IF AUTO SALES ARE BOOMING WHY ARE GM PROFITS PLUNGING?

7 comments

Posted on 2nd May 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , ,

Yesterday all of the automakers reported April auto sales to great fanfare. GM sales were up 11% over  last year. Their YTD unit sales are up 10%. The MSM has been touting the “strong” auto sales as proof the economy is recovering and consumers are flush with cash again from those non-existent jobs. If auto sales at GM are booming at double digit rates, why did their profit plunge by 14% in the 1st quarter? Inquiring minds want to know. Something doesn’t pass the smell test.

Here is a link to the results GM reported today:

http://media.gm.com/content/dam/Media/gmcom/investor/2013/q1/2013-Q1-Financial-Highlights.pdf

Here are my comments/questions:

  • How pitiful is it that a company with $36.3 billion in sales can only manage a $865 million profit? A 2.4% profit margin is a joke, especially after the American taxpayer ate their debt in their illegal reorganization.
  • If their reported unit sales are up 10%, how did they manage to report 3% less revenue?
  • Even though the MSM is reporting an auto recovery, GM managed to make $139 million less profit than 2012. This couldn’t be due to channel stuffing.
  • Evidently GM is selling more cars for a lot less money. So let me get this straight. GM is stuffing inventory down the throats of its dealers. It is offering massive incentives to move its trucks. It is using Ally Financial to dole out subprime auto loans to 45% of the “purchasers” of their vehicles. And this constitutes an auto recovery.
  • The good old balance sheet tells an interesting story. Even though revenue is falling, Accounts receivable surged by 20% in three months. GM wouldn’t be helping its dealers finance their bloated inventory, would they?
  • The supposedly strong GM has $34 BILLION of pension and benefit liabilities on its books and only $38 billion of equity. Yeah, that will work out just fine.

GM’s results reveals that the MSM bullshit about a strong auto market is just another tired propaganda storyline. The auto sales are being generated by bad loans to deadbeats and huge incentives by the automakers that guarantee a loss on just about every car sold. Sounds like a great business plan.

 

GM Reports First Quarter Net Income of $0.9 Billion

DETROIT – General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) today announced first quarter net income attributable to common stockholders of $0.9 billion, or $0.58 per fully diluted share. These results include a net loss from special items that reduced net income by $0.2 billion, or $0.09 per fully diluted share.

In the first quarter of 2012, GM’s net income attributable to common stockholders was $1.0 billion, or $0.60 per fully diluted share, including a net loss from special items of $0.6 billion or $0.33 per share.

Net revenue in the first quarter of 2013 was $36.9 billion, compared to $37.8 billion in the first quarter of 2012. Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) adjusted was $1.8 billion, compared to $2.2 billion the first quarter of 2012. First quarter EBIT-adjusted results for 2013 include the impact of $0.1 billion in restructuring costs.

“The year is off to a solid start as we increased our global share with strong new products that are attracting customers around the world,” said Dan Akerson, GM chairman and CEO. “In addition, we saw progress in Europe thanks to strong cost actions and great vehicles like the Opel Adam and Mokka.”

GM Results Overview (in billions except for per share amounts)

  Q1 2013 Q1 2012
Revenue $36.9    $37.8   
Net income attributable to common stockholders $0.9    $1.0   
Earnings per share (EPS) fully diluted $0.58  $0.60 
Impact of special items on EPS fully diluted $(0.09) $(0.33)
     
EBIT-adjusted $1.8    $2.2   
     
Automotive net cash flow from operating activities $0.5    $2.3   
Adjusted automotive free cash flow $(1.3)   $0.3   

 

Segment Results

Beginning this quarter, the company will report segment revenues and profits based on the geographic region in which a vehicle is sold. Previously, segment results included the impacts of inter-segment sales and profits. Prior year segment results have been reclassified so all information is shown on a comparable basis. Financial results for Chevrolet Europe continue to be recorded in GM International Operations. Consolidated results are unaffected by this change.

