As of this morning, the deadly coronavirus that originated in China has killed 26 people and infected more than 900.
But according to one simulation run less than three months ago, things could get much, much worse. Less than three months ago, Eric Toner, a scientist at the Johns Hopkins Centre for Health Security, had run a simulation of a global pandemic involving the exact same type of virus, according to Business Insider.
His simulation predicted that 65 million people could die “within 18 months”.
He commented:
“I have thought for a long time that the most likely virus that might cause a new pandemic would be a coronavirus.”
As of now, the outbreak is not a pandemic, but it has been reported in eight different countries. Toner’s simulation said that nearly “every country in the world” would have the virus after six months.
He commented:
“We don’t yet know how contagious it is. We know that it is being spread person to person, but we don’t know to what extent. An initial first impression is that this is significantly milder than SARS. So that’s reassuring. On the other hand, it may be more transmissible than SARS, at least in the community setting.”
His analysis used a fictional virus called CAPS, which would be resistant to any modern vaccine and would be deadlier than SARS. The simulation involved a virus originating in Brazil’s pig farms. The outbreak started small, with farmers coming down with symptoms, before spreading to crowded and impoverished areas.
The simulation also showed flights being cancelled and travel bookings falling by 45%, as people disseminated false information on social media. It also triggered a financial crisis around the globe, with global GDP falling 11% and stock markets falling 20% to 40%.
No word on whether or not the simulation accounted for the modern monetary theory the Fed is essentially governing with now.
He also claimed that the current coronavirus could have major economic impact if it the total cases hits the thousands.
He concluded:
“If we could make it so that we could have a vaccine within months rather than years or decades, that would be a game changer. But it’s not just the identification of potential vaccines. We need to think even more about how they are manufactured on a global scale and distributed and administered to people.”
“It’s part of the world we live in now. We’re in an age of epidemics.”
Of course here in the United States the CDC is assuring us that we don’t have anything to be concerned about…
“We don’t want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low,” says Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. “On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and are dealing very closely with Chinese authorities.”
Hopefully they are correct, and hopefully this outbreak will blow over sooner rather than later.
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Can I pick the 65 million?
Hold on, the Georgia Guidestones say that only 500 million will be left. This simulation is obviously in error.
Pretty sure that is not what it says.
MAINTAIN HUMANITY UNDER 500,000,000
IN PERPETUAL BALANCE WITH NATURE
Yes that is what it says. It does not say it will happen. Read for comprehension.
Guidestones say “ Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature”. It certainly does not say that it will happen. More of a should happen. Not sure I disagree. 10 billion is an absurd number, and will end in tears eventually.
Send them to the Congo – get that virus to mix with Ebola. Now that’s what I call a pandemic.
I was going to start with Hollywood and maybe Miami Beach.
Don’t forget the District of Corruption
If i get it i will take a flight to DC and lick my fingers and rub elevator buttons, then on to nyc and hollywood to los angeles. Licking and stickin the whole damn way….lmao
Actually that would be an epically biblically awesome good start towards the 500 million…
Obongo will tell it’s ok to sit next to them on a bus. The fear is just over blown.
That is my job. So be nice to me.
Will it be as bad as the bird flu? Or the swine flu? Or any of the other Chicken Little events of the past?
As for me I’ll call on Doctor Carlin:
“It’s all bullshit and it’s bad for ya”.
This pussy
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/time-im-petrified-virologist-who-helped-discover-sars-offers-chilling-take-coronavirus
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security which ran the simulation above also conducts various planning events, like the recent “Event 201”:
“The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, in partnership with the World Economic Forum (aka Davos) and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, hosted Event 201, a high-level ‘pandemic exercise’ in Oct 2019… Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global…with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.”
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/
“You never let a serious crisis go to waste… It’s an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before.” — Rahm Emanuel
Timing
Article from July 2019
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/chinese-researcher-escorted-from-infectious-disease-lab-amid-rcmp-investigation-1.5211567
I have no idea why my eyes initially read this as “A horse at Hackensack University Medical Center…”, but they did.
How bad can a disease be when it’s named after a beer?
Or a cigar gauge.
The Chinese government is taking down videos of conditions in hospitals and other areas.
https://twitter.com/BNONews?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1220648525064822784&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fgeopolitical%2Fplease-help-us-supply-shortages-rock-wuhan-outbreak-overwhelms-chinese-healthcare
Overwhelmed Chinese doctor having a break down…..
Couldn’t understand a word but he was obviously upset about something .
Hey My Girl thank you for calling while I was broke down in Odessa.After a month and a 4000 dollar motel bill I finally got rolling.
You’re welcome and….$4,000 motel bill? Wish you had told me, I have friends in Odessa. I didn’t realize how long you were stuck there. Glad you’re out and on the road BB.
