LINCOLN

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Posted on 26th January 2013 by Administrator in Economy |Politics |Social Issues

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We went to see Lincoln this past weekend. I know this is sacrilege to all of the Lincoln haters out there. My view of Abraham Lincoln has changed dramatically since I started this site. I had been brainwashed to believe the myth that Lincoln was a saintly figure who freed the slaves. After reading the arguments of flash and many others on the site, I realized the history taught in our schools is a whitewashed version of the truth. I do not believe Lincoln was evil, as some try to argue. I believe he was a flawed human being, put into an extremely difficult situation, who made decisions which set in motion an ever more powerful Federal government.

I personally thought the movie was outstanding. Spielberg did not glorify Lincoln. He humanized him. It was not a tribute to Lincoln. It was a balanced examination of the year 1865. I consider myself a student of history and a Civil War buff, so I found the movie to be fascinating and informative. Spielberg brought the same brutal gritty realism to Lincoln that he brought to Schindler’s List. From a film-making standpoint, it deserves to be in the running for Best Movie. Daniel Day Lewis should be a lock for Best Actor. He is brilliant and believable as Lincoln. Sally Field as Mary Todd Lincoln and Tommy Lee Jones as Thaddeus Stevens deserve strong consideration for Best Supporting Actors.

Spielberg does not candy coat Lincoln’s actions. The Democrat and Southern view of Lincoln as a killer, law breaker, and tyrant is voiced loudly in the scenes during Congressional debates. The movie is entirely set during the historic year of 1865 and focuses on the passage of the 13th Amendment to abolish slavery. I particularly liked seeing the attitudes, decisions and dynamics of the last year of the Civil War Fourth Turning. It gives me an inkling of what will happen during this current Fourth Turning.

The scene where Lincoln pleads with his cabinet to support his effort to pass the 13th Amendment captures the complexity of Lincoln with all his faults, frailties, and fortitude. The reason he wanted the 13th Amendment passed during the lame duck session of Congress before his 2nd inauguration is because he knew that he had broken the law by freeing slaves with his Emancipation Proclamation. He originated the concept of Executive Orders. He was fairly certain the courts would overturn it. Therefore, he needed the amendment to pass before this could occur. Spielberg doesn’t try to gloss over the fact that Lincoln committed criminal acts by suspending habeus corpus and interpreting the Constitution in any way that helped his cause. Lincoln needed 20 Democrat votes in the House to get his amendment passed. He hired men to bribe the required number of Congressmen. He bribed them with patronage jobs, cash, and threats of retribution.

If you think Congress is corrupt and dysfunctional today, it was just as bad in 1865. Again, this was a Fourth Turning. There are no compromises in a Fourth Turning. The wars are fought to a final decisive conclusion. The leaders during a Fourth Turning will do whatever is required to win. They don’t worry about the means to their ends. This is the slippery slope that Lincoln needed to walk. The actions he took during these years have had far reaching consequences that he didn’t consider at the time. The power of the Federal government and the industrial corporate interests became conjoined and have grown ever larger over time. Future Presidents have used Lincoln’s decisions as the basis for expanding the power of the Executive branch. Many Libertarian minded people despise Lincoln for the actions he took during the Civil War.

I do not believe he was an evil man. I believe he was a decent man put into a terrible situation who made many mistakes, but ultimately kept the country together. Some would argue that he should have let the South form their own country. Would we have been better off? Slavery as an institution was immoral and evil. How long would it have lasted in a seperate Southern nation? Maybe 10 years. How many border wars or national wars would have occurred if there were two Americas? The industrial North would have grown ever more powerful and the South would have been left behind. Attempting to reunite the country was not an evil act.

Lincoln bore a terrible burden during his Presidency. He lost his young son Willie to typohoid fever and this loss practically drove his wife insane. He was elected to office with only 30% of the popular vote. His cabinet thought they were smarter than him and were often uncontrollable. He had radical Republicans on one side and secessionist Democrats on the other. He was the only moderate in Washington DC. The battlefield deaths took a terrible toll on him. He was haunted by the 600,000 dead souls. He was plagued by terrible generals during the 1st few years of the war. He aged terribly over four years. His sorrow bore heavily on his soul.

