Can Europe Survive Without Russian Coal and Oil? Here’s What It Means for Skyrocketing Prices…

Via International Man

by Chris MacIntosh

Russian Coal and Oil

 

Wait, you mean dirty stinky polluting coal? That coal?

Which brings me to….

EU TO BLOCK RUSSIAN COAL

So the EU, already in the middle of the worst energy crisis since the Arab oil crisis and likely worse, is now pushing to eliminate imports of Russian coal. Just so you understand the importance of Russian coal to Europe…

Some 70% of Europe’s thermal coal comes from Russia. Coal accounts for about 20% of continental Europe’s electricity production (as of 2019; perhaps it is 25% now).

Watching the news is enough to drive a man to drink or to put his drink through the telly.

But fear not, there is a silver lining.

Sure, the Russians can take their coal and stick it where the sun doesn’t shine! This works well for a populace now being riled up to the hysterical level, but the question remains: who are they going to find to replace that coal? Are the EU not aware that there is no spare capacity in the big coal exporting nations? Did no one tell the Europeans that coal is base load? Are they not aware they can’t get anymore gas to offset any deficiency in coal? My goodness, when you look at this purely rationally, the only conclusion we can come to is that the energy crisis in Europe is very much in its infancy.

If you thought that there is an issue with respect to security of oil supplies, security over supplies of coal is a different dimension. Indonesia, Australia, and Russia accounted for some 75% of world coal trade in 2019.

Whether or not Brussels can get an agreement by EU state members to ban the import of coal remains to be seen…. But given the EU’s neo-marxist Malthusian ideology and the recent “reported” war crimes committed by Russian troops, it does appear that there is a way “better than even” odds of a ban being agreed to.

But wait. There is more — a blockade of Russian oil? This is becoming more scary by the day!

Josep Borrell, the EU’s top diplomat, said yesterday that it is now more a question of when, rather than if, the EU imposes a blockade on Russian oil.

The topic will be on the table for debate at Monday’s foreign affairs council meeting, Borrell said, adding: “Sooner or later — I hope sooner — it will happen.”

Preparations for an oil ban, potentially as part of a sixth package of EU sanctions, reflect a marked hardening in the mood among member states, driven by the reports of atrocities committed by Russian troops in Bucha and other areas that were under occupation.

Political pressure for action is only mounting. In a symbolic vote, the European Parliament yesterday backed by a large majority an immediate full embargo on Russian oil, coal, gas and — in a potential sign of things to come — nuclear fuel.

It isn’t hard to figure out where this is all heading (you ain’t seen nothing yet when it comes to rising commodity prices). What keeps us awake at night is where this all heads politically and socially.

What we do expect from the “great resetters” is the following:

We’ll be told that this world of fossil fuel consumption is clearly unsustainable. See, look, they’ll say from their ivory towers, pointing to spiraling prices. The reason you’re freezing is because it’s unsustainable. The reason you can’t afford the food at the supermarket or that it’s simply not on the shelves any longer is because — you guessed it — it is unsustainable.

Bugs. That’s their answer.

Middle class lifestyles will be curbed as we’re instructed to strive for “sustainability” and transition to shitty pod apartment living and mass transit, while eating synthetic foods grown in labs. But fear not, the Obamas, Clintons, Klaus’ will still keep their mansions, and Silicon Valley futurists will insist on exemptions for their yachts and private jets.

The truth is that left-wing governments have deliberately curtailed drilling and capex spending on domestic energy. They shut nuclear power plants and subsidized costly, inefficient solar and wind projects. Germany froze after their wind turbines stopped working, and they import most of their energy now.

But it’s not just the sausage eaters, as across the West we’re seeing the same thing. We have now ended up not with any form of “green sustainable utopia,” but instead with fuel shortages, rocketing prices, energy dependency often on the world’s most repressive regimes, and we’re about to have severe food shortages. All of this is directly because of these initiatives.

But watch, they will lay the blame on Putin.

