JC PENNEY FIRES 2,200 EMPLOYEES – FORGOT ONE

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Posted on 7th March 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

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Ron Johnson is the gift that keeps on giving. One of his biggest stockholders – Vornado Realty – sold 10 million shares at a price 50% below when they purchased the shares. That sounds like a vote of confidence. Johnson is also being sued by Macy’s for signing an illegal agreement with Martha Stewart. If he loses, there will be tons of empty shelves in JC Penney stores across the land. Sales are still plummeting. Of course, there are still a couple of Wall Street shills telling you it’s the best time to buy. Now Johnson fires 2,200 dedicated employees as he still collects his multi-million dollar pay package and commutes by a company Jet from his home in San Francisco.

This douchebag has to go. There is only one employee that needed to be fired and his name is Ron Johnson. The Board of Directors of this company is a fucking joke. They hired this asshole and watched him destroy a 100 year old company in one year. This is nothing but a death rattle. Unless they fire this fucker in the next month, JC Penney will be declaring bankruptcy within 12 months.

Troubles pile on in rough week at J.C. Penney

Kyle Kurlick/The Commercial Appeal
Teresa Chavez gives a garment a critical look at a Penney’s store in Southaven, Miss. Investors know how she feels after looking critically at J.C. Penney’s remake.

By MARIA HALKIAS

MARIA HALKIAS The Dallas Morning News

Staff Writer

mhalkias@dallasnews.com

Published: 06 March 2013 11:17 PM

Expect events of the last seven days to make it into academic case studies about J.C. Penney Co.’s attempt to become America’s favorite store.

And Penney employees found out Wednesday that things can get worse. About 2,200 people were laid off in stores and district offices.

Some bullish analysts changed their tunes Wednesday, and the stock price has lost 35 percent of its value in just the last five trading days. Former Penney chairman and CEO Allen Questrom said the board needs to act, adding that chief executive Ron Johnson should be replaced.

The third week of a trial over a contract dispute with competitor Macy’s over Martha Stewart merchandise continued in a reporter-packed New York courtroom. The trial may be adjourned until April because of scheduling conflicts.

The Plano-based department store chain’s new low points included Tuesday’s news that 10 million shares of stock were sold by a major shareholder who, oh yes, happens to be a board member.

Wednesday, Penney’s stock price fell 53 cents to hit a 52-week low of $14.43 a share.

All that follows last week’s news that Penney lost almost $1 billion and had a sales decline of a whopping $4 billion, falling to $13 billion in 2012.

Most of Wednesday’s staff cuts happened in about 100 stores that had significant sales declines last year, and the employee count will be reduced to match each location’s new level of business, said spokeswoman Daphne Avilla.

Administrative and back office jobs were cut across the chain of 1,100 stores and in 55 district offices.

In stores, department management duties are also being consolidated.

Staff cuts “will not impact the store experience,” Avilla said. “We’re not cutting folks on the floors. And our hope is to later be in a position to build back up our workforce.”

Penney’s stores, which range from under 65,000 square feet in small towns to more than 200,000 square feet in major malls, employ from 50 to 400 people per location.

Martha Stewart trial

Finally, on Friday, even if the trial isn’t over, New York Supreme Court Justice Jeffrey Oing will decide what sheets and towels Penney can sell starting in May when the retailer plans to have new home departments ready for shoppers. Martha Stewart designed products in a few categories that were believed outside her agreement with Macy’s.

Last summer, the judge issued a temporary order that prohibited Penney from selling Martha Stewart-branded products in the key home categories of bed, bath, tabletop and cookware. Instead, Penney developed products in those categories with Stewart’s help under the Everyday brand.

On Friday, Oing will rule whether Martha Stewart Living’s involvement in designing that product violated the Macy’s contract.

Penney is developing alternate plans and will make a statement after the judge rules, Avilla said.

Questrom, who spent five years in the early 2000s at Penney pulling it out of years of missteps, is frustrated that the board hasn’t forced Johnson to take his ideas to Middle America more slowly and test new merchandise and pricing.

“All these people are worried about Johnson keeping his job. It’s crazy,” Questrom said in a phone interview Wednesday. “What about all these Penney employees?

“It’s an old company, and he’s putting the nails in the coffin if they don’t start making some changes. There’s no reason to wait another quarter.”

The board “has allowed this to go on too long,” Questrom said. “I have to believe they are looking for his replacement.”

Silence

Penney board chairman Tom Engibous, the retired chairman and CEO of Dallas-based Texas Instruments Inc., didn’t respond to a request for comment. Other board members also declined to comment.

Johnson declined a request for an interview as well.

One could say that board member Steven Roth, chairman of Vornado Realty Trust, commented on Johnson’s performance and Penney’s prospects Tuesday when he sold 10 million shares of Penney stock. Roth and Pershing Square Capital founder William Ackman joined the board in 2011 after they amassed a 26 percent stake in Penney. Ackman has been Johnson’s most vocal supporter on the board but hasn’t commented this week.

