Age-stratified Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19 Pre-Vaccination

Submitted by aka.attrition

Source: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.10.11.22280963v1

ABSTRACT

The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection is important to estimate accurately, since 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. In systematic searches in SeroTracker and PubMed (protocol: https://osf.io/xvupr), we identified 40 eligible national seroprevalence studies covering 38 countries with pre-vaccination seroprevalence data. For 29 countries (24 high-income, 5 others), publicly available age-stratified COVID-19 death data and age-stratified seroprevalence information were available and were included in the primary analysis.

The IFRs had a median of 0.035% (interquartile range (IQR) 0.013 – 0.056%) for the 0-59 years old population, and 0.095% (IQR 0.036 – 0.125%,) for the 0-69 years old. The median IFR was 0.0003% at 0-19 years, 0.003% at 20-29 years, 0.011% at 30-39 years, 0.035% at 40-49 years, 0.129% at 50-59 years, and 0.501% at 60-69 years. Including data from another 9 countries with imputed age distribution of COVID-19 deaths yielded median IFR of 0.025-0.032% for 0-59 years and 0.063-0.082% for 0-69 years. Meta-regression analyses also suggested global IFR of 0.03% and 0.07%, respectively in these age groups.

The current analysis suggests a much lower pre-vaccination IFR in non-elderly populations than previously suggested. Large differences did exist between countries and may reflect differences in comorbidities and other factors. These estimates provide a baseline from which to fathom further IFR declines with the widespread use of vaccination, prior infections, and evolution of new variants.

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SILENT HOUSE

Guest Post by Hardscrabble Farmer

I got the call that my cousin had passed just after dark. I had been butchering a hog all day by myself and I was tired and needed a shower, but all I could think of was reaching out to his sons. My younger cousin had been looking after him for the last two years as he slowly disappeared into his dementia and I knew how hard this was going to hit him. I made the call from the bedroom in the dark and stood up against the windows looking out at the leafless trees and distant, rolling hills enveloped in a lead-colored mist.

I hadn’t spoken to him since the last family funeral- we are ten years part and by the time I was heading out into the world he was just hitting middle school- and so we never really bonded closely, but we were familiars to one another over the span of our own lives, family. The phone rang half a dozen times and then went to voice mail so I began to leave my heartfelt condolences. After a few halting words that sounded stiff, the phone picked up and I heard his voice across the distant miles and months between us, desperate and broken.

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Time Passages & Fears Emergent

By Doug “Uncola” Lynn via TheBurningPlatform.com

A few months ago I had this dream.  I’m driving alone at highway speed on a causeway over a large body of water. The road was just a few feet higher than the rippling waves.  Suddenly, I noticed a black mini-van about fifty yards to my left, bobbing on the water’s surface.  The hood and front wheels were submerged and its tail-end began to rise as the vehicle sank in a manner similar to the scene from Titanic – it was going down bow first.

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What are the Most Common Causes of Death in the U.S.?

Via Visual Capitalist

Each year, about 2.7 million Americans pass away for various reasons ranging from unintentional injuries to more chronic illnesses such as cancer or diabetes.

While death is not always an easy topic to discuss, it’s also something that is important to put into perspective. Better understanding the data around death can help us on a personal level, while also revealing where more resources may be needed at a more societal level.

Nothing certain but death and taxes

Today’s visualization comes from Reddit user TVUmK, and it compiles data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, to plot the most common causes of death between 1999 and 2016.

Animation: What are the Most Common Causes of Death in the U.S.?

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Facing The (Horrible) Future

Authored by Chris Martenson via PeakProsperity.com,

I’d like to tell you a short story based on a movie that has had a profound impact on me.

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/climate-change-choice_0.png?itok=zU1Ao_G9

I’ll get to the story in a moment, but first, a little background on the movie…

It’s called Griefwalker (by Tim Wilson) and it focuses on the life and wisdom of Stephen Jenkinson, a theologian and philosopher who worked as an end-of-life specialist for many years.  Because we all must face death in our lives, inevitably our own someday, I highly recommend this movie and Stephen’s work to everyone.