  • GM North America reported EBIT-adjusted of $1.4 billion, compared with $1.6 billion in the first quarter of 2012.
  • GM Europe reported an EBIT-adjusted of $(0.2) billion, compared with $(0.3) billion in the first quarter of 2012.
  • GM International Operations reported EBIT-adjusted of $0.5 billion, compared with $0.5 billion in the first quarter of 2012.
  • GM South America broke even on an EBIT-adjusted basis, compared with EBIT-adjusted of $0.2 billion in the first quarter of 2012.
  • GM Financial earnings before tax was $0.2 billion for the quarter, compared to $0.2 billion in the first quarter of 2012.

Cash Flow and Liquidity

For the quarter, automotive cash flow from operating activities was $0.5 billion and automotive free cash flow adjusted was $(1.3) billion. The change in year-over-year cash flow was primarily the result of lower earnings and a series of timing-related items that GM expects to reverse during the balance of the year.

I’M SHOCKED, I TELL YOU, SHOCKED!!!

11 comments

Posted on 18th April 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , , , ,

Can you believe there has been gambling going on here? The brilliant PhDs at the Federal Reserve have concluded that if you load $1 trillion of student loan debt on the backs of millions of young people who drop out of college because they shouldn’t have been there in the first place or can’t find a job in African Studies or Lesbian Studies with their liberal arts degree, they aren’t able to buy cars or homes. Shocking!!!

This is government policy at its finest. The morons in Washington DC never see the unintended consequences of their actions. The began to dole out student loans by the billions in 2009. Obama and his minions did this to artificially lower the unemployment rate. A student doesn’t count as unemployed. Half the kids in college aren’t academically talented enough to be in college. But they were dumb enough to go into debt up to their eyeballs. A dumbass with $100,000 in student loan debt is the ultimate subprime risk.

Student loan debt delinquencies are already skyrocketing. Millions of young people will se their credit ratings destroyed, making it impossible to get a car loan or home loan from a legitimate lender. Of course, they can always get a car loan from Ally Financial (80% owned by Obama) because the Feds don’t care about getting repaid. The bill will just be passed to you.

The Washington political hacks and the government drones averted a short term public relations problem by dishonestly lowering the unemployment rate, but have created a much worse long-term problem. They have enslaved millions of young people in debt for years. These young people will not be able to form households and buy new cars. This disrupts the entire economic system that requires move up buyers to keep the real estate market going. The liberal Keynesian stooges have gambled and lost again. I’m shocked, I tell you, shocked!!!

 

Those with student loans now less likely to own homes and cars, study finds

April 17, 2013, 4:04 PM

From 2003 to 2009, the homeownership rate for thirty-year-olds with student loans was higher than for those without. That makes some sense — those with student loans have higher levels of education, on average, and therefore higher income.

But a New York Fed study by Meta Brown and Sydnee Caldwell now finds the situation has reversed. By 2012, the homeownership rate for student debtors was almost 2 percentage points lower than that of nonstudent debtors. Vehicle ownership also has flipped, so that nonstudent debtors on average are more likely to own a car.

What’s going on? The New York Fed suspects it’s lenders who have tightened their underwriting standards. “By 2012, the average score for twenty-five-year-old nonborrowers is 15 points above that for student borrowers, and the average score for thirty-year-old nonborrowers is 24 points above that for student borrowers,” the New York Fed finds.

The trend has important implications, the authors say, with student loans now the second most prevalent form of debt in America, only behind mortgages. “While highly skilled young workers have traditionally provided a vital influx of new, affluent consumers to U.S. housing and auto markets, unprecedented student debt may dampen their influence in today’s marketplace,” they said.

– Steve Goldstein

IF AUTO SALES ARE BOOMING THEN WHY……..

5 comments

Posted on 2nd April 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , , , ,

GM and Ford reported “strong” sales for March, up 6.4% and 5.7% respectively. The current annual rate of auto sales has “surged” to 15.2 million. Last year sales rose to 14.5 million from only 12.7 million in 2011. This sure sounds like a tremendous recovery led by great new models from our “saved” GM and wonderful iconic Ford Motors. The MSM was crowing about the results today, except the details tell a different story. GM’s car sales FELL 3% in March. The surge in sales was due to fleet sales going up 12%. It couldn’t possibly be the Federal government buying vehicles, could it? Cadillac sales surged as subprime loans in West Philly to the FSA reached record levels. There were 1,478 Volts sold in the whole country – so there will be 15.2 million vehicles sold in the country and the Obama Volt will account for less than 20,000 of these sales or .0013 of all car sales. Ford car sales FELL 0.2%. Their increase was also driven by fleet sales and truck sales. How dense is the average American? Gasoline prices are above $4.00 per gallon in many cities and they continue to buy low gas mileage trucks and SUVs.

