Doug Casey on How Economic Witch Doctors Convince Everyone They’re Neurosurgeons

Via International Man

International Man: The average person doesn’t care about economics. But to the extent that he does, he only reads mainstream publications like The Economist and editorials in The New York Times.

In these publications, the average person will find so-called economists advocating upside-down and destructive concepts like negative interest rates, banning cash, debt-fueled consumption, government spending, and rampant money printing as the cures to economic ailments.

And if those methods don’t work—or inflict damage—the establishment economists’ response is to simply call for more money printing, more debt, and even lower interest rates.

What’s your take on conventional economic thinking and methods?

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Doug Casey’s Crash-Proof Portfolio: How to Make Money When Stock Markets Crash

Via International Man

Editor’s Note: The below article is a classic piece written by Doug Casey. It’s timely and extremely relevant in today’s financial environment. We urge you to read what Doug has to say.

It’s impossible to be sure, at any given moment, whether any market is going up or down. No matter how overpriced a market may be, there are always bulls with good-sounding arguments about why it could go twice as high. No matter how “cheap” a market may be, there are always convincing bearish arguments for it to go lower.

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FOURTH TURNING ELECTION YEAR CRISIS

“The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II.” – Strauss & Howe The Fourth Turning 

How a contested election could send the U.S. into a constitutional crisis - MarketWatch It's not the chairman of the Joint Chiefs' job to remove Trump from office if he won't leave.

“There is no darkness but ignorance. The devil can cite Scripture for his purpose.” William Shakespeare

I read The Fourth Turning in 2006, after seeing it described in John Mauldin and Doug Casey’s newsletters as an uncannily accurate assessment of American history based upon generational configurations which recur on eighty-year cycles, a long human life. Strauss and Howe wrote the book in 1997 and used their generational theory to predict the Crisis that would begin in the mid-2000’s and come to an indeterminate climax in the mid-2020’s.

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QUOTES OF THE DAY

“Government sponsors untold waste, criminality and inequality in every sphere of life it touches, giving little or nothing in return.”

Doug Casey

“If you are not an anarchist, it means you either condone aggression, or think the state does not necessarily commit aggression. As you say you are not an anarchist, can you please tell us which one describes you?”

Stephan Kinsella

“Whatever crushes individuality is despotism, no matter what name it is called.”

John Stuart Mill

“After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn’t do it. I sure as hell wouldn’t want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military.”

William S. Burroughs

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Doug Casey on the Dangers of Global Regulation

Via Casey Research

Daily Dispatch: Doug, we’d like to get your take on the question of “Globalist vs. Globalism.” Not so long ago, the right was in favor of embracing a global economy, in order to access cheaper labor and other benefits of outsourcing. Whereas the left was against that whole idea, as they wanted to be more protectionist in their local economy.

But now, to the average man at least, that seems to have flipped. Now the right seems to be more protectionist, and the left wants to be more global. Is that an overly simplistic take on things? What’s your view?

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Doug Casey: America Is Becoming a Police State

Via Casey Research

Editor’s note: With the recent coronavirus outbreak, the government has been exercising more control over Americans: forcing people to stay at home… ordering businesses to shut down… even using surveillance to track our location.

These changes aren’t that different from what happened after 9/11… and if you expect our way of life to go back to normal after the COVID-19 pandemic ends, you haven’t been paying attention.

Our founder, Doug Casey, has long said we’re going backwards in most areas of personal freedom… In fact, he believes we’re not so different from Germany in the 1930s – and that the problems started before this pandemic even happened…

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Doug Casey’s Top 7 Predictions for the 2020s

Guest Post by Doug Casey via International Man

predictions 2020s

The task is to make some predictions (although “forecasts” sounds more legitimate) about the Big Picture. OK, I’m game. Let’s write some plausible science fiction, with a tinge of horror story.

#1 Demographics

First, it’s good to remember that demographics have a life of their own. That’s not good from the point of view of those of us of European descent. We’re only 10% of world population and falling rapidly. Worse, it seems we’re responsible for all the world’s problems and therefore aren’t very popular.

In Europe, I expect the ’20s will have a lot of mass migration, the largest in scale since the barbarian invasions of the fifth century. This time there will be millions, then tens of millions, of Africans coming across the Mediterranean, looking for a higher standard of living—like all migrants.

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Doug Casey: The Rich Will Soon Cheat Death

Via Casey Research

Chris’ note: We’re on the verge of another Industrial Revolution.

And much like the first Industrial Revolution, this period will be marked by profound change. According to Doug Casey, matter, energy, space, and time will “soon be manipulated on a cosmic scale”… thanks to rapid advances in technology.

For example, life extension breakthroughs could soon solve the problem of aging. If that happens, Doug says you could “be, do, and have everything that you can imagine.”

That makes it one of the most important advancements to watch going forward. So I got Doug on the phone to learn more about the implications of life extension…

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Doug Casey on Tech Stocks, Cannabis, Bitcoin, and More

Via Casey Research

Chris: Doug, regular readers know that you think gold stocks are primed for a rally.

