Trying to Understand Trump and North Korea

This is an interesting thread from Thomas Wictor on yesterdays events surrounding North Korea. I like reading some of Thomas’ threads. He is an observant and inquisitive individual and even if I don’t always agree with his analysis I generally learn something in the process.
This particular thread mirrors some of my thoughts and comments in this post from the 24th. I wrote the following there:

“Interesting that plans for the new [military] facility are parked along the Chinese border. With its nuke program in tatters, it would take decades to rebuild and besides, the focus is on ‘modern warfare’.

Modern warfare is not nuclear warfare – see the current ME – specifically Syria – for what that means over the past year or so.

My prediction based on available evidence and trends throughout the rest of the world is that NK and SK are being set up to become a sovereign trading block with links to both western and eastern markets. Trump does not want regime change there – what he wants is strong leadership and for the country to remain sovereign. Weak men do not lead sovereign nations that share borders with countries like China.

NK is being set up to succeed, not to fail. As such KJU is a male peacock displaying his tail.

In pulling out of the talks DJT admin distances themselves from NK’s affairs and hands them back their sovereignty after destroying their nuclear capabilities.

Peace through strength has to work both ways (or at least have appearances of doing so). Then come trade and prosperity for everyone.

That’s my theory.” FM

I would add in doing so they put the ball in NK’s court. I THINK Trump is setting KJU up to be the good guy/hero in all of this (at least that’s the way the MSM will likely spin it). Wictor’s analysis is similar but with a twist. It’s worth the read.

AHA!

So THIS is the plan.

Here’s the North Korean statement.

(2) “The disgraceful situation shows how severe the present situation of the seasonal hostility with deep historical roots and how desperately needing reunification for the improvement of the relationship is shown.”

(3) The North Koreans are saying, “The US and North Korea can’t even talk, due to the mutual historical baggage. So the only solution is reunification with the South.”

OH MY GOD.

Kim Jong-un is saying that in order to improve relations, he’s willing to dissolve his country!

(4) And with that one statement, China loses control of North Korea.

Incredible.

Trump and Bolton and Kim and Moon pulled off the mother of all deceptions.

(5) Next, Trump will agree to meet Kim.

AND he’ll thank Kim and his people for graciously agreeing to meet with him.

THAT is what’s going on.

See, the Chinese were thinking small: nukes.

Trump and Kim were thinking BIG: reunification.

(6) This won’t be the same as the reunification of Germany.

Koreans aren’t Germans.

A GIGANTIC new market is opening up. Kim and Moon will steer this ship of state brilliantly.

(7) Always trust Trump.

He and Kim had us looking over HERE, while in fact the two of them were working over THERE.

(8) Let’s do this in real time.

I’ve never studied why the unification on Germany was so problematic.

(10) “There was massive confusion about property rights. As wave after wave of Nazi, Soviet, and later GDR expropriations had taken place between 1933 and 1989, there was often little knowledge of the actual ownership of property.”

(11) So nobody knew who owned what.

The Koreans won’t have that problem.

(12) “Another problem was that East German production costs had been very high. Western German firms found it easier and cheaper to serve their new eastern German markets by expanding production in western facilities.”

(13) The North Koreans don’t HAVE any wages or production costs.

They’ll go roaring into the new factories in a tsunami of eager humanity.

Again, a unified Korea won’t have this problem.

(14) “A third problem was that the inadequate infrastructure also became a problem for many potential investors.”

(15) There’s NO INFRASTRUCTURE in North Korea.

Companies will make a fortune building it.

That’s ANOTHER German issue that won’t impact Korea.

(16) And finally:

“Policies calculated to make the initial adjustment [to a free market] as painless as possible hampered long-run growth and prosperity.”

(17) So the WEST Germans set the bar low for the East Germans.

You may not know this, but for years, North Koreans were allowed to work in South Korea.

The Southerners were STUNNED by how good the Northerners were.

(18) At the heart of North Korean political ideology is something called “juche,” which means “self-reliance.”

The North Korean ruling elite made several fatal mistakes.

They educated Kim Jong-un in Switzerland, which allowed him to break free intellectually.

(19) The ruling elite ALSO indoctrinated the people to work as hard as they could.

NOW Kim Jong-un will tell his people that their new mission is to bring the North up to the standards of the South.

