Submitted by Tyler Durden on 03/07/2016 09:15 -0500
Now that Q4 EPS is almost in the history books with 494 S&P500 companies reporting, we can look at the numbers: blended 4Q EPS is $29.49 (-2.9% y/y) with GAAP EPS of $19.92. As DB admits, a 67% GAAP-to-non GAAP ratio is well below the normal ~90% ex. recessions, exacerbated by asset impairments and restructuring costs especially at Energy.
This is how DB shows this almost unprecedented divergence between GAAP and non-GAAP “earnings”:
This is merely a recreation of charts we first showed one week ago, when we commented on the widest spread between GAAP and non-GAAP since the financial crisis:
The chart below shows where the GAAP to non-GAAP divergence is most acute.
Ok, we get it: on a GAAP basis it is not a recession any more, it is a depression, just as that Houston CEO letter explained.