From Brandon Smith
In the second week of October, after the “partial” U.S.-China trade deal was announced to much fanfare, I made this prediction:
US and Chinese officials rarely waste an opportunity to use trade talk headlines to head-fake markets with false hope. Rumors of a “partial” or tentative trade deal are circulating today, with MORE trade talks in a month or two. In other words, “more trade talks” means there is no deal of any substance and there’s plenty of time for the whole thing to fall apart once again. I give it less than a month. In the meantime, there will be plenty of other distractions for the general public, including the impeachment circus, tariffs against Europe, tensions in Syria, the Brexit mess, etc, etc.
My estimate was incorrect; it took a little over one month for the whole thing to fall apart. That said, I think the primary point remains the same. The trade war is not going to end anytime soon and there is a very good reason why this is the case: It serves the globalist agenda as a perfect distraction for the collapse of the “Everything Bubble” and the launch of the global economic reset into a what the elites call a “new world order”.
But let’s go back for a moment to understand what just happened. A month ago, the trade deal was treated as essentially done. China had partially folded on most of Trump’s demands and Trump was going to pull off a major economic victory just in time for the 2020 election season. The Dow was going to rocket past 30,000 and Trump’s second term was now assured. This was the narrative in the majority of the alternative media, and I have to say, it is sad to see so many otherwise intelligent analysts make such a huge blunder.
I have lost track of how many times the trade war was put on hold in light of an optimistic “new deal”, and how many times people bought into the farce. For many, though, this event seemed different. The rhetoric on both sides was more conciliatory and they even had a tentative date set for a “phase one” deal signing. The problem is that after every deal announcement, the establishment has always left at least a few separate “linchpins” in place that would allow them to explode trade deal exuberance down the road.
A year ago, the linchpin was the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou in the middle of a 90-day truce. This time, it was the U.S. passage of a bill supporting Hong Kong protesters only weeks before the trade deal was to be signed and before new U.S. tariffs were to be implemented against China.
The Hong Kong issue is an interesting one. I won’t get too involved in the domestic politics of Hong Kong vs. China because I think this is peripheral to the bigger discussion. I will say that if I was living in Hong Kong, I would not want to concede further control to the totalitarian aspirations of mainland China. But U.S. involvement doesn’t help the protesters. In fact, it hurts them.
Mass protests against government dominance require grassroots momentum to be successful. They require the public and the rest of the world to view their efforts as a legitimate fight for freedom against the oversteps of the political elites. Such activist efforts are derailed when they are sullied by associations with foreign powers. Meaning, when a protest or rebellion is accused of being a puppet movement of a foreign government seeking war by proxy, the rebellion loses support in the eyes of the rest of the public and thus loses momentum.
Americans should be intimately familiar with this problem. Conservative activist groups have been accused for years of being puppets of the Russian government, and this is clearly designed to undermine their image as Americans fighting for a freer society. In Hong Kong, the U.S. is being presented as the foreign power whose tentacles are spreading through every facet of the protests. And even if the Hong Kong rebellion started on honest terms as a true domestic response to Chinese Big Brother collectivism, it doesn’t matter now. The U.S. government has sabotaged those efforts by injecting itself into the situation.
U.S. legislation in support of Hong Kong also truly wrecks any future possibility of a trade deal, because it directly attaches the Trump Administration and the trade talks to the violent tides in Hong Kong. Trump cannot sign a trade deal with China while China brutalizes protesters, and China cannot sign a deal while Trump encourages what they consider domestic terrorism. Even if one side or the other wanted to capitulate, now it is impossible.
Of course, it is my belief that neither side ever had any intention of signing a trade deal in the first place. It is also my belief that the next escalation of the trade war will be used by the establishment as a scapegoat for the ongoing collapse in economic fundamentals and eventually a crash in stock markets.
Currently, it appears that the December phase one deal signing is off. Donald Trump has stated that he “likes the idea” of delaying a trade deal until after the 2020 election. The Chinese state-controlled media has accused the U.S. of “backpedaling” on recent agreements. And, rumors are that the Trump Administration is poised to assert new and higher tariffs on China by December 15. I think the people betting on a Santa rally in markets this holiday season are about to get the same shock they got during the 2018 holiday season.
