Deaths Running 26% Above Pre-Pandemic Levels – and the Vaccines Remain a Leading Suspect

Via The Daily Sceptic

Deaths continue to run at extraordinary levels in England and Wales. In the week ending January 13th 2023 there were 17,381 deaths, which is 2,837 or 19.5% above the five-year average. This is despite the five-year average having risen due to the early 2021 Covid wave. Compared to the pre-pandemic five-year average of 13,822 it is 3,559 or 25.7% above average.

There were 922 deaths with Covid registered on the death certificate, of which 654 were registered as due to Covid as underlying cause. This leaves 2,183 excess deaths from a different underlying cause. Since the wave of excess non-Covid deaths began in April the total now stands at 34,691.

ONS

I have previously noted how waves of excess non-Covid deaths appear to correlate with the Covid booster campaigns in spring and autumn, as seen in the chart below, which shows deaths by date of occurrence in England and Wales.

It’s clear, however, that these correlations with booster rollouts are far from determinative of the overall shape of the curve. In particular, deaths remained high during the summer and have spiked over the winter, despite few boosters being delivered in those periods.

The Health Advisory and Recovery Team (HART) has noted this week that high-level mortality data like these do not contain an “obvious smoking gun” pointing to vaccines causing high numbers of deaths specifically during the vaccination campaigns. Rather, the excess deaths are broadly spread throughout the year. The appearance is of something generally raising the likelihood of death, or equivalently, reducing life expectancy. (This doesn’t appear to be due to an ageing population; see here for a discussion on this point.)

The lack of correlation with vaccination programmes has led some to question the role that vaccines are playing in driving the excess deaths and advance arguments in support of other possible explanations, such as Long Covid, the NHS crisis and the legacy of lockdown including missed treatment. While some of these other contributors may be valid, it would be wrong to rule out a role for the vaccines simply on the basis of a lack of correlation with vaccination campaigns. This is because the mechanisms by which a vaccine may injure a person are not fully understood, and those for which understanding is more developed, such as auto-immune reactions due to the persistence of spike protein in the blood and organs, give plenty of scope for a delayed effect. In particular, we should note that many of the excess deaths are related to the heart and circulatory system, and the vaccines are known to increase the risk of such deaths.

Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty has recently claimed that 5,170 deaths in men aged 50-64 could have been helped by heart medications that were missed during the pandemic. Health Secretary Steve Barclay agreed, saying that “we know from the data that there are more 50 to 64-year-olds with cardiovascular issues” – a state of affairs he blamed on “the result of delays in that age group seeing a GP because of the pandemic and in some cases, not getting statins for hypertension in time”. The British Heart Foundation published research earlier this month which made similar claims.

However, such claims were dismissed by Dr. Carl Heneghan, Professor of Evidence-based Medicine at Oxford University, and his colleague Dr. Tom Jefferson, who wrote that the extra cardiovascular disease deaths cannot be accounted for by a fall in drug treatment or drop in risk monitoring, “given the lack of evidence of an effect”. In making this assessment they relied in part on a major recent study reviewing the trial data on statins and concluding that the benefits of statins were minimal and most of the trial participants who took statins derived no clinical benefit. Dr. Heneghan and Dr. Jefferson also noted that the claimed reduction in prescriptions appears to be illusory, with rises and falls well within normal levels.

Unlike allegedly missed prescriptions, the NHS crisis is more plausibly contributing to excess deaths, as people experience severe delays getting urgent medical attention. However, the crisis can hardly explain sustained levels of deaths throughout the year or generally increased demand for health services. Something must be making people sicker in the first place.

As I have noted previously, the main alternative explanation is the after-effects of the virus, also known as Long Covid. Interestingly, the British Heart Foundation dismisses this as a factor, laying the blame entirely on access to healthcare – though is there an agenda here of calling for more resources for the sector? But many others see the virus as a much bigger factor than the vaccines in driving additional heart deaths.

One problem for the vaccine-deaths hypothesis, however, is the lack of excess working-age deaths in a number of highly vaccinated countries. Ron Unz has written an article drawing attention to this point, noting that while working-age mortality has been very high in the United States and U.K., some other countries, including highly vaccinated ones, have been exempt from this trend.

To develop his argument, Unz draws on analysis which shows that a very strong predictor of working-age mortality in 2022 is mortality in 2020, as illustrated in the charts below.

From this Unz concludes that: “The level of 2022 deaths was largely determined by the same factors, probably the interaction of Covid infections with local health characteristics, such as obesity levels and the strength of the public health system rather than having been influenced by the vaxxing.”

