Guest post from John Wilder at Wilder Wealthy Wise.
Count de Monet: “It is said that the people are revolting.”
King Louis XVI: “You said it! They stink on ice.”
–History of the World, Part I
When I copy in these big clocks into my posts, it’s a huge paste of time.
- People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology. Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
- Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
- Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
- Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
- Open War.
We are at step 9. Step 9. is, of course, two minutes to midnight. I didn’t move to step 9. last month because last month, violence was just happening. This month? Violence is being commonly justified by local and state authorities. When protesters a mob tore down a gate to access private property in St. Louis, which set the stage. When the Modern Sporting Lawyer™ and his wife pulled out firearms to protect themselves, the sane world cheered.
Yes, I recycled this one. Couldn’t resist.
That’s why a District Attorney vowed to find something, anything to charge this couple with. The one thing the mob cannot stand is decent, armed people standing up to the mob. The politicians have made the mob and know that it must be fed.
The fact that CHAZ/CHOP was allowed to exist, with the rampant lawlessness of the mob in charge for weeks was another sign. We are very, very close to open warfare.
I stole the clock metaphor from the (Leftist) Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists©. It’s a good metaphor, because it creates an immediacy. And I can and will go backwards if events justify it, though at this point it seems like no one wants to go backwards.
In this issue: Front Matter – A Year Down The Road – Violence and Censorship Update – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – Links
Welcome to Issue 12 of the Civil War II Weather Report. These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month. I’ve created a page (LINK) for links to all of the past issues. Also, feel free to subscribe and you’ll get every post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at 7:30 Eastern.
A Year Down The Road
I started the Weather Reports a little over a year ago because I could see the changes coming faster and faster. I’ve been concerned about the economy since I read The Fourth Turning (The Economy, The Fourth Turning, Kondratieff, and You.) back around the year 2000. When you look at all of the trends – social, economic, political – I could see trouble on the horizon. If you want some in-depth thought on how The Fourth Turning is progressing, Jim over at The Burning Platform (LINK) is your man.
The 2007 housing price collapse wasn’t a surprise to me. When I bought my house, I was (fortunately) in the position to negotiate with my employer that they’d cover any loss on sale if I moved for them. As house prices were going up, up, up . . . they agreed. And why not? It wouldn’t cost them a dime.
It did. My house dropped 20% in price between when I bought it and when it finally sold two years after I moved out. I don’t give myself genius points for this, but when they offered me a loan that was nearly ten times my salary? With no income verification?
Yikes.
The tensions we face aren’t going away anytime soon, in fact they’re not anywhere near their peak. Those same social, economic, and political factors have gotten worse, not better in the last 20 years.
Is anything out of the question?
Will one more year down the road have as much change as we have seen in the last year?
Why wouldn’t it?
Are you ready for that?
Violence and Censorship Update
In the previous posts, it has been either violence or censorship that’s shown up in a month. This month? We get both. I’ll start with censorship.
What’s out? Statues. Toppling statues is censorship – censorship of the past. George Orwell described it well in his book, 1984:
“Every record has been destroyed or falsified, every book rewritten, every picture has been repainted, every statue and street building has been renamed, every date has been altered. And the process is continuing day by day and minute by minute.”
No bit of American history is safe, from George Washington to Thomas Jefferson to Teddy Roosevelt to “American Pioneers”, Spanish explorers, and black abolitionist Frederick Douglass. Yup. All have to go. And not by vote, not by decision, but by the raw power of the mob.
An episode of the British television classic Fawlty Towers has been removed because of offensive language, and the wind has done gone with Gone With The Wind, which had to be shuttered “temporarily” so that (pulls answer from hat) people won’t be offended.
So, history has been judged to be insufficiently woke.
Right now the media is so woke, it’s like they took NoDoze® with coffee and meth to get ready for their Gender Studies final.
YouTube® just concluded its next round of purges. Dozens of large channels with millions of views are now gone. The biggest personality banned was Stefan Molyneaux, philosopher and badthinker. His crime? Not sure. People think it’s because he has had guests (scientists) on in the past that indicate that there might be group differences in cognitive ability. Oops – can’t discuss that idea in 2020.
