Civil War 2.0 Weather Report: Life at Two Minutes To Midnight

Guest post from John Wilder at Wilder Wealthy Wise.

“I can’t sugarcoat this. We’re at Threat Level:  Midnight!” – The Office

CLOCK

If you eat a clock, know that it’s time consuming, and don’t go back for seconds.

  1. People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology.  Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
  2. Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
  3. Opposing sides develop governing/war structures.  Just in case.
  4. Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
  5. Open War.

We are at step 9.  Step 9. is, of course, two minutes to midnight on the clock.  Violence continues to be commonly justified by local and state authorities.

In this issue:  Front Matter – Talking About Divorce – Violence and Censorship Update – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – Living Two Minutes To Midnight – Links

Welcome to the latest issue of the Civil War II Weather Report.  These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month.  I’ve created a page (LINK) for links to all of the past issues.  Also, feel free to subscribe and you’ll get every post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at 7:30 Eastern.

Talking About Divorce

I read an article once that said that couples that talk about getting a divorce are much more likely to get a divorce.  Heck, when my ex-wife said she wanted a divorce on Valentine’s Day, I was surprised – I wasn’t planning on spending that much.  But talking increasing the divorce risk – that made sense to me:  every time you talk about an event, you tend to bring the event closer to becoming real.

How?

It’s not magic or a witch’s incantation, or at least I didn’t see my ex-wife doing incantations, though there was a smell of sulfur around midnight.  It is simply that when people talk about divorce, they start imagining what it would be like.  When divorce fantasy is better than marriage reality, the lawyers get called in.

DIVORCE

But they stayed together because of the kid.  Nobody wanted custody of him.

In a recent “war game” of different election scenarios, John “Spirit Cooking” Podesta played the role of Joe “stay in the basement until November” Biden.  Crucially in the war game scenario where Biden lost, “Biden’s team sought to encourage large Western states (California, Washington, Oregon) to secede unless pro-Democracy reforms were made.”

Both sides are talking about divorce.

Violence and Censorship Update

Violence associated with the protests is now so common that stories that would have made national news four months ago are, at most, up for a single news cycle.  “Peaceful” protester draws an AK on someone driving by and gets ventilated?  Yawn.  Two women (I guess) are frolicking on an interstate at night and get (inadvertently) mowed down by someone driving a car?

MAYOR

The Mayor insists that Chicago isn’t violent, noting that they’d only lost three school bus tailgunners this month.

It’s bad.  In Chicago, 2,249 people have been shot this year as of July 29 (LINK), which is nearly 700 more than in all of 2019.  At this rate, more people will be shot in just Chicago this year than during the entire Falkland Island War between Great Britain and Argentina.  This is patent proof that black lives don’t matter to Black Lives Matter®, since deaths of unarmed black people at the hands of cops in all of 2019 were, according to USA Today™ (LINK) only . . . 25.

Unjustified use of police force is horrible.  But . . . cops killing unarmed black people is nearly the smallest problem faced by black people in the United States.  BLM©?  It’s a lie.

QANON

Alcoa® and Planters Peanuts™ secretly rule the world.  They call themselves the Aluminutty.

Censorship was up again this month.  In focus was Qanon.  I wrote about Q a long while back (QAnon, The Chans, and Other Cryptic Stuff), and haven’t kept too much up with that subject.  But this month in another set of coordinated censorship Twitter® banned over 7,000 accounts that Tweeted™ about Qanon.  YouTube® has deleted “tens of thousands” of videos and “hundreds” of channels that were about Q.  Facebook© won’t be left out – they nuked a Qanon group with 200,000 members.

What about Qanon scares the mainstream?

Updated Civil War II Index

The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time.  They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings.  As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that lead to the index.  On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.

July was generally better than June, which is like saying that World War I was “better” than World War II.  Let’s go to the graphs.  As is custom at Wilder, Wealthy, and Wise, the graphs are presented with girls in bikinis, because if civilization is collapsing what better time is there for bikini graphs?

Violence:

VIOLF

Up is more violent.  June pegged the scale of violence.  This measure because the way it’s constructed, doesn’t go higher than 300.  It’s lower this month.  Does that mean it’s less violent this month?  Certainly riots are down, but the measure is a measure of how people feel about the violence.  Since it’s so common now, it’s not spiking.  That is, in my opinion, very bad – we’re getting used to this nonsense.

