmm … $7,860 is 21% of total assets? That means the average total balance is less than $40,000 for participants who borrow from a DC plan.

Also – check out page 4 of the Aon Hewitt study. The 2nd graph shows that 32.8% of participants in the 40 to 49 age cohort have DC loans, and 29.0% in the 50 to 59 age cohort have loans. These people have next to nothing in their retirement plans and most will probably have to rely on Social Security if they ever retire.

Note: Politicians are trying to limit this borrowing, from Bloomberg: Senate Bill Would Limit Using 401(k)s as Rainy-Day Funds

My feeling is REW isn’t really the new MEW. The size is much smaller, and this borrowing is much more need related as opposed to buying bigger toys, or being used for home improvement. But as “Soylent Green is People” suggested in his email to me, this reliance on REW is “an indicator of financial peril”.

BOOMERS ARE SOOO SCREEEWED

66 comments

Posted on 27th December 2010 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, ,

The article below paints a pretty bleak picture, but it is much worse. The median account balance for ALL 401(k) participants (based on a sample of six million plan participants in the database of 24 million) was a mere $12,655. The chart below shows how unprepared Boomers are for retirement. The overwhelming majority of Americans make less than $80,000 per year. Their median 401k balances are less than $160,000 even in their 60′s. There are 10,000 people per day who will turn 65 for the next 19 years. Their delusional spend today and not worry about the future attitudes are about to be smacked off their smug faces. They are so screwed.

When you combine these facts with the info from John Hussman that stocks will return less than 3% over the next ten years, you have an absolute disaster for Boomers. 401k plan investments will not grow. Pension plans will be further underfunded as their assumptions are based on 8% to 10% annual returns. This is a perfect storm for the shallowest, most foolish generation in the history of mankind. It couldn’t happen to a more deserving bunch of delusional numbskulls.

Salary Range 50sMedian Account Balance 60sMedian

Account

Balance

PercentDecline
$20,000 – $40,000 $76,788 $64,147 16.46%
$40,000 – $60,000 $99,932 $97,588 2.35%
$60,000- $80,000 $163,935 $160,051 2.37%
$80,000 – $100,000 $243,382 $237,303 2.50%
More than $100,000 $367,413 $350,576 4.58

Baby boomers near 65 with retirements in jeopardy

By DAVE CARPENTER, AP
news-national-20101227-US.Retirement.Crisis 

CHICAGO — Through a combination of procrastination and bad timing, many baby boomers are facing a personal finance disaster just as they’re hoping to retire. Starting in January, more than 10,000 baby boomers a day will turn 65, a pattern that will continue for the next 19 years.

 

The boomers, who in their youth revolutionized everything from music to race relations, are set to redefine retirement. But a generation that made its mark in the tumultuous 1960s now faces a crisis as it hits its own mid-60s.

“The situation is extremely serious because baby boomers have not saved very effectively for retirement and are still retiring too early,” says Olivia Mitchell, director of the Boettner Center for Pensions and Retirement Research at the University of Pennsylvania.

There are several reasons to be concerned:

_ The traditional pension plan is disappearing. In 1980, some 39 percent of private-sector workers had a pension that guaranteed a steady payout during retirement. Today that number stands closer to 15 percent, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute in Washington, D.C.

_ Reliance on stocks in retirement plans is greater than ever; 42 percent of those workers now have 401(k)s. But the past decade has been a lost one for stocks, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 index posting total returns of just 4 percent since the beginning of 2000.

_ Many retirees banked on their homes as their retirement fund. But the crash in housing prices has slashed almost a third of a typical home’s value. Now 22 percent of homeowners, or nearly 11 million people, owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth. Many are boomers.

Michael Vanatta, 61, of Vero Beach, Fla., is paying the price for being a boomer who enjoyed life without saving for the future. He put a daughter through college, but he also spent plenty of money on indulgences like dining out and the latest electronic gadgets.

Vanatta was laid off last January from his $100,000-a-year job as a sales executive for a turf company. And with savings of just $5,000, he’s on a budget for the first time. In April, he will start taking Social Security at age 62.