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31 Comments
Arizona Bay
Arizona Bay
May 22, 2022 7:43 pm

Thinking Big Picture with my foil hat on for a moment. Klaus and Co want one world government (OWG) with Them in charge. What if we’ve been looking at this all wrong? What if NATO will be the OWG? Because of NATO, the EU is committing slow suicide. The dollar, which we all expected to collapse, is growing stronger and will soon be at parity with the falling Euro.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
May 22, 2022 7:45 pm

I’m a little fuzzy on my history, but wasn’t there some kind of minor dust-up in the 1940’s between those two? If I’m not mistaken Germany sent most of it’s adult males into Russia for it’s supply of energy resources, didn’t they?

I wish I could remember how that worked out.

KJ
KJ
  hardscrabble farmer
May 22, 2022 8:05 pm

But the female European defense ministers and prime ministers have said it’ll be different this time, HSF. They’ll use their vagina power to secure the Russian resources.

Colorado Artist
Colorado Artist
  hardscrabble farmer
May 22, 2022 8:43 pm

The white race lost.

BL
BL
May 22, 2022 8:00 pm

Looking at largest coal production in the above chart, I can see why China is colonizing Australia. China is in big need of a new supply as they are tapped out. That explains a lot.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  BL
May 22, 2022 8:38 pm

We could have supplied them but “They” don’t want you Mountain Williams getting rich and uppity again. They’ve got you happily hooked on Meth, Sugar and Oxy. Out in Whitley County where my Grandma is from, my thrice removed cousins by cases of Coke from Sams and Costco with their entire food stamp allotment. Load it on the truck and take it to a local quick-stop gas station and sell it at the back door to by meth. They used to sell their monthly script for oxy to the buyers who come up from Fla and Atlanta on I-75 but the feds cracked down on their doctor cousins and then Fennytol appeared out of the blue to replace oxy down there. The sad state of America.

WillyB
WillyB
  Fleabaggs
May 23, 2022 12:29 pm

Mountain Williams. Good one.

Incredulous Observer
Incredulous Observer
  BL
May 22, 2022 9:36 pm

Went to an engineer organization meeting in Okie City about 15 years ago. Guy in a position to know said in his presentation that we have a 300 year supply of coal in this country-America. However, the PTB have been working hard for decades to shut down coal mines and power plants using coal for energy.

Two processes exist to make gasoline and diesel from coal. The better process, the Fischer-Tropsch process, was used during WWII by Germany to produce about 50% or more of their liquid fuels, and later by South Africa to produce virtually all of their liquid fuels when under embargo by the rest of the world during the Apartheid times.

About 14 years ago, I was aware of several small pilot plants in this country producing diesel and JP-8. In one experiment, the Air Farce ran one engine of a C-17 on synthetic JP-8 in a flight from California to somewhere in the middle of the country, and found the synfuel worked just fine. Dunno who else was experimenting with synfuel.

Considering all the roadblocks new construction must clear, would take about 5 to 10 years to get a new syn-fuel refinery approved, designed, built, and up-and-running. If we had started about 20 years ago, we would be in fat city now-more gasoline and diesel than we could possibly use here, and really low prices, too.

Short story is that this country could be energy independent of the rest of the world, using liquid fuels made from coal, and moved around the country in the extensive network of underground pipelines. That we are not reflects a deliberate program by the national government.

Yahsure
Yahsure
  Incredulous Observer
May 23, 2022 8:42 am

There is enough oil off the coast of southern California to supply the U.S. for many years.

Fraizer
Fraizer
  Incredulous Observer
May 23, 2022 10:12 am

Yes, synfuels work. But only if oil is sustainable above circa $100 and/or gas is <$2. The real prize with F-T process is heavier molecules like lube stock feeds that can be hydrotreated into PAOs. Much more valuable molecules. Fuels are kind of a by-product. But the heavy distillate fuels do have a lot of advantages in terms of energy density and lack of turbine-hot-end destroying impurities.

Incredulous Observer
Incredulous Observer
  Incredulous Observer
May 23, 2022 11:07 am

Small correction: the expert from Okie Gas & Elect said that we have an 800 year supply of coal.

WillyB
WillyB
  Incredulous Observer
May 23, 2022 12:32 pm

Or an infinite supply–if we’re not allowed to use it! We’re letting the greediest, most evil people in the nation run our government. We’ve got to stop them before they confiscate our firearms.

