Sitrep Operation Z – Where are we?

Via The Saker

The main observation which one cannot help but agree with, comes from Andrei Martyanov and I rephrase somewhat:

The rate of change is markedly accelerating as the first result of the crumbling and implosion of the Ukraine as a state and the structure of its armed forces.

Things will go quicker now and they are, as discussed further!

First though, pure fantasy. We call it ‘narrative’ but it is fantasy!

This was found on a Ukrainian site : https://t.me/ice_inii

Take a look at a few things here: The US influence, the fantasy of being the Robin Williams character in the movie Good Morning Vietnam and the fantasy of being the gook! These fighters live in a movie. And then, the breakdown of the fantasy. This is another example of exactly what Martyanov means.

We stay for a moment in fantasy.

Andrei Martyanov commented on Lieutenant-General Kellog who, contrary to his statement about “everything he learned about war”, never learned shit.  http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/05/when-bs-meter-goes-off-scale.html

A quick comparison of the US and the UK commentary on Putin’s speech

Here we have UK Defense Secretary Ben Wallace. This can only be classified as repugnant and if Kellog according to Martyanov ‘never learned shit’, this one only ‘talks shit’. https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/speech-by-defence-secretary-on-russias-invasion-of-ukraine

A short snippet:

“I thought about the scale of their (ordinary Russian soldier) suffering across the Soviet Union, but also how the suffering was used, then as it is now, to cover up the inadequacy of those ruling in safety and comfort from behind the Kremlin walls above and within the General Staff nearby.

Foreign Minister Baerbock has no idea what she is saying and her grasp of history is non-existent.

“Germany is responsible for the defense of Ukraine and all of Europe,”

Zelensky, besides his other problems, is tone deaf ..

They are not ashamed any longer. They say it in the open

And then moving from fantasy, we have the voices of realism

Chinese View:

“In his Victory Day speech on Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin “calmly but firmly” stated that Russia had to take preemptive actions in its special operation in Ukraine as NATO had created an “absolutely unacceptable threat” at Russia’s borders. According to Chinese analysts, the speech was delivered in a “restrained” manner to send a clear signal to the West that Russia will not accept intensified pressure to squeeze Russia’s strategic space, but at the same time showed Putin was leaving some room for negotiation.” https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202205/1265207.shtml

US Embassy in China mocked by Chinese netizens after comparing Russia with Nazi Germany. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202205/1265112.shtml

We have to accept that the Ukraine was meant as a new Afghanistan. Take a look:

The US Department of Defense has claimed credit for “westernizing” the Ukrainian military by giving it training and weapons to oppose Russia, according to spokesman John Kirby. However, the results of the effort made over the past eight years apparently took by surprise even the US’ own military intelligence, he implied in an interview with Fox News on Tuesday. US officials had expected the imminent capture of Ukraine’s capital during first days of the conflict with Moscow. Kirby went on to fantasize :
The spokesman said military intelligence by nature is a mosaic that officers try to piece together, sometimes coming to erroneous conclusions. He then went on to complement the Department of Defense and the administration of President Joe Biden for a job well done in preparing Ukrainian troops to fight against Russia.

Narrative is a good word for this, but using the word fantasy is better!

So in the broader commenting environment, everyone comments on Mr.Putin, but Russia has lost the propaganda war? Who was it that said All Press is Good Press.

We end with Mr.Lavrov in one of his latest pressers:

The completion of the special operation will force the West to stop promoting a unipolar world under the dominance of the US.

The end of the special operation in Ukraine will contribute to the cessation of Western attempts to undermine international law.

The Russian Federation is interested in all civilians leaving the zones of the special operation in Ukraine.

The UN Secretary General missed the opportunity to achieve a peaceful settlement in Ukraine.

A little more realism with a document that you can use for friends and family:

So if the Simon Wiesenthal Center in Israel says there are nazis in the Ukraine, just perhaps there are. A document that you may use for your friends. https://www.b92.net/eng/news/world.php?yyyy=2022&mm=04&dd=14&nav_id=113531

Returning for a moment to Martyanov’s statement, let’s add something to it.

The rate of change is markedly accelerating as the first result of the crumbling and implosion of the Ukraine as a state and the structure of its armed forces. In addition the fantasy narrative has become so ludicrous that it is showing clear signs of crumbling.