On Wednesday, some analysts who had supported Johnson’s plans to turn Penney into a collection of mini shops within stores and adopt an everyday-low-prices strategy downgraded Penney.

Citi’s top retail analyst, Deborah Weinswig, visited Plano on Tuesday and met with Johnson and other top executives. She concluded that Penney will either continue limping along and spending money or the company will be sold and/or “senior leadership” will leave.

She downgraded Penney to a neutral rating from a buy and titled her report: “Wish I knew then what I know now.”

“We believe the potential for asset sales, a private takeover and senior leadership changes could support the shares and limit further downside from here,” Weinswig wrote.

Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel downgraded Penney stock after concluding that the company could go through all of its $900 million in cash this year and continue to post losses.

“The market is unlikely to afford JCP any benefit of the doubt until clear evidence of a turn emerges,” Nagel wrote in a report.

Johnson promised a year ago that Penney’s transformation would be self-funded, but asset sales were necessary last year and will likely continue, analysts said. JPMorgan analyst Matthew Ross said Penney will probably have to borrow money to keep building new shops.

HOME DEPOT, MACYS, & TARGET RESULTS SUCKED

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Posted on 27th February 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

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The MSM reports about retailer results this week have been spun positively. Shocking!!! I’ve heard things like, “they beat expectations”. What they don’t mention is that they delivered way below the expectations from the beginning of the year. They didn’t beat the expectations from 2 months ago. They beat the lowered expections from the previous day. This is the kind of bullshit propaganda that passes for financial journalism today. I ignore the crap being spewed by these media mouth pieces. I even ignore the press release highlights put out by the company PR departments. I go directly to the balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement and details about comparable store sales. When Home Depot, Macys, and Target reported this week the MSM did not mention that this 4th quarter included 14 weeks and last year’s 4th quarter included 13 weeks. For the math challenged, this means that this year should have an automatic 7.7% increase over last year. Anyone hear that mentioned by the faux journalists on CNBC or Marketwatch?

Here is the link to the Home Depot results:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/home-depot-announces-fourth-quarter-112700430.html

Here is my assessment of their results:

  •  The blaring headline said Home Depot sales up 13.9%, but they were really up only 6.3% because of the extra week.
  • The press touted the annual sales of $74.8 billion and the net income of $4.5 billion as tremendous achievements. Well guess what? Home Depot’s sales reported SIX years ago were $79 billion, with a profit of $5.8 billion. They had higher sales and profits five years ago also.
  • Buried in their press release was the fact that 4th quarter sales were given a huge BOOST from Hurricane Sandy. It’s interesting that Sandy was used as an excuse whenever there were bad economic reports, but no one mentions the one time benefits. Home Depot will not repeat the 7.1% comp store sales again.
  • Their gross margins are declining. This is due to Bernanke’s non-existent inflation.
  • The most interesting data point was the customer traffic in the 4th quarter. It was up 8.6%, but we know that the extra week accounted for 7.7% of this increase. This means that comparable traffic was ONLY up 0.9% in the 4th quarter and only 1.6% for the year. This means that 80% of the comparable store sales increase was due to INFLATION price increases.
  • Remember the tremendous opportunity in China? Home Depot is closing up operations in China. I guess there aren’t too many customers in those ghost cities.
  • Home Depot is forecasting only 2% sales increases for 2013 – not exactly booming when you consider real inflation is north of 5%.

Next up was Macys. Here is a link to their results: 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/macy-inc-reports-fourth-consecutive-130000477.html

Here is my assessment of their results:

  • These dirtbags touted their ANNUAL EPS growth. Maybe because their income DROPPED in the 4th quarter.
  • Their 4th quarter earnings FELL by $15 million and their gross margin declined.
  • They proclaimed a 7.2% sales increase, but the extra week added 7.7%, so their comparable sales FELL by 0.5%.
  • They claimed that comparable sales increased 3.9%, BUT these douchebags include ONLINE sales in their comparable sales numbers, which were up 47.7% as their bricks and mortar concept dies. Extracting these on-line sales shows that actual instore sales were only up 0.6%.
  • They do not report customer traffic, but it was clearly NEGATIVE based on the 0.6% increase in sales, since we know inflation accounted for at least 2% or 3% of the sales increase.
  • Their forecast for comparable store sales increase in 2013 is 3.5%. This includes online sales, so they are basically forecasting 0% sales increases in their physical stores.

