The Real Reason for the Refugee Crisis You Won’t Hear About in the Media

The Real Reason for the Refugee Crisis You Won’t Hear About in the Media

By Nick Giambruno

There’s a meme going around that the refugee crisis in Europe (the largest since World War II) is part of a secret plot to subvert the West.

I completely understand why the locals in any country wouldn’t be happy about waves of foreigners pouring in. Especially if they’re poor, unskilled, and not likely to assimilate.

It leads to huge problems. Infrastructure gets strained. More people are sucking at the teat of the welfare system. The unwelcome newcomers compete for bottom-of-the-ladder jobs. Things easily turn nasty and then turn violent.

But the idea that the refugee crisis in Europe is part of a hidden agenda – rather than a predictable outcome – strikes me as strange. And it’s a notion that conveniently deflects blame away from the people and factors that deserve it.

Interventions Destabilize the Middle East

The civil war in Syria has turned the country into a refugee-maker.

Syria’s neighbors have reached their physical limit on their ability to absorb refugees.

That’s one of the reasons so many are heading to the West.

Lebanon has received over 1 million Syrian refugees. That’s an enormous number for a country with a population of only 4 million – a 25% increase. Jordan and Turkey also have millions of Syrian refugees. They’re saturated.

The number of refugees heading to the West, by contrast, is in the hundreds of thousands. So far.

But it’s not just Syria that’s sending refugees. Many more come from Iraq and Afghanistan, two other countries shattered by bungled Western military interventions.

Then there are the refugees from Libya. A country the media and political establishment would rather forget because it represents another disastrous military decision.

Actually, it’s not just Libyan refugees. It’s refugees from all of Africa who are using Libya as a transit point to reach Europe.

Before his overthrow by NATO, Muammar Gaddafi had an agreement with Italy, which is directly to Libya’s north, across the Mediterranean Sea. Gaddafi agreed to prevent refugees heading for Europe from using Libya as a transit point. It was an arrangement that worked. So it’s no shocker that when NATO helped a coalition of ambitious rebels overthrow the Gaddafi government, the refugee floodgates opened.

When there’s war, there are refugees. It’s a predictable outcome.

It’s like kicking a bees’ nest and being surprised that bees fly out. Nobody should be surprised when that happens. And nobody should be surprised that people are fleeing war zones in Libya, Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan.

If Western governments didn’t want a refugee crisis, they shouldn’t have been so eager to topple those governments and destabilize those countries. The refugees should camp out in the backyards of the individuals who run those governments.

I also have to mention the Saudis. They were very much involved in the Libyan war. They’ve also devoted themselves to ousting the Assad government in Syria, for geopolitical and sectarian reasons.

Then there’s the war in Yemen that the Saudis have sponsored. It’s another mess the media doesn’t discuss often. But it will likely produce even more refugees.

The Saudis make no secret about not welcoming refugees, even though the Kingdom is a primary instigator of the wars that are forcing people to flee their homelands. One reason is the Saudis don’t want more people leeching off their welfare system, especially amid budget crunches from lower oil prices.

This brings up another interesting point. For the first time in decades, observers are calling into question the viability of the Saudi currency peg of 3.75 riyals per US dollar.

The Saudi government spends a ton of money on welfare to keep its citizens sedated. But with lower oil prices cutting deep into government revenue, there’s less money to spend on welfare. Then there’s the cost of the wars in Yemen and Syria.

There’s a serious crunch in the Saudi budget. They’ve only been able to stay afloat by draining their foreign exchange reserves. That threatens their currency peg.

The next clue that there’s trouble is Saudi officials telling the media that the currency peg is fine and there’s nothing to worry about. An official government denial is almost always a sign of the opposite. It’s like the old saying…“believe nothing until it has been officially denied.”

If there were a convenient way to short the Saudi riyal, I would do it in a heartbeat.

Don’t Give the Welfare State a Pass

It’s no coincidence that the refugees are flowing to the countries with the most generous welfare benefits, especially Germany and the Scandinavian nations.

If there weren’t so many freebies in these countries, there wouldn’t be so many refugees showing up to collect them.

The whole refugee crisis was easily predictable. It was the foreseeable consequence of shortsighted interventions in the Middle East and the welfare-state policies of nearby Europe.

Instead of facing facts, blaming it all on a scheme to subvert the West conveniently deflects any responsibility from the authors of the mess.

If the individuals who run Western governments really wanted to solve the refugee problem, they would throttle way back on welfare-state policies and then stay out of the Middle East free-for-all. It’s really as simple as that.

But don’t count on the mainstream media to figure this out. They effectively operate as an organ of the State. I bet they’ll keep prescribing more of the same bad medicine that caused this crisis to begin with.