———————

Line of Contact

This is a two and fro scenario. Bear in mind this is the line that had 8 years to dig in, dreaming of killing all Russians in the Donbass regions. Russian forces over this very long line are using various artillery to soften up, remove and kill Ukrainian forces. The Russians manoevre continuously against the dug in fighters. But they are not throwing good fighting soldiers against a hard wall. They retreat, bring in the heavy artillery, and move in again.

And then, they break through:

Units of the People’s Militia of the Lugansk People’s Republic (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/1553), supported by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, have completed mopping-up of Popasnaya from nationalists and broken through the deeply echeloned enemy defence and reached the administrative border of the Lugansk People’s Republic.

Yesterday morning Readovka reports that the whole theater is calmer at the moment but these skirmishes and softening up and manoevre happens continuously. Here are typical front line battles:

In the mean time, on the Ukrainian side, this is what is happening:

  • Territorial defense fighters complain about being sent to the front
  • Militants of the 101st Territorial Defense Brigade (TrO) from the Transcarpathian region complain that they were sent to the front line in the LPR. According to them, the formation was created to protect checkpoints in the rear and is not intended for combat operations.
  • The militants have no military training. Many of them complain about health problems. The militants believe that they will become a target for Russian artillery.
  • It should be noted that the units of the 101st Troop Brigade were transferred to the front line only three days ago, but they are already experiencing problems with morale.
  • Recall that today was also a protest action organized by relatives of militants from the 103rd Troop Brigade from the Lvov region.

Back to creating brutal, costly and bloody fantasy:

From the Russian Mod

⚡️According to reliable information, the Kiev regime has carried out another bloody action in Kharkov Region based on the Bucha scenario.

▫️6 civilian vehicles with white flags mounted on them were shot at by AFU soldiers on a stretch of road between Staryi and Novyi Saltov.

▫️The photo and video footage of this heinous crime was made by specialists from the AFU’s Centre for Information and Psychological Operations.

🔹In addition, from the area of private houses in Belaya Krinitsa, Kherson region, the Ukrainian armed forces’ artillery struck several positions of the Russian Armed Forces in order to provoke retaliatory fire on residential buildings with civilians, whom the territorial defence fighters are not letting out of the blockaded settlement by holding them as a “human shield”.

❗️We warn in advance that these and other materials fabricated by the Kiev regime about alleged “Russian atrocities” are soon to be widely spread through the Western and Ukrainian media, as well as online resources.

And these are the ones this time, standing ready to record the fantasy and play it to an unsuspecting public (I wonder if they pay for the privilege?):

▫️Meanwhile, Norwegian media representatives were present in Belaya Krinitsa for photo and video recording of allegedly indiscriminate Russian strikes against civilians.

….

Odessa

We had some spectacular firing on Odessa and environments. You see, there was this hotel where the head honchos of the Ukrainian forces were stationed. And close to that, was a shopping mall used as an ammunition depot.

https://t.me/asbmil/1422

We can take one comical moment: The special forces of the DPR army tracked down the headquarters of one of the artillery units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donetsk direction. After waiting for their commanders to gather at headquarters, an ATGM was struck. After the surviving Ukrainians running out of the headquarters turned out to be naked, it became clear what their gunners were doing at meetings. Now the world community will accuse our side of mass killing of LGBT people. https://t.me/intelslava/28446

Snake Island – More fantasy propaganda

This one did not survive the fantasy: Ex commander of Ukraine’s 10th Naval Aviation Brigade, Colonel Igor Bedzai — announced dead by Ukrainian media. He was one of Ukraine’s top pilots — often flying missions in AD contested areas. The pilot died on May 7. It appears that he was piloting one of the helicopters that were shot down over Snake Island — the very same ones Ukraine claimed were Russian

◾️ The Kiev regime’s mindless PR campaign (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/1558) to seize Snake Island on the eve of Victory Day resulted in the senseless deaths of more than five dozen Ukrainian fighters and members of elite AFU units, the loss of 4 aircraft, 10 helicopters, 3 boats and 30 unmanned aerial vehicles.

Snake Island – propaganda effort by the Ukraine

https://twitter.com/JamesGRickards/status/1523779782437072896

https://tass.com/defense/1449045

snake island

https://t.me/intelslava/28507

https://www.rt.com/russia/555268-snake-island-pr-military/

Trying to outshine the Russian 9th military parades by the Ukrainian Snake Island fantasy, was a comical error. The Russians are burying Ukie corpses floating up from the ocean.

