ABSOLUTE **FACTS** ON COVID19 @RealDonaldTrump

Guest Post by Karl Denninger

Fact: Sweden has had 74,333 confirmed cases

Fact: Sweden has had 5,500 deaths.

Fact: Sweden has approximately 10 million residents, with the largest number by far in and around Stockholm (~2.4 million..)

Fact: Sweden did not lock down anything, has not passed any mandatory mask ordinances or constrained the people.  Instead they told their citizens to act like adults, rather than allowing them to be infantile screaming children (as we did here in the US.)

Fact: The death rate in Sweden from Covid-19 has fallen to an effective zero.

Fact: The case rate in Sweden is also falling precipitously.  On a log chart the case rate is effectively flat.

Fact: SWEDEN HAS OBTAINED HERD IMMUNITY AND THEIR DOCUMENTED CASE RATE IS 0.7% OF THEIR POPULATION!

What?

That’s impossible, for a virus with an R0 of 3.0, right?

I don’t care what epidemiologists assert, or what anyone else asserts: It has happened.

When you eliminate whatever is not possible whatever is left must be true, no matter how much you’d prefer it not be.  Your task then becomes to determine why it is true.

We know from the CDC that somewhere “around” 10x as many people have had Covid as have tested positive.  This number is somewhat “fuzzy”, but that’s the CDC’s (and everyone else’s) “best guess”, given the data we have.  Now, in the US, we’re pushing people to get tested but we can’t feed that test requirement on a reasonably expeditious basis; three months into this it is taking multiple days to get results back.  Therefore the number of alleged “positives” is not only fanciful it’s outright garbage.  RT-PCR tests are unreliable to start with; they have a material false positive rate.  But if you won’t test people on a systematic and unchanged basis from a symptom (or not) predicate then the data you generate wobbles around and is worthless.

I’ve detected a number of these anomalies in the data here, and in the early days I called bull**** on the Wuhan data for the same reason — China was clearly changing the terms to get tested although I couldn’t prove it, because I’m not there.  I don’t need to prove it; a virus does not “magically” infect people on a step-function basis.  Over a large population that does not happen so when it does you’ve got a data discontinuity — that is, what you have is junk.

But it’s very hard to not count bodies.

People get mad if you don’t count them — or try to count them twice.

Sweden has had 5,500 deaths.  They have 10 million people in their population.  That’s a death rate from this bug of of one in 1,800, with virtually all of them being old and co-morbid individuals.

To put in percentage terms it’s a rate of 0.06% in the population.

Or, if you prefer, since we have about 330 million citizens, about 33 times that is 181,000 deaths in the US.

Total.

We’re at 125,590 total today.

That’s because we spread it out, but didn’t change a thing.  Ultimately, we’ll wind up about where they are.

I remind you that yesterday their total was one death.

One.

For them, it’s over.

For us, it’s nearly over.

We’re three, maybe four week behind them if we quit dicking around.

How is this possible?

READ MORE

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28 Comments
Bob P
Bob P
July 10, 2020 4:02 pm

“The Herd Immunity Threshold (“HIT”) for COVID-19 is between 10-20%.” Sweden’s done with covid because it’s exceeded the HIT.

Second wave? Not even close.

Excellent article, worth everyone’s time. IMO.

splurge
splurge
  Bob P
July 10, 2020 4:21 pm

Thanks, excellent link.

Hollowman
Hollowman
July 10, 2020 4:04 pm

My wife had coved. She is a nurse contracted it at work. The 5 days or so before she was sick we kissed hello goodby, ate at the same time. While she was sick ,about 7 days, I stayed with her and did the husband thing. She recovered now back at work. I did not get sick and neither did our son. So through a friend my wife and I had the antibody test done. She was positive, I was negative. She said it was like the flu with a little food poisoning thrown in. The Doctor used the Trump cocktail. Have a great day people. We could be communist this time best year. So enjoy today.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Hollowman
July 10, 2020 5:01 pm

We already are, we just haven’t told ourselves yet.

Monger
Monger
  Fleabaggs
July 10, 2020 6:20 pm

Yes, sovietized to varying degrees with traipsing’s of nationalism

Vixen Vic
Vixen Vic
July 10, 2020 5:13 pm

My oldest brother got sick last week, went to the doctor, and was told he had the Kung flu. Guess how they’re treating him? As if he had the flu.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Vixen Vic
July 10, 2020 6:24 pm

Get him to a better doctor.

Vixen Vic
Vixen Vic
  Anonymous
July 10, 2020 6:27 pm

The majority of doctors will say the same thing. They’re believers.

Vixen Vic
Vixen Vic
  Anonymous
July 10, 2020 11:20 pm

What I was saying is he has the flu and nothing more. COVID doesn’t exist.

Anonymous
Anonymous
July 10, 2020 6:23 pm

He has a pretty loose definition of “fact.”

But get back to work anyway, goyem. Our economy is more important than your lives.

Real facts?

Covid spread faster in June than in May, in Sweden.

The death rate and infection rate in Sweden was about 500% higher than their neighbors in June.

http://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/business/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Administrator
July 10, 2020 10:22 pm

Sweden’s results are no worse than all the other locked down EU countries.

Pure bullshit. Even an accountant can do that math.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Anonymous
July 10, 2020 11:46 pm

Anal
I suppose Belaruss, Uraguy are lying too. I guess you also see nothing unusual about the president of Malawi suddenly dying of cardiac arrest right after expelling the World Homicide Organization.

daniel
daniel
  Anonymous
July 11, 2020 2:05 pm

still better than britain, france, italy, china, spain, brazil. all of them locked down. now what?

