Complain But Remain

Guest Post by Jeff Thomas

economic collapse

All countries have a “shelf-life” of sorts. Generally, they begin when an old, top-heavy government collapses from its own weight. The end of the old regime is characterized by civil unrest, revolution, secession, economic collapse or some combination of these conditions.

The new country generally has minimal government and little or nothing in the way of entitlements. It’s “sink or swim” for the people, and the recovery generally begins when a portion of the population rolls up its sleeves and creates an economy based upon production.

Over time, often a century or more, the population gets better at production and the country becomes wealthier. Along the way, whatever limited government existed has done all it could to expand itself. Governments, by their very nature, are parasites, living off the productive class, and eventually that parasite has the power to dominate those who produce, by promising largesse to those on the lower levels – who are in every society, the majority of voters.

This pattern has been followed for millennia. A nation establishes its freedom; it begins a productive economy; it develops wealth; it is taken over by a parasitical government; it goes into decline; it collapses, and the cycle begins anew.

At any point in history, there are always countries at every stage of this pattern.

Most of us have no problem in comprehending the initial stages, but, when the decline begins, it’s human nature to adopt the vain hope that the pattern will somehow reverse itself – that the snowball that’s rolling downhill ever more rapidly will somehow screech to a halt and roll back up the hill.

It never happens.

The worst stage, of course, is the inevitable collapse, and the stage when the greatest number of people are in the greatest level of denial is just prior to the collapse.

Only a few years before a collapse, most people in a country are still saying that it will all work out “somehow.” However, as the collapse gets closer, an increasing number of people start to say, “This is not going to work out. This is going to be very bad.”

And then, something quite surprising occurs. The vast majority of the individuals who see a dark future approaching them, just wait for the collapse to happen. They complain but remain.

Some of them buy a few cases of canned goods and store them in the cellar. Some buy weaponry. Some purchase some gold or silver in preparation for a monetary collapse.

Each of these preparations is likely to soften the blow of a systemic collapse. And each brings a level of comfort to the individual who recognizes that his country is reaching its sell-by date.

The trouble is, this comfort is much like driving a car whose brakes are failing. You realise that the car will soon go off the cliff but somehow take comfort in the fact that the car has an air bag.

Of course, it would be more costly and certainly much more inconvenient to have thought ahead and have bought a newer, safer car, yet very, very few people actually take that step prior to a national collapse.

Over the decades, I’ve routinely predicted market crashes and depressed economic periods before they occurred. This is not something that requires a crystal ball. The ability to see dramatic change coming is largely a question of three factors: study history, pay attention to unfolding events and be honest with yourself as to what those events indicate for the future.

Prior to each economic downturn, I’ve warned clients, partners, friends and associates as to what I saw coming. The reaction in each case was the same: only about ten percent actually bothered to listen to and remember the warnings. The others simply tuned it out.

Of the ten percent that listened, only about ten percent of that number actually prepared themselves for a possible change. Therefore, only about one percent actually were prepared when the change arrived on their doorstep and, so, were minimally affected.

Interestingly, whenever a negative economic shift occurred, the ninety percent who had tuned out the warning, almost invariably commented afterward, “No one could have seen this coming.” When reminded that they had been warned, they uniformly insisted that they’d never received any such warning.

They were not being untruthful – they simply had never taken the information on-board in the first instance and therefore had no recollection of it.

Since this was the case, these same individuals (the ninety percent) learned nothing from the downturn and they, almost to a man, repeated the same mistake when the next negative event occurred.

But, today, we’re approaching the mother of all economic collapses – one for the record books. Never have the mistakes made by the world’s governments been so extreme. Never have the debt levels that cause economic collapses been so irreversible.

And so, as we get closer to the first of the economic dominoes that will fall, an increasing number of people are experiencing an inexplicable bad feeling in the pit of their stomachs. They recognize that something quite bad will soon befall them but don’t fully understand it.

Based upon past experience, my estimation is that only one in ten will recognize that trouble is headed their way and only one in that ten will actually take positive action to geographically remove himself from ground-zero in anticipation.

The image above tells us that a building has been condemned. As the notice states, it’s dangerous and unsafe. The notice is printed on brightly coloured paper, in case we’re still not paying attention.

Unfortunately, economic collapses do not come with such helpful notices. We must seek our own information and draw our own conclusions.

That does not, however, mean that a collapse won’t happen. It only means that we must be more diligent if we’re to ensure that we’re well-away when a collapse does come.

For many years, I’ve been advising people on internationalization – the practice of diversifying oneself economically and physically in order to minimize the likelihood of becoming a casualty of any one jurisdiction and its negative developments.

In the last year, as the collapse has been getting nearer, I’ve been seeing an increasing number of people who state that they’re not sure exactly what’s going to happen, but they realise that they’d better begin to prepare to remove themselves and their families from the growing threat.

Of these, once again, ninety percent are those whom I describe as the “complain but remain” group – those who have the visceral understanding that they’re soon to become collateral damage – those who ask for advice as to what they can do about it – yet, in the end, do less than what’s necessary to remove themselves from impending danger.

At present, it’s still possible to take action. All that’s necessary is to overcome inertia.

Editor’s Note: It’s clear misguided socialist ideas are running rampant in the US. All signs point to this trend accelerating until it reaches a crisis… one unlike anything we’ve seen before. That’s exactly why Doug Casey and his team just released this urgent video. Click here to watch it now.

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25 Comments
motley
motley
June 21, 2021 8:26 pm

And go where ? Latin America (which everybody seems to point to) has far less civil rights than America.