In the meantime, precious metals, which saw a pull-back in recent weeks due to economic optimism fueled by a potential trade deal, will now return to their previous rally as the trade deal falls apart yet again. There is a reason why countries like Russia and China have been stocking gold like mad the past few years. They know what is about to happen.
But why reignite the trade war now? As I noted at the end of October:
Trump has no intention of “winning” the trade war, and China has no intention of giving any real concessions to the US. In the meantime, the banking elites are conditioning the public to associate the trade war with the success or failure of stock markets, and separating themselves from any blame for the ongoing crash in fundamentals. When the trade deal finally and fully falls apart and markets crash, the public will assume the two things are directly related, and the banking elites hope that everyone will forget that it was they that created the Everything Bubble in the first place…
The Federal Reserve’s overnight and month-long repo purchases conveniently coincided with October and November’s trade deal optimism. Stock markets rocketed upwards despite almost all economic data showing a severe decline in every sector from housing to manufacturing to retail sales and store closures to auto sales, all on top of historic levels of corporate and consumer debt not seen since the crash of 2008. Now the Fed’s repo-loans are coming due and companies are going to have to buy back the collateral they initially gave the Fed in exchange for quick cash, conveniently at the same time as the trade war is being accelerated.
You will notice that in almost every instance that there is a policy shift by the Fed, something extreme seems to happen in the trade war. The central bankers are acclimating the public to the idea that every time good things happen in markets, it’s because of trade deal optimism. And, every time something bad happens in markets, it’s because the trade war is getting worse.
The masses are being conditioned to forget all about the epic financial bubble the elites engineered over the past decade through stimulus measures and QE, not to mention the fact that the Fed popped that bubble a year ago through interest rate hikes and balance sheet cuts into economic weakness.
Another rather advantageous aspect of the trade war is that it provides cover for the destruction of the current monetary order and makes way for what the establishment elites call the “global economic reset”. As “de-dollarization” continues in Russia, China, the EU and other nations, eventually the American public is going to discover that their currency is being replaced as the world reserve with a basket system that includes a cashless digital alternative. This system is already being created by the IMF, and many nations including China and Russia have proclaimed their support for it.
The U.S. will see considerable inflation or stagflation as the reset evolves. The elites hope that Americans will blame China and perhaps Russia for the pain of the dollar crash. The trade war creates a false paradigm of East vs. West, while the global banks and their political allies escape all blame. At least, that is the plan.
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The US in doomed.recession in 2020 big time!
What you always get from government, lies, deceit, fake money,theft and slaughter.
But you can vote.
Imagine, a few people can print money and loan it to US; they have bought and control the USA; their billions of lies are our daily news. I have one tiny example. The night of 4Dec2019, I compared my outside thermometer (which I had zeroed in ice water at 32 degrees) and the official Weather Service temperature on the computer; they were not the same by a mile: at 3 AM it was 24 degrees F true temperature vs 38 degrees official temperature; 4 AM 20 vs 37 ; 8 AM 28 vs 41 ; 10 AM 36 vs 52. Slanted a bit to Global Warming I’d say. Guess their Chem-spray blanket didn’t work as advertised.
Brandon Smith seems awfully astute for a young feller. I’m not surprised that Admin would feature this post. Smith has been right way more than wrong, and seems to think independently.
A sycophant from alt-market no doubt. On this date at this time Smyth wrote a clear message will be sent and voila it happened, and those with whom Smyth disagreed were deleted.
The longer this drags out, the less likely China is to sign anything.
I hope China completely walks away and simply stops doing business with the US. That would put the US Fed Gov in a serious situation as Walmart heads downhill trying to find new Asian partners and prices in the US rise because cheap Chinese goods are gone.
Blah Blah Blah and another thing Blah Blah Blah !
Face it the Federal Reserve in full working control by the treasonous relationship of the Washington DC Circle Jerk Of Wall Street To K-Street To Capitol Street have systematically destroyed the American economic engine and with it the largest middle class of a nation in world history all for the benefit of the few and the ruination of millions of working American citizens !