After sitting at the death beds of a thousand individuals, Stephen has accumulated a wisdom regarding the process of dying that is perhaps unmatched in our modern times. His views and insights are extraordinarily powerful and extremely well-delivered in the movie.

Stephen is a blunt yet thoughtful man, and my own interview with him (Living with Meaning) remains one of my all-time favorites.

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Notes on Heartache and Chaos

Guest Post by Jim Kunstler

I was interviewing a couple of homesteaders on an island north of Seattle at twilight last night when they noticed that the twelve-year-old family dog, name of Lacy, had not come home for dinner as ever and always at that hour. A search ensued and they soon found her dead in the meadow a hundred feet behind the house with two big puncture wounds in her body. Nobody had heard a gunshot. We’d just been talking inside and a nearby window was open. They suspect the dog met up with a black-tailed deer buck out there and was gored to death. We hadn’t heard a yelp, or anything. A week ago, an eagle got one of their geese, and some land-based monster got its companion just the other day.

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THE DAY TBP ALMOST DIED IN A DITCH ON I-80

A few hours ago the odds of this post or any future post being made on TBP ever again looked awfully slim. Just another uneventful trip to Penn State.

Our multi-pronged moving of my youngest son into his apartment at Penn State Altoona and my older son into his house (shared with 15 other guys) at State College went so smoothly I almost couldn’t believe it. We drove my youngest with his stuff jammed into our “new” Honda Civic (bought after crazy lady in BMW destroyed our other Civic several weeks ago).

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Keep the Faith

Guest Post by Jesse

“Rejoice in the Lord, always. I will say it again: rejoice! Let your gentleness be evident to all. The Lord is near. Do not be anxious about anything, but in every situation, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, give your concerns to God.  And the peace of the Lord, which surpasses all understanding, will guard your hearts and your minds. in Christ Jesus.”

Phil 4:4-7

I do believe that the queen and I are in the endgame now.   She requires constant watching and care, and I rarely leave her side.  I have been dealing with the short term emergencies and gathering the facts and resources together for next steps, as the situation calls out in its own good time.  As anyone who has been involved in this sort of thing knows, it can drag on for much longer than one might expect—  in the manner of the Fed’s serial asset bubbles achieved through top down stimulus, one might observe.

There is a kind of a peacefulness amidst all this turmoil that at times seems almost beautiful. And, even when things get very bad, there are God’s tender mercies, if we can but keep our hearts and eyes open for them.

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The Left Hates You. Act Accordingly.

Guest Post by Kurt Schlichter

The Left Hates You. Act Accordingly.

They hate you.

Leftists don’t merely disagree with you. They don’t merely feel you are misguided. They don’t think you are merely wrong. They hate you. They want you enslaved and obedient, if not dead. Once you get that, everything that is happening now will make sense. And you will understand what you need to be ready to do.

You are normal, and therefore a heretic. You refuse to bow to their idols, to subscribe to their twisted catechisms, to praise their false gods. This is unforgivable. You must burn.

Crazy talk? Just ask them. Go ahead. Go on social media. Find a leftist – it’s easy. Just say something positive about America or Jesus and they’ll come swarming like locusts. Engage them and very quickly they will drop their masks and tell you what they really think. I know. I keep a rapidly expanding file of Twitter leftist death wish screenshots.

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Anti-Trump Protesters Block Ambulance Resulting In Death Of 4-Year-Old Girl’s Father

Tyler Durden's picture

As the anti-Trump protests around the country rage on, they have now claimed their first life as the father of a 4-year-old girl died in an ambulance on the way to the hospital last night.  The man apparently died after his ambulance was prevented from reaching a hospital by protesters who decided they would prefer to block off a highway.  The incident was discovered by Paul Joseph Watson of InfoWars via the following FaceBook post:

“I have to unfacebook for a few days. I had a patient die during a transfer last night because our ambulance was stopped by protesters and had to drive an extra 45 minutes around the blocked roads.