The auto market is completely dependent upon 7 year 0% financing for good credits and subprime lending for 45% of sales and this is all they can achieve?

If sales have been so awesome for the last two years, why are their stocks and their profits in decline? Inquiring minds want to know.

If auto sales were 12.7 million in 2011 and they are pacing at 15.2 million in 2013, why has GM stock dropped from $38 to $28, a 26% decline? I thought Obama saved GM and they were doing awesome. Vehicle sales are up 20% since 2011 and GM still managed to earn $3 billion less in 2012 than they earned in 2011. This doesn’t even take into account the massive channel stuffing that has artificially boosted their sales figures.

It seems that selling vehicles to your dealers and to deadbeats through Ally Financial doesn’t generate profits. But who needs profits when a storyline will do.

 

Chart forGeneral Motors Company (GM)

 

If Ford Motor is doing so well why is their stock at $13 today when it was at $19 in 2011? For the math challenged, that is a 32% drop when auto sales are up 20% since 2011. Is the MSM reporting that Ford sales dropped by $2 billion in 2012 and their net income from operations dropped by $1 billion? Are we really having a strong auto recovery if the two biggest US automakers are making significantly less profit?

Chart forFord Motor Co. (F)

The MSM is not in the truth business. They are in the propaganda business. The storyline of auto recovery is false. The reported sales increases are due to channel stuffing and easy money from Bennie. The 45% of sales from subprime loans will bite the taxpayer in the ass when Ally Financial reports billions in losses over the next few years. You own Ally Financial. So it goes.

 

THE RECOVERY STORYLINE IS BULLSHIT

22 comments

Posted on 6th January 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , , ,

How could an economy that is 70% dependent upon Americans to drive their cars to malls and buy shit be in a recovery if gasoline usage has been plunging for the last four years? Petroleum usage is at the same level as 1996. All the Chinese shit has to be shipped by truck to all the dying big box retailers. The MSM pundits always have a storyline to sell. They try to convince the ignorant masses that the decline in the labor force is due to Boomers retiring early. Of course the data shows the over 55 workers soaring to record highs, obliterating that false storyline. Now they peddle the storyline that plunging fuel usage is due to vehicles getting better gas mileage as mandated by the Obamanistas. That sounds awesome and very green. It must be the millions of Volts being sold.  

The storyline is obliterated by the facts reported below. The MSM was touting the fantastic auto recovery, with 14.5 million vehicles peddled to the masses with 7 year 0% loans to subprime level borrowers. I guess everyone is buying small fuel efficient cars getting 35 mpg and resulting in the plunge in gasoline usage. One little problem with this storyline. It is complete and utter bullshit. It seems 49% of the vehicles sold were pickup trucks, SUVs, minivans and crossovers. Small energy efficient cars accounted for only 19% of all the vehicles sold in the U.S. The storyline about fuel efficiency sounds great, but the average MPG of all the vehicles in the U.S. is 18 mpg. Three of the top five selling vehicles in the U.S. in December were the Ford F Pickup (19 MPG), Chevrolet Silverado (15 MPG), and Dodge Ram Pickup (16 MPG).     

Segment totals, ranked by Dec unit sales
Dec 2012 % Chg from Dec’11 YTD 2012 % Chg from YTD 2011
Cars 648,316 15.4 7,414,282 18.8
   Midsize 286,448 3.4 3,588,099 17.6
   Small 250,982 32.3 2,781,860 26.8
   Luxury 110,094 18.3 1,035,189 11.6
   Large 792 -50.6 9,134 -86.6
Light-duty trucks 707,682 3.7 7,077,591 8.3
   Pickup 204,683 0.8 1,941,567 6.7
   Cross-over 291,176 9.3 2,998,723 9.3
   Minivan 74,547 -6.5 833,468 13.5
   Midsize SUV 72,185 7.2 708,527 9.3
   Large SUV 29,157 -1.5 237,550 -9.1
   Small SUV 16,774 -1.6 197,265 13.4
   Luxury SUV 19,160 0.6 160,491 2.3
Total SUV/Cross-over 428,452 7.3 4,302,556 8.0
Total SUV 137,276 3.2 1,303,833 5.1
Total Cross-over 291,176 9.3 2,998,723 9.3