What other sectors do you like today? Anything readers should be keeping an eye on?

Doug: Well, I’m a technophile. I really believe that Moore’s Law has been around for about 200,000 years. We passed the “elbow” of the acceleration with the Industrial Revolution 200 years ago; its progress is going hyperbolic, approaching vertical, at this point. So, being a technophile, you’d think that I would like technology companies. I’ve got to say I missed the boat on big ones like Amazon, and Microsoft, and the like. But there are going to be plenty more of these things that could put in the same kind of performance that those companies did.

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The 5 Craziest Ideas from the Democratic Primary Freak Show

Via International Man

Democratic primary

International Man: Elizabeth Warren proposed an annual tax on a person’s wealth. What do you make of this?

Doug Casey: When you tax something, you discourage it. If Elizabeth Warren wants to tax people’s wealth, that’s going to encourage people to hide their wealth. And discourage them from getting wealthy. So, it’s poison from an economic point of view.

But it’s even worse from an ethical or spiritual point of view. It sends a signal that wealth is evil. That it has to be kept under control and limited. That a political priesthood should determine how much is enough and who should get it. It’s especially perverse in that people like Warren act like they have the moral high ground. When in fact, they’re in the moral gutter.

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Save, Invest, Speculate, Trade or Gamble?

Guest Post by Doug Casey

save, invest, speculate

For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerged, the weather would be far rougher than in 2008. The trillions of currency units created since 2007, combined with artificially suppressed interest rates, have papered over the situation. But only temporarily. When the economy goes into the trailing edge of the hurricane, the storm will be much different, much worse, and much longer lasting than what we experienced in 2008 and 2009.

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Decline and Fall of the American Empire – Part II

Guest Post by Doug Casey

Like the Romans, we’re supposedly ruled by laws, not by men. In Rome, the law started with the 12 Tablets in 451 BCE, with few dictates and simple enough to be inscribed on bronze for all to see. A separate body of common law developed from trials, held sometimes in the Forum, sometimes in the Senate.

When the law was short and simple, the saying “Ignorantia juris non excusat” (ignorance of the law is no excuse) made sense. But as the government and its legislation became more ponderous, the saying became increasingly ridiculous. Eventually, under Diocletian, law became completely arbitrary, with everything done by the emperor’s decrees—we call them Executive Orders today.

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Doug Casey on Where to Find Today’s 10-Baggers

Via Casey Research

Justin’s note: Doug Casey is a legendary speculator.

That’s no secret. But not everyone knows how Doug made his fortune. It wasn’t a case of dumb luck. Doug – like any successful investor – has developed his own specialties, approaches, and methods over the years.

One of those time-tested strategies is Doug’s 10 x 10 Approach. In short, Doug likes to divide his risk portfolio across 10 unrelated areas, each with the potential to increase 10-fold in value over the course of a business cycle. This way, nine of your 10 speculations can go to zero and you’d still preserve your capital if just one of your speculations went up 10x.

Of course, finding moonshots isn’t easy. That’s particularly true in the current environment, with stocks, bonds, and many other traditional assets trading near record highs.

So I recently got Doug on the phone to see where he’s hunting for 10-baggers…

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Doug Casey on “The Diamond Age”

Guest Post by Doug Casey

Science fiction has always offered both a more accurate and more timely look at the future than any think tank. For one thing, a good book is the product of a genius, not a committee of suits trying to reach a consensus. And a format of fiction allows one to speculate in ways that a “serious person” can’t do in nonfiction.

Every educated person should have read the classics by Jules Verne, Robert Heinlein, Isaac Asimov, and Arthur C. Clarke, among others. Add Neal Stephenson to that list. I’ve been a fan of Stephenson’s novel The Diamond Age since it was published in 1995. I strongly recommend you read the book.

There are many themes in The Diamond Age, which refers to a near-term future (I’ll guess around 2050) when nanotechnology has transformed much of life. Although not nearly as radically as I believe will actually be the case. (See my essays on the future here and here.)

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Doug Casey and E.B. Tucker on the Climate Change Hoax, Part 2

Via Casey Research

Justin’s note: Today, I continue my conversation with Doug Casey and Strategic Investor editor E.B. Tucker on the great climate change hoax. If you missed part one, click here to catch up.

Below, the guys take a closer look at what’s really going on… and why all of the hysteria is actually a big threat…

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The New American Nightmare

Guest Post by Doug Casey

An International Man lives and does business wherever he finds conditions most advantageous, regardless of arbitrary borders. He’s diversified globally, with passports from multiple countries, assets in several jurisdictions, and his residence in yet another. He doesn’t depend absolutely on any country and regards all of them as competitors for his capital and expertise.

Living as an international man has always been an interesting possibility. But few Americans opted for it, since the U.S. used to reward those who settled in and put down roots. In fact, it rewarded them better than any other country in the world, so there was no pressing reason to become an international man.

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