Svarga Loka
Svarga Loka
May 22, 2022 8:36 pm

Unrelated, but it occurred to me today:

As I was driving, a white Tesla coming toward me made me think that, gee, that looks like a car without a mouth, just eyes. Kinda like a masked human face. THAT’S why I always thought Teslas are ugly. Coincidence? Is there something to this?

Colorado Artist
Colorado Artist
  Svarga Loka
May 22, 2022 8:46 pm

Here’s what a real unmasked, non corporate free American car used to look like.
A fucking Giant sexy shark that sucks in everything in it’s path.
And eats gas like it was 50 cents a gallon, as it should be. We have unlimited fuel here.
God bless Carol Shelby. The last maverick since Big Auto brought down DeLorean for defying them.
comment image

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
  Colorado Artist
May 22, 2022 9:18 pm

427 Backdraft Cobras can be had for under 100K (I believe).

WestcoastDeplorable
WestcoastDeplorable
  Colorado Artist
May 22, 2022 10:20 pm

Two things, both related to your post. I once sold my restored ’57 Supercharged Studebaker Golden Hawk to a man who won the CA lottery 2x. Once in the 30 million range and another time at about 9 million. His name? Shelby Carroll.
2nd thing: Saw a dude test driving a car similar to the Cobra above. He was headed into a 2 lane stretch with some pretty tight “S” curves, and the road had a high berm. He missed the first turn and went over the embankment and through a barb wire fence. I’m betting he never did THAT again!

overthecliff
overthecliff
  Colorado Artist
May 23, 2022 12:03 am

Drool.

TwatWaffle
TwatWaffle
  Colorado Artist
May 23, 2022 9:21 am

Mr. C.A. Have you been to Carroll Shelby’s North American Collection in Gunbarrel? https://www.shelbyamericancollection.org/

TwatWaffle
TwatWaffle
  Colorado Artist
May 23, 2022 9:30 am

WillyB
WillyB
  Svarga Loka
May 23, 2022 12:50 pm

The criminals illegally put in charge of our government want us to all drive electric cars (or better yet, ride in electric buses or trains). That is in spite of the fact that we’re already facing likely rolling blackouts this summer. What would happen with 20 million more electric cars and nuclear plants being shut down or retired?

In the UK, car charging is being “discouraged” during peak electricity usage times. All new chargers must be “smart” chargers connected to the Internet to shut off from 8-11am and 4-10pm, as well as other times for 30 minute “time-outs” directed by government regulators to avoid grid spikes.

Incredulous Observer
Incredulous Observer
May 22, 2022 9:12 pm

Does the average German agree with the decisions of his rulers? Does he have any voice at all? I know that I have no influence in what the rulers do here.

Svarga Loka
Svarga Loka
  Incredulous Observer
May 22, 2022 9:17 pm

The average person anywhere only cares about what the gas costs at the pump and the chicken breast in the store and then they complain about the politicians at home and abroad. They do not concern themselves with deeper thoughts about the why’s and how’s of the way the world is run and what life means.

m
m
  Incredulous Observer
May 23, 2022 2:27 am

Of all the ones I know, not one has disagreed with the decisions of their [German, EU, and US] rulers.

Llpoh
Llpoh
May 22, 2022 10:03 pm

We have lots of coal. We would be pleased to sell it to the stupid at an enormous markup.

WestcoastDeplorable
WestcoastDeplorable
May 22, 2022 10:06 pm

It’s either Putin’s fault or Trump’s fault. Hmm, think I see a pattern here.

overthecliff
overthecliff
May 23, 2022 12:01 am

Yes but not very well.

pyrrhuis
pyrrhuis
May 23, 2022 1:21 am

That’s an easy one–NO

Call me Jack
Call me Jack
May 23, 2022 2:03 am

According to the college females in my extended family,it’s renewables to the rescue. Sunlight,wind,wishful thinking,and unicorn farts.It’s All Gonna Be Just Fine.

Boogieman
Boogieman
May 23, 2022 8:50 am

Sure they can, if your only goal in life is to just survive. Survive has a broad meaning.

Putin is in on it
Putin is in on it
May 23, 2022 10:20 am

Oh nooo … Apartments and public transit

rhs jr
rhs jr
  Putin is in on it
May 24, 2022 9:43 pm

I raise you lots of country folks, working farms, pickup trucks and long rifles with high power scopes.