Abraham Lincoln: Before (1858) and After (1865)

The information which I found most eye opening in the movie was the impact of Thaddeus Stevens on passage of the 13th Amendment. He was a Congressman from my neck of the woods in Montgomery County PA. He was a nasty SOB. His tirades in Congress against his opponents would make him a perfect fit on TBP. He was the leader of the Radical Republicans and the chief proponent of freeing the slaves. He believed they should have the right to vote and were the equals of white people. This was radical thought in 1865. He never married, but his common-law wife was black. He hated Lincoln. He hated the South. He hated Democrats. His hate knew no bounds. But Lincoln needed him to pretend to be moderate in order to get the amendment passed. He sacrificed his ego and rose to the occasion. Without his efforts, the amendment would have never passed.

Most Southerners have always hated Lincoln and still hate him to this day, but his assassination was the worst thing that could have happened to the South. He had no malice towards the South, its leaders, or its people. He wanted a reunion of the states. He did not want retribution, hangings, or reparations. He would have treated the South with respect. Instead he was replaced by Andrew Johnson. Thaddeus Stevens led the effort to make the South pay for their sins. When Johnson did not go along, Stevens led the effort to impeach him. Reconstruction was brutal on the people of the South and the blowback was worse for the poor blacks that made no progress over most of the next century.

I find it fascinating that it was the Republican Party that freed the slaves and fought for their equality, but now 148 years later black people vote 90% for the Democratic Party. The blacks were treated so badly in the South for the 100 years after the Civil War that it was Democrat guilt that brought about the entitlement state with LBJ’s Great Society. Democrats tried to buy the votes of black people with entitlements. What has happened over the last 50 years has been a re-enslavement of black people in the chains of welfare. They are now trapped in urban plantations with no hope of escape. I wonder if they grasp the irony.

I know flash and others will not be changing their opinions about Abraham Lincoln, but I believe that every human being has good and evil within them. We are all terribly flawed and subject to the circumstances we are placed in. We often judge historical figures without putting ourselves in the context of their situation. Having the responsibility thrust upon him, Lincoln did whatever it took to try and preserve the Union. He broke laws, overstepped his Constitutional authority, imprisoned his opponents, ordered hundreds of thousands of young men to their deaths, and ultimately preserved the Union. He was a strong decisive leader. Fourth Turnings always require such a person or persons. We may get the chance to test our own mettle, as this Fourth Turning progresses. I wonder if we will be up to the task.

1865 was one of the most important years in the history of our country. Decades of history occurred in the space of one year. The Battle of Wilmngton NC, the 3rd Battle of Petersburg, passage of 13th Amendment, Lincoln’s 2nd Inauguration, Surrender at Appomattox, and assassination of Lincoln all occurred in the first five months of 1865. Fourth Turnings always build to a crescendo of intensity, disarray, and a decisive dramatic conclusion. Spielberg captures this dynamic in his excellent movie.

I would highly recommend this movie to anyone who wants a better understanding of this important time in history. It does a fine job of distinguishing between the myth of Lincoln and the reality of Lincoln. Even the Lincoln haters might like it.

Celebrating the 150 Year Anniversary of Secession

30 comments

Posted on 19th February 2011 by Reverse Engineer in Politics

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And yes, it is once again Coming Soon to a Theatre Near You.

 

RE

 

Confederate Descendants Mark 150th Anniversary

by The Associated Press

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Enlarge Associated PressMembers of Sons of Confederate Veterans fire their rifles in celebration in Montgomery, Ala. on Saturday, Feb. 19, 2011 following the re-enactment of the 1861 swearing-in ceremony of Confederate States of America provisional President Jefferson Davis on the steps of the Alabama State Capitol.

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Associated PressMembers of Sons of Confederate Veterans fire their rifles in celebration in Montgomery, Ala. on Saturday, Feb. 19, 2011 following the re-enactment of the 1861 swearing-in ceremony of Confederate States of America provisional President Jefferson Davis on the steps of the Alabama State Capitol.

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Associated PressMembers of Sons of Confederate Veterans and others watch, Saturday, Feb. 19, 2011 in Montgomery, Ala., as they witness the re-enacting of the swearing in ceremony of CSA President Jefferson Davis on the steps of the Alabama State Capitol.