Until we see real punishment from tar and feathers to hanging in public squares of politicians and Wall Street bankers and hedge fund managers all members of “THE BIG CLUB” the anal rape of working Americans can and will continue . When you write the laws that allow bankrupting pensions while your supporters profit from it , well at least Jessie James stuck a gun in your face when he robbed you . These parasitic swamp scum use the system and a legion of dependent just doing my job LEO’s to do their dirty work !
No none of them give a fuck about you your family ! All their concern is , how much can they extort from you before you are totally broken or dead .
Do you think you own anything completely paid for , fat chance !
Don’t pay property tax because you need to fix your clunker to get to work so you can eat and see what happens ! Government forces still want their retirement after age 50 so FUCK YOU AND YOURS !
Brandon is always a frustrating read. He slings a great line of BS that perfectly aligns with the conspiracy mindset of many on TBP. No real facts but directionally it sounds right and this article is a good example.
His assertion that both China and The Trump Admin have no intention of compromising on a trade deal (to be clear if one side capitulated the other would gladly sign a very favorable deal). Yep….this is the Thucydides trap….a The dominant power (US) challenged by a rising power (China) there can only be one king of the hill so conflict not compromise is the likely path.
The US is an empire I don’t think any serious folks dispute that and even more, so that empire is owned, managed and run for the benefit of a fairly small group of elites in DC and the financial centers of NY, San Fran, LA, and Chicago. The rest of us are just population “units”.
OK, so far so good….but then Brandon always jumps to the unsupported conclusion:
The trade talks are a conscious effort to provide a plausible explanation for a future economic depression allowing the banksters to escape blame.
Nice theory, aligns perfectly with TBPer views that there is a vast all-powerful conspiracy that has omniscient control of outcomes across the entire world over a long period of time……really?
That is a pretty extraordinary claim….a little meat on the bone would be nice….
Alternatively how about there are powerful groups with significant influence on the levers of power that would like to avoid blame for their malfeasance and incompetence…..similar but fundamentally different in terms of “now what”…..
In Brandon’s world we population units are simply accounting entries in the elites ledgers and unable to impact much less stop their machinations.
I refuse to buy that….We did get Trump elected despite overwhelming opposition from these supposedly all-powerful elites….(cue but Trump is part of the plan and is loyal opposition)….give me a break the crazed impeachment coup puts paid to that theory (“but impeachment is part of the deception”….sweet Jesus).
So like so many regular commenters here Brandon never offers a solution (obvious or otherwise)…buy Gold….gee that is pretty perfunctory don’t you think…..
Yes….the elites want to avoid blame but Tucker is calling them out on a regular basis now….and magically is still on the air….
Solutions to complex problems tend to be equally complex, multilayered with many interdependencies and play out over a longer period of time….with many steps backward and sideways before there is forward progress. Solutions are never obvious even if the goal (or desire end-state) is…..
E.g. how about a violent revolution against these jew banksters with the full Adolph final solution…..which even if successful (and it would not be) would more likely than not simply result in a tyranny of one group in exchange for another…..who would be the next minority group that needs to be purged in the fire?
So what to do?
There is no way for you to believe that both of these statements are true. You cannot support Trump and still call for the elimination of the Jewish problem. Trump is a Jew sympathizer. The Trump administration is a ZOG. And it’s hard to find a politician that is not as well.
Sigh. Trump was obviously better than Hillary who would have presided over the death of America.
Doesn’t mean I “support” Trump, I do but only to the extent, he remains a positive force to keep us alive to fight the globalists. So far he is still a net positive but far far from perfect.
You are kind of making the case for me…ZOG conspiracy, everybody in power is involved and you will apply unsupported statements to make that case….resulting in the inevitable conclusion…Trump is ZOG..of course he is, because all power is ZOG. Great, OK so now what?
My example of a violent (and let’s assume) wildly successful opposition to ZOG is not something I am advocating, I am simply pointing out that….power always corrupts and those who replace ZOG will be just as bad…..the problem is centralized power with a monopoly on force…well that is always going to end in tyranny.
The WASP banksters are just as ruthlessly evil and corrupt as the Jewish ones.
How about no banksters and no centralized government….that is what I am advocating….
Martel, you make some good points. However, regarding Trump, how can one look at facts, like how many are in key positions in his cabinet (5 at last count) that are former Goldman-Sachs, and are current Council on Foreign Affairs (CFR) members and still not believe his part of this elaborate plan. His ardent supporters still claim he is draining the swamp. Really?