This correlation is a very helpful observation, but it actually has the opposite meaning to that which Unz takes from it. Far from suggesting the vaccines are not playing a role, it is consistent with the vaccines playing a significant role. This is because the elevated deaths in 2020 were caused largely by COVID-19 (as well as lockdown measures). But during 2021 and in 2022, Covid was no longer driving excess deaths. Whether this was due to protection from the vaccines, the growth of natural immunity or the arrival of the milder Omicron variants is not relevant here. What matters is that excess deaths shifted from being primarily respiratory related, driven by COVID-19, to being cardiovascular related, driven by an unknown cause.

So, what was now driving these excess deaths, which, as Unz notes, appear to be occurring among the same risk groups as were at risk of serious COVID-19? Unz proposes it is still Covid, and that despite the reduction in the severity of the disease, it is the virus behind the scenes driving the extra cardiovascular deaths.

A critical point here is that this is a false dichotomy: an argument like this for the virus being involved in non-Covid cardiovascular deaths is really also an argument for the vaccines potentially being involved as well. This is because one of the main arguments for the vaccines being involved is that the mRNA and spike protein travel to various organs, especially the heart, and persist there for weeks and months, causing injury and triggering auto-immune attacks – a mechanism supported by a number of autopsy studies. But this is a very similar mechanism to how the virus may contribute to problems with the heart and other organs. Indeed, it is likely that both are contributing to the effect, reinforcing each other in various ways. Another possibility is that the immune tolerance induced by repeated vaccinations is contributing to the persistence of the spike protein in the body. Either way, it means that the underlying risk factors for Covid death will often be the same for vaccine death, and the correspondence between mortality in 2020 and 2022 would therefore be expected.

The question, then, is whether the virus or vaccines are playing the bigger, more fundamental role in driving excess heart deaths.

One reason for thinking that the vaccines may be playing a big part is that the vaccine enters the body via the blood directly whereas the virus enters via the respiratory tract and thus has much more limited access to the blood and heart in most cases.

Further evidence supporting a role for the vaccines comes from the work of Professor Christine Stabell-Benn and colleagues, who looked at the vaccine trial data and found no overall mortality benefit from the mRNA vaccines, and a particular signal for increased heart deaths. This suggests that while the vaccines reduce Covid deaths they may increase other deaths, particularly from cardiovascular causes.

Some health experts in Japan have come to a similar conclusion. In Japan, Covid deaths have actually been increasing after each booster campaign. However, public health authorities have noted that the ‘Covid’ deaths now are more likely to be test-positive deaths from cardiovascular problems rather than classic respiratory deaths. There are also many non-Covid excess deaths in Japan, largely from heart problems.

With respect to myocarditis in particular, a recent analysis by HART notes that elevated myocarditis admissions began with the vaccine rollout and did not occur in 2020, indicating a limited role for the virus and a major role for the vaccines.

Given this evidence that the vaccines may be playing a large role in excess deaths, why then are working age deaths below average in many countries, as Unz observes?

Differences in vaccination rates may be doing their bit here. Some analyses have suggested that higher booster rates are associated with higher deaths in 2022.

Booster rates and excess deaths in European countries (HART)
Booster rates and excess deaths in weeks 10-35 2022 (Chudov)

So, this may explain some of the variation. Also, recall that for working-age mortality, Unz’s analysis shows that one of the main predictors of 2022 mortality is 2020 mortality, suggesting a common cause in both years. A natural interpretation of this, given the drop in Covid severity and the arrival of the vaccines, is that populations less susceptible to COVID-19 are, for the same reasons – such as prevalence of obesity, heart disease and so on – also less susceptible to fatal vaccine injury.

What we really need, of course, are more and better data – split by vaccination status, age, health conditions, prior infection status and so on. Even better, we need well-designed, prospective controlled studies that look into these things properly. The fact that, after more than two years, we still have none of these things should give even the most ardent defenders of the vaccines pause for thought. If the data were favourable to the vaccines, would they not have been made available with great fanfare long ago?

In the meantime, it’s clear that the vaccines are still a leading suspect in the question of why so many people have been dying, mainly from heart-related issues, in the last two years.

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Anonymous
Anonymous

Trump and DeSantis Need To Admit C19 Shots Are Bioweapons


.

The No-Virus Theory From an Austrian Perspective


.
Louis Pasteur’s Unethical Rabies Fraud
.
Are Viruses Real? A Brief Examination of How Diseases Develop in the Human Body & Terrain Theory vs Germ Theory, by Michael McKay, January 1, 2023
https://www.gravitypal.com/NewParadigm
.
Happy Monday, Glock. No scary videos this time. Deal?