http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-autosales.html

The storyline from the Obamanistas is that his fuel economy policies and green initiatives have resulted in the reduced consumption. He wouldn’t want to tout the Obama Depression as the real reason. The Obama Volt had sales of 23,000 even though GM offered leases at $289 per month, generating a huge loss per lease. Plus you the taxpayer provided $7,500 per Volt given away. Half the sales were in California, land of the delusional. The storyline about GM being saved by Obama and doing well is also false. Their market share has plunged from 19.6% in 2011 to 17.9% in 2012, even as they utilize Ally Financial to dole out subprime loans to deadbeats and channel stuff inventory. Ford’s market share also fell from 16.8% to 15.5%. Does this jive with a storyline of success?  

With this huge drop in consumption and the Obama touted Bakken Oil Boom, we most certainly paid the lowest price for gas in years. Not quite. We paid the highest average price for a gallon of gas in the history of the country. We beat the previous record set in 2011. Who says Obama hasn’t set any records? You may have noticed the 10 cent rise in the last few weeks as we get set for a new record in 2013. The energy independence storyline is already getting a little long in the tooth as the myopic MSM pundits seem to have foregotten the rest of the world uses oil and it is a fungible commodity whose price will be set at the margin. And that margin will go relentlessly higher even as our progressing depression deepens.   

The recovery storyline will continue to be peddled to the masses by the MSM and the Obamanistas. As the payroll tax increase further impoverishes the middle and lower class workers and the full negative impact of Obamacare crushes small businesses, even the bubble headed blondes on CNBC and Fox will get it. Maybe not.

PONDERING THOSE “GREAT” AUTO SALES

15 comments

Posted on 11th April 2012 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

, , , , , , ,

You gotta love these stories. The lady in this article sums it up perfectly:

“Even I wouldn’t make a loan to me at this point.”

But that isn’t stopping Ally Financial and the rest of the Wall Street slimeball banks from dishing out car loans and credit cards to anyone with a pulse. There is no doubt in my mind that these banks are doing this because Bernanke and Obama have told them to do so. The Fed has let them know they have their back. When these loans go bad the Federal Reserve will step in and buy up the bad debt and hide it on their balance sheet. This is the plan stan. It will not work. The brand new cars all over West Philly will be repossesed in the next 24 months and the bad debt will skyrocket. And you will be picking up the tab. Again.

 Lenders Again Dealing Credit to Risky Clients

By JESSICA SILVER-GREENBERG and
Published: April 10, 2012

Annette Alejandro just emerged from bankruptcy and doesn’t have a job, and her car was repossessed last year. Still, after spending her days job hunting, she returns to her apartment in Brooklyn where, in disbelief, she sorts through the piles of credit card and auto loan offers that have come in the mail.

“Even I wouldn’t make a loan to me at this point,” Ms. Alejandro said.

In the depths of the financial crisis, borrowers with tarnished credit like Ms. Alejandro were almost entirely shut out by traditional lenders. It was hard enough for people with stellar credit to get loans.

But as financial institutions recover from the losses on loans made to troubled borrowers, some of the largest lenders to the less than creditworthy, including Capital One and GM Financial, are trying to woo them back, while HSBC and JPMorgan Chase are among those tiptoeing again into subprime lending.

Credit card lenders gave out 1.1 million new cards to borrowers with damaged credit in December, up 12.3 percent from the same month a year earlier, according to Equifax’s credit trends report released in March. These borrowers accounted for 23 percent of new auto loans in the fourth quarter of 2011, up from 17 percent in the same period of 2009, Experian, a credit scoring firm, said.

Consumer advocates and lawyers worry that the financial institutions are again preying on the most vulnerable and least financially sophisticated borrowers, who are often willing to take out credit at any cost.

“These people are addicted to credit, and banks are pushing it,” said Charles Juntikka, a bankruptcy lawyer in Manhattan.

The banks, for their part, are looking to make up the billions in fee income wiped out by regulations enacted after the financial crisis by focusing on two parts of their business — the high and the low ends — industry consultants say. Subprime borrowers typically pay high interest rates, up to 29 percent, and often rack up fees for late payments.