Im not fluent buy i think he is really pissed they used msg in his food and he cannot eat his rice with the mask on…..
Instead of SARS, since it originated in Wuhan it could be called WARS?
“It’s part of the world we live in now. We’re in an age of epidemics.”
Dummy me, I thought we were living in the age of grace… or was that globull warming? So much to fear and so little time.
. . . Calling in the military to “help”
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/please-help-us-supply-shortages-rock-wuhan-outbreak-overwhelms-chinese-healthcare
I too ran a simulation, it predicts that after this accidental release of a bio-weapon, the stock price for the companies that make medical face masks, will rise dramatically.
You forgot to put quotes around “accidental.”
4chan says bioweapon…first flu, which abates and then the victim drops dead….
New update Baylor University in Waco just advised that a student there is showing evidence of infection and….., more dead and infected in China. The numbers of dead increased by fifteen so (cough) the authorities are saying 41 dead and over one thousand infected.
It would seem the Chinese government is vastly under reporting the numbers of people affected and many people aren’t being counted, especially since they have no more test kits for the virus. Now France has a third victim…tick tock…..
“Now we know why: As we suspected, the virus has been claiming more victims. But the local authorities, who promised ‘transparency’ in everything virus-related, apparently felt the need to wait until 4 am local time to drop this massive bomb: Another 15 people have died in Hubei as hospitals struggle with severe shortages of nearly everything, including doctors and nurses. That brings the total number of casualties to 41. In addition, another 180 cases have been discovered in Hubei, bringing the total number of cases over 1,000.”
Scroll down for a video of a walk through of a hospital….note the dead bodies…..
https://twitter.com/BNONews?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1220648525064822784&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fgeopolitical%2Fplease-help-us-supply-shortages-rock-wuhan-outbreak-overwhelms-chinese-healthcare
CCRider, don’t you remember the millions who died from the bird flu ? If we just pay a few more taxes and turn in our neighbors guns, this problem would be fixed along with global warming.
Bring out your dead! Bring out your dead!
I got better.
Great timing no?
What serendipity!
Still no mention of the Gates Foundations part in the article.
I guess, ho-hum, nothing to see here folks.
I don’t believe that this viral outbreak is much more than an exercise or drill of some sort. It may be some real bad illness, but I have not seen any reason to believe it yet. I am open minded. I just don’t trust any of these governments or agencies who are reporting about it.
The powers-that-be around the world would LOVE to have a global crisis they can exploit that does not include making huge war. Use a “PANDEMIC!!!” to squeeze the last of whatever worthwhile currencies out, and let the UN ride into the rescue with the IMF SDR to save the day. 18 months? I don’t know. Maybe.
Last is that 65 million deaths do not sound to bad to most governments, especially if they are a bunch of old people. Sounds harsh I know, but imagine how all these governments that are behind the eightball on unfunded retirement promises and elder health care suddenly had a LOT fewer of them to take care of.. Damn tough on Grandma and Grandpa, but the Woke grand children might just be quietly in favor of it.
We get lied to a lot, about almost everything to one extent or another. Keep your eye on this one. I bet it is a lot more scam than physical illness.
Less serendipity and more planning it would seem.
Article from 2015.
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/lab-made-coronavirus-triggers-debate-34502
Dude, you rock. EXCELLENT link, saved to archive. Thanks!
Dear God is there any cure for Trump Derangement Syndrome? Apparently not.
Wait what happened to Orange Man Bad….?
Which one, there are several…
I see 7,000,000 dead people.
— RE
Only the long timers will know where this comment comes from.
I do.
Any word from Fleabaggs?
Well on the brightside, that may put a dent in the H1B visa program.
Good one…I love optimism! The glass is half full…with beer!!
Somebody tracked down the source of the virus.
Not sure how Milla Jovovich figures in here, we’ll need to wait for the trailer, I guess.
How will Xi react to losing a few dozen million serfs? Meh.
Anytime a US government agency announces to the public not to be concerned BOHICA !
I never believe anything my government tells me and generally I find the exact opposite is true !
Prepare to save and defend yourselves , you can bet those involved in government are !
If you want to hear what’s going on in China right now, check out this:
This guy lived there 15 years teaching doctors and he knows doctors dealing with the infection now.
That is disgusting !
Yeah, watching this reinforces what I already thought about them, but now my ignorant stereotypes and hateful assumptions are strengthened by actual facts. Chinese people are fucking sick.
I thought we were already supposed to be dead from global warming? The seas in New York are supposed to be already 10 feet higher.
How come people predict such huge numbers? It is like when people say they were someone in a previous life and they are kings or queens. If you are going to predict things, realize the bigger the number, the dumber you look when it doesn’t happen.
According to the guardian newspaper, Chernobyl was going to kill 2 million people. Guess how many died directly from the explosion? 56