Political Instability:

POLIF

Up is more unstable.  Instability is down only slightly, which might seem weird, but the political system is still stable overall.  I expect this to spike in the next two months, and may introduce a new measure based on the election as we get closer to November.

Economic:

ECONF

Down indicates worse economic conditions, but this month it’s up.  The part of me that hopes, hopes we’re on a real upswing.  The part of me that thinks says we’re nowhere near the bottom.

Illegal Aliens:

BORDF

Down is good, in theory.  This is a statistic showing border apprehensions by the Border Patrol.  Down, probably related to WuFlu, unemployment, and riots.  This is near a five year low for this time of year.

Living Two Minutes To Midnight

Two minutes to midnight is a tough place for the United States to be sitting, and we’re here.  The confluence of great events, economic, political, and social is upon us.  It’s in these times of upheaval that systems collapse in complexity from a high level to a lower one.  Highly complex society provides us nice things like video games and delivery of eyeglasses made in China in a week.

Societies of low complexity struggle to feed themselves and live in mud huts.  Low complexity societies are always on the edge – a famine could mean real death due to starvation, not that the shake machine is broken at McDonalds® again so you have to go to Sonic™ if you want a shake.

In order to grab or consolidate political power, there are politicians that would gladly drop our standard of living to that of starving people in mud huts.  Those that would support them imagine a world where they’ll be allowed to be artists and poets and philosophers and the mud huts will be left for those who oppose the new way of doing things.

Living in this time, I have one suggestion:  be as prepared as you can be for nearly anything to happen.  Understand that things you’ve taken for granted your entire life can change in a day.  I never thought I’d live in a society where rioters could stop cars of peaceful citizens with impunity and the tacit approval of local and state governments, but here we are.

Things are moving fast.  Be ready.

LINKS

LINK

These are from Ricky this month:

CW chatter continues….

https://www.startribune.com/are-we-ready-for-a-civil-war-lite/571920212/?refresh=true

https://www.santacruzsentinel.com/2020/07/29/stephen-kessler-is-trump-trying-to-start-a-civil-war/

…with Republicans promoting a vote for Biden to stop a CW…

https://www.duluthnewstribune.com/opinion/columns/6568575-Candidates-View-Minnesota-trying-to-prevent-a-civil-war

https://time.com/5870475/never-trumpers-2020-election/

…and the Washington-Post-owned Foreign Policy magazine invoking Godwin’s Law to prevent a descent into Nazi-ism…

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/07/23/portland-fascism-trump-election/

…while the MSM maintains the threat is all Boogaloo Bois…

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/07/american-boogaloo-meme-or-terrorist-movement/613843/

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-53269361

https://www.forbes.com/sites/sethcohen/2020/06/16/civil-war-20-the-boogaloo-movement-is-a-wake-up-call-for-america/#206ec67b71ab

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/07/28/conservative-armed-militias-protests-coronavirus/?arc404=true

…and not peaceful Antifa….

https://www.csis.org/analysis/who-are-antifa-and-are-they-threat

https://www.businessinsider.com/right-wing-extremists-kill-329-since-1994-antifa-killed-none-2020-7

https://www.csis.org/analysis/tactics-and-targets-domestic-terrorists

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/07/30/anarchists-and-antifa-not-according-to-the-data/

…all an example of the ongoing propaganda war…

https://fabiusmaximus.com/2020/07/21/propaganda-rules-america/

https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/opinion-columns/victor-joecks/victor-joecks-the-medias-insane-whitewashing-of-portlands-violence-2083324/

https://fee.org/articles/vandalism-is-violence-destructive-riots-are-not-just-property-damage/

…part of a different kind of civil war, with skirmishes over property lines, not state lines; families, not soldiers….

https://ammo.com/articles/war-on-suburbs-how-hud-housing-policies-became-weapon-for-social-change

https://mises.org/wire/why-marxist-organizations-blm-seek-dismantle-western-nuclear-family

…while real battles heat up….

https://apnews.com/1dd1bb39093a3691f4e78093787ab877

https://thegreatrecession.info/blog/how-seattle-chaz-got-chopped/

https://farleftwatch.com/antifa-militia-group-encourages-facebook-followers-to-shoot-federal-agents-in-the-face/

…as costs mount….