Empty
Empty

I don’t really care what DeSantis does, but for damn sure Trump needs to get the fuck away from this, like yesterday. It’s all Fauci and Birx’s baby. They did it; I only opened the door to make it possible. I didn’t know they intended mass genocide

Paleocon
Paleocon

Trump deserves a narcissistic death. Starving while staring at the mirror of his big beautiful “vaccine.”

B_MC
B_MC

comment image

BL
BL

Empty- Your name matches your head……empty. Donnie never quit pushing the poison on the proles, he is guilty as sin. Stop with the Trump is not part of the plan to kill off population.

Next you will try to tell me people are not really dying in excess, we are all just imagining the folks are dropping dead.

Empty
Empty

Not even responding to this. If you don’t like someone, that’s a personal choice.

BL
BL

Oh come on Empty, did Donnie continue to push the poison to this day or not? Sometimes we have to admit when a turd smells really bad, get out of the denial mode.

GNL

I mentioned, in another thread, that you may have liquid shit pouring out of your Anus. I hope it’s not true.

Sinoatrial Node
Sinoatrial Node

Why did you capitalize “Anus”?

Asking for a friend.

mark
mark

Your handle was a snort Right Heart!

Empty
Empty

Okay, well to some degree, everyone is political as far as their ideology. But I just had a thought. Let’s get retired detective Joe Kenda to investigate these deaths. He seems pretty good (has a good track record) in solving cases involving murder and suspicious deaths. I bet he’d eventually if not quickly arrive at the conclusion that those who have had their eyes open would expect is causing these mysterious deaths.

BabbleOn
BabbleOn

After about 4 weeks of beyond “normal”(A lack of deaths younger than 75 years of age) in the obits up here. The last few days have seen a little sprinkling of suddenly dying young mothers. One thing I have noticed for the last 6 months or so, is most of the wake up dead peeps are younger mothers and fathers. But not many yet this year. Some Funeral homes haven’t posted any obits for over a week, some are slammed. But the ones the are “slammed” have an avg. Lifespan well over 75yo.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

There was no pandemic and anyone who claims there was is being dishonest. It was a global Psyops against the populations to keep them under control as they begin to usher in The Great Reset.

They’ve told you, out loud, over and over and yet no one wants to actually believe it, so they get all caught up in this ridiculous play acting and navel gazing. It’s astounding how even those who seem to know better continue on with this charade as if it were real.

So here’s the problem; did the death rate actually rise during the 2020-2021 timeframe? Who collects and coaltes that data and can you trust it? I don’t. So now that they are telling you that it rising again, is that true or is it equally fraudulent?

One of the guys I know from Oddfellows is a third generation funeral home director. He is the very definition of salt of the Earth and is the soul of probity. He says that nothing has changed at all since december of 2019, the numbers of funerals are roughly the same as they were before, the ages of the deceased remain at an average of late 70’s to early 80’s and he has noticed no difference in his business. That would lead me to believe one of two things; either I am so charmed that I chose one of the few areas on Earth immune to maladies discussed daily for the last three years, or this too is part of the greater hoax being perpetuated on everyone. I only have my experience to definiteively guide me and it points to the latter.

Now are they actively trying to reduce the population and are they actively encouraging behaviors and consumption patterns that lead to death? You bet. The obesity issue, the pro-homsexual and trans movement, the destruction of the family, the ready availabilty of drugs, the social atomization that leads to suicide and death by alcohol, the constant and never ending wars, the promotion of violence, etc. etc. all demonstrate their intent, but you’ll notice almost all of that is self-induced. They’re presenting an option and people are choosing it. Like the shots. I have no idea what they’re putting into people and for the most part I bet they don’t have a clue either. Soometimes it probably is poison, but most of it is probably excess stock of medicines they made for other application that the government has given them a free hand and a blank check to help them empty their stockpiles. It’s not as if they have any conscience about it and it’s not like anyone could check it. But no one has to take it. That’s where agency comes into play.

Stop being a part of their theater and start living your life on your own terms in association with other people who share your values. It’s coming down either way, best to be prepared for that inevitability and in the company of like-minded folk with good intentions.

m
m

So you have one trusted data point.

That’s great!
Now how about you spend some time to get a few more [data points], like asking that funeral home director if he knows any other of his profession colleagues, if he believes he can trust those, and what their opinion is?

Before drawing inferences.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

Completely unneccessary for me. My data set alone undermines the entire story. I live in place with a much higher than average age cohort, extremely Blue politically and during the original hoax I was part of the 2% who didn’t mask up, and I’m probably being generous, everyone was into the hoax up here. I bet our clotshot rate is way above the national average. Old folks ought to be kicking over left and right, but they aren’t. Maybe we’re made of sterner stuff, who knows? My gut is telliing me that the desired goal is to keep people perpetually anxious, therefore easier to manipulate. The reaction to the shots still relies 100% on Government/CDC/NHI data and if you trust that, well I got nothing for you. The first round was to frighten the blue hairs, the second appears to be aimed at the resistors.