Target reported dreadful results this morning. Here is a link to their results:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/target-reports-fourth-quarter-fiscal-123000259.html

Here is my assessment of their results:

  • Target reported a 6.8% sales increase for the 4th quarter, but the extra week added 7.7%, so their sales really DECLINED by 1.1%.
  • Their profit DECLINED by $20 million, even with an extra week. Their gross margin is declining. They boosted this profit by reducing their allowance for losses on their credit card portfolio by $32 million. If it is doing so well, why are they selling the portfolio?
  • They reported a pitiful 0.4% comparable sales increase. Their store traffic was NEGATIVE 1.0%. Any sales gains are being achieved through price increases.
  • Their cash flow from operations declined by $100 million for the year.
  • Their debt went up by $1.2 billion as these idiots borrowed to buy back their stock.
  • Their forecast for 2013 is essentially flat on net income. I’ll take the under.

The results for these three huge retailers sucked. This is after the results of Wal-Mart and Lowes also sucked. This was during the best quarter of the year for retailers. This was before gasoline surged by 15%. This was before the payroll tax hit. This was before the surge in food prices in the pipeline. This was before real estate tax increases and Obamacare smack people in the side of the head. Only a MSM financial writer or a CNBC dimwit could look at the facts and conclude that 2013 will be better than 2012. But don’t listen to me. The stock market was up 170 points today. All must be well.

RETAIL SALES ARE IN THE SHITTER

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Posted on 5th July 2012 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

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For a country whose GDP is 72% based upon consumer spending, it sure looks dire. The MSM will continue to downplay the FACT that the average middle class American has run out of money. The retail sales results for June were BAD. Costco, Target, Kohls, and Macy’s operate tens of thousands of stores and anchor malls and power centers across the land. Their sales were horrific. Please note that these comparable store sales numbers INCLUDE online sales and INCLUDE the impact of inflation. In reality, the number of people going into these stores was negative across the board in June. You won’t see that reported in the flowery press releases with excuses about storms and whatever other lame excuse these CEOs can think up. I thought the plunge in gasoline prices was going to rejuvenate the consumer. It looks like another false MSM storyline.

Luckily the 1% are still doing fine, as Nordstrom and Saks had great months. Thank God for the rich Wall Street pricks. What would we do without them? 

This is just another confirmation that the country went into recession during May/June. Now with surging food prices baked into the proverbial cake over the next 6 months, retail sales should really pick up.

Retailers Post Disappointing Sales in June

Retailers reported largely disappointing sales in June, as consumers pulled back on spending amid concerns about jobs and the economy.

Thomson Reuters was expecting its same-store sales index to inch up 0.5 percent in June, far weaker than a year-ago when the index rose 6.7 percent in June.

June tends to be a weaker month on the retail calendar with fewer reasons to drive shoppers to the store.

Department store Macy’s [M  33.36      (---)   ] was among the retailers reporting sales that fell short of estimates. The company said same-store sales rose 1.2 percent in June, compared with an estimate of 1.9 percent from Thomson Reuters. In the wake of the weak results, the company said it expects its fiscal 2012 earnings to be between $3.25 and $3.30 a share, which is below the $3.37 a share average analyst estimate.

Discounter Target [TGT  57.78      (---)   ] also reported weaker-than-expected same-store sales growth, but it reiterated its earnings forecast for its fiscal second quarter. Still, Target shares were trading lower before the market’s open.

There were some pockets of strength. High-end retailers Nordstrom [JWN  50.56      (---)   ] and Saks [SKS  10.92      (---)   ] both topped analysts’ estimates as did off-price retailers TJX [TJX  42.50      (---)   ] and Ross Stores [ROST  62.78      (---)   ] .

Limited Brands [LTD  44.14      (---)   ] , the parent of Victoria’s Secret and Bath and Body Works, also smashed its final estimates. The retailer reported an increase of 7.0 percent in sales at stores open at least 12 months. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters were expecting, on average, a gain of 2.4 percent.

Among the worst results were teen apparel retailers Wet Seal [WTSLA  3.16  ---  UNCH  (0)   ] and The Buckle [BKE  39.67      (---)   ] . Sales declined 9 percent at West Seal, far deeper than the projected 7.7 percent decline that was expected.

At the Buckle, sales fell 2.5 percent, compared with estimates that called for flat sales.

A table of the results follows:

 

  Same-Store Sales, June 2012
Retailers June 2012 Estimates June 2012 Actuals
Costco Wholesale 3.7% 3.0%
Target 2.4% 2.1%
Fred’s 0.2% (4.0%)
Kohl’s Department (3.2%) (4.2%)
JW Nordstrom 4.7% 8.1%
Saks Department Store 4.7% 6.0%
Stage Stores 2.7% 3.3%
Macy’s 1.9% 1.2%
Gap 0.1% Flat
TJX 4.2% 7%
Limited 2.4% 7.0%
Ross Stores 4.8% 7.0%
Stein Mart 2.0% (0.5%)
Wet Seal (7.7%) (9.0%)
The Buckle Breakeven (2.5%)
Zumiez 8.4% 8.2%
Source: Thomson Reuters, company reports. Figures in parenthesis are losses.