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Associated PressMembers of Sons of Confederate Veterans march up Dexter Ave. in Montgomery, Ala. on Saturday, Feb. 19, 2011 to celebrate the re-enactment of the 1861 swearing-in ceremony of Confederate States of America provisional President Jefferson Davis on the steps of the Alabama State Capitol.

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Associated PressTyron Crowley, playing the part of Confederate Civil War President Jefferson Davis watches from the porch, on Saturday, Feb. 19, 2011 in Montgomery, Ala., following the re-enacting of the swearing in ceremony of CSA President on the steps of the historic Alabama State Capitol.

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MONTGOMERY, Ala. February 19, 2011, 05:26 pm ET

Confederate descendants and re-enactors dressed in soldiers’ uniforms and hoop skirts marched down the main avenue in Montgomery on Saturday to mark the 150th anniversary of the inauguration of Confederate President Jefferson Davis.

They started at a fountain where slaves were once sold, past the church that Martin Luther King Jr. led during the Montgomery Bus Boycott, and ended at the Capitol steps, where Alabama’s old and modern history often collide.

It’s the spot where former Gov. George C. Wallace proclaimed “segregation forever” in 1963 and where King concluded the historic Selma-to-Montgomery voting rights march in 1965.

The city no longer rolls out the red carpet for the Sons of Confederate Veterans like it did 50 years ago, when the centennial of Davis’ inauguration was a state-coordinated celebration with past and present governors and officials from all ranks of government.

On Saturday, state and city officials gave permission for the SCV to march, but had no role in the events. Elected officials from the governor to the mayor chose to stay home or go to other events.

The reception was even colder from African-American leaders in the state.

“The whole celebration is akin to celebrating the Holocaust,” state NAACP President Benard Simelton said.

Simelton said elected officials stayed away because they knew attendance would be viewed as a slap in the face to African-Americans, who make up one-fourth of Alabama’s population.

Black leaders had discussed holding a protest like the one held in December at a Secession Ball in Charleston, S.C., but decided against it.

“We didn’t want to give them more publicity,” said Rep. Alvin Holmes, the longest serving black member of the Alabama Legislature.

A downtown shopper, Shirley Williams of Montgomery, who is black, shook her head as she walked by the parade. She said she was offended the parade occurred during Black History Month.

“It represents things in the past that were not positive. Some things ought to be remembered, but this brings up too many painful things people went through,” she said.

Sons of Confederate Veterans members, who trace their history to ancestors who fought in the war, call it the “War Between the States” or the “War of Secession” rather than the Civil War. They say its origins have been distorted by modern historians.

SCV member Randy Beeler said he drove from Paducah, Ky., to “send a message the war was fought over states’ rights. Slavery was an issue, but it was not the main issue.”

“Yes, it was about states’ rights. It was about states’ rights to have slavery,” retorted Rep. Holmes, a retired college history teacher.

One of the organizers, Chuck McMichael, a past national commander of the SCV, called the comparison of the march to celebrating the Holocaust ludicrous.

“In many ways the Union Army acted more like the German army of the 1940s with its scorched earth policy,” said McMichael, a high school history teacher from Shreveport, La.

The Montgomery event is the biggest event planned by the SCV this year to mark the sesquicentennial. In 2012, McMichael said the action will switch to Richmond, Va., which replaced Montgomery as the capital of the Confederacy.

Holding up a Confederate flag near the end of the ceremony, he told the crowd, “As long as there blows a southern breeze, this flag will fly in it.”

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Online:

Sons of Confederate Veterans: http://www.scv.org/

Post Apocalypse Scenarios

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Posted on 13th December 2010 by Reverse Engineer in Economy

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I’ve been pondering on what the nature of some surviving communities might be like once the economic collapse play itself out, once the vat majority of the remaining fossil fuels have been exhausted and once the last of the big military hardware has gone down to the bottom of Davey Jones locker.  Let’s put this about 100 years into the future.  This is going to be a rare one for me, an Upbeat and fairly positive spin on how some communities might survive and prosper.

