Guest Post by Jay Valentine
Like many, I spent the last few nights waking up at 2:03 A.M., no reason, then looking at my phone for news, any news, that might be positive for President Trump. I survived on Rush, Bongino, Mark Levin. When the news continued to be ugly, I even checked in on ridiculous bloggers promising that ballots were watermarked and D.J. (our household name for a president we love) was actually launching a sting on the Deep State.
Enough already. Stop the madness.
Hey, I have a degree in statistics, and I have some level of critical thought. If there is such pessimism in my tribe, I am not going along.
So today, I started to dig into the numbers, and as I did, I fought my confirmation bias at every step.
I realized that I, like millions of others, had been numbed into despondency by the overwhelming press, media, social media push to certify President-Elect Biden. (I put that in there so you can see how repellent it is.)
Hey guys, this thing is not only not over; it is scary for Biden. I mean really scary, and most of all, the media know it. Thus, the rush to get everyone in line with the narrative that a 78-year-old, early-dementia former V.P., who could not draw a crowd larger than a dozen, just beat D.J. in a fair election.
Process that for a moment.
Start with Pennsylvania. Biden, as of this writing, is at 290 electoral votes. Pennsylvania is 20.
I read the Justice Alito opinion, and it is pretty clear that he wants the after election night at 8:00 P.M. votes separated for a reason. Biden is going to lose at the Supreme Court, and they know it. Four justices already said the Pennsylvania Supreme Court cannot adjust voting rules. A new arrival, Justice Barrett, says she is there to apply the rules in the Constitution. OK, wanna bet she does?
Remove the after 8:00 P.M. ballots, and Biden loses Pennsylvania. Biden 270.
Let’s visit Nevada. I have lots of friends in California who have condos in Nevada to evade state taxes. There are not a couple of people doing this; there are tens of thousands. Everyone knows it, and California seeks them out.
Our old pal Harry Reid knows it as well, and he apparently has them voting in droves in this election. Probably not a big D.J. constituency. Within 72 hours of the election, the Trump team found, validated over 3,500 of them. I do not suspect that Trump’s people stopped counting.
Every one of these is a ballot reduction for Biden
Nevada, as of now, is well within reach for DJ and the Trump team — particularly when the California crowd is reduced. And a few of them may testify since a false vote is a very bad thing, with jail time if convicted. Maybe a bigger story here.
Remember where we are, people. Biden is at 270 after a highly probable Supreme Court decision (read Alito and concurring opinions).
Lose Nevada, lose the election.
But wait: it gets better.
Let’s visit Wisconsin. Right now, it is 20,000 votes in Uncle Joe’s direction. Lots of stories out there, well below the Google fold, that there are way more Wisconsin votes than there are registered voters. OK, maybe the dead can vote up there — probably a Midwest thing.
Well, last night, we found that Wisconsin election clerks were told, and followed the direction, to modify mail-in ballots and fill in the blanks where witnesses left out critical info.
I am sure it was just a good customer service thing and they meant no harm. The problem is every such ballot is now toast.
There were “thousands” of such prima facie wrongful votes. Oops. Biden up 20,000 — now that number is in question. No more truckloads of votes coming in, so every ballot D.J.’s team eliminates gets President-Elect Biden on step closer to former V.P. Biden who lives in a basement. Not good here.
North Carolina. That one pretty much looks like as though it is over and D.J. won it. Fox News is rumored to call it for Trump around April 2021.
Remember where we are here. Biden is probably going to lose Pennsylvania, so if he loses even one state, even one Electoral College vote, ouch!
Either D.J. wins outright, or it goes to the House, which means that D.J. has four more years.
We’re not done yet.
Michigan. Oh, yes, the land of the “glitches” in the voting machines. Six thousand votes for Trump given to Biden in one of 47 counties where that software is used. About 150,000 votes in Biden’s favor right now.
Google the 130,000 Biden votes that showed up in the middle of the night, and you can see how the wonderful people at Google are fact-checking this “debunked” story. In fact, for fun, Google “Michigan voter fraud,” and you get literally three pages of “this was fact checked and proven to be false.” Why would Google be so assiduous?
