Which Brand of Taxi Do You Prefer?

Guest Post by Eric Peters

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If automated cars ever do become technically feasible – and that’s a long way off, despite the trendy imminence we read about every day – it will certainly mean the end of personal vehicle ownership, at least as far as new cars.

Not because the government mandates it.    

Because – why bother with it?

Take away being able to control the car and you’ve taken away the individualism of the car. What does it matter whether it’s a BMW – or a Chevy – if they all drive the same automated speed? If you just sit there and text or email or go to sleep? The automated car will go as programmed. You will not drive it.

Therefore, why buy it?

People don’t generally buy taxis. They hail them. Ride in them. Then get out of them. There is no attachment to the taxi. It’s purely an appliance, like a microwave but with fewer meaningful differences.

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This is how it will work with automated cars.

But do you care whether your taxi is a Chevy or a Ford or any other make? Would you pay more for one vs. another?

Why?

GM’s Cadillac luxury car division – one of the biggest pushers of automated car technology after Elon Musk’s Tesla electric car operation – has this idea that, in the future, you will “experience the brand.”

In the same way one experiences, say, Outback – the steakhouse.

You experience that brand by visiting the restaurant and – for an hour or two – sitting at a table experiencing Outback’s food, wait staff and the ambiance of the place. But when you leave, you leave the experience behind.

You do not own Outback.

Just so, you don’t – or won’t own – the Cadillac. You experience the brand for however long you rented the thing to take you from A to B.

Cadillac is betting you’ll pay extra to experience their brand as opposed to, say, the Chevy brand. But arguably, they are whistling past their own freshly dug graves.

In the first place, why bother with separate models when all models – in the automated scheme of things – are functionally identical? Yes, there will probably be need for larger and smaller models – to move more or fewer people, to carry more or less stuff. But sporty models? It’s oxymoronic in the automated driving environment.

Remember: No one drives faster than anyone else – or passes or does anything else faster or differently. Because no one drives anymore.

The car simply goes as programmed – and they are all programmed the same.

No individual variance as far as as function. And certainly – by definition – no individual control. This will eliminate the reason for being for entire brands of cars, the ones which have defined their brand according to the different driving characteristics of that brand’s cars.

Mazda, for instance, is a goner – and the management realizes this. Which is the real reason why the company continues to emphasize driving and is among the very few brands still obviously reluctant to embrace automated cars.

This is also why brands such as BMW – which used to emphasize driving – have been switching to the embrace of technology during the past several years. It is not accidental. It’s not Me-Too-ism, either. BMW realizes that in a world of automated cars, it no longer matters how well a car “handles” or whether its steering is as precise as a laser sight. All automated cars handle just the same – and there will be no steering wheel.

The dashboard of an ’18 (and about $18k) Toyota Corolla. . .

Feel becomes irrelevant.

Gadgets become everything.

The problem with that – if you are BMW or any other premium brand – is that gadgets are the one thing about new cars that’s not expensive. You may have noticed that almost every new car now comes with an LCD touchscreen, for instance. And a pretty good audio system, too. You can buy a new “entry-level” car – one priced well under $25,000 – equipped with most of the gadgets you’d find in a $40,000 car. Or even a $60,000 car.

The dashboard of an ’18 (and roughly $40k) Lexus GS350. Notice much difference?

Yes, there are slight differences here and there. But the point is that any brand which thinks it’s going to get buyers to pay top dollar to experience their brand on account of gadgets is whistling past its own cold grave. The lesser brands will be just as gadget-ed out and most are already so.

Take away the driving experience and you have taken away most of the reason for buying the car.

The herd is about to be culled – even if the cows have no idea what’s coming.

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9 Comments
Dutchman
Dutchman
March 15, 2018 3:57 pm

Self driving has to be a 100% solution. It isn’t and never will be. Just try driving in a Northern climate in winter. Unexpected ice and snow. Snow on the roadway, can’t see any lanes, just have to guess and slowdown a lot.