Before the election, candidate Trump called out the Fed and said the stock market was one huge bubble (correct). Now, as POTUS, he takes credit for it when it rises.
Candidate Trump promised to curtail spending and lower the ridiculous federal debt.
As POTUS, it has grown faster than any of his predecessors, including Oblahblah.
The big beautiful wall that Mexico was going to pay for has only been partially built (the last I heard was about 15 miles of it).
I realize that the impeachment process currently underway can lead one to believe that the left, and globalists, and even the establishment right, want him out because he is truly doing the job he was elected to but, stand at 20,000 feet and think about this for a minute. What if all of those in our Congress (most anyway) are just doing their job as well-paid actors? Before the curtain goes up, the left, and the right, are all pretty good pals on the same page being paid handsomely by the shadow government and lobbyists (also part of the big plan). Then, when the curtain goes up, they go about the business of pretending to be of two different political parties working for the people.
Let me wrap this up. We are all being had. By Congress, by Trump, by all the PTB.
Occam’s Razor, and your last statement summed it up nicely. A society without God – without morals – produces what we have today. There’s no reason to believe in some sort of over-arching conspiracy and in fact it over-complicates things tremendously.
Solutions are obvious……..”How about no banksters and no centralized government”
the only way we get there is at the barrel of a gun, it’s all they understand at this point
I do not understand all of the down votes. I would like to see intelligent debate on this, and I happen to agree with you. I am concerned about the potential for Jacobinism, to be honest.
Martel sure did spent a lot of words to suggest Brandon’s analysis is flawed.
Unfortunately, Martel still believes countries run the world and buys into the East vs West bullshit he was peddled in the public indoctrination centers….Manifest Destiny and blah blah blah, rah rah rah, American Exceptionalism.
I ask, who has more power? A government who doesn’t print debt free money or the Central Banking institutions who print every dollar, yen, yuan, ruble, pound as a debt to the “government” and more importantly to the citizens?
Nah, this isn’t a conspiracy that transcends borders and continents….
Brandon understand more about the global financial system than Martel will ever understand, because, of course, it’s crazy talk, conspiracy conjecture.
Get the fuck outta here with your weak, old and dying bullshit
Martel said,
Did you click on the provided links and read them? Probably not, because if you did there is plenty of meat and even some potatoes to digest. But if it doesnt fit into your narrow understanding of geopolitics and the global financial SYSTEM then im sure you, like countless others, merely glaze over it and look for something to nitpick. Carry on with your “conditioning ” and get further primed!
Here are a few more links for anyone wanting to expand their understanding of what we are living through…
This is a great article with plenty meat bro
https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/reducing-power-of-us-dollar-as-the-world-currency-proves-to-be-trend-617020
All fits nicely with what I’ve been saying for near a decade… the so called elite, are engineering us and conditioning the populous to believe WWIII to be imminent. Trade wars always lead to physical wars. NATO and NATO aligned countries (headed, or soon to be headed, by many populist nationalist leaders) VS. the economic bloc of the BRICS and those aligned with them such as Venezuela and Turkey (as I said before, will leave NATO)…
The power elite of the world are positioning their respective countries to minimize the blow and shock from the U.S. dollar reset!
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia-opening-giant-gas-china-040548747.html
The U.S. sanctions are being subverted as more countries ditch the Dollar for trade and use their own currencies and Russia’s alternative to SWIFT (as the FX related article above explicitly outlines, even for the truly niave or braindead).
Ok Platapussy. BTW nobody clicks the links until you have made a decent enough argument to generate the interest.
This is where we differ….Dollar resent aka loss of reserve currency status, de-dollarization etc….I see that as a natural life cycle event helped along by the standard incompetence and political expediency of “can-kicking” or short term pain avoidance at the cost of long term devastation.
At some point, the long term is NOW!
If you look at world reserve currencies they typically last a 100 years or less…. I will drop in a pretty picture that chillings that shows some kind of global currency taking over from America….