Besides, they would only be additional data points. If I drew any conclusions someone going by small letter g would ask why I don’t phone funeral directors in Zimbabwe cause muh data set be too small.

I don’t do tail chasing.

m
m

Wow.
You just went full retard.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

If you agreed with me I would seriously reconsider my position.

The Central Scrutinizer
The Central Scrutinizer

…said the tail chaser.

Anonymous
Anonymous

How much data did you chase to conclude the earth is flat?
Have you talked to any astronauts?

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

I have talked to an astronaut. It was his complete ignorance of two simple pieces of information that sent me down the rabbit hole.

And I trust my God given senses, which indicate neither a curved ball spinning at 1,000mph, nor any of the other associated claims made by NASA.

YMMV

Anonymous
Anonymous

Ignorance is bliss.

Anonymous
Anonymous

Fact Cheka: false!
Ignorance sucks.
Ignorance OF your own ignorance… now there’s something to shoot for.

BL
BL

HF- What you say is somewhat true. The proles have signed up for bad diet, bad lifestyle and deadly clot shots. What you ALWAYS fail to say is the (((owned))) media and (((experts))) have created illusions and tricked/forced the sheep into offing themselves.

So, what our main problem seems to be is TRUST of a certain group who are destroyers by deceit. Is that a fair assumption?

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

I haven’t failed to say a damned thing. I’ve owned every word and paid a price for it.

These days I’m into solutions, not finger pointing.

But you do what you think is more important, blame someone else for your situation or change your life for the better. I’m just trying to share what I have found to be the best path forward, YMMV.

BL
BL

Uh huh, then what is the solution to the TRUST problem the goy have?
This is a Scarlett O’Hara situation, ((())) are not at all sorry for the crime of genocide, they are just sorry they got caught.

I’m a dedicated finger pointer.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer

You’re peronalizing it. Kudzu doesn’t hate pine trees and pine trees accomplish nothing by being angry with the kudzu.

Nature is a constant struggle, the never ending test of one survival strategy against another. If we fail this one because of too much trust, then we’re not fit enough to survive and if they beat us because their particular adaptation is more successful, then it is as Nature wishes it to be.

This is why it is so imprtant to focus on what you can do, proactively to get out from under the kudzu, so to speak. Let it do what it is going to do and let us be about our Father’s business.

BL
BL

According to you it’s OK to off as many of the club as needed because they trusted we would never off them , so that makes them weak in the balance of nature. Is that about right, or does weakness/stupid/nature just count for us goy? Is a counter genocide kosher if they are too trusting?

Anonymous
Anonymous

Insurance industry data is not govt/cdc/nih data. If it were corrupted by bribes, threats, etc, why would those pushing shots intentionally manipulate the data to look like the shots cause harm?

GNL

Government $$?

BabbleOn
BabbleOn

To keep people from knowing the real truth. You cover up a coverup with another 2-3 coverups. What are they covering up?

Anonymous
Anonymous

So, let’s say a single murder.
You cover up that murder.
Then, you cover up that first cover up so that you don’t get caught covering up.
And you do that second cover up by planting evidence that makes you look guilty of the murder, but not guilty of trying to cover up the murder —- the murder that you originally covered up?

BabbleOn
BabbleOn

Now you know why all politicians are mass murderers! lol 😉 If you pile up enough bodies throwing another three or four on top seems perfectly normal…..

Anonymous
Anonymous

Read for comprehension

Guest
Guest

That’s really good news!! I don’t want a huge a die off. However I do think deaths are up crom my own experience.
Anyone reporting that doesn’t acknowledge there was no pandemic I stay Leary of. That is the one fact we know for sure.

GNL

Hey man, we’re just breaking a few eggs.

BL
BL

Yeah Glock, nobody said we wouldn’t get our hair must while culling the world population. Bad hair days don’t count if the goy volunteer for the cull.

BL
BL

(hair mussed not must) ,proof read Bea.

ElCoyote
ElCoyote

Mussed

ze bugs
ze bugs

should have auctioned them on ebay. Those suckers are gold!

Anonymous
Anonymous

Good.

I said long ago, the only way we get out of this is if all the willing to be jabbed (and force us to be) DIE.

I did not want people dead. I did not cause people to die. But fuck these people as they are complicit in causing those deaths by supporting the killers.

So good riddance to the complicit fucktards. I appreciate your suicide.

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