Intel Slava Z reports this morning (Be very aware that this is NON VERIFIED!) On Snake Island, English and American high-ranking officers disappeared during the landing. For their sake, the Ukrainian military fought for two days. But it was not possible to return the officers, or at least their bodies. According to our source in the General Staff, an American marine lieutenant colonel, as well as an English major from the commando brigade of the marine corps, landed on Snake Island together with Ukrainian fighters.

They coordinated the work of NATO intelligence assets and the Ukrainian landing forces. Both officers landed in the first wave. But then the Russians shot down three helicopters and one landing craft was sunk. The remaining boats withdrew, leaving the first wave of landing on the shore. According to our source, London and Washington demanded that Zelensky make every effort to return their officers. Despite several attempts to re-land on the island, it was not possible to find out the fate of the English and American marines. It is assumed that they died in battle with the Russians. But so far, as our source says, there is no confirmation of this information. It is possible that both were captured. In turn, the attempt to return their bodies cost the Ukrainian forces several planes and helicopters shot down, as well as several dozen dead marines and special forces.

Azovstal

Over Azovstal

 

 

The head of the DPR Pushilin: there are no civilians left at Azovstal, so our hands are untied

Back to Martyanov’s truism.

One of his commentators did a chart of Russian strikes. (Thank-you!)

Let’s get some help from Geroman and assess the Russian Strikes.

You guys have no idea how much damage Russia causes DAILY with air-defense, ballistic, cruise & air-to-ground missiles. Every day the Russian MoD runs a briefing and moves on. I will let you know what got destroyed today (this was a day ago), so you understand the scope of Ukrainian losses:

Let’s parse the Russian Mod report of a day ago:

  1. unspecified number of Ukrainian helicopters destroyed on the ground by an Onyx missile in Artsiz, Odessa region
  2. ammunition depot destroyed near Gulkhov
  3. MLRS “Smerch” and 1 S300 in the Bohodukhov area
  4. air-defense shot down 2 MiG-29 in Iverskoe and Novodonetskoe
  5. one Su-25 shot down near Pogonovka in the Kharkiv region
  6. UAV’s shot down near Snake Island inc 2 Bayraktar TB2’s
  7. UAV’s shot down in Balakleya, Shiikovka, Goptovka, Kamienka, Aveevka + a few other places 8- a US supplied counter-battery radar destroyed in Zolotoy
  8. MLRS “Grad” & 2 command posts near Popasna
  9. Russia MLRS and artillery hit 26 command posts, 26 artillery units in firing positions & 211 areas of manpower and equipment concentration resulting in up to 350 kills

THIS WAS 1 DAY – It happens literally every day

And in the background, Russian engineers have completed humanitarian demining of Kamyanka, Izyum district of Kharkov region. And they still have time to give us footage of S-300V anti-aircraft missile system and Igla man-portable missile system operators (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/1552) in action. They also have time to hand out humanitarian aid.

Here is today’s early Mod Report.

▫️The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation in Ukraine.

✈️💥During the night, operational-tactical and army aviation have hit 93 assets, including 2 command posts, 69 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, as well as 3 ammunition depots of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

💥Missile troops and artillery units have hit 407 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, destroying 13 command posts, 4 positions of Osa-AKM anti-aircraft missile systems and 14 ammunition depots.

▫️The attacks have resulted in the elimination of more than 280 nationalists and up to 59 armoured and motor vehicles.

💥Russian air defence means have shot down 9 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles: 4 near Balakleya in Kharkov Region, 3 near Rubezhnoe in Lugansk Region, 1 near Snake Island and 1 Bayraktar-TB2 near Arkhangelskoe in Nikolaev Region overnight.

For minute details, please look at https://readovka.news/

Moon of Alabama also has a good line-up here https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/05/ukraine-putin-on-why-the-war-started-failed-attempts-on-snake-island-other-issues-.html#more

With all of the above, and the many testimonies from Ukrainian soldiers that their commanders are just deserting and abandoning them in the field, we may see a quick collapse. What is quick? I don’t know.