SeeBee
SeeBee
July 10, 2020 6:28 pm

Sweden didn’t have a lock down or mandatory mask wearing because the imported men wouldn’t abide and it would also piss them off. They then would eat the locals for breakfast. That’s true herd immunity.

Auntie Kriest
Auntie Kriest
  SeeBee
July 11, 2020 10:08 am

Insightful.

ZombieDawg
ZombieDawg
July 10, 2020 8:13 pm

https://www.intellihub.com/covid-19-is-a-criminal-hoax-murder-youve-been-duped-nurse-blows-the-whistle-on-government-sponsored-op/

—–

‘Unknown pneumonia deadlier than coronavirus’ is sweeping across Kazakhstan, Chinese embassy claims as video emerges of families queuing to collect bodies from morgue
Kazakhstan is facing a deadly ‘unknown pneumonia’ more dangerous than coronavirus, China has claimed.
The alert comes as the Kazakh authorities have admitted both a ‘second wave’ spike in Covid-19 but also a sharp rise in pneumonia cases.
The Kazakh health ministry insisted on Friday the Chinese pneumonia claim was ‘not true’ despite an apparent surge in cases not confirmed as coronavirus.
And the ex-Soviet state has gone back into lockdown with the president issuing a ‘don’t panic’ message while also demanding strict adherence to lockdown rules.
Kazakhstan’s Health Ministry said it has recorded more than 32,000 cases of pneumonia between June 29 and July 5 alone, along with 451 deaths.
By comparison, the official number of coronavirus cases in Kazakhstan stands at 53,021, with 296 confirmed deaths from the disease.
Some 28,000 pneumonia patients with negative coronavirus tests are hospitalised in Kazakhstan, deputy health minister Azhar Giniyat said.

—-
A large study from Spain showed that antibodies can disappear weeks after people have tested positive, causing some to question how possible it will be to attain herd immunity.

A study published in medical journal Lancet showed 14% of people who tested positive for antibodies no longer had antibodies weeks later.

“At present, herd immunity is difficult to achieve without accepting the collateral damage of many deaths in the susceptible population and overburdening of health systems,” the report reads.

Herd immunity is when enough of a population becomes immune to a disease through vaccine or already getting sick to make the spread unlikely between people in the community, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Herd immunity also protects newborns and people who can’t be vaccinated because it helps decrease person-to-person spread, the CDC said.

The study was conducted from April 27 to May 11 and involved 61,075 participants in Spain who answered a questionnaire on COVID-19 symptoms, received an antibody test, and donated a blood sample for more testing if they agreed.

http://www.newsobserver.com/news/coronavirus/article244087867.html

javelin
javelin
  ZombieDawg
July 10, 2020 8:56 pm

FWIW– Lancet is 95% funded by pharmaceutical companies–Gilead in particular. Gilead happens to be the leading supplier of Remdesivir the “hydrocloroquine alternative” ( remember, Hydrocloroquine is generic and cheap) and has massive contracts with the WHO… don’t believe a thing the Lancet says, bought and paid for mouthpiece for Big Pharma and those who want you all vaccinated, chipped and tracked………….

Dirtperson Steve
Dirtperson Steve
July 10, 2020 9:25 pm

Don’t be so stupid to get the test. If you had it and had no symptoms you are part of the 80% that now tests positive and Rachel/Richard uses your curiosity to lock us down. Nobody should be getting tested unless their life depends on it.

Vixen Vic
Vixen Vic
  Dirtperson Steve
July 10, 2020 9:39 pm

I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re actually giving you some illness with that test.

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
July 10, 2020 10:55 pm

We the public have no facts on the Covik19. All we hear and read is heckling from hens. But aside from them there is truthful information coming from non government experts.

Vixen Vic
Vixen Vic
  Thunderbird
July 10, 2020 11:22 pm

And those are the only ones you should listen to, non-government experts.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
July 10, 2020 11:55 pm

Karl brings up a great point that is never brought up: some people might be immune because of some prior similar (coronavirus?) exposure or for some other reason. Another way to put to it (instead of immune) is that some people are, for some reason, non-susceptible. That would go a long way toward explaining why NYC has seen the new case and deaths rates plummet. They only reached about 20% seroprevalence, but if there’s another 50% who are non-susceptible, there’s your herd immunity. It has nothing to do with their supposedly fantastically heroic efforts to suppress it – which were obviously negated by their BLM/George Floyd protests/ riots.

Dirtperson Steve
Dirtperson Steve
  Iska Waran
July 11, 2020 9:45 am

The newest narrative is that if you have it and don’t show symptoms you are still sick. They are trying to say that the virus is still damaging you heart and lungs but that your body just isn’t fighting back and that is why you don’t feel sick. Further they are saying that non-sick people shed the virus 5 days longer than people that did get sick.

I’ve enjoyed reading some heated debates on allegedly non-political sites that I visit.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
July 11, 2020 12:01 am

Funny how he keeps being right.

SeeBee
SeeBee
  Iska Waran
July 11, 2020 10:47 am

I hate to be the one to burst your bubble.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dMC9d9vm-8

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  SeeBee
July 11, 2020 2:24 pm

CHAI. The old girl is pretty busy for someone who is in prison.
Oh! That’s right, she hasn’t been charged yet.