They too see that if Amy votes with the four, Biden is one vote away from the basement.
Lawsuits in Michigan and the other states are being launched, and discovery will take place. Google will not be there.
Voter fraud is kind of like larceny. A little is OK. It is even kind of entertaining.
Dead people have been voting for a hundred years in Democratic cities. It is such a constant that one would think the Republican Party would consider a Dead Voter Outreach program to get their share.
But voter fraud on this scale is just not sustainable. It does not pass the common sense test.
We have bloggers with lots of time on their hands going through voter rolls and showing that person after person who voted in a swing state also fought in the Civil War or maybe the War of 1812. It was funny at first, but the overwhelming number now goes beyond humor and rubs our faces in it.
I think D.J. has to swing one state. Actually, one electoral vote. Not only is this thing not over, but the Biden team must be sweating bullets.
Voter fraud at scale seemed like a really cool idea until D.J. went to the mattresses. Now that he is fighting it out one voter at a time, with the Supreme Court likely to create the starting point at Biden 270, Biden has everything to lose.
Perk up!
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If frogs coul fly….
Look up the voter roll lawsuits judicial watch filed
since 2017 in some of the battleground states. We are talking lots and lots of illegal vote potential. That could be more good news if it is provable.
Many states were ordered to clean up the voter rolls, but how many actually did and how effective were they?
The 3 counties adjacent to Philadelphia alone were filed for 800,000. Judicial lost thatlawsuit. Total population in those 3 counties are about 1.5 million. Lots of fraud potential there.
Reading that actually made me realize how uphill the battle is. When was the last time that the stars aligned like that in America? Plus he says the watermark ballets are fake news? Depressing.
All we need is two touchdowns, an interception, another touchdown, retrieve an onside kick and then kick a field goal. And there’s still nine minutes left!
Not that I’ll ever watch sportsball again.
Nice analogy, Iska.
Iska: I watched a college football game several years ago in the beginning of the season where a team who had played terribly and in the middle of the third quarter were losing 44 – 10.
They ended up winning 45 – 44……….
Winston Churchill made a speech at the Harrow School in 1941 where he admonished the students to Never give in, never, never, never, never in anything great or small……
That reminds me of an AZ Cardinals game years ago. They were way ahead and lost. I think Bret Farve was the quarterback for the Vikings then.
Thankyou. A little bit of hope goes a long way in these dark times
You can count and adjudicate to your heart’s content, however, the media controls the message and that message is being manipulated and censored. When a television network can break into a President’s speech, black it out and claim they did so because the President was lying, well, you have a huge problem.
Even if the courts rule for Trump, if the media refuses to broadcast that information then it never happened. Only way around that is to declare martial law and take over the media by force. The democrat leftists are in all positions of authority in the federal government, let that sink in for a minute. The Pentagon, the DOJ, the FBI and others are all under the control of anti-
trump leftists. This is a coup, a color revolution.
question–do cable channels have to obtain a broadcasting license from the fcc as do the broadcast channels?
They have public corporate charters that can be revoked.
The entire MSM, every last one, no exceptions, joined together and declared Biden the winner today.”
“They are the real criminals in a massive theft of unheard of proportions.”
I was wary of Trump when we voted for him in ’16, especially after the ‘Clinton’s are good people…we owe her a debt of gratitude’ remarks on the very night of the election.
I may have missed it, but where in his years of “fake news” accusations has HR 5736-the Smith/Mundt Modernization Act of 2012 been mentioned ? Anyone of the pro Trump alternative media sites?
https://www.congress.gov/bill/112th-congress/house-bill/5736
annuit coeptis novus ordo seclorum <<——-====
When criminal acts become campaign rhetoric played out like a made-for-TV drama, the final curtain is soon pulled, and the sequel won't look anything like the pilot.
“not only were many founders of the United States Government Masons, but they received aid from a secret and August body existing in Europe, which helped them to establish this country for a peculiar and particular purpose known only to the initiated few.” Manly P. Hall
00ReplyNovember 8, 2020 4:13 am
Yes. Thank you from me, too.