(20) Amazing.

So I have no doubt whatsoever that the US and our allies first freed Kim Jong-un, the way Moqtada al-Sadr in Iraq was freed.

Al-Sadr is leading Iraq away from Iran at warp speed.

He’s using every single hour of the day to liberate his people more.

(21) The same thing is happening in North Korea.

HERE is the secret:

(22) Two fearless, altruistic visionaries came to power at the same time.

They’d known each other for many years.

(23) Both of them were able to create leakproof governments.

And both of them are able to personally REACH the people they want to reach.

Neither Saudi Arabia nor the US seek domination.

(24) If you can PROVE that to people, most of them will stop being your enemy.

Some people can’t be reached.

The Iranian mullahs–MOST of them–can’t be reached.

(25) Putin was reached by the annihilation of his 550-man assault battalion in Syria.

THAT made him decide to cooperate.

(26) I’m now quite sure that Kim Jong-un was never the monster he was made out to be.

Here’s an idea:

It’s possible that Trump contacted him BEFORE becoming president.

(27) This was the most spectacular strategic deception of all time.

Watch it play out exactly the way I say it will…

(28) ADDENDUM: Reuters is a little late, but of course.

(31) So it’s all true.

Trump and Kim hoaxed the world…

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
14 Comments
Anonymous
Anonymous
May 25, 2018 6:50 am

“(22) Two fearless, altruistic visionaries came to power at the same time.”
“Neither Saudi Arabia nor the US seek domination.”

Anyone who writes something like this either has literally zero grasp on reality, or is doing standard governmental PR (which things typically go hand in hand, but not always).

I strongly suggest you look elsewhere to learn anything at all, unless what you’re trying to learn is how to get a job at the Washington Post.

Bob P
Bob P
May 25, 2018 7:57 am

So Trump is playing 4D chess? At this stage it’s impossible to know what to believe, but I’m dubious that everything that’s happening in Korea and the Middle East is the product of a cunning plan out of Washington DC. With the line of thought in this article I can imagine if war does start between the US and Korea/Iran/Russia/China, that, too, would be portrayed as a brilliant plan to make the world a wonderful place.

sionnach liath
sionnach liath
May 25, 2018 8:03 am

I think Mr. Wictor’s piece is far too over analyzed and speculative. I think that there are 2 scenarios in play:
1. A real desire between the 2 Koreas to form a closer union, economic primarily but potentially political as well.
2. A fear by the US military and intelligence community that by developing a closer working relationship, US forces will no longer be needed on the peninsula, and we will be told to remove them.

It wasn’t what KJU said that caused Trump to cancel the meeting; it was pressure from our military/ intelligence groups which leaned on Trump to put an end to easing tensions and perhaps actually seeing the creation of a peace treaty. Instead, I think that the leadership of both North and South Korea will work together, and work around the US, to make their own deal.

China will help them accomplish this as it will be good for China economically and politically. It will also help push the US out of the western Pacific Ocean. In the meantime, watch carefully what China is now doing with regard to Taiwan. The Asian push to get the US out of that part of the world is going forward, and it has our military/intell. folks scared. They can’ bear to see $70 bil (or whatever the amount is) of budget allocations being reversed.

Mousanony
Mousanony
  sionnach liath
May 25, 2018 8:07 am

I don’t think we will ever see any budget allocations to the MISC slowed even a little bit. Our pseudorepresentatives and Sinators stopped representing the human resources of this country long before anyone currently alive was even an itch in their great-grandaddy’s prepubescent crotch.

Anonymous
Anonymous
May 25, 2018 8:43 am

Obama did a much better job of dealing with North Korea, the rest of the world as well.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
May 25, 2018 11:44 am

[imgcomment image[/img]

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
May 25, 2018 8:54 am

What an imagination this guy has. Reality has no part in it.

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
May 25, 2018 11:34 am

See how the narrative got turned around. First no response from NK about confirming the Singapore meeting of the minds. Then out of the blue the president cancels the meeting. Saving face?

rhs jr
rhs jr
May 25, 2018 11:49 am

Trump chooses war over peace talks: “KJU wasn’t humble enough; mine is bigger than his” and Trumpers call that 4D chess?

Alfred1860
Alfred1860
May 25, 2018 9:13 pm

We shall see I guess.