Tesla’s Warranty Expense “Income”

Submitted by Phil B.

Via Investment Research Dynamics

Note: Tesla is a fascinating case in fraud and of the “wizard” behind the fraud, who has managed to pull the wool over a large population of stock gamblers. Tesla is a saga for the ages and likely the biggest Ponzi scheme in U.S. history.  The Company and its CEO are truly emblematic of the fraud and corruption that has engulfed the entire U.S. economic, financial and legal/political  system. If this country survives what’s coming, there will be semester long classes in top-10 business schools and psychology masters programs devoted to the case study of Tesla.

A long-time Tesla critic published an article in Seeking Alpha outlining the fraudulent nature of Tesla’s accounting for “warranty expense.” I did not read the article beyond the summary because it was placed behind Seeking Alpha’s subscription firewall.  But I’ve detailed this aspect of Tesla’s accounting fraud in previous issues of the Short Seller’s Journal . Tesla has been reducing its provision for warranty expenses relative to the number of vehicles it sells for several quarters. While the warranty provision should rise in correlation with the rising number of vehicles delivered, Tesla and its auditor have decided an inverse relationship between these two variables makes more sense.

In addition, as it turns out Tesla in many instances allocates warranty expenditures incurred to “goodwill” and other non-warranty expense categories, which enables it to move the expense – a cash expense incurred – off its income statement and on to the balance sheet or to the “operating expenses” section of the income statement.

GAAP accounting no longer requires a company to amortize goodwill evenly over time as an expense on the income statement. Those of you who might know GAAP warranty accounting rules might say that the warranty expenses as they incur only affect the income statement to the extent they exceed the “provision for warranty expenses” that accumulates on the balance sheet.

However, in all likelihood Tesla is playing these games with its warranty expenditures because it has already exceeded the amount it has previously reserved for warranty expenses. OR over time if Tesla reports – fraudulently – less on actual warranty expenditures than it has reserved for them, it can “release” the warranty expense reserve into the GAAP income statement as a contra expense to boost gross margin and operating margin. This in turn contributes to the accounting manipulations used in any attempt to generate positive net income.

Furthermore, understating current warranty expenditures enables Tesla to understate future provisions for warranty expense, which should be expensed every quarter as part of the cost of goods sold. In other words, moving warranty expenditures into other expense categories or into goodwill reduces the cost of goods sold thereby artificially and fraudulently boosting the reported GAAP gross margin.

Moreover, the amount of warranty expenditures tossed fraudulently into goodwill never hits the income statement. It sits in the goodwill asset account on the balance sheet which no longer has to be amortized into operating expenses, thereby boosting operating and operating margin OR reducing operating losses. Yes, there is an accounting rule that applies to the revaluation of goodwill but don’t hold your breath waiting for Musk to adhere to any accounting regulations.

This is crucial to understanding the breadth and scale of Tesla’s accounting fraud. Tesla has made it a point of emphasis to boast about its gross margin, which is much larger than the gross margin for the legacy auto OEMs.  Also, Wall Street analysts focus on Tesla’s gross margin. When the gross margin reported is higher than expected, the stock price jumps. This accounting scheme also fraudulently boosts Tesla’s operating and net incomes. In fact, if Tesla adhered to strict GAAP accounting, its gross margin would be substantially lower and in all likelihood the Company would have never been able to report positive earnings per share in Q3.

But wait, there’s evidence that backs my assertion above that Tesla fraudulently misclassifies warranty repair expenditures. Tesla owners who have taken their car in for warranty-related repairs have been reporting that on the final invoice the warranty service repair is classified as “Goodwill – service.”  You can see a photocopy of one such example in an article published by InsideEvs.com. There are also several lawsuits filed against Tesla with documentation showing that Tesla’s misclassification of warranty service expenditures is standard operating procedure at the service centers.

As it turns out, Tesla labels warranty service expenditures for two more fraudulent reasons. First, under California’s Lemon Law, in many instances Tesla would be required either to buy back for full price the tarnished vehicle from the owner or replace it with a brand new vehicle. Likely this law is similar in most States. Second, repeated warranty repairs for the same problem would require per NHTSA regulations for a recall of the defective parts involved. But labeling these repairs as “goodwill” enables Tesla to fraudulently avoid both of these costs of adhering to the law.

Musk’s business per se is not to be sell cars but sell stock in a company that sells cars.  Musk’s accounting schemes are aimed directly at pushing the stock price higher. The primary motive behind this effort  is Tesla’s insane CEO compensation plan, which would award Musk with $364 million in stock/options if the market cap hits $100 billion (which is more than Ford and GM combined).