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/george-floyd-protests-expensive-civil-disturbance-us-history

https://www.artemis.bm/news/riots-designated-a-catastrophe-in-multiple-states-a-first-for-pcs/

https://www.artemis.bm/news/riot-losses-said-up-to-1bn-in-u-s-retentions-may-protect-reinsurance/

https://www.claimsjournal.com/news/national/2020/07/06/298012.htm#:~:text=Rioting%20set%20off%20during%20protests,a%20single%20retailer%2C%20he%20said.

https://www.genre.com/knowledge/blog/riots-and-civil-commotion-disquieting-times-ahead-en.html

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22 Comments
Glock 1911 M1A .308
Glock 1911 M1A .308
August 11, 2020 11:34 am

1. If Chuckarama is closed, what is the point of even being in Utah?
2. Notice the abundance of acreages available in the liberal, western states like NM and Colo, and the lack of “homesteadable” properties in what are ostensibly conservative states.
3. Do take note of the fact that in many western states, large swaths of land are restricted by ccr’s that will prevent you from homesteading in spite of your land-ability to do otherwise.
4. the fix is in folks…if you ain’t where you can live a sustainable life, odds are its too late now. Sorry..

Baba Looey
Baba Looey
  Glock 1911 M1A .308
August 11, 2020 1:39 pm

Upvoting for the Upchuck-A-Rama comment alone. See you at The Training Table!

Trapped in Portlandia
Trapped in Portlandia
August 11, 2020 11:54 am

As I’m reading this article I’m struck by the accuracy of step #9: “Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology”. That leads me to think that this Wilder guy is changing the description of each step as we go along to more closely mirror reality. But then I went back to his original Civil War article in June 2019 and the steps on the path to civil war are exactly the same. Yikes!

When we hit step 10 I’m on the wrong side of the lines, especially if his theory that the West Coast states secede. I don’t want to be stuck in a state/nation with all these progressive nuts. Although I must admit watching them start to fight each other about who is more progressive will be quite enjoyable. But I’d rather watch from across the Snake River.

BUCKHED/BUY LOTS OF AMMO
BUCKHED/BUY LOTS OF AMMO
  Trapped in Portlandia
August 11, 2020 12:30 pm

If you are in the West Coast States when the secession is started then the exodus could be a trail of tears. Who would want you if that was what it took to make you leave . You were fine with the heavy taxes,draconian gun laws,driver’s licenses for illegals and laws protecting the alphabet gender groups.

So if you were headed South I’d hope my Governor would have orders to stop you at the border and tell you to man up and change things in the state you came from…..liberal views aren’t welcome here .

Kevin
Kevin
  BUCKHED/BUY LOTS OF AMMO
August 12, 2020 7:44 am

This comment alone is why we are losing. No organization, ever, over anything. You would rather fight your allies than the common enemy. I have spent 50 years in the peoples republic of illinois. Didnt used to be this bad. The entire state is red except Chicongo and East St Louis. I would love to leave, would have a long time ago, but my wife has a very successful small business she has operated for the past 24 years. She does not want to pack everything up and try to start all over somewhere else at our age. She is a non-believer, can’t happen here, despite the fact she left Vietnam in the early 90’s when she was in her early 20’s. She has lived it but still doesnt think it can happen here. Everything I own is here, all my family, everything. It is just not that easy. Im ready. And will take as many with me as I can. Good luck to you.

daniel
daniel
  Kevin
August 12, 2020 2:01 pm

yea that’s why we lost. well that and miscegenation.

Kevin
Kevin
  daniel
August 13, 2020 1:56 pm

Thank you for validating my point. She is smokin’ hot by the way. Im the luckiest man on the planet. I have a hot sugar mama. Have yourself a nice day and good luck with the coming festivities.

Neuday
Neuday
  Trapped in Portlandia
August 11, 2020 1:30 pm

There’s a movement, trying to get on the Oregon ballot, for the area of Oregon outside of Portland and its suburbs to secede and join Idaho and for “Greater Idaho”. If that passes you’ll only need to cross the mountains and move to LaGrande to get out of the crazy.

I’m across the Snake from you lunatics and it still feels too close, like I might get some on me.

Hans F
Hans F
  Neuday
August 12, 2020 6:35 am

“People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology. Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.”