There’s some hope with all this, I suppose, but in every case it presumes the courts are unbiased and corruption-free. Many judges are Democrat hacks who will side with them and MSM, so the Michigan batch of 138,000 votes for Biden was a typo, thousands of Trump votes going to Biden was a glitch, CA voters voting in Nevada is a trivial problem; they’ll accept the Democrat line with no need for evidence because that’s what they’ve been doing for years. At the Supreme Court level it presumes Barrett will vote in favour of the Republicans; if she recuses herself, which apparently she’s been doing thus far, and Roberts betrays conservatives again, SCOTUS is a dead end.
In PA, why presume election officials will actually listen to the SCOTUS ruling? They laughed off the lower court ruling to allow observers to do their job. And if SCOTUS is too important to ignore, who’s to say they separated the votes properly; maybe the did it by genuine/phony (and hand the genuine ones to auditors) rather than before/after 8. How would anyone know which ballots they were given?
We know the FBI and DOJ are corrupt and incompetent, so they’ll do nothing to confirm any fraud.
Best hope may lay with state legislatures–all Republican controlled in the states at issue–to refuse to certify the vote, citing fraud, but this would cause a firestorm. Or if it comes down to a Congressional vote, Republicans would win (one vote per state).
Comes down to lots of ifs, but we can always hope.
Dumping it on Congress is the easy way out for everyone looking to avoid blame or responsibility.
Like Grant said, “Lick’em tomorrow.” Rest up. God bless you all.
I realized that Trump’s loss of Omaha could matter. It didn’t look that close in NE2, but who knows. I can’t pay too much attention because I have to retain my sanity, such as it is.
What a wild time. Q says that these folks wouldn’t be able to walk down the street after the truth comes out. Certainly, discovering that these bastards really were cheating big time would enrage the general population. To see verified proof that China or Iran had their fingers in it would perhaps unite all of us against the cheaters.
Thanks for a moral boost today. I needed it…
To get verified proof all we need to do is follow the layered political action committees and their little friends, the “non-profit” front organizations two and three layers beyond. According to some cyber experts the companies providing the tabulation machines, i.e., Dominion Systems, have very little oversight and a high incidence of problems. As long as these machines have been in use I can guarandamned-tee those using them know bugs and faults that will allow insider hacks.
Those machines are only as reliable as the people behind them.
Once a fraudulent ballot gets mixed in with the rest of them, it is impossible to trace, so the NV argument goes out the window. Same thing for the War of Northern Aggression veterans. Their votes have been tallied and cannot be uncounted. Democrats overwhelmed the system with fraudulent ballots and knew they could pull it off. All they had to do was get them accepted, mostly in dem controlled counties, and they were in the count forever.
PA has a chance of reversing that state’s count, if SCOTUS follows the Constitution
MI software problem is easily proven, so could work there. Also other states used the same software
I give The Donald about a 5 in 100 chance of pulling victory from defeat, but he is a fighter and will not give up.
Votes can be “uncounted” in batches even if not singly.
1. Count the proven-fraudulent and probably-fraudulent ballots in a precinct, county, or state. You don’t necessarily need to know which ballots were fraudulent, just their count.
2. Divide the fraudulent count by the margin of victory in the race at issue.
3. If your quotient is substantial, say 10% or higher, discard all ballots from that precinct/county/state. Assign blame to election officials who disenfranchised the voters of that precinct/county/state by failing to defend against fraud.
4. Tabulate ballots from the remaining precincts/counties/states where fraud did not occur.
Or we can wait for Roberts to grow some balls and consider whether a mandate for a do-over vote is warranted.
Impartial statistical forensic methods exist to evaluate the probability of fraud. Those same methods suggested fraud existed at Enron and proved to be correct. They have also been applied to elections around the world in recent times.
Crooks almost always make a mistake somewhere.
Nailed It!!!! Keep the faith. It. Will. Happen.
On the bright side Los
Vegas will be destroyed. Maybe after the miscreants leave Nevada will turn Red.
Georgia, which the culturally enriched Dekalb and Fulton county stole , will be recounted too. Hopefully it will be by legal means this time. It is very likely Trump will win Georgia as well.