Post Apocalypse Scenario 1: Neo-Medieval Towns

The first is a favorite among many owners of small farms out in the boonies of places like Vermont and Oregon, the quintessential “Small Town” economy.  However, as it evolves, I don’t think the current morphology of a typical small town will hold up, its just not defensible enough.  Widely scattered individual Doomsteads are too vulnerable to attack, as was the case on the Frontier back in the day when Europeans were displacing the local natives off their land.

Like in those days, each small town will need some type of Fort or Castle where the locals can retreat to when confronted by an attack on their lands.  I could see large Malls being retrofitted to serve this purpose, adding in time defensive structures like Thick Walls and Moats, as well as more recent innovations like Barbed Wire.  In this model, the small town becomes something like the way it was in France during the Huguenot period.

Out on the Growing lands surrounding the central Castle, there would be small huts with very little in them of value, just some beds, a fireplace a couple of days worth of food at the most.  Not a very worthwhile target for raiding.  On nights during the planting and harvesting seasons, these huts would be occupied, the rest of the time they would be empty.  Such huts might be the old Garages of the McMansions that once dotted the landscape.  The McMansions themselves would over time be gutted and dismantled and used as materials to create a more closely packed community inside the “Castle” Walls, which would be built on the old Parking Lots surrounding the central Mall.

Of course, inside the walls the community would need a steady source of potable water, and most Malls aren’t necessarily in such locations, so they wouldn’t work.  The Mall would have to be in a location where the Water Table was within reasonable depth to drill out wells.  Removal of Sewage would also be a factor, but you probably would want to use human feces for fertilizer as the Japanese did, so some collection method for this  utilizing a closed system of piping to a composting area outside the Castle Walls would be likely.

In the fields surrounding the Castle, you would grow a variety of Crops utilizing conservative and human labor intensive permaculture techniques.  Probable Crops to be raised would be Hemp and/or Flax for fiber for clothing, legumes to help replenish the nitrogen in the soil and grains like Barley which give good yields per acre.  Closer in you would have gardens where you grow leafy green veggies and tubers like potatoes and carrots.

Meat from cattle would likely be minimal to non existent.  Most animal protein would likely come from Goats and Chickens raised inside the walls or very near on the outside to be easily herded inside in times of trouble.  You also would likely be raising Horses for transportation and as draft animals and to help Patrol the borders of the land you were controlling.

With good management and reproductive control of the population, such a cell would likely be sustainable for a very long time, possibly indefinitely.  You would have to figure out just how many people the land you control could support and not allow the population to exceed that number.  The alternative to that is you grow and eventually make war on a surrounding community to take over their lands, which may happen but if the communities are on relatively equal footing with respect to weaponry, its doubtful you would do much more than whittle down both populations some during such a local war

Post Apocalypse Scenario 2: Neo-Polynesians

This is a less considered lifestyle which might lead to nomadic communities of people who travel the oceans of the world in sailboats.  There are a few doomers pursuing this lifestyle to an extent already, Dmitri Orlov is probably the most Doomer Famous among them living aboard his sailboat which I think is currently parked somewhere around Boston, MA.  I ran into another one over on the Peak Oil board who went by the Nom de Plume of Sea Gypsy.

There are many boat hulls out there now which will last well into the next century, but even besides those its always possible to build new hulls out of the vast amount of flotsam and jetsam of the age of oil, as well as of course building out of wood.  Sailing communities would come in the form of fairly large Flotillas of a loosely associated group of people on boats ranging from the very small, perhaps as small as 20’ in some cases up to probably a maximum of 80’.  Bigger boats are possible of course, but rigging them up for sail is quite a challenge and its likely that once you take Cannon out of the picture, many smaller boats in a flotilla is probably better than a few really big ones.

Such flotillas would have to map out locations which were relatively inaccessible by land and defensible from attack from the sea.  Such areas would be the Fjords of New Zealand, British Columbia, Alaska and Norway, along with the many widely dispersed archipelagos and isolated islands dotting the Pacific Ocean, as well as coastal islands like those in the Meditarranean Sea around Greece.

