Covid’s IFR just keeps DROPPING

Guest Post by Kit Knightly

New study says the infection fatality ratio of the “deadly virus” has fallen from 3.4% to 0.15%…that’s plummeting 95% in less than a year

COVID-19 Fatality Rate Down 30% Since April, Study Finds | World News | US  News

With every new study, with every new paper, the “deadly” pandemic gets less and less, well, deadly. The most recent data review, published in late March, puts the infection fatality ratio (IFR) at 0.15%.

That is, once again, pretty much the same as a normal flu season.

The new paper is the work of Dr John Ioannidis, whom you likely remember. He is an eminent epidemiologist and statistician who publicly urged the need for “good data” last spring.

Do you remember last spring? The blissful days of never having even heard of “infection fatality ratio”? (I do. Fondly.)

The phrase really rose to prominence last year, after the World Health Organization (WHO) announced the IFR of the scary new virus was 3.4%.

This is not, in and of itself, especially high. But it is significantly higher than most cold/flu viruses.

Around the same time, somebody (or multiple somebodies) actually edited the Wikipedia page of the Spanish Flu, to change its IFR and make it seem like Covid was just as dangerous. Who did this remains a mystery, although why has become fairly obvious.

At the time, many experts (such as those listed in our 12 Experts article) predicted the actual IFR of “Covid” would be much, much lower than the WHO’s estimate, and that this would become clear as new data were gathered.

Dr John Ioannidis was one of the most vocal on this point, he was featured on our list and was also the first interview in the Perspectives on the Pandemic series. All the way along he has urged the need for cool heads and good data. His first a study, last April, found the REAL IFR of Covid19 was 0.27%. Then he did another in October that found it may be even lower at 0.2%.

And now, this most recent study found 0.15%. Right in line with seasonal influenza (which has, conveniently enough, dropped off the face of the planet).

That’s a reduction of 95% of the WHO’s estimate, in less than a year. It’s also right along the same lines as the WHO’s (accidental) admission, made last October, that around 10% of the world had likely been exposed to the virus, rendering an IFR of roughly 0.14%.

And remember to bear in mind the ridiculous way national governments collate their so-called “Covid deaths”. Even with the official death statistics being “substantial overestimates” the IFR is still low. Very low.

Now, let’s couch this with all the usual disclaimers: Yes, the virus may not ever have been isolated, and thus has not as yet been proven to exist. And yes, even supposing it does exist, it has not been proven to cause the disease known as “Covid19”.

But, increasingly, the distinction between “no virus” and “a virus that isn’t dangerous” seems entirely moot, doesn’t it?

As the real IFR of Covid is revealed to be lower (and lower, and lower) than the original estimates, it moves further and further into line with the basic background risk of just being alive.

Still, don’t forget to take that experimental gene-therapy “vaccine”. We don’t know if they’re completely safe yet, because long-term trials won’t finish for two years, and the technology has never been used on humans before, but still…you’ve only got a 99.85% chance of survival without it.

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5 Comments
KaD
KaD
April 24, 2021 2:52 pm

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
April 24, 2021 5:23 pm

It is easy to drive up the IFR if you place infected people in close proximity to the elderly who already have numerous health problems and if you ventilate every patient, blowing their lungs out.

The IFR may be next to zero, but we still have a pandemic and still need to lock down, social distance and wear a bunch of masks.

On my weekly visit to town today, I noticed in Wally World where it used to be 99.5% mask compliance, it is down to around 80%. ALL of the maskless were white and the blacks mostly had 2 masks or a mask and face shield.

Realist
Realist
  TN Patriot
April 29, 2021 5:34 am

Study Results: Facemasks are Ineffective to Block Transmission of COVID-19 and Actually Can Cause Health Deterioration and Premature Death

https://wethepeopleconvention.org/articles/New-Study-Lockdowns-Dont-Work

Wake up!

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 29, 2021 12:26 pm

Actually you have a higher than 99.85% survival chance because that stat is based on the assumption that you will in fact be infected at some point.

Anonymous
Anonymous
August 27, 2021 8:14 am

Respectfully: you are comparing two different things. The CNBC article is describing the CFR or case fatality rate. That’s confirmed deaths over confirmed cases. The Wiley article is discussing IFR which is confirmed deaths over estimated total cases. Some estimates have a 10x difference between the two values, some as high as 100x.