Also a large percentage of the population wants to work / quit at the same time. This means there needs to be the same number of self driving cars. Where will the cars go, once they reach their destination, and nobody else needs a ride?

To me, the most important part of the car is the interior, and performance – that’s what I feel and touch and comfort the most. Cars will become less and less distinctive. I like SUV’s cause you sit higher. The other day in traffic, I was behind a Lamborghini – the car must be 3′ high. All he could see was the bumper of the car in front of him. How silly driving that in the city.

Mark H
Mark H
  Dutchman
March 15, 2018 5:37 pm

Not sure why you think a self-driving car won’t be better than >>99% (probably 99.99%!) of the popuation in ice and snow? The car won’t need lines to know exactly where it is (DGPS), will be far more aware of how much grip is actually available, will probably control traction better than most humans (especially when coupled with electric 4WD), will sense where other cars/obstacles are much more quickly than a human and likely won’t ever drive faster than the conditions merit. I like driving, but when conditions get particularly dangerous then that’s when I think I might actually trust a proven self-driving car more than most humans!

I thought the above article made some really good points. I’m guessing though that there will also be a class of self-driving cars which can also be driven (and many peope will chose to do that at least some of the time), and that many people will (at least initially) still choose to own a car which might only self drive (partly to ensure their access but also so they get exactly the car they want and don’t have to share it!). I doubt our love affair with car ownership will end overnight, and when you “own” something then there’s typically an emotional attachment.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
March 15, 2018 5:48 pm

This is a little off-topic, but maybe not. Everybody lauds Uber: It’s cheap, it’s convenient (so they tell me) and it lets people make a few bucks by driving people around whenever they want to. Of course, another way to look at it is that it’s putting cabbies out of business because they were making “too much money”. I know whenever I drive past a multi-million dollar mansion the first thing I think is “those fucken cab drivers make too much money!”. Pretty soon humans won’t even drive Uber because even their minimal earnings will be deemed “too much” and Uber will deploy self-driving cars. LLPOH’s right. It’s a race to the bottom. It’ll be harder and harder to make a living – unless you’re one of the programming geniuses who can help the tech companies – the new “great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money” (Matt Taibbi).

MadMike
MadMike
March 15, 2018 5:56 pm

Driverless city cars and Uber? OK, I see that.
However…
We have no cell service within 20 miles, deer, elk, and cattle on the road, and some extreme weather.
For me to call a driverless car or an Uber it’s a 45 mile trip, one way… TO GET HERE FOR THE PICK-UP.
Then 45 to town, 45 back, and another 45 mile deadhead to get back to the nearest town.
My, how efficient.

Martin brundlefly
Martin brundlefly
  MadMike
March 15, 2018 6:02 pm

Never even thought about that part. But we all joke about uber out here. Like back in to the woods. I’m drunk and cold and i dont wanna ride no more. Somebody get me an uber and a perrier, stat.

TS
TS
  MadMike
March 15, 2018 11:10 pm

MadMike – My thoughts, exactly. Less than 8k people here, 120+ miles from anywhere, with roughly half on ranches, farms, etc., spread out over a 10k+ sq. mile county. My yes, lets Uber our way to the south 40. Who needs that nasty old K3500, or F350; I’m sure an auto-car can ford the river, or climb that slope.
Our auto-drives eat hay and shit. And we’re not nearly the only place in the US with rural driving concerns.
As usual, someone thinks the big city lights are the only reality.

Martin brundlefly
Martin brundlefly
March 15, 2018 5:58 pm

People like driving things. Thats why there are hotrods, and atv’s, and snowmobiles, and golfcarts, and horse drawn fucking buggies. I cant imagine more than 15% of the population wants automated cars.

Fulton
Fulton
March 15, 2018 7:10 pm

As the owner of 8 Mazdas during my life, I am already in the early stages of the mourning process. ..

wholy1
wholy1
March 15, 2018 9:25 pm

NONE ! Why? Cuz . . . I CHOSE to NOT be a “citYzen/coaster”.
I CHOSE to be One of the fly-over, inland, RURAL, “Deplorables”. Hoo-wah.