The Michael Flynn Affair is one of those movies where you figure out a jumble of things that don’t make sense as you walk out of the theater.
Guest Post by Robert Gore at Straight Line Logic
There has been a deluge of articles about the Michael Flynn affair from an array of political and ideological vantage points, and SLL has reposted some of them. What’s lacking are coherent and cohesive explanations for what would be, if this were a novel or movie, gaping plot holes. The upshot of many commentators is that Trump has underestimated the Deep State, he’s floundering, and so on. This article takes the opposite tack, out of innate contrariness and because President Trump has been so consistently underestimated by both friends and foes.
Why was Michael Flynn cashiered? The administration’s story is that he talked with a Russian diplomat and mentioned lifting sanctions, then lied about his conversations to Vice President Pence. What’s become the conventional subtext is that the intelligence agencies have launched a “soft coup” against Trump, he has been significantly weakened, and the Deep State has scored a major victory.
A DOWNPAYMENT ON DRAINING THE SWAMP
Plot hole: if Trump had wanted to keep Flynn, he could have kept him and rode out the media firestorm. Blogger The_Real_Fly has suggested there was either a prearranged plan for Flynn to make an early exit, or Trump did an about-face, determined Flynn was not a good fit, and decided to get rid of him. A subplot hole: Flynn, an intelligence veteran, undoubtedly knew his phone was tapped. Either he knowingly said what he said to set a trap, or when the Washington Post story surfaced, Trump saw his chance and got rid of Flynn. He has demonstrated a cold-blooded capacity to quickly cut his losses: “Your fired!” It’s telling that Flynn’s replacement, H.R. McMaster, authored Dereliction of Duty: Lyndon Johnson, Robert McNamara, The Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the Lies that Led to Vietnam. This looks like a classic Trump double down, replacing a maverick the Deep State didn’t like with a bigger one they’ll like even less.
Whatever the real story, Trump has gained valuable leverage on the intelligence agencies. Somebody leaked an intelligence agency transcript of Flynn’s call to the Washington Post, and that’s illegal. Just before he left office, President Obama relaxed limits on the NSA’s dissemination of its information to other intelligence agencies, the FBI, and the Drug Enforcement Administration. Obama probably thought he’d be turning those agencies into a collective sieve of untraceable leaks that would plague Trump, but this may backfire spectacularly. With the new rules, the illegal leak could conceivably come from any agency that has access to NSA data. The Trump Justice Department now has carte blanche to investigate them all, unless the agency responsible coughs up the leaker to protect itself and the other agencies.
A gaping plot hole: the Deep State’s stratagems scream weakness, not the strength so many are attributing to it. The Deep State likes to stay in the shadows, zealously protecting its power by shielding it from public view. Trump has forced it into the open, and it doesn’t adjust well to the light. It has resorted to tissue-thin stories planted in the captive media that speak of assessments and opinions, but don’t offer source material that’s supposedly the basis of those subjective judgments.
The Flynn disclosure was in the same vein; the original transcript on which the Post’s story was based has not been made public. This tees it up for Trump to lambaste the mainstream media and intelligence agencies, which he has done repeatedly and to great effect. He was in rare form at his recent press conference. You only plant stories in media organs nobody trusts, sourced to anonymous operatives within an intelligence community nobody trusts, obviously breaking the law, and setting yourself up for abuse from the president, because that’s all you’ve got.
The whole Russian story reeks of “Desperation.” It is flimsy and flimsier still is the rationale offered for the Deep State’s dogged loyalty to this concoction. Any rapprochement with Russia supposedly threatens the empire and must be quashed, even if that entails ham-handed efforts to depose an elected president. However, it’s child’s play for Trump to beat a tactical retreat, talk out of the other side of his mouth, and take the wind out of his enemies’ sails.
To counter the Putin puppet fairy tale, he could have his ambassador to the UN condemn Russia’s annexation of Crimea. He could continue Obama’s military build up on Russia’s western border. Trump and team could tweet and talk tough about Russia and its allies China and Iran, and reject any joint military operations with Russia in Syria. Oh wait, all this has already happened. So why has the Deep State resorted to repeatedly discredited tactics to propagate its concocted story, ultimately helping the president in his battles with it and its captive press, supposedly in service of a foreign policy criticism of the president that he easily undercuts by adjusting his rhetoric and moving toward their position? What’s going on?
The real story isn’t Russia. Do you mount a “soft coup” over policy differences when, after all the Washington give and take, those policies will, at worst, marginally affect your influence, power, and payola? Doubtful. (Keep in mind Trump wants to increase military budgets.) If, on the other hand, you’re facing complete disgrace and ruin, including a long stretch in a penal institution, there’s nothing you won’t do to save yourself.