Among other channels that YouTube® suggested for me and that I listened to from time to time was The Iconoclast, a British guy on the Right who advocated for lower immigration into Great Britain. Now? Gone. Plus? A major newspaper published a story on The Iconoclast’s identity. In 2020, having the wrong views means going without a job.
But that’s not violence, right?
On Reddit®, I heard that over 2000 subreddits were banned. I had been to several of the banned subreddits in the past, and was a bit surprised. One of them, r/consoomers was specifically set up for self-improvement and rejection of globalist commercialism. A little politically incorrect?
Yup.
Now gone. Another dead subreddit is r/The_Donald. It’s crime? Can’t be sure. I think it was too popular, with over a million subscribers. And a group of a million people who like Donald Trump? Triggered!
Reddit™ made rule changes as well. They initially rolled out this new rule for commenting:
“While the rule on hate protects such groups, it does not protect all groups or all forms of identity. For example, the rule does not protect groups of people who are in the majority….”
After someone got on Wikipedia and figured out that, for instance, men are in the minority since there are more women in the world, the rule on protecting people from hate wouldn’t apply to people who were misogynist. Oops. They changed that rule.
But it sure showed what they were intending.
This is the biggest month of censorship against the Right in, well, ever. I expect it to get worse. The idea that Donald Trump could be re-elected is mind poison for the Left. Leftist fetishize politics as a religion – Trump is the ultimate demon. They will do everything and anything so that he isn’t re-elected.
Share this meme and make a Leftist lose sleep so they can stay woke.
I’d spend more time updating you on the violence of the past month, but it’s probably easier to update you on the places that weren’t violent. Modern Mayberry was one. Here, we watch the news and see the world falling apart, and it’s like there’s another country out there.
There is. It’s just waiting to be born.
Updated Civil War II Index
The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time. They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings. As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that lead to the index. On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.
June has been the worst month so far – economic, violence, and political instability are all in bad shape. It’s so bad that even the illegals don’t want to sneak across the border.
Violence:
Up is more violent. Violence had been down because everyone was stuck in the basement. I predicted that May would be mellow, and then we’d see the uptick in June. I was almost right, and now June has pegged the scale. This measure because the way it’s constructed, doesn’t go higher than 300. Yes, the Y-axis label shows 350, but that’s because I didn’t notice until I’d put the graph together and it’s 3AM.
Political Instability:
Up is more unstable. Instability is up only slightly, which might seem weird, but the system is still stable overall. I may look into another graph next month to measure political change, because it sure feels like we crossed over into a regime where big political changes are more likely – and this graph was meant more about the overthrow of a sitting president, hence the peak in December. I expect more instability heading into November, and may make some changes to the inputs next month.
Economic:
Down indicates worse economic conditions, and it’s down yet again. I’m hoping this is the worst that we’ll see, but I expect a market crash this month (July) or next.
Illegal Aliens:
Down is good, in theory. This is a statistic showing border apprehensions by the Border Patrol. Down, probably related to WuFlu, unemployment, and riots. This is at a five year low for this time of year.
LINKS
These are from Ricky this month:
Although the US Government has FINALLY stopped paying for the First Civil War…
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/last-person-receive-civil-war-pension-dies-180975049/
…worries about the Second Civil War continue to build….
https://www.theday.com/article/20200616/OP04/200619472
https://prospect.org/politics/americas-civil-war/
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-avoid-second-american-civil-war-163096
https://www.thetrace.org/2020/07/gun-background-checks-june-record/
https://www.thetrace.org/2020/06/boogaloo-gun-ammunition-marketing-facebook-instagram/
…which many think can be stopped just by not talking about it…
https://www.ocregister.com/2020/06/05/lets-knock-off-the-blithe-talk-of-a-coming-civil-war/
https://goducks.com/news/2020/6/26/general-uo-osu-series-no-longer-to-reference-civil-war.aspx
MSM says Antifa is not a national problem….