 

“I can’t today. They can give their f**king safety pins to my patient’s fatherless 4 year old daughter.”

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CIVIL WAR II – FOURTH TURNING INTENSIFYING (PART 2)

In Part One of this article I laid out the case against the criminal establishment and how the regeneracy is being driven by the anti-establishment sentiment sweeping across the land. This atonement Fourth Turning will de-establish decade’s worth of delusional decisions. This election has destroyed the last vestiges of trust in this fraudulent system.

This dysfunctional rigged presidential election reflects the tearing of the civic fabric at points of maximum susceptibility. As a country we have neglected, denied, or delayed necessary action on a plethora of vital issues threatening our long term viability as a nation. The deferral of difficult painful decisions has been a ploy of the ruling class, allowing them to further siphon the wealth of a dying empire, while maintaining control over the masses through laws, regulations, taxes, surveillance, intimidation, technology bread and circuses, and mainstream media propaganda.

This is a country truly divided, much along the lines of the first Civil War. The divisions aren’t just along political party lines, but race, education, geography, gender, age, class, religion and ability to think critically. The presidential polls (IBD) reveal many of these divisions clearly:

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Fukushima Radiation

Here’s an article to cheer up all our West Coast readers (as well as those around the rest of the world).  As we all know Fuck-You-Shima has vanished from the media – a total news black-out – with no up-dates, no information on what’s being done to clean it up (HA!) or, in general, anything about it.  N-O-T-H-I-N-G.!

Well here’s an article that tells it all including how one might begin to be wary of eating anything from the Pacific Ocean and – in thinking ahead – what happens outside the Pacific Ocean if they can’t fix the continuing 300 tons of radioactive waste flowing into the Pacific Ocean daily!!  

Friends, we are in much deeper trouble over Fukushima than the media and Governments are letting us know (so we won’t be “frightened).  Heavens forbid that the general public of the World begin to get “frightened” over a nuclear accident that could eventually make half the world and its’ largest sea unusable, dangerous, uninhabitable, unable to produce food and we loose the nature resources that the entire Pacific Basin provides the entire bloody World.

It’s time to panic, folks.  Not tomorrow – but today.

Muck About

Fukushima Radiation Has Contaminated The Entire Pacific Ocean (And It’s Going To Get Worse)

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NOT A BAD WAY TO GO

Why enjoying sex — and having a lot of it — might kill you

Older men face this risk with frequent sex

Shutterstock

Sex can kill — or at least put some people’s health at risk.

Older men who have sex once a week or more are at nearly twice the risk of heart attack and other cardiovascular issues like hypertension than those who are not as sexually active, according to a study published Tuesday in the Journal of Health and Social Behavior. Furthermore, older men who say they find sex with their partner extremely pleasurable also had an increased risk of cardiovascular problems.

“Because older men have more difficulties reaching orgasm for medical or emotional reasons than do their younger counterparts, they may exert themselves to a greater degree of exhaustion and create more stress on their cardiovascular system in order to achieve climax,” says Hui Liu, an author of the study and an associate professor of sociology at Michigan State University.

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The Reckoning

Guest Post by Jesse

“A true opium of the people is a belief in nothingness after death – the huge solace of thinking that for our betrayals, greed, cowardice, and even murders that we are not going to be held to account.”

Czesław Miłosz

Every man and woman on this earth will die.

Now, this is of course a statement of the obvious. And yet very few really think about it, until something happens to bring that cold statement of reality into an unavoidable focus that they must confront. We are all dying, in our own way and time, from the moment that we are born; but we do our utmost not to think about it.

And this is understandable. Going around constantly thinking about your own mortality would be morbid, a misuse of the time and talent that we have been given on this earth to do things, to create, and love, and to be alive.

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