It’s not what politicians and bureaucrats do sub rosa that poses the biggest danger to the country and the world, but what they do in broad daylight. However, there’s no denying that Washington is the world capital of sub rosa—the unethical, immoral, and illegal. To use a favorite Trump adjective, it’s a crooked place. Trump knows or suspects where some of the bodies are buried, and the powers that be fear he’ll go after them for everything from garden-variety graft, bribery, theft, and influence peddling to crimes as sordid as child molestation and murder.
He can’t know exactly what he’ll find, but he can turn on the light and watch the cockroaches scuttle. Fishing expeditions for leaks of classified material; a crack team of auditors rooting through accounts and contracts, especially those of the military, the intelligence agencies, and their legions of subcontractors; vigorous prosecution of child pornography and molestation, making deals with small fry in exchange for testimony against bigger fry; Jeffrey Epstein and his Caribbean island; disclosures from intelligence agency archives of deception and illegality stretching back to the Kennedy assassination and Vietnam; disclosure of those 650,000 emails on Anthony Weiner’s laptop; pay to play at the Clinton foundation—the list is endless and who knows what they’ll find. This, not the fear that Trump will revise US policy towards Russia, is behind the Deep State’s cold sweat, motivating its hysterical—comical if wasn’t so serious—campaign to depose him. This is the first time it has faced an unfriendly in the White House, with presidential powers to investigate, expose, prosecute, scandalize, and ruin.
Greene shook his head. “The Corleone Family don’t have that much muscle anymore. The Godfather is sick. You’re getting chased out of New York by the other Families and you think you can find easier pickings here. I’ll give you some advice, Mike, don’t try.”
The Godfather, Mario Puzo
Trump may be weak like Michael Corleone was weak, just before he wiped out his enemies, including Moe Greene. Like Corleone, Trump may be trying to further an impression of feebleness and for the same reasons: to make his enemies overconfident and to flush out traitors.
Until the swamp is drained, there is no prospect of making America great again.
“Feared, Not Loved.” SLL
The Deep State is trying to kill Trump with a thousand paper cuts. Trump has bazookas, howitzers, and tanks. Don’t bet he won’t use them.
Yup. If the internal battle within the agencies is to be believed, then I suspect Trump has already received lots of ammo from the dissenters.
The FBI, IRS, DOJ and their bottomless resources and lawyers are more feared by the media and deep state than all the military might in the world.
Endless audits will bankrupt you. Lies, corruption, and malfeasance will land you in jail for a long time. Hidden secrets will destroy your reputation and status.
These are the instruments Trump needs to use to eliminate those who have used these measures for decades.
What goes round comes around.
“The FBI, IRS, DOJ and their bottomless resources and lawyers are more feared by the media and deep state than all the military might in the world.”
———-
You got that backwards. Those agencies are owned by the deep state.
Great read, Robert. Like you always say, keep them coming.
Here’s another theory, Flynn is now involved in a deep, deep covert spy agency that will undermine the Deep State. Nah, Robert has a better alternative explanation. Here is the Russian take on these events:
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index2237.htm
Other stuff from that source: http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/
Hagar….thanks for the link; not finished reading it.
More along the same lines that Flynn did all this to expose certain people:
http://www.thomaswictor.com/leakers-beware/
Para todo roto hay un descosido – The sexy mulatta.
For every plot hole there is a convenient backfill.
Just yesterday I walked right off the cliff as coyotes tend to do and I had to backfill my story with a convenient reclassification of homosexuals. I said that there a queers and there are faggots. I didn’t go into detail of how I arrived at that dichotomy but assumed the readers would accept it.
Queers might be otherwise conservative minded folks with an alternative choice of partner. Gays are promiscuous queers and faggots are those deplorable folks who are queer by choice and not by birth.
Faggots have a degenerated libido-driven mentality.
That idea sounded so good, I thought I could apply it to other conundrums; how do you explain a black republican while deploring all the niggers in the Democratic party? You call them black conservatives.
Plot holes are the product of carelessness or a lack of imagination on the part of the story teller. Or, it could be the story-teller assumes the audience is stupid.
This article is spot on. Trump did not become president because he is a fool. He knows exactly what he is doing, he is prepared to take some hits, and he fully intends to destroy the traitors. That silly mulatto freak Obama made a terrible mistake trying to humiliate Trump in front of the press a few years back. Obama, an effeminate homosexual who grew up among similar weaklings and oddities, has no idea what he unleashed. But he and his friend soon will……….
Trump already had a boner for the presidency, Obama did nothing to provoke of dissuade Trumpy. All he did was piss him off.
Sometimes you get closer to the truth looking at things as a novelist. I’ve often said my multiple rereads of the Godfather and watching the movies (parts 1 and 2, 3 was trash) multiple times have been more valuable to me in business, life, and my own novels than my largely useless MBA.
I agree about novels. A good novelist has to have insight into the natures of people he observes in order to create a fictional cast of characters, and he has to have an understanding of human motivations as well. That understanding and insight is something that I don’t think can be taught, and reading the novel written by a writer who has those talents can teach the reader a lot about people.