There are natural cycles to everything…..and our time at the top of the heap as the reserve currency is likely reaching its natural end….doesn’t mean that evil forces are not trying to accelerate that demise or that certain groups are not trying to take advantage….but what it doesn’t mean is that a natural event is strong evidence of a worldwide conspiracy…….unless……let me dangle the bait.
OK, PlatyPussy….if you want to say a hidden cabal is taking down the USD….then logically you must also believe it was hidden cabal that took down all the other reserve currencies over the last 800 years…..now is that the same cabal? Different ones? How does the cabal get into position and get displaced?
Now for the predictable and ever so convenient….ITWASDAJOOS! They are the hidden hand that is at the bottom of everything…..Right….OK….
If true then what?
Martel said,
A short answer. Secret societies existed over the last 800 years and still exist. Secret oaths, secret agendas, secret handshakes aren’t new. These groups exist and hold an inordinate amount of influence over global happenings. They have infiltrated every single institution created by MAN.
Ever read, None Dare Call it Conspiracy?
The names might change but their power, control ans influence DOES NOT.
Martel is one of those TBPers who rails against the Left and Marxists but doesn’t see any conspiracies!
Makes you wonder.
That’s always where we end up here…..some mysterious black box of conspiracy and hidden forces that are the root cause explanation for all things…Sure Mr. Quigley makes a nice case but it is simply more of the same….correlation substituted for causation, exaggeration of small impacts into primary drivers and non-linear conclusions….1+2 =’s pumpkin (joos)…
You have the angry confidence of those unwilling to have a broader perspective…I get it…reality is messy and we have to take ownership of the outcomes in our life instead of being able to point at a black box of conspiracy and blame that!
I have never said there weren’t conspiracies and secret societies…there are…Free Masons are fascinating. What I am saying is that Free Masons or Jews or Banksters or JFK as the secret president (where is .22popgun) are the answer….part of the answer but that is about it….and far too many take the destructive next step of saying:
“because of the all-powerful conspiracy I am powerless and can do nothing”….
don’t be that guy….even a platypus has a seriously toxic spur on the hind leg of the males….and can fight…what is your excuse.
It is what I call “first level thinking”. Or ‘Cognitive dissonance’. It took me a long time to keep peeling back the huge onion to see what ultimately is behind all the crap that has gone on for centuries in the world such as the wars that were created for profit (funding both sides) because they all need bullets, band-aids and beans. This goes on to the current day.
Martel said,
I was referring to Brandon’s hyperlinks from his article, but carryon. This explains alot
Brandon has been pushing collapse for years now, he’s like most doomers who make a living selling doom and collapse. The dollar is going to stay reserve currency until one of the BRICS comes up with something better. SDR’s? Maybe but what currency is accepted globally? Not rubles or yen or drachmas or whatever.
As to the Stock Market? Please. The Stock Market is a Market like the Federal Reserve is part of the government. The Stock Market is a controlled entity, the Fed insures that. The algos are the market, not traders, and stock buy-backs do not a market make. Only way the controlled entity known as the Stock Market will ever crash is if the Fed and certain other entities decide it’s time to have a crash, not before.
Japan has limped along for decades and will continue to do so because debt is what makes the world go round and America is going to follow suit.
Want to know who and/or what controls the World?
Here are the top ten transnational companies that hold the most control over the global economy (and if you are one of the millions that are convinced Big Banks run the world, you should get a creeping sense of validation from this list):
1. Barclays plc
2. Capital Group Companies Inc.
3. FMR Corporation
4. AXA
5. State Street Corporation
6. JPMorgan Chase & Co.
7. Legal & General Group plc
8. Vanguard Group Inc.
9. UBS AG
10. Merrill Lynch & Co Inc.
https://www.outsiderclub.com/report/who-really-controls-the-world/1032
Note that Lehman Brothers is listed in the graphic, along with Bear Sterns, Lehman is no more, 2007-o8 made that happen. Bear Stearns was absorbed into JP Morgan Chase via actions of the Fed. Lehman was the sacrificial calf. Qui bono during the O7/08 crash? Who bailed out who and why are the same actions then allowed to continue?
Because the financial crash made a handful of people filthy rich…
‘Crime doesn’t pay.”
Actually it does, handsomely. If you are a banker or large financial player, it pays wonderfully. You get filthy rich committing the crimes and after… you continue to get filthy rich.