Though I can’t prove it without access to the actual records, I suspect that Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have a lucrative fee-generating business lending money to Musk against the value of his Tesla shares.  In other words, Musk – along with Gold man and Morgan Stanley,  will do and say anything to try and force the stock higher in order to achieve that compensation milestone level and to protect the value of the collateral used secure loans to Musk.

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27 Comments
Didius Julianus
Didius Julianus
January 23, 2020 5:11 pm

I wonder who their auditor is?

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
  Didius Julianus
January 23, 2020 5:19 pm

Same guy who supposedly “audits” the Fed in all those “audits” we are supposed to be content with accepting (versus the kind of audit Ron and Rand Paul have been pushing for for a decade or more).

Here’s a photo of the beginning of the audit that was smuggled out without Elon’s knowledge:
comment image

Hyperborean
Hyperborean
  MrLiberty
January 23, 2020 8:50 pm

I hope there was a gun wrangler for that photo shoot.

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
January 23, 2020 5:21 pm

Not covered under the warranty:
comment image
Here’s 5 that never even made it to the dealership:
comment image

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
January 23, 2020 5:29 pm

I retired from a construction equipment dealer and spent 42 years in equipment distribution. It is possible to actually “make” money on warranty, depending on how you internally account for labor, parts and supplies, plus how you accrue for warranty with each sale.
At the end of the fiscal year, we would look at the warranty accrual account to see which machines had passed out of the warranty period the previous year and would take any excess warranty funds to use in other areas of the company. It was a nice little slush fund at FYE and is within GAAP guidelines.

On another note, Telsla crossed the $100 Bln market cap this week, making Elon eligible for some really large stock options, if the valuation holds for a short time. Think there might have been some incentive to make the numbers look a little better to push the stock price?

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
  TN Patriot
January 23, 2020 6:35 pm

I worked in the medical device field (laboratory instruments). The cost of a service plan (including warranty coverage) was typically built into the cost of the instrument. The better the instrument performed, the more money the company kept. Staying on top of service issues, feeding that back into design for new instruments, or current production, kept the situation constantly improving. Indeed, warranty can be a “money maker” if you do it right….without fiscal hocus pocus.

Llpoh
Llpoh
  TN Patriot
January 24, 2020 7:08 am

Auto companies make money by gouging their suppliers if a part fails. They may charge a supplier $1000 for the failure of a $100 part. It is a huge profit center for the big companies.

TampaRed
TampaRed
  Llpoh
January 24, 2020 9:45 am

llpoh,
is that $1000 charge if a part fails at any time or only if a vehicle has been shipped?
if the failure results in warranty work or a recall the $1000 might be justified–

Llpoh
Llpoh
  TampaRed
January 25, 2020 12:58 am

Tampa – $1000 plus labor etc at huge $/hr from the dealers. The 900 is their, the companies, “handling” charge, ie profit from the warranty. The dealers get a huge cut from the labor charges.

Hardscrabble Farmer
Hardscrabble Farmer
January 23, 2020 5:32 pm

The next thing you know people will be questioning whether or not he really sent that car into outer space.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Hardscrabble Farmer
January 23, 2020 11:58 pm

Ha Ha Ha- you mean to say there a people that don’t question it.? My My.

StackingStock
StackingStock
  Anonymous
January 24, 2020 5:31 am

He musk have sent one, here’s a live view.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wfcrg83ApLA

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
  StackingStock
January 24, 2020 1:06 pm

And Carlsberg sent a guy to the moon too:
comment image

John Galt
John Galt
January 23, 2020 5:55 pm

The only reason Tesla is still in business is because there is more money than brains, low rates, and nowhere else to invest so hedge funds etc give money to Tesla. When this economy goes pop Tesla will be the first to go buh bye…..if i could buy a long term leap put option on it i would.

Gloriously Deplorable Paul
Gloriously Deplorable Paul
January 23, 2020 5:57 pm

Waiting for Eric Peters to weigh in on this.

starfcker
starfcker
January 23, 2020 7:10 pm

Montana skeptic? Didn’t Elon Musk personally call his mom last year and order her to put parental controls on his computer so he couldn’t keep writing this shit?