Neuday
Neuday
  motley
June 21, 2021 8:55 pm

Hate to break it to you, but the “Civil Rights” laws, along with Hart-Cellar, are what killed America.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Neuday
June 21, 2021 10:36 pm

“Civil Rights” was a outcome of the original causes of the downfall of America. The first was the creation of the Federal Reserve and the second was the “one man one vote” policy. The first gave unlimited supply of money to politicians which enslaved the citizens through debt and heavy taxation. The second gave voting rights to all persons. People with no knowledge of what it is to work for their daily bread, people with “no skin in the game” and people who voted out of feelings and compassion instead of what is best for the country.

Horseless Headsman
Horseless Headsman
  Anonymous
June 21, 2021 10:44 pm

Don’t forget the importing of 3rd worlders that can’t be assimilated.

Horseless Headsman
Horseless Headsman
  motley
June 21, 2021 10:43 pm

Not to mention you become the gringo in the big house just as times get tough.

m
m
  motley
June 22, 2021 2:05 am

“every country which cannot fully militarily defend itself, is a vassal of the USA respectively GlobCorp”

That narrows it down to 3-4 countries.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
June 21, 2021 8:44 pm

The debt issue is meaningless to ordinary humans. We don’t owe any debt and the people holding the notes are the only ones who will lose anything. And considering it’s all made up- tranches, rehypothecations, derivatives- it’s all fugazi and they know it. They are literally writing checks to themselves and pretending to cash them. There are no billionaires anymore than there are LEM’s sitting on the Moon.

What matters is boots on the ground. Who controls land and resources. Bon vivant cosmopolitans who think they can flit about the Earth whenever trouble approaches are living in a whole different kind of denial of reality. Jeff Thomas as an atomized globetrotter thinking his squirreled away stocks and bonds are going to buy him any kind of safety is just as much a pipe dream as some guy thinking he’s going to have a baby if he just believes it.

Ghost
Ghost
  hardscrabble farmer
June 21, 2021 9:01 pm

Is that metaphor or simile?

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  Ghost
June 21, 2021 9:11 pm

In another fifteen years, if we’re still alive, we’ll be the remaining few who even know what those words mean.

Tend your garden, be there for your family, loyal your friends, and in the meantime, be of good cheer.

Memento mori. Someone tell Jeff.

Ghost
Ghost
  hardscrabble farmer
June 21, 2021 10:14 pm

The Lord’s ways are mysterious. Truly.

m
m
  hardscrabble farmer
June 22, 2021 2:10 am

We don’t owe any debt

What about the other side of the ledger:
You don’t “own” a single US Dollar bill (=IOU), physically or electronically?

Warren
Warren
  m
June 22, 2021 6:07 am

A dollar bill, a FRN, is in reality a non interest bearing bearers bond.
It is a debt instrument, it is debt.

Ginger
Ginger
  m
June 22, 2021 6:56 am

You do not own your very land.

Crawfisher
Crawfisher
  hardscrabble farmer
June 22, 2021 9:43 am

You’re post made me think of this scene from Wolf of Wall Street, start at the 1:20 to 3:05 time frame

falcoflight
falcoflight
June 21, 2021 9:00 pm

The element not mentioned is the tyranny propagated by gov’t; the arbitrary and capricious actions and general misery heaped upon the masses. The dissident in particular will suffer the most at the hands of such a gov’t which has a ready and willing citizenry that at least implicitly supports these abuses. How long can tyranny survive? The philosophical answer is as much as the people are willing to accept. The human timeline throughout history reflects that absent sacrificial resistance…forever. How long before TBP can no longer post these pieces, and more immediate, the comments section?

Warren
Warren
  falcoflight
June 22, 2021 6:04 am

Thanks to the man with no name, TBP hasn’t suffered like that of WRSA.

KaD
KaD
June 21, 2021 10:54 pm

“only one in that ten will actually take positive action to geographically remove himself from ground-zero in anticipation.”

What part of ‘most people don’t have the means to do this’ does this guy just not understand? Is he capable of coming up with any advice for normal people?

Warren
Warren
  KaD
June 22, 2021 6:02 am

And just where is ground zero?
And where isn’t it?

Austrian Peter
Austrian Peter
June 22, 2021 12:41 am

“Prior to each economic downturn, I’ve warned clients, partners, friends and associates as to what I saw coming. The reaction in each case was the same: only about ten percent actually bothered to listen to and remember the warnings. The others simply tuned it out.”

Which is why I wrote my book. I saw in the 2013 Cyprus ‘bank robbery’ that the writing was on the wall – the only problem is timing. I had guessed the 2018 -2020 time slot and I haven’t altered it in the 4th edition. Now in 2021 it looks like they can print money for a long time yet and the USA appears to still have the most powerful military – the barbarians are not at the gate yet IMHO.

m
m
  Austrian Peter
June 22, 2021 2:15 am

But did you ever realize what the real underlying reasons, to let Cypriot banks fail, were?
It was to keep Russia out of the EU, economically.

My forecast from autumn 2019 stands:
The US will collapse sometime this decade.
If they pull out all the stops and sacrifice one vassal after another, carefully timed, they may be able to postpone it to 2035, tops.

Austrian Peter
Austrian Peter
  m
June 22, 2021 2:46 am

Timing is always the N—-r in the woodpile 🙂

Ham n jam n spam
Ham n jam n spam
June 22, 2021 6:35 am

Geographically relocate where?

My friend is moving to the mountains of guatemala. But hes a multi millionaire and his wife is from guatemala. Easy transition. But what about us normals? Where do we head?

m
m
  Ham n jam n spam
June 23, 2021 3:16 am

If you’re truly Christian, the answer is obviously Russia.

Stucky
Stucky
June 22, 2021 9:57 am

Complain But Remain ….. the official motto of TBP.

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 22, 2021 10:48 am

Man I am really looking forward to the day Simon Black’s compound in Puerto Rico gets overrun by rioters and we don’t have to hear any more of this “just move lol” bullshit.