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10 Comments
Ghost
Ghost
May 12, 2022 8:36 am

Not to distract from the Saker, but the Duran are live now.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Ghost
May 12, 2022 10:33 am

At the end they talked about the lunacy of Finland joining NATO. Why would you try to get along with a contiguous neighbor with whom you have centuries of history when you can partner with an easily distracted, arrogant, overconfident bully on the other side of the Atlantic that just got routed (again) by illiterate goatherds and hasn’t won a war since the 1983 invasion of the mighty nation of Grenada?

Finland has the same population as Minnesota and a per capita GDP similar to the US. Neutrality has served it well. Why throw that away to become the next foolish country used by the US as a proxy to weaken Russia? How’s that working out for Ukraine? Finland has an unserious Prime Ministress and undoubtedly an unserious electorate – like the rest of the West – who think the biggest problems are the promise of nicer weather and not enough free sex changes.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Anonymous
May 12, 2022 10:45 am

That was me, as was probably obvious.

World War Zeke
World War Zeke
  Iska Waran
May 12, 2022 1:47 pm

I’ll hazard a guess to your rhetorical question: Besides WEF brainwashing of a young global bleeder PM, the Suomi may have received a phone call from a Langley area code that said only, “Nice country ya got there. Be a real shame if all those MENA refugee veterans you took in were to chimp out every night. Click.”

Walt
Walt
May 12, 2022 10:22 am

‘Now the world community will accuse our side of mass killing of LGBT people.’

LOL.
But seriously, not everyone would have a problem with that, even if true…

Stucky
Stucky
May 12, 2022 11:29 am

The paid war-whore shills on MSM are all gleeful because Russia isn’t gaining territory fast enough, which is proof that they are losing. As if territory matters! The USA!USA!USA! captured Kabul and huge swaths of Afghan territory in under two months …. 20 years later American left in shame, a beaten dog.

Hey, you fuktard Generals! Here’s what matters: the number of enemy soldiers you kill. Right now it’s somewhere between 7 – 1 to 14 -1. At a minimum, for every dead Russian soldier there are seven dead Ukies. This is a phenomenally frightening number. Consider that in WWII the Germans-killed vs Russians killed was about 1.3 !! The Russians killing only slightly more Germans than Germans killing Russians was a war of attrition Germany could not (and, did not) win.

But …. SEVEN to ONE??? Devastating. A slaughter. The end is nigh for country 404. What will Zel do next? Send 80 year old grannies to the front line.

And then there’s the Ukie war machine. Every day for two plus months the Russians have been bombarding the fuck out of Ukieland with bombs, missiles, and artillery . Western whore-media want you to believe it’s hospitals, schools, and donut shops being destroyed, nothing else. So solly, the entire Ukie war infrastructure is being systematically ground to dust.

The end is nigh for country 404.

Maybe Dementia can send the dick playing piano man another $85 billion this week … cuz the Russians are running out of weapons to destroy.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Stucky
May 12, 2022 11:55 am

And let’s not forget that the Russians have been going easy on Ukraine, because the portions they’re annexing – the entire Black Sea coastline and the eastern third of the country – will have to be re-built by Russia. So, the less they break, the less they have to fix, and the fewer civilians they kill, the easier the task of absorbing them into Russia. They could have done it the American way: flatten the entire country with bombs for a month and then waltz in unopposed, hand out some candies to kids for a photo op and hang up a “Mission Accomplished” banner, but they chose the more honorable way: risking and losing Russian soldiers’ lives by fighting a ground war in order to minimize civilian losses.

Lavrov put it well recently when he said that if people in the West are troubled by the loss of life in Ukraine, they should just imagine it’s Africa or the Middle East (where American-instigated civilian deaths are an order of magnitude – or two – higher).

Ignoramuses ask “So it’s OK that Russia just invades a sovereign country?” The answer should be – “I know, right? Who do they think they are? America?”

Two if by sea.
Two if by sea.
  Stucky
May 12, 2022 12:48 pm

Faster, please.

Ghost
Ghost
May 12, 2022 7:59 pm

Russia blew up a huge arsenal in Odessa hidden in a shopping mall/plaza.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cs38HyYZgQo

Anonymous
Anonymous
May 13, 2022 12:15 am

” if the Simon Wiesenthal Center in Israel says there are nazis in the Ukraine”

Just for anyone who doesn’t know, his name is synonymous with bullshit. In the words of a sympathetic wikipedia: “With a reputation as a storyteller, Wiesenthal was the author of several memoirs containing tales that are only loosely based on actual events”