Life would revolve mainly around fishing and harvesting up naturally growing foods at different mapped out locations on a general North-South route, stopping off at each location in time with its harvest season.  You might supplement the natural growth by planting some crops which grow well on their own with little maintenance, Coconut Trees and Banana Trees come to mind here  You would of course keep your locations Secret as much as possible to prevent raiding from other groups of Sea Gypsies living the same style of life.  Conflicts and Sea Battles would likely occur when different bands ran up on each other.

Maintenance of your ships is probably the biggest problem for the Tribe Without a Country, particularly the sails which take a LOT of fiber and weaving and sewing to put together.  Getting this material for the most part would have to be done by Trade, although if the sailing craft are small enough then even grasses can be used to weave up a decent sail.

Eventually however, these Nomads might establish a few stable Port Cities and develop a steady Trade Network in conjuction with their yearly Global travels to harvest food.  Of course with such a trade will come increasing Piracy, but again here these battles basically serve to keep in check the total population pursuing such a lifestyle as long as the weaponry is relatively equal on both sides.

Post Apocalypse Scenario #3- the Neo Mountain Men

This is likely the most limited scenario of these 3 in terms of numbers and where it could be effectively pulled off.

First off, you need mountainous terrain that also supports a good ecosystem sufficient for a few people to engage in a hunter gatherer lifestyle.  The only places that might be left where this could be effectively accomplished are probably in Alaska and the Yukon Territory, certain portions of the Andes Mountains around Chile and Peru and the Himalayas and possibly around Kilimanjaro in Africa.  I leave Switzerland out because this area already is converted to a farm/small town paradigm and fits under Scenario 1.

Living in the mountains in this way is TOUGH.  As in prior generations, only a few would undertake such a lifestyle, they will mostly be Men and mostly those seeking to escape one sort of slavery or another down in the flatlands.  It is unlikely such folks would be reproducing themselves by taking wives and raising children, rather they reproduce because in each generation a few new guys will take to the hills as their means of escape from slavery or economic captivity of one sort or the other.

Post Apocalypse Scenario #4- The Neo-Slave State

This is the likely medium term outcome in the agricultural flatlands of the Midwest of the FSofA and the grain fields of the Ukraine and the fields of France and Germany.  The necessary Human Labor to run large farms in the absence of Oil powered machinery will be forcibly enslaved from the local populations by ruthless Warlords.  Slaves will be acquired first from the starving Big Shitties, so here in the FSofA they will likely be Black and Hispanics again.  In Europe, the imported and impoverished Muslim population will likely be the first to be enslaved.  Those who are not enslaved will be eliminated by Genocide in a Neo-Holocaust.

The process of re-enslavement will be long and vicious, with many revolts and once the military machine breaks down, at times the Slaves will win these battles and enslave their former Masters.  The overall productivity of the lands controlled in this manner will gradually diminish, and the population of both Slaves and Masters will diminish with it.

In the end, these Slaves societies will devolve to small groups of nomadic wanderers, much like the Mongol Horde of the era of Kubla and Genghis Kahn, although its probably going to be a while before one Warlord assembles them all up under his control.  Once assembled though, this horde will attack the Sustainable Cities of Scenario #1 at the periphery of their territory.

The result of that set of wars is cloudy in my Crystal Ball.  Either side could win, it depends mostly on numbers and defensive and offensive strategies that might be employed.  Likely again you would see an ebb and flow here as the wars commence and then enough people are killed off on both sides that they retreat to their own borders for a while until the next round begins.

Conclusion

Medium term here, nobody “wins” and leads a perpetually “peaceful” life.  The kind of life the Tinglit lived for a few thousand years with a Gift Economy isn’t coming back in the near or medium term.  Regardless of the type of community you become part of, you will also become part of some competition for resource until the population has been knocked down by a very large percentage.

Still, clearly for the medium term some alternatives are better than others and to an extent it depends on what your predilection is for a lifestyle.  A sedentary lifestyle seems best served by the neo-Medieval Small Town and Castle, the Nomadic lifestyle seems best served by the neo-Polynesian model.  For the loner and rugged individualist, the neo-Mountain Man seems the best option.  For anyone but an aspiring Warlord  and perhaps his direct Lieutenants, the neo-Slave paradigm wouldn’t be one you would want to pursue I think.