Another “tell” for me is, why would people who supposedly provide social media platforms and or supposed news organizations that theoretically simply report current events impartially (snicker) be hysterically banning or blacking out that very news? The fix was in and the MSM including FOX is up to their eyeballs in it. Jeanine Pirro was canned for insisting her show was going to discuss the forbidden topic of whether or not their was voter fraud. Of course she was going to have high profile guests ready to document such fraud to the viewers
Another tell is the adamant insistence that no vote fraud exists or is debunked while we have numerous arrests, undercover and overt videos and results changed by “glitch” discoveries in addition to the Supreme Court already intervening in Pennsylvania. At least two recounts are already scheduled.
This is not over until the first week in January and perhaps not until Inauguration Day.
The asshats always moaning about our democracy seem awful anxious to dispense with the finer points of it. The old Chinese proverb is appropriate here: “The oxen is slow, but the earth is patient.” In our case the oxen is the careful counting and investigating. If they won on the up and up they should all be just fine with taking all the time we need, at least until 1/20/21.
Always has been . I quit watching after the way the Fox in the hen house treated Ron Paul in 2008.
OK,todays little PSA post!
Today I want to remind folks if they have not to put together a IFAK kit,a stop bleeding dammit package!
You need one in your car/perhaps workplace i.e. construction what have you,hell,be safe,have one in office,you never know!
Obviously,one also in home.
I put together kits from this article by Aesop who is a million times more knowledgeable then me about this stuff.The link also includes links to where to buy different stuff(though search for best deal on quality gear)/some basic training videos ect.,very worthwhile read: https://raconteurreport.blogspot.com/2018/05/first-aid-first-aid-kits-ifak-and-beyond.html ,so,do yourself a favor and read and put together some kits,I made 3 for meself and made some for others as a Christmas gift.
Tha is the end of todays PSA post,”The more you know”
James,
I have a Trauma kit in each car (3) and got to use one last year after I didn’t bother to wear my chaps for a minor chainsaw chore.
(yea I know, always wear your chaps)
The blood stop powder I got from the guy who makes MY Pillow worked perfectly. Then I used an Israel Battle Dressing to bind my leg up (took 11 stitches) and drove myself to the VA.
https://www.mypillow.com/bleedstop
I suppose this is good news, along with the fact the electoral college picks the president and not the media or the people.
Mid to the end of December should tell the story….
Hang on, I think it’s going to get ugly as the Marxists are doing the dance and feeling pretty good right now, what could cause a bigger shit storm than having this good feeling crushed with four more years?
Plastered across this morning’s newspaper was the headline BIDEN WINS, complete with a photo of His Senility™ all smiles and joining hands in victory with ©umswalla and others. Just one big happy family.
And underneath this jolly scene, a glowing article about how ©umswalla was such an inspiration to a little Indian girl after she had seen ©umswalla cook some stinky Indian dish or other. Interestingly, black people were not interviewed to give their I’m-sure gushing reviews, however; surprising, given that ©umswalla is a black woman. I mean, she said she’s black, so there’s no reason to doubt anything about her or her family, right? Sure! All black women are married to Jews and cook Indian food. Nothing to see here, folks, move along.
I’m saving this morning’s paper in the hopes it’ll be DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN all over again.
Clever name!
I liked when he said” twenty-three million thousand” in his speech.
i heard an interview this am w/some residents of oakland(guess the demographics),kamala’s hometown,and they were overjoyed–
shouldn’t it bother american blacks that obama’s black blood is from africa & kamala’s black blood is from jamaica?
Or Gore….
Remember–Georgia has not elected a democrat president since 1992 when they went for Clinton. Now they expect us to believe they went for Biden??? Nope.
Last time OH did not go for the winning candidate was 1960, another election that was stolen. Before that was their vote for Dewey in 1944 when Truman snatched victory from the jaws of defeat.
Black leaders in Memphrica want to bring Stacy Adams here to teach them how to flip TN like she helped do in GA.
That’s literally been the theme of Trump’s do-nothing, pass-the-buck Presidency all along.
I hope you’re right.
