The Kremlin’s Strategic Blunders Are Leading to War

Guest Post by Paul Craig Roberts

While US Whore Media and Whore “scientists” dependent on Fauci-controlled NIH and Big Pharma grants whip up fear over a relatively harmless “Omicron variant,” a real dangerous situation that I have anticipated for seven years is raising its deadly head.

The arrogant fools in Washington lost in their own hubris have been practicing nuclear attacks on Russia within 20 kilometers of Russia’s borders.  Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced that Washington’s operation  Global Thunder rehearsed launching nuclear weapons against Russia from both western and eastern directions.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Washington was not taking seriously Moscow’s warning not to cross Russia’s red lines.

Putin is correct.  But it is the Kremlin’s fault.

The only decisive action the Kremlin has taken in response to intense provocations from Washington and NATO was the Kremlin’s decision to accept the overwhelming vote of the people in Crimea to be reincorporated into Russia where the territory had resided for 300 years.  The Kremlin’s alternative was to lose Russia’s Black Sea navy base.

In a strategic blunder of the first magnitude, the Kremlin refused the same plea from the Russian people in the  Donetsk and Luhansk republics, territories that also had been part of Russia for centuries.  By refusing to honor the vote of the Donbass Russians to again be a part of Russia, the Kremlin subjected them to war and destruction by the Ukrainian army and various neo-nazi Ukrainian militias.  If the Kremlin had accepted the vote of the Donbass Russians to be returned to Russia, the conflict would have ended as Ukraine would not destroy itself by attacking Russian territory.  Without the ongoing conflict, Washington would have been unable to continue its machinations against Russia in Ukraine.

In an effort to salvage the situation, the Kremlin put together the “Minsk Agreement,” which Western powers were to support, but didn’t.  Thus, the conflict has continued to smolder since 2014, providing Washington with 7 years to use anti-Russian propaganda to define the narrative.

The Kremlin’s passivity and attempt to rely on agreements with the US and NATO to resolve a Ukrainian situation that Washington most certainly does not want resolved has convinced Washington and NATO Secretary Jens Stoltenberg that there is no fight in Russia, thus producing the situation that I have feared:  Washington has concluded that Russia’s red lines are merely rhetoric.

Many other Kremlin failures have contributed to this dangerous outcome.  The Kremlin still permits Israel to attack Syrian territory when one telephone call from Putin is sufficient to halt the attacks.  The Kremlin still permits the occupation of a small part of Syria by US troops and CIA Arab mercenaries hostile to the Syrian state.  The Kremlin receives massive insults to the Russian president and still refers to those insulting Russia as “our Western partners.”

These are not responses that create the impression that there is any force behind the Kremlin’s red line.

The Kremlin has also failed miserably in anticipating Washington’s moves, indicating an incompetent intelligence service or a willing disbelief in the Kremlin of Russian intelligence reports.  Despite its obviousness, the Kremlin failed to anticipate the invasion of South Ossetia in 2008 by a US and Israeli-trained and equipped Georgian army.  Putin was at the summer Olympics in Beijing.  The Kremlin failed to anticipate Washington’s obvious overthrow of the democratically elected government of Ukraine and the replacement of a Russia-friendly regime with a neo-nazi regime. Putin was at the Sochi Olympics.

Washington simply will not take seriously a government incapable of paying attention to what is happening to its interests in its own backyard.

One might think that the Kremlin would learn by experience, but apparently not. With reports that half of the Ukrainian army is in the Donbass region threatening the Russian inhabitants, US Secretary of State Blinken threatens Russia with “serious consequences” if Russia protects the Donbass Russians.

Imagine, a cipher like Blinken, a person of no ability or accomplishments, a representative of a second-rate military power that discriminates against its own white troops, issuing threats to the world’s dominant military force.  This is hubris run amuck, hubris encouraged by years of Kremlin low-key response to major provocations.  As I have warned, the low-key Russian response, despite its good intention, encourages more provocations, and sooner or later Washington will go too far and cross a red line that will force a Russian military response.  My fear of nuclear war is the reason for my warning that Russia needs to put a strong foot down in order to stop the progression of provocations that can only end in war.