Some former banking regulators said they worried that this kind of lending, even in its early stages, signaled a potentially dangerous return to the same risky lending that helped fuel the credit crisis.

“It’s clear that we are returning to business as usual,” said Mark T. Williams, a former Federal Reserve bank examiner.

The lenders argue that they have learned their lesson and are distinguishing between chronic deadbeats and what some in the industry call “fallen angels,” those who had good payment histories before falling behind as the economy foundered.

A spokesman for Chase, Steve O’Halloran, said the bank “seeks to be a careful, responsible lender,” adding that it “is constantly evaluating the risks and costs of funding loans.”

Regulators with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which oversees the nation’s largest banks, said that as long as lenders adhered to strict underwriting standards and monitored risk, there was nothing inherently dangerous about extending credit to a wider swath of people.

In fact, an increase in lending is a sign that the economy is improving, economists say. While unemployment remains high, consumers have been reducing their debts. Delinquencies on credit card accounts and auto loans are down sharply from their heights in the crisis. “This is a natural loosening of credit standards because the banks feel they can expand again,” said Michael Binz, a managing director at Standard & Poor’s.

And lenders miss many potential customers if they focus just on people with perfect credit.

 “You can’t simply ignore this segment anymore,” said Deron Weston, a principal in Deloitte’s banking practice.

The definition of subprime borrowers varies, but is generally considered those with credit scores of 660 and below.

The push for subprime borrowers has not extended to the mortgage market, which remains closed to all but the most creditworthy.

Capital One is one lender that has been courting borrowers with damaged credit, even those who have just emerged from bankruptcy, with pitches like, “We want to win you back as a customer.”

Pam Girardo, a spokeswoman for Capital One, said, “Our strategy is to provide reasonable access to credit with appropriate guardrails in place to ensure consumers stay on track as they rebuild their credit.”

Ms. Alejandro, 46, was one of the borrowers fresh out of bankruptcy courted by Capital One. So far, she has turned it down.

David W. Nelms, chief executive of Discover Financial Services, the sixth-largest credit card lender in the United States, told investors this month that the company planned to extend credit to a broader group of borrowers. But, he added, Discover is not “suddenly going to go into the subprime business.”

Credit card lenders extended $12.5 billion in loans to subprime borrowers last year, up 54.7 percent from 2010, according to Equifax and Moody’s, but still below the $41.6 billion in 2007.

Lenders are ramping up their advertising, according to Synovate, a market research firm. Others are developing credit cards specifically aimed at borrowers with damaged credit. Capital One, for instance, introduced a credit card last year that allows these borrowers to lower their interest rate after making timely payments for a year.

Auto loans are particularly attractive for lenders since they were largely untouched by many of the new regulations. The new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said it had not yet decided whether it would oversee the largest nonbank auto lenders.

At the same time, the market for securities made up of bundles of auto loans is heating up. Last year, investors scooped up $11.7 billion in auto loan securities, up from $2.17 billion in 2008. The pace of securitization in credit cards is slower, with lenders selling roughly 30 percent of their card portfolios to investors, down from 60 percent before the financial crisis, according to S&P.

Steve Bowman, the chief credit and risk officer for GM Financial, an auto lender, said he expected subprime auto loans to continue to grow. Unlike mortgage lenders, Mr. Bowman argued, auto lenders understand how to manage risk while still making loans to borrowers with poor credit.

But Moody’s was already sounding the alarm last year that some very risky borrowers were getting auto loans. The market, Moody’s wrote in a report in March 2011, could be growing “too much too fast.”

Ms. Alejandro is not the only borrower with bad credit to question why anyone would offer a loan. The offer, of course, does not necessarily translate into the issuing of a card.

Shauna Ames, 41, an office manager from St. Paul, said she got a credit card offer from Capital One even though the company had won a lawsuit against her for $5,485 in overdue credit card debt last September. Ms. Ames, who had filed for bankruptcy, said she was surprised at the offer. “I still can’t believe it,” she said. 

Ms. Girardo, the Capital One spokeswoman, said the bank doesn’t solicit customers that it has previously sued. “We believe we can establish long-term relationships with products that are predicated on consumer success,” she said.