Guest Post by Pat Buchanan
Alexander Hamilton in the Federalist Papers wrote of “energy in the executive” as being an indispensable attribute of good government. Does Biden, with his shuffling gait, regular gaffes, and physical and cognitive decline manifest that attribute of which Hamilton wrote?
For half a decade now, America’s media elite have been obsessed with former President Donald Trump and the Republican Party’s conversion to Trumpism.
Press and TV are daily consumed with his actions and prospects and the future of the party he captured in 2016.
Perhaps it is time to consider the prospects of President Joe Biden and the political future of his embattled presidency.
What are the odds that Biden, like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama before him, will run again in 2024, win reelection, serve out a second term and transfer his office to the 47th president on Jan. 20, 2029?
My guess: The odds of that happening are roughly the same as the odds that last-minute entry Rich Strike would win the Kentucky Derby, as he left the starting gate at Churchill Downs at 80-1.
Consider the first hurdle Biden faces on the way to renomination in 2024 — the midterm elections five months off.
Since the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reached record highs in January, both have seen eight weeks of wipeouts of trillions of dollars in value as we approached bear-market territory by the end of last week.
Stock portfolios, pensions and retirement benefit plans have been gutted. These massive market losses are also a lead indicator pointing to a recession right ahead, just as voters pass judgment on a Democratic Party that controls the White House and both houses of Congress.
But even before we reach recession, Americans have already been living with a Biden inflation of 8% that has lasted for months and affected all the necessities of normal life, such as groceries and gasoline.
And the worst seems yet to come.
The Federal Reserve has reversed course from its easy money days and begun to raise interest rates to squeeze the Biden inflation out of the economy. What lies ahead may remind people who were around then of Jimmy Carter’s “stagflation,” where interest rates hit 21% to kill an inflation that reached 13%.
As for the crisis on the southern border, it is deeper than ever. Some 234,000 migrants were caught illegally entering the U.S. in April alone, with thousands of others evading any contact with U.S. authorities.
This is an invasion rate of some 3 million illegal migrants a year.
Shootings, killings, carjackings, criminal assaults, and smash-and-grab robberies in record numbers are the subject of our nightly news.
And the latest national polls suggest the country is holding Biden responsible. The president’s approval rating is down to 39%, and only 1 in 3 Americans think he is doing a good job handling the economy and that the nation is headed in the right direction.
Now the omicron variant of COVID-19 is making a comeback; infections are again over 100,000 a day.
Biden might find consolation from how his predecessors overcame midterm defeats. Clinton in 1994 lost 54 House seats and won reelection easily in 1996. Obama lost 63 House seats in 2010 to come back and win handily over Mitt Romney in 2012.
Why cannot Biden ride out the anticipated storm in this year’s midterms and come back to win election in 2024, as did Clinton and Obama?
Age has something to do with it. Clinton was 50 in his reelection year 1996. Obama was 51 in his reelection year 2012. And both were at the peak of their political powers.
Biden, on election day 2024, will be two weeks shy of his 82nd birthday. Should he serve out a second term, he would not leave the White House until he had turned 86. Biden has been America’s oldest president since the day he took office.
Alexander Hamilton in the Federalist Papers wrote of “energy in the executive” as being an indispensable attribute of good government.
Does Biden, with his shuffling gait, regular gaffes, and physical and cognitive decline manifest that attribute of which Hamilton wrote?
The likely scenario for Biden?
His party sustains a crushing defeat in November comparable to what Clinton and Obama suffered. But the party does not immediately rally around Biden as present and future leader, as it did with Clinton and Obama. Critics inside the Democratic coalition begin to blame Biden for the loss.
Ambitious Democrats, sensing disaster if Biden tops the ticket in 2024, begin to call for him to stand down and give way to a younger candidate, a new face, in 2024.
One or two progressives declare for president, and the pressure builds on Biden to avoid a personal and political humiliation in the 2024 primaries by standing down, as Harry Truman did in 1952 and Lyndon Johnson did in 1968.