Austrian Peter
Austrian Peter
January 23, 2020 8:04 pm

Excellent article, thank you Phil. I am not surprised because Tesla is only one of the bulk of corporates that routinely fudge their accounts. Even the Fed does NotQE, it’s all smoke and mirrors. As an accountant, I have experienced many such schemes and they keep coming because the auditors are in on it – after all, who pays their fees? It is just as bad here in UK. A shining example is Carillion that went bust in 2018. This little trick really opened my eyes:

“This was the use of “reverse factoring” to hide debt and make the company’s working capital appear better than it really was. Reverse factoring, or supply chain finance, is when a company arranges for a bank to pay its suppliers, and the bank claims these payments back from the company at a later date. Carillion was a heavy user of reverse factoring, leading it to rack up hundreds of millions of pounds in debt to its supply chain, without recording it as such.”
http://www.globalconstructionreview.com/news/accounting-tricks-how-carillion-duped-market/

Donkey
Donkey
  Austrian Peter
January 23, 2020 9:06 pm

Maybe I should invest in Tesla instead of that app I was thinking about. Tesla seems to have the best crooks.

Austrian Peter
Austrian Peter
  Donkey
January 23, 2020 9:10 pm

Yep, Donkey, they do, but when the crazy stuff stops all there will be is fresh air behind the curtain!

Jellos And Grapes
Jellos And Grapes
  Austrian Peter
January 23, 2020 9:29 pm

Hi AP – accurate insights and interesting anecdote about Carillion. Never heard about that one.

I would be interested in your thoughts on KHC (kraft heinz), as one current/other example of potential accounting maniuplations.

They currently show Intangibles/Good Will, for example, as 85% of total assets (85B of 103B). CAT was showing similar numbers about a year ago and the SEC called them out (a first, no doubt).

What games, would you speculate, are being played with KHC accounting?

Austrian Peter
Austrian Peter
  Jellos And Grapes
January 24, 2020 3:29 am

Thanks J&G and you have touched on a sore subject! It is almost impossible to get behind goodwill figures and it is an area that is open to manipulation. I always discount this figure when assessing a company’s performance. The best I can do is warn you about this by first understanding how corporations use it:

“Goodwill is difficult to price, and negative goodwill can occur when an acquirer purchases a company for less than its fair market value. This usually occurs when the target company cannot or will not negotiate a fair price for its acquisition. Negative goodwill is usually seen in distressed sales and is recorded as income on the acquirer’s balance sheet. Because the components that goodwill is composed of have subjective values, there is a substantial risk that a company could overvalue goodwill in an acquisition. This overvaluation would be bad news for shareholders of the acquiring company since they would likely see their share values drop when the company has to write down or impair goodwill later.”
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goodwill.asp

As for KHC, they have been acquiring lots of companies over the years which is a way to grow towards monopoly and command of a market. The purchase of Cadbury here in UK raised a lot of ire within our country. They have been playing fast and loose with their reporting, here is a note about last year. I would tend to avoid KHC for investment:

“Kraft Heinz said it will restate its accounts for the years ended 30 December 2017 and 31 December 2016 and each of its quarterly and year-to-date periods in fiscal year 2017 and the quarterly and year-to-date periods for the nine months ended 29 September 2018. It reported that at the start of this month, the company and its audit committee agreed these figures could not be relied upon’ because of certain misstatements contained in those financial statements’.
https://www.accountancydaily.co/kraft-heinz-admits-181m-accounting-misstatements

Hope this helps, Cheers AP

Anonymous
Anonymous
January 23, 2020 11:56 pm

Elon Musk deserves to get the nomination to run either the New York Fed or the entire Fed, whichever opens up first.

TampaRed
TampaRed
January 24, 2020 12:29 am

i’m probably going to dump this list b/c you all are mostly just a bunch of nattering nabobs of negativity–
elon is not in it 4 the $,he is just trying to help humanity–if he has to fudge a few # s or have a few defects that kill innocent people,well they probably weren’t so innocent anyway–

the experienced
the experienced
January 24, 2020 9:03 am

When the gross margin reported is higher than expected, the stock price jumps

It’s cute to see the mobsters trick each other. It’s like a love hate relationship, like the woman riding the beast. Rev 17:3

Accounting rules are just as arbitrary as IRS rules. The powers to be use them and make them up as they please.
The income tax is unconstitutional anyway since the 16th amendment was never properly ratified.

Redd Fox
Redd Fox
  the experienced
January 25, 2020 12:28 am

Reminds one of George Costanza getting tied up to the bed by his hooker when she learns he doesn’t have any money, as she leaves the room with all his clothes.

overthecliff
overthecliff
January 24, 2020 11:08 am

I wonder how much Elon will steal from the Chinese before they stop him.

c1ue
c1ue
January 24, 2020 3:07 pm

Kuppy at Adventures In Capitalism also noted that Tesla seems to get paid an awfully small amount of interest for all the cash it supposedly has on hand – way under 1% per quarter when typically it is more than 1%.