“If I’d been smarter and planned and had the bucks, I’d wait until 70,” says Vanatta, who is divorced and rents an apartment. “It’s my fault. For years I was making plenty of money and spending plenty of money.”

Vanatta is in the majority. Some 51 percent of early boomer households, headed by those ages 55 to 64, face a retirement with lower living standards, according to a 2009 study by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.

Too many boomers have ignored or underestimated the worsening outlook for their finances, says Jean Setzfand, director of financial security for AARP, the group that represents Americans over age 50. By far the greatest shortcoming has been a failure to save. The personal savings rate — the amount of disposable income unspent — averaged close to 10 percent in the 1970s and `80s. By late 2007, the rate had sunk to negative 1 percent.

The recession has helped improve the savings rate — it’s now back above 5 percent. Yet typical boomers are still woefully short on retirement savings. Even those in their 50s and 60s with a 401(k) for at least six years had an average balance of less than $150,000 at the end of 2009, according to the EBRI.

Signs of coming trouble are visible on several other fronts, too:

_ Mortgage Debt. Nearly two in three people age 55 to 64 had a mortgage in 2007, with a median debt of $85,000.

_ Social Security. Nearly 3 out of 4 people file to claim Social Security benefits as soon as they’re eligible at age 62. That locks them in at a much lower amount than they would get if they waited.

The monthly checks are about 25 percent less if you retire at 62 instead of full retirement age, which is 66 for those born from 1943 to 1954. If you wait until 70, your check can be 75 to 80 percent more than at 62. So, a boomer who claimed a $1,200 monthly benefit in 2008 at age 62 could have received about $2,000 by holding off until 70.

_ Medical Costs. Health care expenses are soaring, and the availability of retiree benefits is declining.

“People cannot fathom how much money will be needed to simply cover out-of-pocket medical care costs,” says Mitchell of the University of Pennsylvania.

A 55-year-old man with typical drug expenses needs to have about $187,000 just to cover future medical costs. That’s if he wants to be 90 percent certain to have enough money to supplement Medicare coverage in retirement, the EBRI said. Because of greater longevity, a 65-year-old woman would need even more to cover her health insurance premiums and out-of-pocket health expenses: an estimated $213,000.

_ Employment. Boomers both need and want to work longer than previous generations. But unemployment is near 10 percent, and many have lost their jobs.

The average unemployment period for those 55 and older was 45 weeks in November. That’s 12 weeks longer than for younger job-seekers. It’s also more than double the 20-week period this group faced at the beginning of the recession in December 2007.

If financial neglect turns out to be many boomers’ undoing, challenging circumstances are stymieing others.

Linda Reaves of Silver Spring, Md., never had much opportunity to save as a single mother raising two sons and a daughter. After holding a variety of positions over the years — hotel office manager, research analyst for a mortgage company, hospital mental health counselor — she was still living paycheck to paycheck. Then she was laid off in 2007 at the age of 57.

She entered a training program to learn new skills, but all she has found since is a string of temporary jobs. In her daily quest for clerical or administrative work, she competes against much younger applicants.

Reaves, who turns 60 this month, plans to work until she’s at least 70 and then wants to travel, even if she doesn’t know where the money will come from.

“I just keep going. I don’t really worry about it,” she says.

Add this all up, and there’s a “slow-burning” retirement crisis for boomers, says Anthony Webb, a research economist at the Center for Retirement Research.

“If you have a crisis where the adverse consequences are immediately clear, then people understand that they have to do something,” Webb says. “When the consequences will be felt 20 or 30 years in the future, the temptation is that we kick the can down the road.”

As a result, he believes many won’t change their behavior.

For less affluent boomers, it won’t take that long to feel the pain of poor planning. Concerns about financial trouble will hang over many of those 65th birthday celebrations in 2011.

Many seem to view their plight through rose-colored granny glasses. An AARP survey last month of boomers turning 65 next year found that they worry no more about money than they did at age 60 — before the recession or the collapse of home prices. But in an acknowledgement of reality, 40 percent said they plan to work “until I drop.”