By early 2023, Biden will have adopted the line that dealing with the challenge of China and Russia and, at the same time, coping with recession and inflation require his full attention. And these preclude a national political campaign for reelection.
And then President Joe Biden announces he will not run again.
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Silly boy ! Who said there are going to be midterms! Silly boy, Trix are for kids!
My thinking exactly. The Potemkin government is about to crumble.
There will be elections. What I’m wondering is what the socialists are going to do in October to either buy the election or scare the sheep into voting the status quo.
Since when is voting, D or R, any threat to the status quo?
“Omicron infections…” Which means they’re setting up another “covid wave” panic to bring back “mail-in voting” so they can cheat again, just like they got away with in 2020.
Might not allow the Democrats to hold the House, but will allow them to expand their Senate majority if they cheat hard enough. (But with RINO McCarthy on tap to be Speaker of the House, the Democrats have a capable ally running the show in Nancy’s stead).
It’s getting too predictable.
Hint: Vitamin D3 every day and massive amounts of vitamin C plus apple cider vinegar. The last two you can get as chewies. We keep jars on the kitchen counter.
Ya sure, the Republicans are going to save us. Strap your seat belt on!, the professionals are taking over.
Politicians and elections are just a puppet show for Boobus Americanus. The satanist communists have captured the civil service(government). They are making law without representation. It is all over but the shooting. The civil service will either learn to fear us or they will send us to the gulags.
there aren’t any gulags. the existing prisons are stuffed to the brim already.
You think they cannot whip up enough detention camps to hold a couple million deplorables? Look what they did in Oz to detain a few sick people who really were not sick.
I’ll answer this with a question, has anything changed with how votes are counted? If the answer is no, then your vote means nothing.
Look at the PA primary. A week later and they are still “counting” votes.
Simply a ploy in order to justify and cover the rigging. When mid-terms come I wonder how far the cheating will have to go in order for people to realize what’s really going on.
Dems will be tweaking their tactics as too many people will be watching for the same tricks. I’ll bet they know where the CCTV cams are so they can avoid them.
They’ll send 1/2 billion postage paid mail in ballots, wrapped in two dollar bills to India with instructions……
President Stacey Abrams will win by 500,000,002 votes
I was a working adult in the 1970’s. We’re still in the early stages of inflation. Once the psychology of inflation really kicks in, that’s when it takes off. “Buy today on credit, because if you wait, it will cost more.” That was everyday stuff, big ticket stuff like major appliances, especially cars, and even houses. This time we have an added element: availability. “Buy today, because if you wait, it may not be available.” Three things cause inflation to be worse: demand, demand, and demand.
Interest rate increases didn’t work in the 1970’s, because once the psychology of inflation took over, no one cared. At some point interest rates kill the stock market. Big headline when the Dow hit 1000. Then it dropped and it was TEN YEARS before it was back to 1000. Why risk stocks, when you can buy a one year CD paying 12% and still have FDIC guarantee. Interest rate increases did kill business investment, though. That’s why we had to have a new term invented: stagflation. The formerly opposite conditions–inflation and recession–were happening at the same time. Holy Keynes! The Economic king is dead!
Now we have the same conditions plus: instead of the Baby Boom all entering the workforce, they’re retiring, and the latest generation has useless college degrees and debt and can’t figure out which restroom to use. Also we have double the percentage of the population getting welfare. (And those people always vote Democrat.)
My friends, PLEASE vote. If not too late, replace your RINOs in the primaries. I tried and mostly failed. In any case, in November vote. Yes the Dems will cheat. If 100% of us also vote, the results will require either new elections or Revolution. Be ready for either. Get your guns now. Get training and get ammo.
Vote harder!!!! reee!
Today is election day in Arkansas. I didn’t want to leave the house anyways. I might if I believe for a second either party was capable of producing a righteous candidate. You will vote for The Party, goyims, and The Party always wins.
It is too bad early patriots failed to outlaw political parties.