IS THIS TIME DIFFERENT?

“This time may seem different, but all too often a deeper look shows it is not. Encouragingly, history does point to warning signs that policy makers can look at to assess risk—if only they do not become too drunk with their credit bubble–fueled success and say, as their predecessors have for centuries, “This time is different”.Carmen M. Reinhart, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly

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Top 10 countries with the Worst Debt-to-GDP Ratios

1. Japan (245% at $11.59B)

2. Greece (173% at $338B)

3. Italy (138% at $138B

4. Portugal (133% at $274B)

5. Belgium (111% at $111B)

6. Spain (106% at $106B)

7. Canada (106% at $106B)

8. Ireland (105% at $105B)

9. France (98% at $98B)

10. Brazil (82% at $82B)

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9 Comments
Fiatman60
Fiatman60
September 24, 2017 11:49 am

Yes this time IS different!!
After this experiment is finished it will unleash untold stories of wealth destruction, from the bottom of the financial ladder thru to the upper middle class, essentially wiping them out with no assets whatsoever, when all is said and done. This will make the last great depression look like a cake walk in comparison.
The good news is that after we pick up any pieces leftover, a new and better financial future awaits the survivors, and a new and better way of dealing with “credit & debt”
And the current batch of perpetrators?….. will get off Scott free…….

doug
doug
September 24, 2017 12:12 pm

Has society ever hanged the bankers? Well, yes; Achtung.

rhs jr
rhs jr
  doug
September 24, 2017 12:45 pm

They have been expelled a hundred of times; either way works great.

IndenturedServant
IndenturedServant
  rhs jr
September 24, 2017 3:27 pm

Not really. This time the world needs to commit genocide against the bankers. When it’s finished, the world should talk about it the way we now talk about the holocaust except joyously!

Mike
Mike
September 24, 2017 1:00 pm

It’s hard to get ahead going behind.

wholy1
wholy1
September 24, 2017 1:17 pm

Don’t know about this “time” as an inflextion point, but relativity of time dimension appears to becoming increasingly evident as a function of increasing “aberrant events” more frequently referred to as “The Quickening”. Exciting times anticipating when/if there is an imminent “critical mass moment” and the complexity/corruption of the system finally succumbs/capitulates to another chaotic reaffirmation of entropy. Soooo thankful to be a STILL PRODUCTIVE “fly-over deplorable” repentING reprobate old fart, already RURAL, inland, GROUNDED, GROUPED, GUNNED, GARDENED. Yo, all “citYzen coasters” CHOOSING to remain trapped in incorporated municipal sewer traps complacently “getting by” – tick-tock, tick-tock.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  wholy1
September 24, 2017 2:45 pm

So you’re like a prepper on acid?

starfcker
starfcker
September 24, 2017 3:28 pm

This time is quite different. The expansion of economic activity in the world is unprecedented. For Christ sake, Zimbabwe has a stock exchange. I think a great deal of the expansion is unsustainable, but I see little chance of a 2008 type crash. Central bankers learned from Hank Paulsen, as long as you can fake solvency with liquidity, you can buy a lot of time. At the time Reinhart and Rogoff published the book quoted above, this policy has not been fully fleshed out. As long as central banks can print trillions in counterfeit money at will, and suppress inflation by printing gold, and kill bad debt by burying it in bonds, this could easily go on for the rest of our lifetimes.

BB
BB
September 24, 2017 5:39 pm

Or until China or Russia decides not to play the game anymore.