Have finally convinced my wife we need to get out of Illinois. Looking at Idaho so she can be closer to her son in Oregon (I refused to move there) Reading more articles on how Boise is just as liberal as other large blue cities. Coeur d’ Alene area looks promising but pricey.

overthecliff
overthecliff
  Trapped in Portlandia
August 11, 2020 4:10 pm

Trapped,I enjoyed seeing the nigger female double affirmative action hire in Seattle whine about racism by the progressives. Live by the sword die by the sword. Fuck her and the horse she rode in on.

rhs jr
rhs jr
August 11, 2020 12:27 pm

Liberals are beyond stupid and keep stepping on our toes and getting in our face; it’s gonna happen.

Mary Christine
Mary Christine
August 11, 2020 12:54 pm

Food riots coming up this fall. See Ice Age Farmer’s latest for an update on how much damage the storms from yesterday did to the crops in Iowa.

What the hell is a Derecho anyway? New name for straight line winds, or weather wars?

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Mary Christine
August 11, 2020 1:10 pm

Mary.
You caught that too? New name for the new name Polar Vortex? Derecho is so gay.

Mary Christine
Mary Christine
  Fleabaggs
August 11, 2020 2:05 pm

They had sustained winds over 80mph, gusting over 100 mph. Corn crops, right at harvest are devastated. Silos were damaged. You should see some of the pictures.

Neuday
Neuday
  Mary Christine
August 11, 2020 1:21 pm

“Derecho” is messican for “Right”, opposite of “izquierdo”, “left”.

Glock 1911 M1A .308
Glock 1911 M1A .308
  Neuday
August 11, 2020 2:39 pm

50 cents says ‘izquierdo’ is the actual source of our word weirdo. A brief internet search confirmed nothing, but I’m still in for 50 cents.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Glock 1911 M1A .308
August 12, 2020 12:16 am

Where’s EC when we need him?

TampaRed
TampaRed
  Mary Christine
August 11, 2020 1:28 pm

https://www.google.com/search?q=derecho+event&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS775US775&oq=derecho&aqs=chrome.2.69i57j0l7.9996j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

mc,
i’d never heard the term b4 a few weeks ago–either this is a bad year 4 them,it’s a “new” old term,or they just want to make the weather sound sexy–
i saw a comic strip a few years ago where the teen son comes into the den & mom/dad are sitting on the couch watching the weather channel–son says all you do is watch the weather & dad says it’s mtv 4 old people–

Mary Christine
Mary Christine
  TampaRed
August 11, 2020 2:07 pm

I used to watch the Weather channel when it first came out. It’s useless global warming propaganda, now. Maybe it was then, too, but I never noticed it. Mostly it was just weather forecasts.

Dirtperson Steve
Dirtperson Steve
  Mary Christine
August 11, 2020 2:25 pm

I used to watch the Weather channel when it first came out.

Jodi Saeland was must watch TV in the mornings at college in the last century.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Mary Christine
August 12, 2020 12:06 am

I have a daughter near Des Moines and she said it was really bad with 80 mph winds. 90 miles east in Iowa City it was hurricane level and flattened buildings and knocked out power over a huge area and huge trees flattened substantial houses. Cedar Rapids, a major city was banjaxed. Another daughter is in Iowa City but was home. Went back today and there were detours everywhere because of trees down on streets and roads. Clinton Iowa where my sister lives had 106 mph and knocked out everything and in all of these places including huge swaths of Illinois and other states power will be out for days and in some cases weeks. In the Shitcago suburb of Villa Park I saw a picture of a huge tree limb sticking in the side of a house like an arrow. This was a serious storm and I have not ventured out to the countryside today but based on wind speed, duration, etc., those thinking crops were damaged are probably correct. I only lost power a few seconds here and there but the stop/start crap fried my A/C compressor. The Lord was with me as my HVAC guys had the perfect unit in stock and I got their last open appointment tomorrow morning they had for the next ten days.
A Derecho or The Derecho is a summer land hurricane or cyclone type storm that typically occurs once every Summer. The average wind associated with it has been 58 mph. This baby made Cat 1 and low Cat 2 Hurricane levels of 110 mph or more in some places. Pretty much came out of nowhere. Wind, rain, a bit of hail and lightning. Lasted 15-20 minutes start to finish.

TampaRed
TampaRed
August 11, 2020 1:33 pm

i clicked on this article thinking it would be about the riots in chicago sunday & yesterday–
one guy shot by a cop & it’s riot & shopping time but 50 shot during the course of a month & it’s biz as usual–