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/google-top-stories-featured-false-news-rumored-antifa-civil-war
https://prospect.org/civil-rights/antifa-all-around-trump-media-fox-news-fear-protests/
https://time.com/5008829/antifa-november-4-rumors/
…it’s the Boogaloo Bois that are the threat…
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/style/boogaloo-hawaiian-shirt.html
https://theintercept.com/2020/06/10/boogaloo-boys-george-floyd-protests/
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/boogaloo-movement-recent-violent-attacks/story?id=71295536
https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/03/us/boogaloo-extremist-protests-invs/index.html
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/06/19/what-is-boogaloo-movement/3204899001/
https://www.voanews.com/usa/race-america/boogaloo-boys-aim-provoke-2nd-us-civil-war
…but Facebook will save us….
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53244339
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryanmac/facebook-instagram-profit-boogaloo-ads
https://www.inventiva.co.in/stories/priyadharshini/facebooks-boogaloo-ban-is-it-too-late/
…meanwhile, Small Town America simmers….
https://www.sltrib.com/news/2020/07/01/three-groups-plan-gather/
https://www.gazettenet.com/Sanger-letter-34596978
…and maybe there are investing strategies for the Civil War?
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2020-07-03/trading-and-investing-americas-second-civil-war
Looks like an “Uncivil War.”
CW2 Time varies by location. Rural Americans are still on 1950s Mayberry Time; but WDC is 95% Democrats who are self-admittedly the smartest people in America, in a town chock-a-block with monuments and government buildings, with freshly painted roads welcoming BLM Protesters, is at 12:59:58 PM; just seconds from the Balloon Going Up for Midnight’s Fireworks. Not that about 200 million Deplorables will miss WDC! But 30 million Useless Idiots will miss their multiple fat monthly Welfare checks when they stop. I can almost smell the sweet aroma of the BLM Long Pork BBQ Feast from my front porch, you betcha.
“boogaloo boys” is a funny way to say EfffBeeeEye
Very funny since the FBI has not been a White Right Wing organization (boogaboo); who have been the victims of the USA’s “KGB/Stasi”? Not Gun Runners like the Fast and Furious Gun Runners at the DOJ, Black or Muslim Militias, Antifa etc. The FBI police have been Deep State Shadow Government agents supporting the DNC and SPLC (Judeo-Communist, NeoCon’s etc) in their anti-Conservative White & anti-Christ Pogroms since Comrades Jimmy the Peanut and Blow Job Bill. They tried to frame Trump and nine of his staff in a Leftist Coup to overthrow the elected US Government.
Sorry you missed what I was getting at. There are no violent, white supremacist hate groups operating in America, so they have to be manufactured.
TC
There are no violent white groups of any kind operating in the lower 48. We don’t even have a white group that is even willing to talk about white violence.
No legitimate white group would call themselves that. It smacks of EffBeeeEye name picking. They’re such dufuses.
You miss the point.
No, I got the point. I just added my 2 cents to it.
We have no step 8. Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
Furthermore, we are never going to have one because we don’t want one. Tim X rugger and I tried to get a discussion going on a replacement system. No takers.
3 years later and still no one will discuss it or DISCUSS revolting PEACEFULLY or otherwise. Upper case is for those with Negroesque reading disorders.
There is only one reason for this.
The right is made up of ManPussies who have been thoroughly JEWHOLMED.
https://www.henrymakow.com/2020/06/central-banks-pump-poisoned-blood.html
We have no step 8 because…..
We are a law abiding people and we know that the BLM’s and Antifa’s of the world are not law abiding people. We also know that the SJW’s can do no evil, while any attempt to respond to their violence (peaceful or not) will result to punishment to the fullest extent of the law; even if there is no law broken, one will be made up to ensure the conservative will get their just desserts. Just try painting over a BLM sign on the street, or defend your home from an unruly mob.
I see your point however, if “we” are waiting for lawlessness for the moment to react, as we have not developed a plan B, there will be no united front to stand against the chaos and we are ______.
The problem appears to be lack of leadership to the BLM/Auntie Fa resistance. If any were to appear, they would immediately be SWATTED out of existence. The resistance will be a truly grass roots level movement triggered by some unknown event. At that point, leadership will appear, but probably only on a local/community level.