Why Trump’s Syria ‘Surge’ Will Fail

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Last week President Trump significantly escalated the US military presence in Syria, sending some 400 Marines to the ISIS-controlled Raqqa, and several dozen Army Rangers to the contested area around Manbij. According to press reports he will also station some 2,500 more US troops in Kuwait to be used as he wishes in Iraq and Syria.

Not only is it illegal under international law to send troops into another country without permission, it is also against US law for President Trump to take the country to war without a declaration. But not only is Trump’s first big war illegal: it is doomed to failure because it makes no sense.

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President Trump says the purpose of the escalation is to defeat ISIS in Raqqa, its headquarters in Syria. However the Syrian Army with its allies Russia and Iran are already close to defeating ISIS in Syria. Why must the US military be sent in when the Syrian army is already winning? Does Trump wish to occupy eastern Syria and put a Washington-backed rebel government in charge? Has anyone told President Trump what that would to cost in dollars and lives – including American lives? How would this US-backed rebel government respond to the approach of a Syrian army backed up by the Russian military?

Is Trump planning on handing eastern Syria over to the Kurds, who have been doing much of the fighting in the area? How does he think NATO-ally Turkey would take a de facto Kurdistan carved out of Syria with its eyes on Kurdish-inhabited southern Turkey?

And besides, by what rights would Washington carve up Syria or any other country?

Or is Trump going to give up on the US policy of “regime change” and hand conquered eastern Syria back to Assad? If that is the case, why waste American lives and money if the Syrians and their allies are already doing the job? Candidate Trump even said he was perfectly happy with Russia and Syria getting rid of ISIS. If US policy is shifting toward accepting an Assad victory, it could be achieved by ending arms supplies to the rebels and getting out of the way.

It does not appear that President Trump or his advisors have thought through what happens next if the US military takes possession of Raqqa, Syria. What is the endgame? Maybe the neocons told him it would be a “cakewalk” as they promised before the 2003 Iraq invasion.

Part of the problem is that President Trump’s advisors believe the myth that the US “surge” in Iraq and Afghanistan was a great success and repeating it would being the victory that eluded Obama with his reliance of drones and proxy military forces. A big show of US military force on the ground – like the 100,000 sent to Afghanistan by Obama in 2009 – is what is needed in Syria, these experts argue. Rarely is it asked that if the surge worked so well why are Afghanistan and Iraq still a disaster?

President Trump’s escalation in Syria is doomed to failure. He is being drawn into a quagmire by the neocons that will destroy scores of lives, cost us a fortune, and may well ruin his presidency. He must de-escalate immediately before it is too late.

 

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4 Comments
Iska Waran
Iska Waran
March 13, 2017 12:19 pm

Ron Paul is 100% right. President Bannon needs to tell Trump to ignore the neocons’ advice. Now that the Marines are in there, they should coordinate with Russia & the Syrian army. Then GTFO of there ASAP.

WIP
WIP
March 13, 2017 1:12 pm

The US government is going to do whatever it wants…because America!!

Suzanna
Suzanna
March 13, 2017 1:24 pm

I heard that this time we were invited/Trump was invited into
Syria…in cooperation and in coordination w/Russia to smash what
is left of IS.
Please remember 90% of news is propaganda…same with the
internet. If CIA and NSA spy every entity world wide…why wouldn’t
“they” be infiltrating and polluting the web with propaganda as well?
The good news is that smarties are saying no one cares or has time to
look at the common man’s chatter whatsoever. The hunt is for data
from other smarties, corporations, patents and governments internationally.
Of course our entire gov is being monitored for compliance and potential
whistle blowers. What an interesting time we live in. Yikes.

mangledman
mangledman
March 13, 2017 2:18 pm

Russia told “o” years ago that he wasn’t going into Syria. “o” backed off pronto. Cellphone video catches airdrops by US and British planes to Isis 3 or 4 times. Saudis shoot at Russians. Assad still had to go. Russia starts kicking butt on terror groups. Assad tells USA we don’t want your help. NATO decides we need missile defense all along Russian border. What did we send 500, 1000 troops, plus 1000 tanks? (How many are in a tank crew, and maintenance groups)?? All along Russia’s border to protect us from Iran? Now, we are going to try to stick our nose in the business of a sovereign country, uninvited against international law. All the while making Vladimir Putin look like a saint, where cooler head prevails. How about we send them all to Damascus nuke the place, we can fulfill prophecy, start WWIII all in one fell swoop.
Business as usual??
Start that party. How else we get unrest,civil war and all these party favors at once.