I’ve been beating the drum to get the Right side to vacate FB and Twitter and the MSM. There are usable alternatives out there. We need to break free of their control of the narrative spewing media. If we can’t even do that, we don’t deserve a free republic. Those people are trying to destroy you, and are using your resources to do it.
Better take a look at their user demographics before getting over confident.
Lol
Operation Scorecard
https://distributednews.com/472581.html
While I believe you are right w/ your numbers, rest assured the deep state either has the needed judges in their pocket. Rest assured.
They dont.
here is where it stands now–if trump gets fair rulings he will either win it outright or reduce biden’s ec count enough to throw it into the house–
IF–
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/2020-election-live-updates-2020-11-07/
There’s not going to be any Copium left on Earth at this rate.
the electoral college decides who is elected, and they have not voted, so slow yer roll, let these idiots fall on their swords. time is on our side, and so is the law.
Usually, but not always.
Farmers have a saying about being extra careful when plowing a new field for the first time.
Right. Maybe you remember 2008 when the Democrats elected the halfrican from Kenya, who obviously didn’t meet the Natural Born Citizen requirement per the US Constitution, but no court would grant anyone standing to bring suit. We all held our breath with the hopes that the electoral college would finally put an end to the usurpation. LOL, nope. Sorry, but it ain’t going to happen, anon.
All the Biden only votes will be thoroughly investigates. Bet on it.
It wasn’t even close.
Well written argument. We will all take this situation in very different ways. I trust that Trump was not only capable of bringing home hostages, and bodies of dead soldiers from North Korea, bringing home a hostage just last week with a precision seal team and no casualties, blowing terrorists with precision to kingdom come, making 4 peace deals across the mid-east, plus all the other major feats that took brains and brawn, but is more than capable of entrapping the Deep State. Tin foil hat wearers are very often right my friend and it’s hubris to not listen.
In the case for Trump, you need only look at the man. You can pick his brain through The Art of the Deal. What’s to say that this isn’t now a military operation since this is undoubtedly a case of national security? It became that upon learning Biden’s ties to China. It also became that when the scorecards “were found” in the ballot machines and programmed to flip red votes to blue. Who is programming those? Is it foreign, or domestic enemies, because if you believe it’s a “glitch” you are dumber than tin. It is my contention that the scorecards weren’t just “found.” The Trump team knew that they were there all along and allowed them to cheat.
Suppose the military had access to the poll stations a couple of weeks before, and placed mics and cameras everywhere? Where is some of that cheating footage coming from, especially the one that shows a gal changing ballots and the camera is about 5 feet suspended over her head? There are things smaller than a fly that can be used.
I find that analytical brains are flawed in that they will never come to anything that hints of tin foil.
Stand by friends and watch the greatest sting operation in the history of mankind.
It’s a nice thought.
Psst, it’s the machine ballot digital tampering/reporting!!! Systemic electronic/digital vote manipulation/reporting has been covertly happening for years. Just hoping that this time the rigging is so ridiculously blatant and massive, the CRIMINALS will be unable to put a lid on it. Even the local SOT’s, county clerks and voting admins are compromised/complicit as One can now easily see. Either all the sorry pukes get outed and do some serious “slammer time” or the Republic is DONE!
Would you wait a minute! We need to get Barr to issue his indictments first.
I teach a government class at a homeschool co-op in Michigan. Just prior to the election, I asked my students how they thought it would go. One student mentioned that one parent, a registered Democrat, received 5 ballots, and the other, a Republican, received 1. Another student said the ratio was 3 to 0, with the three addressed to her deceased grandmother. There were other examples. All it takes is a small percentage of dishonest voters to magnify the fraudulent result (‘send them all in, they can’t verify them all’).
It should be possible to scan the US Postal Service database to see how many households received more than two ballots. Granted there are single voter households and those with several residents (housemates), but there could easily be an irregularity detected in some places. For example, if the average addressed to registered Democrats greatly exceeds that to registered Republicans (or Independents), that is fraud.
The reason the Democrats have nothing to lose is that the media will say Trump stole the election, even if they get caught with the multitude of frauds being reported around the country.