Why has the Kremlin been so meek in response to insults and provocations?  I have no inside information.  The speculations are that (1) the Kremlin wants the Donbass Russians to remain in Ukraine in order to water down the influence of anti-Russian attitudes in Western Ukraine;  (2) the Kremlin did not want to confirm Washington’s propaganda that Russia was rebuilding the Soviet Empire by reabsorbing the Donbass Russians in addition to Crimea;  (3) westernized Russian intellectuals have more confidence in the West than in their government;  (4) the Atlanticist Integrationists desire to be part of the West than to be allied with China;  (5) the Kremlin thinks that by continuing to be low-key and open to cooperation with the West all difficulties will be resolved;  (6) Russia knows the horrors of war and wants to avoid war at all costs;  (7) Russian billionaire oligarchs want the West as a haven for their stolen wealth.

All of these are sound reasons as far as they go.  The problem is that all of these reasons ignore that Russia is Washington’s enemy of choice.  Russia is the enemy that justifies the $1,000 billion annual budget of the US military/security complex.  Russia is the enemy that strengthens Washington’s hold on NATO and Washington’s European empire. Russia is the enemy that keeps the Washington-abused American population loyal to the government that is destroying American liberty.  Russia is the enemy that can be blamed, along with China, for every failure of Washington.  How can the Kremlin forget that the hostility of the American Elite to Russia is so overwhelming that President Trump was confronted with a CIA/FBI/Justice Department orchestrated “Russiagate” for simply stating that he intended to restore normal relations with Russia?

Normal relations with Russia are impermissible to the extent that a President of the United States was removed from office in a stolen election after trumped-up “Russiagate” and “Impeachgate” attempts failed.  To complete the lesson to all future presidents that normal relations with Russia are impermissible, Trump supporters are being prosecuted for attending a rally in support of Trump, a rally now known as “the Trump Insurrection.”  Six hundred innocent people are held in prison in violation of habeas corpus and First Amendment rights.  Not even the US Constitution can protect them.

And this is a government that the Kremlin thinks it can reach an accommodation with !

God help the Russians and all of us as Washington’s provocations continue their march to war.

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21 Comments
Anonymous
Anonymous
December 3, 2021 7:16 am

The government is the people’s enemy, and Russia is no exception.

Mygirl....maybe
Mygirl....maybe
  Anonymous
December 3, 2021 8:10 am

The Russians don’t really want the Ukraine, it is a failed state, deeply in debt and not really valuable to them. It is also infiltrated with too many NATO and US State Department apparatchiks who stole the gold and use the Ukraine as their cash cow.

August
August
  Mygirl....maybe
December 3, 2021 4:03 pm

Agree that the Russians have zero desire to incorporate all of Ukraine into their “CIS’ (western Ukraine had never been ruled by Moscow until Stalin unwisely seized it in the aftermath of WW2). However, those parts of Ukraine which would be amenable to Russian control will likely find their way back to some sort of accord with Mother Russia.

At the moment the USA and NATO definitely want a war, which all concerned hope will stay ‘limited’. As regards to Europe, Russia is to be kept Out, and the USA In. A few thousand dead Ukrainians will be a small price to pay.

m
m
December 3, 2021 9:10 am

Paul is really losing it.
Is it the season of Monday-Morning-Quarterbacking?

08.08.08 was maybe a better lesson [to the West] than preventing it to even get that far.
Obama called off the Syrian invasion basically on the day before it was scheduled. You don’t think that was because a certain Russian statesman read him the riot act, including fire and brimstone?
The Krim referendum was a stroke of genius. (Compare with the Kosovo split-off, or the German reunification, from a legal standpoint.)
The Donetsk and Luhansk stalemate is hurting Ukraine much more than Russia.

It is almost impossible to permanently stop psychopaths, without killing them. So it will be a slow grind, but you got to make sure it’s a grind on your terms.
The only other option [for Putin] would be a preventive attack [trying to take out all key psychopaths], which will likely turn into nuclear war within the hour. You suggest that, Paul?

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  m
December 3, 2021 9:39 am

I agree with you 100% on this one.

Russia plays a better long game than the psychopaths in D.C.

Balbinus
Balbinus
  hardscrabble farmer
December 3, 2021 11:37 am

Patience seems to be an Asian virtue that is not used much in the fast food West. Right now, right away, MY way.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  hardscrabble farmer
December 3, 2021 3:36 pm

The Russians seem to believe that the American Empire is currently collapsing and will be impotent within a few years.
However, if our “leaders” have really planned for 70% of the population to die from “vaccines”, and the American part of the plan isn’t panning out, then perhaps a nuclear war is their last option.

brian
brian
December 3, 2021 10:11 am

When your enemy is in the process of destroying itself, you do not interfere.

Imo, Russia is playing it smart.