 

Typical Story Inserts (as found in CNBC/Components/Data-Market folder

CANARY IN THE COAL MINE

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Posted on 14th December 2010 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

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Some people have contested my statement that there are thousands more retail stores in the US today than there were in 2007. Yes, many mom and pop stores have gone out of business, but the big boys continued to expand in the face of reality. The mall based mega-retailers dominate the retail landscape in this country. Here is a partial list of the biggest retailers in the US and their store counts.

Store                              2007 Store Count                        2010 Store Count

Wal-Mart                                 6,756                                                      8,416

Best Buy                                    873                                                       1,297

Target                                     1,591                                                       1,752

Costco                                       488                                                          567

Lowes                                     1,534                                                        1,710

Kohl’s                                        929                                                         1,089

Walgreen’s                           5,997                                                          8,001

Rite-Aid                                 3,333                                                          4,773

TJX                                         2,430                                                          2,761 

Just these nine well known retailers alone, have added 6,435 stores since 2007. Some of the stores were international, but the vast majority were opened in the U.S. This increase in store counts in the face of reality is the ultimate in CEO hubris. Inflation adjusted retail sales since 2007 in the U.S. are down 19%. This is a recipe for disaster. Americans must deleverage over the next decade. They have no choice. Their retirement savings levels are pitiful. They will be forced to stop buying crap. The boomers are leaving their high spending years and entering the forced saving phase of their lives, whether they like it or not. Every retail CEO in the country should recognize these facts. But still, they relentlessly expand. A fool and his company are soon parted.

The lifeblood of retail expansion is same store sales. If same store sales do not increase, any store count expansion becomes a death march. Below is a chart of the same store sales increases/(decreases) for November of each of the years listed for six of the largest well known retailers in America. With a base year of 2006, I’ve shown what the sales level for comparable stores is today versus 2006. This includes the outstanding growth year of 2007, before the financial crisis. Even a CNBC anchor should be able to realize that the “Best” retailers in America have lower sales today than they did in 2006.

      %   %   %   % % Change
  2006 2007 Change 2008 Change 2009 Change 2010 Change from 2006
Kohl’s $100 $110.2 10.2% $90.9 -17.5% $93.9 3.3% $99.6 6.1% -0.4%
JC Penney $100 $105.4 5.4% $92.9 -11.9% $87.4 -5.9% $95.4 9.2% -4.6%
Saks $100 $125.7 25.7% $119.2 -5.2% $88.1 -26.1% $92.7 5.3% -7.3%
Macy’s $100 $113.4 13.4% $98.3 -13.3% $92.3 -6.1% $98.0 6.1% -2.0%
Nordstrom $100 $108.7 8.7% $91.4 -15.9% $93.4 2.2% $98.2 5.1% -1.8%
Target $100 $110.8 10.8% $99.3 -10.4% $97.8 -1.5% $103.2 5.5% 3.2%

 

Now for the kicker. Inflation since 2006 according to the BLS has been 10%. Therefore, on an inflation adjusted basis, sales for these retailers since 2006 are down by 7% to 17%.

Today, Best Buy reported atrocious 3rd quarter sales figures. Best Buy is rightly considered one of the best run retailers in America. The Apple iPad is a mass sensation. Consumers are supposedly spending again. The age of austerity is over according to the mainstream media. Best Buy’s biggest competitor, Circuit City, went out of business two years ago. The world was its oyster. But somehow, the yellow brick road turned from gold to piss.

In the U.S., Best Buy’s same-store sales dropped 5%, while total sales fell 3% to $8.7 billion. The company estimated that its market share declined 1.1 percentage points, losing traction in TVs and gaming software, and it also expects its share for the year to decline. By categories, U.S. sales of consumer electronics, which make up more than a third of Best Buy’s total domestic business, fell 11%, while entertainment software sales, which make up 15% of the total, slid 14%.

 

It seems that the storyline being sold to the American public by the media is a load of bull. Best Buy is the first of many retailers to be blindsided by reality. Americans are running out of money. They’ve used up all the equity in their houses. The credit cards are maxed out. Wages are stagnant. Retirement years in a brown cardboard box awaits delusional Boomers unless they stop spending and start saving.

Best Buy’s results are the canary in the coal mine. Delusional retail CEO emperors across America need someone to step forward and tell them they have no clothes. Continued expansion in this environment will lead to financial ruin, massive layoffs and bankruptcies. Based upon history and the known hubris of most CEOs, there will ultimately be thousands of vacant rotting rat infested big box eyesores dotting the landscape over the next ten years. Maybe they can be converted to shelters for homeless delusional Boomers who forgot to save for their retirement. Ask the former CEOs of Montgomery Ward, Circuit City or Blockbuster if it can’t happen.