This will help to cover the tracks of the real perpetrators, and it will obscure other real problems. I expect the media to ramp up the “blame the foreigner” sentiment, as it helps the US and EU governments distract the anger of their citizens from the sputtering economy and the shrinking of their civil liberties. From the politicians’ perspective, it’s a win-win. But it’s a lose-lose for citizens hoping for accountable government.

And this brings up another uncomfortable truth for Americans and Europeans. The way the political and economic winds are blowing, things could get much worse.

Central banks around the globe have created the biggest financial bubble in world history.

The social and political implications of this bubble bursting are even more dangerous than the financial consequences.

An economic depression and currency inflation (perhaps hyperinflation) are very much in the cards. These things rarely lead to anything but bigger government, less freedom, and shrinking prosperity. Sometimes they lead to much worse.

One day the shoe could be on the other foot. We could see American and European refugees fleeing to South America or other havens to escape the problems in their home countries. It would be an ironic twist.

Now, this outcome isn’t inevitable. But the chance it will happen isn’t zero, either, and the risk seems to grow each day.

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The article was originally published at internationalman.com.

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Persnickety
Persnickety

Another useless advertorial.

Yeah, war creates refugees, that’s been known for a couple thousand years. A lot of the people invading Europe aren’t from the countries at war – they aren’t personally from those countries, and they aren’t ethnically derived from those countries. It’s a load of bullshit.

I. C.
I. C.

After 4 paragraphs, I quit reading. WTF is aTBP posting a biased infomercial here? Ole Nick can shove his commercial-plug up his a$$. No one here’s buying.

Guess he forgot the Arab Spring, Libya/Gaddaffi and Egypt/Morsi. Everything else lines up so straight you don’t need a ruler to connect the dots.

Prepare for the worst. There’s no way “the best is yet to come”.

Winston
Winston

3 groundbreaking things I should do.. Let me guess..

Buy gold
Move to Costa Rica, or some other 3rd world country where they just love white people!
Buy mining stocks

If someone is foolish enough to pay him money, let me know how close I was….

derp
derp

Based on the presence of the chinese now in sirya, I think prepping for something biblical makes more sense than investment strategies, which were a precursor to all these problems in the first place, but what the fuck do I know.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran

Of course it was stupid to destabilize Iraq, Libya, Egypt and Syria. So what? If I lived in Europe I still wouldn’t want any more Muslims allowed into Europe. In fact, I don’t want any more Muslims allowed into any Western (Christian) country. They should be banned from Europe, the Americas, Australia and New Zealand. Any refugees fleeing Syria should be sent to their co-religionists. Shia & Alawites to Iran, Sunnis to the Gulf States (excluding Bahrain), Druze to Lebanon. Only bona fide Christians should be allowed into the West.

OutLookingIn
OutLookingIn

What you sow, so shall you reap.

Short term knee jerk reactions have consequences. Those in power who have made these bad decisions, have not thought through the consequential process. Then after the fact, they are surprised and taken off guard by the consequences of their bad decisions.

As with the current, rapidly developing, dangerous situation in Syria. The road to war is a downward slippery slope, that once the sliding has commenced, is very difficult to stop. Conversely onced stopped, is equally very difficult to climb back out of that dark pit, up that slippery slope back to peace.

What is frightening, is the sliding down that slippery slope has only just commenced.

bb

Winston , to live in Costa Rica you need to speak fluent Spanish or at least that’s what I have read.It’s hard trying to communicate with Mexicans in Los Angeles but it would be harder in a foreign country. I have never been to central America but I would use caution.

MarsPleaseAttack
MarsPleaseAttack

@Iska,

Couldn’t agree more. Get rid of all the Muslims, Jews and Christians. None of those monotheistic shitbags should live anywhere near here.

Joseph Constable

Why isn’t Clinton/Obama mentioned. The author says if the West didn’t want refuges it should have had a policy of destabilization.

THE WEST? NO. HILLARY CLINTON AND BARACK OBAMA. YES.

TE
TE

Why are they mutually exclusive ideals?

So the destruction CAN’T be a part of an overall plan?

Such linear thinkers the majority of humans are.

But, just because most are, it sure as hell doesn’t mean we ALL are.

And to call our blatant arming of terrorists, our training, our weapons a “civil” war is insulting.

We have created this monster, and anyone with an ounce of understanding of history knew what the ultimate result would be.

Wonder what great welfare state will be left to take us in we try to save our families and flee?

I’ll bet even Germany will have closed their borders when that happens.

Ponzi and murder on folks, I’m sure we will never be made to pay for these horrors, nor our prolific debt. This is America after all.

EL Coyote who speaks fluent bullshit
EL Coyote who speaks fluent bullshit

bb says: Winston , to live in Costa Rica you need to speak fluent Spanish..

I have heard it said before and I wish to say that a person does not speak fluent Spanish anymore than they speak fluent English.

You can be fluent in Spanish or speak Spanish fluently.

Also, the carpet can never match the drapes but it can match the drapery.

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