Why engage in a kinetic war thats not only expensive but generally unpopular with the citizenry. Especially knowing that your enemy is teetering on the brink of economic collapse. China and Russia are forging economic alliances to hasten the US petro dollar off the global currency pedestal.

If they can, and I think they will, pull down the petro-dollar, then the US will have zero influence anywhere on this rock, period. There simply won’t be a need for a destructive war when they can buy everything at yard sale prices. But until then, rattle the saber, use a few head fakes etc, to keep the war mongers in a frenzy and spending money like water over Niagara.

Eventually the body of your enemy will float past you if you are patient.

Balbinus
Balbinus
  brian
December 3, 2021 11:40 am

A little wisdom from Sun Tzu, a very patient and wise man.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  brian
December 3, 2021 3:59 pm

the old fart would rejoice and sing praise if Slavs kill eachother.
he is just a old guy dreaming of former glory.

daddy Joe
daddy Joe
December 3, 2021 10:27 am

Good, clear article and an important topic that hasn’t seen much sunshine being in the shadow of our scamdemic and economic meltdown. Russia is being patient playing the long game. Like the rest of the world and our own population they are hoping that some sanity will return to U.S. leadership before the red line is crossed again. Meanwhile, I agree we are in danger more from our own ambitious swamp creatures. Whether or not Russia meddled in any past U.S. elections we would be far better off today if they had–anything is better than having our megalomaniac clowns in charge as they are now. Loose cannons everywhere!

Balbinus
Balbinus
  daddy Joe
December 3, 2021 11:50 am

Food for thought: The United States is not mentioned in the bible in the end times. Is it just gone? Is it of no importance? Is it there but hidden in a dark passage of scripture? Other options? What’s others opinions!

Russia is mentioned. (Gog and Magog). God will destroy the Russians as they march against Israel. They will be destroyed by an earthquake probably in the Syria/Lebanon area. God’s word is sure and true.

Red River D
Red River D
  Balbinus
December 3, 2021 1:01 pm

Of course the USA is mentioned. It would be a little bit on-the-nose if the authors of Scripture called her by name, no? But she’s certainly described to the letter. The hindermost of the nations? The hammer of the whole earth? Mother of harlots and the abominations of the earth?

There can be only one.

Stucky
Stucky
December 3, 2021 11:17 am

This may be the worst article ever penned by PCR.

I hope Putin sees this article … and appoints PCR as his Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, and Secretary of the Department Of Knowing All Shit …. since PCR seems to really know all shit, smarty pants that he thinks he is.

Doing to Donetsk and Luhansk what was done in Crimea would come at a HUGE cost to Russia. I’m not going to get into all of it. Although I hate The Saker (for his unforgiving stance on people who don’t want the Shit Shot) he, nevertheless, understands the situation with Donetsk and Luhansk a thousand percent better than PCR.

What Russia has done is build an Army, Air Force, and Navy with weapons unmatched in the American arsenal … and manned all those units with Real Men …. not faggots in pink shoes.

In closing, PCR is a fucken idiot. Trust me on this, please.

Red River D
Red River D
  Stucky
December 3, 2021 1:04 pm

I took a shit on PCR about three months ago and got buried in a blizzard of downvotes.

Looks like the worm has turned.

Stucky
Stucky
  Red River D
December 3, 2021 4:26 pm

“Looks like the worm has turned.”

PCR articles over the past year have been a crap shoot. He still writes articles that are quite good, and others like this one which are not. Like a box of chocolates …

Ken31
Ken31
December 3, 2021 11:18 am

PCR should stick to subjects he understands, but he makes some good points. Russia did the best thing for Russia, given the constraints imposed by western sociopaths.

Anonymous
Anonymous
December 3, 2021 12:26 pm

Democrats are back in power in the US. Oh my Russia, just like clockwork

Anonymous
Anonymous
December 3, 2021 3:57 pm

the old fart needs to study the Donbas population.
Pro-Russians are the minority, most just want to get pocketmoney from Russia and without being paid would not care if they were ruled by ukrop nazis🤷‍♂️

Anonymous
Anonymous
December 3, 2021 4:07 pm

“and the replacement of a Russia-friendly regime with a neo-nazi regime. ”

Isn’t the Ukrainian president Jewish?

So, Likudnik, presumably?

Who stands to benefit from a Russian/NATO conflict in Ukraine? Not NATO, not Russia – then who?.

Oldtoad of Green Acres
Oldtoad of Green Acres
December 4, 2021 9:10 am

Bullshit!
The USA is a paper tiger about to burn up.
Russia is a Christian country that has limits. Chess players playing with checkers level intellect.