Long term, diminishing resources will likely take their toll on all the paradigms, until inevitably there is a major Game Changer like Yellowstone going Ballistic or a  20 mile wide Asteroid impacting the planet.  As it did with Toba, as it did in the Permian Extinction, when the inevitable Geological or Cosmological Catastrophe hits the Earth, we will be fortunate if one Tribe of 10,000 Human Souls makes it through that Zero Point.

If they don’t, the great experiment that was Human Sentience on Earth will be over.  If they do survive, they will be very fortunate people indeed, for they will be the first people in the millennia since Toba went Supervolcanic to have TRUE freedom again, and a world to explore once again.

I hope for the latter case to be true, and for perhaps in the far distant future the dreams of getting off this planet and colonizing the Universe might eventually be realized, perhaps through some spiritual revelation of controlling Gravity with the mind, or some equally outlandish Sci-Fi concept.

For me, I can be sure of only one thing at the moment, which was that I did live this life in the penultimate years of the Age of Oil, which was for the most part not too bad for me being born into the culture that reaped most of the rewards for the exploitation of this resource.  When I walk into the Great Beyond, I don’t know what my choices will be, but if there is only one Eternity and I can choose where to place myself in it, I do know where and when that place was.  It was on a Catamaran Rigged Sailing Canoe that left the shores of the Society Islands and successfully made the first voyage to the Big Island of Hawaii.  That is my vision of Heaven and Freedom, and that is where I hope my eternal soul will rest.

RE

Abrogation of Responsibility in the Social Contract

41 comments

Posted on 4th December 2010 by Reverse Engineer in Economy

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The recent expiration of the Extended Bennies for the Unemployed and the various arguments revolving around the FSA and the Social Welfare State that exists in most Western Industrialized countries has led me to muse on the problem of impoverization of societies. Many societies since the advent of Agriculture have had the problem of impoverished people, though it has become more acute here since the Age of Oil.

In the early years after the development of Agriculture, the problem of Impoverishment was resolved through Slavery. If you had no property and no power in the society, if you were to continue Living you became the Property of someone else, Beholden to that individual for your daily sustenance. Your existence was at his behest, you had no rights, you existed only to serve the Master. If you weren’t productive, if you were disobedient, the Master could punish you or take your life, with no legal repercussions for this.

However, even Slave Owners had some moral responsibility toward treating their slaves decently. Really nasty ones tended to have more problems with Slave Revolts, and being the slaves lived relatively nearby, they might occasionally cause you some problems if you were a particularly nasty Master. Even the Bible suggests that Masters should treat their Slaves well, just as they should be good stewards of their Cattle and their Lands. There is still some RESPONSIBILITY in the system.

With the advent of Industrialization and the Capitalist system, responsibility for the workers and for the Environment was completely lost. The monetary system provided a degree of separation between the Owners and the Slaves. No longer was the well being of any individual connected to that of another, even through direct ownership of a human life. The impoverishment of a given individual could be blamed on that individual, rather than his mistreatment at the hands of his owner.

As the Ag paradigm gave way to the Industrial paradigm in the 18th and 19th centuries, the inevitable impoverishment of the lowest classes of society led to many social problems. Beggars, Workhouses, an explosion of Prisons for Debtors as well as Criminals, which really were all essentially one in the same thing. This defined the world Charles Dickens lived in when he wrote novels like a Tale of Two Cities and Oliver Twist. It was an extremely unstable society, and for the entire period from the mid 1700s at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution with the advent of the Coal fired Steam Engine right through to the Second World War in the Age of Oil, Industrial Society was constantly engaged in one sort of war or another. The French and American Revolutions, the Napoleonic Wars in Europe, the Civil War here in the FSofA, these were all part and parcel of the same running battle, which ebbed and flowed in tandem with the monetary cycle of Capitalism as it progressed forward through the Industrial Age. Through all that time period, NO solution was ever found to the problem of the Have Nots that both the Ag paradigm and the Industrial paradigm create as a result of manufactured scarcity stemming from the Ownership of Property and the Means of Production. The simple fact of the matter is that as long as you have a very large society and allow some folks to become very Rich, this necessitates other folks becoming very Poor. It’s a Zero Sum Game for any society, but at least in the Ag Society there was still some responsibility taken for the Slaves by the Slave Owners. In Industrial Society, NO RESPONSIBILITY was taken, at least not until Otto Von Bismark developed the incipient Welfare State, and until the Bureau of Indian Affairs created a similar dependent population amongst the surviving aboriginals of the NA continent.