Robert Gore…..enticing post. Should be a lot of meat on the bone to chew.
Just a note: Pence speaking in the EU was taking the opposite view of Trump on EU.
The new guy, McMaster?, he seems to have a different view on Islam than Trump.
Getting Hot.
Added: From Hagar’s link, it states the (W H) Security Council (SC) issued a directive to the SVR that all international security matters previously coordinated with the US National Security Council were to immediately cease and be redirected, instead, to the US State Departments Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR). Note: I have no idea what country initiated the SVR
I just watched deep state operative Georgy Snivellinglieapuss interview Moonbat Pelosi regarding appointing a special prosecutor to explore Trump’s connection to Russia.
Trump’s complete unveiling of the mainstream media’s corrupt collaboration with establishment politicians, and their combined fealty to their corporate masters, has been a spectacular site to behold. ABC now stands for Assclowns, Bullshitters & Cunts in the minds of an increasingly awakening citizenry.
Fantastic perspectives, Robert. If you are right (and I sincerely hope you are) then Trump must truly aim for even the largest of all the swamp creatures. Aim small, miss small. This is no time for half measures and every success will continually discredit both his daily detractors and entrenched political enemies.
Only women and children can afford to be careless.
Beware the patient man.
Bears repeating: “Until the swamp is drained, there is no prospect of making America great again.” Pray that Trump can do that. What can we do to help that along?
I certainly hope you are correct Robert. As you point out Trump has forced the deep state out into the open. Just a few short years ago this was all fringe stuff, now many more people have open eyes. It’s not like Trump is destroying the credibility of the media. They’re are doing that all by themselves and doing a great job at it. You can almost smell the fear from the very core of their being. I also agree with Uncola that the unveiling of the media pond scum is a spectacular site to behold. Almost worthy of a Roman spectacle. Nice article Robert, keep it up.
“sight”, not “site”! (I let the first by Uncola slide, but 2 times is too many).
Just because Flynn is out doesn’t mean he’s down. Who knows what’s really going on… really? Every Schmoe from Kokomo has an article about how fucked Trump is by events & happenings. It is getting old & tiring. It’s barely a month in. The cesspool didn’t fill up in 30 days, or even a 100. It sure wont get emptied overnight. A different take is refreshing. I like the way you think Robert.
trump needs to learn to not say so damn much and cut there throat. any one thats being at war knows dark is your friend. if i know that some one is going to hurt me you will not see me coming.
“He can’t know exactly what he’ll find, but he can turn on the light and watch the cockroaches scuttle.”
According to Russ Baker’s Family of Secrets Nixon’s downfall began when he demanded the CIA turn over all files relating to Bay of Pig’s and the Kennedy Assassination .Of course, he never got them.What he got instead was politically ruined. Now how powerful is a CEO who can’t even see documents relating to his company business? …not very.
I would love nothing more than to see Trump, as Nixon should have done , send troops to Langley , surround the base and in the name of We The People seize all CIA assets and shut the anti-American bitches down….but of course that will never happen.
Interesting take on the Flynn affair Robert and you may be spot on, but really until the Deep State is engaged , defeated and their operations made public,we the people of US will never know the accuracy of any speculation.
BTW, this book should be required reading in HS American history high school classes .
Trump did not become a multi billionaire and POTUS because he is a dummy. He knows how to play the game and who to trust(nobody including Pence). He has massive power at his fingertips and people would do well to respect that.
What Trump needs to keep in mind is the Sniper’s creed:
“From a place you did not see…comes a shot you did not hear”
“Runners die tired”
Mr. Gore,
I love every bit of your essay.
Also, I went back and read the “Feared, Not Loved”
piece. Wilson and Harding, and, just let it go.
OMGosh, I am really hoping your analysis is correct.
Thanks. I too hope my analysis is correct!
Robert,
Loved it. You offer a perspective that is likely closer to the truth than anything I’ve read in weeks. I’ve felt at my core that a lot of what is happening in the media is a result of fear more than anything else. You can smell it in the air these days, emanating like a stench from almost every channel. It’s become a dangerous world as a result. Big nasty, wounded beasts can be very dangerous. I hope Trump knows how to use that bazooka!
Thanks. I smell the same stench you do; you can’t avoid it. To me the thing that is most amazing is that his enemies, and many of his friends, chronically underestimate the man and take his seemingly random rants, raves, and tweets at pure face value. They chase those chimeras and either refuse to see or fail to look at what he’s actually doing. My modus operandi with Trump is to ignore most of what he says, watch closely what he does, and try, not always successfully, to anticipate his moves in this game of 3D chess I think he’s playing. If nothing else, the Trump presidency is going to be intriguing and interesting, but most people are going to miss the fun. I think he knows how to use the bazooka, but we’ll see.