What doesn’t pay is reporting crime.’
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-04/steady-enmity-powerful-people-or-crime-does-pay-after-all
How in God’s most beautiful, holy existence did I end up on the same side of the aisle as you and Charlie in this conversation???
Because you’re not stupid. There are those out there who NEED to believe certain things like the ‘cabal’ story. There is indeed a sort of cabal, but it isn’t hidden or arcane, the players are in your face and some are jewish and others aren’t. The world is controlled by one giant corporation, a massive bank if you will, with many tentacles and the people involved are like a big club, a massive and greedy club and that club has a hierarchy.
Who owns your food? Who sells your products you use daily?
I don’t think they’re stupid, just justifiably angry at the overt looting and mooching. It’s really, really bad. Plato’s pretty smart and so is Charlie…they always butt heads. Plato works hard and is poor, and he’s been shaken down by crooks (as have we all) for a very long time.
This has become a ZOG controlled website.
Martel says things unsupported by non ZOG evidence like “The Adolf Solution” which indicate Plato’s comment is correct. Others are so terrified of the JQ they refuse any argument whatsoever.
There is a force powerful enough to micro manage and macro manage this allegedly vast and too complicated conspiracy. AOC is worried about Jacobianism when the Jacobians are all on his side of the argument.
This power is the Devil or Satan. He has been given this power by God Almighty to carry out a purpose. Without allowing evil we can’t have free will and we are just robots. Wishfull dreaming of a winnable war against the NWO is refusal to see, period. I’m never wasting another ounce of scarce energy on the COGDIS ARMY. Plato is right. Knock yourselves out arguing about symptom while denying what’s around the corner. Happy Qballing.
Flea, I love you either way you cut it, man. I’ll just stand aside and read what everyone has to say on both sides. I don’t wanna get caught in the crossfire.
Flea et al,
What you said reminded me of the Bernays quote that helps explain how small circles within circles engineer and steer civilizations.
“Happy Qballing!” Hahaha Hilarious.
That did make me LOL.
Marty.
Nobody clicks the links until you have generated enough interest. Vote Harder needs to hear this.
Charlie, I lean in your direction in terms of this Ubermensch elite. Yes, I do think they are generally sick, twisted, depraved, and some are likely Satanic. But uber alles? Hardly. This is what I mean when I say that Westerners seem to fall back on a linear “if this” -> “then that”. The world is far more complex and multivariate. To think that all of these greedy bastards could agree on much of anything in lockstep is more than a stretch, IMHO.
Bilderberg is just an elite Western wish list in which the lack of transparency is despicable, but predictable farts in a vacuum. They always end up fucking everything up. Fear turns to anger, and anger turns to blame. It’s very simplistic to blame one person or group of people and really, ALL of us “need only look in the mirror”. It’s difficult to turn off the limbic system when faced with extreme poverty and loss of liberty, but it must be done so we don’t end up with a “meet the new boss, same as the old boss” dilemma.
The recent Johnstone article here:
explains how these conspiracies begin and incorporate larger and larger groups of useful idiots to consciously and unconsciously enact aspects of an agenda unknown to the majority. The understanding of the “Power of the situation ” as reknowned social psychologist Philip Zimbardo clearly outlines in this MUST see 25 minute video:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=AiWZxOdXiUs
A major first hand account of the videos findings can be found in Christopher Brownings horrific book:
“Ordinary Men is the true story of Reserve Police Battalion 101 of the German Order Police, which was responsible for mass shootings as well as round-ups of Jewish people for deportation to Nazi death camps in Poland in 1942.
HarperCollins › ordinary-men”
How are you holding up, Plato? Long time no see.
AOC,
I’m taking it one day at a time.
I am hit and miss lately, at least trying to check in on the content here but don’t always have time to comment.
Waiting for Admins Part II and a NEW Uncola thread haha.
How bout you?
Hanging in there! You missed some fireworks for sure.
Damn! Well, there’s always next time. Haha
These articles are funny. I see one posted here everyday. I’m sure, when/if it actually happens, the author will jump for a joy for finally being able to get it that one time…forgetting the other 1356 articles of doom.
Doom? Or just being “Real!”
When your avatar is a maunatren you are in real trouble!