Through the latter stages of the Age of Oil, in most of the Industrialized world there has been enough surplus to buy off the impoverished inside each of these societies, but it has of course come by further impoverishing the rest of the world through this time period. Now as resources become too thin worldwide, its no longer possible to insulate the local impoverished in many industrialized countries, or more accurately it becomes less possible to do that by the day. The cut off of extended UE benefits here in the FSofA is just the beginning of the eviceration of the social welfare state, but with that also comes the evisceration of many of the control and protection mechanisms the State has evolved to maintain control over the population. In Camden, where the crime rate is already massive, the Police force has been cut in half as austerity budgets are put in place. In CA, there is a standing order by the SCOTUS to reduce the Prison population, way overcrowded and too costly to expand anymore. Where will said prisoners go? Out onto the streets of the now vastly expanded world of Charles Dickens.

Similarly, budget cuts in Education will further reduce the ability to warehouse children and discipline them into the kind of drones necessary to run an industrialized society. As anyone who worked in the field of Public Education knows, any semblance of “learning” was lost in these schools long ago and the last 20 years has been spent bloating the administrative end of education in the effort to keep some discipline in the environment. It has of course failed miserably even in that effort.

The end result here of the failure to accept responsibility for the society as a whole by the beneficiaries of that society is the dissolution of the social contract, and the collapse of this sort of society. The result of that is the legitimacy of the State as governor of the society will ultimately fail. The last gasp of such a society is of course is consolidation of the Haves in the society around a military dictatorship such as Rome had in its dying days. Dependent as this military infrastructure is now on the lifeblood of Oil, as the war to control it consumes the resource, this military structure will itself inevitably collapse, although it could take quite some time for that to play itself out. Before it does, the collapse of the social structure which was supported by the thermodynamic energy of oil will result in increasing civil disturbance requiring deployment of soldiers for internal control as well as fighting the external battles for control of the oil resource. Eventually this will over stretch the control ability on both ends, and then this form of organization will itself collapse. Its doubtful that this collapse takes as long as it did for the Roman Empire, which was spread over a few centuries. This one more or less will follow the Peak Oil curve, and likely will play itself out over a single century at the most.

So we return now to the question of what happens in the aftermath of this collapse? The Social Welfare State funded as it was by the Thermodynamic Energy of Oil is clearly in its Death Throes. The society cannot function with millions of people living in abject poverty with no means of making a living “honestly”, nor any support from the State apparatus. The idea that Private Enterprise will spring up magically once the support mechanisms are withdrawn is to say the least, utterly ludicrous. Rather what you will get are individual areas sorting themselves out locally to develop some sort of sustainable local economy. I’m not talking “sustainable” in the long term, just sustainable meaning they don’t devolve into Mad Max and Cannibalism in the near term. The larger the local population is relative to locally available resources of food and water, the more likely that area is to devolve into Mad Max. Read that: The Big Shitties are TOAST.

As noted in my recent thread on the topic of Expats and Escape, its still possible if you have some money and a willingness to relocate to get out of the way of the worst of the near term dislocations. However, generally speaking for most people with typical Job Skills, you won’t be able to find a job in the new location you go to, so you better have enough currently functioning money to set yourself up independently in the neighborhood, until that neighborhood develops its own local economy. I do agree that for the most part Oz and NZ are better places for White Anglos than the Lower 48 of the FSofA. Please migrate there rather than Alaska. LOL.

Wherever you do migrate however, do not expect a free ride through the Zero Point, no place will remain untouched as we wean ourselves off the Jones of our addiction to Oil. All communities that have been connected to the Global Banking system and the Industrialized economy will suffer extreme dislocation. However, with luck in the smaller communities off the beaten path, it won’t be the kind of Mad Max the Big Shitties experience. That will be a Nightmare beyond all the most horrific legends of the Dark Ages. Vlad the Impaler will return, and with him will come the armies of Werewolves, Zombies and Vampires.

Coming Soon to a Theatre Near You.

RE