Iran and Trump on the edge of the abyss

Guest Post by Elijah J. Magnier

Iran is pushing US President Donald Trump to the edge of the abyss, raising the level of tensions to new heights in the Middle East. After the sabotage of four tankers at al-Fujairah and the attack on the Aramco pipeline a month ago, and last week’s attack on two tankers in the Gulf of Oman, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC – now categorized by the USA as a terrorist body) yesterday shot down a US Navy drone, sending two clear messages. The first message is that Iran is ready for an all-out war, no matter what the consequences. The second message is that Iran is aware that the US President has cornered himself; the embarrassing attack came a week after Trump launched his electoral campaign.

According to well-informed sources, Iran rejected a proposal by US intelligence – made via a third party – that Trump be allowed to bomb one, two or three clear objectives, to be chosen by Iran, so that both countries could appear to come out as winners and Trump could save face. Iran categorically rejected the offer and sent its reply: even an attack against an empty sandy beach in Iran would trigger a missile launch against US objectives in the Gulf.

Iran is not inclined to help Trump come down from the tree he has climbed and would rather keep him confused and cornered. Furthermore, Iran would love to see Trump fail to win a second term, and will do everything to help oust him from the White House at the end of his mandate in 2020.

Moreover, Iran has established a joint operations room to inform all its allies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Afghanistan of every step it is adopting in confronting the US in case of all-out war in the Middle East. Iran’s allies have increased their level of readiness and alert to the highest level; they will participate in the war from the moment it begins if necessary. According to sources, Iran’s allies will not hesitate to open fire against an already agreed on bank of objectives in a perfectly organised, orchestrated, synchronised and graduated response, anticipating a war that may last many months.

Sources confirmed that, in case of war, Iran aims to stop the flow of oil from the Middle East completely, not by targeting tankers but by hitting the sources of oil in every single Middle Eastern country, whether these countries are considered allies or enemies. The objective will be to cease all oil exports from the Middle East to the rest of the world.

Trump is trying to find a way out and calm tensions, stopping short of doing anything to ease the sanctions on Iran. It was the US President who triggered the current crisis by revoking the JCPOA nuclear deal at Benjamin Netanyahu’s request. Trump wants to see Iran suffer from the severe US sanctions for the duration of his presidential campaign. This status-quo is congenial to Trump but catastrophic for Iran.This is why Iran refused to go along with a scenario which would make Trump look like a winner by bombing locations in Iran, claiming he had destroyed the exact locations from which the missile was fired against his drone.

Trump wants to win the war of appearances, but is facing an Iranian regime as unaccommodating to him as he has been to Iran. Trump seems oblivious of the fact that economic embargo is an act of war; by unilaterally blocking the export of Iranian oil and so crippling Iran’s economy, Trump has already declared war on Iran.

In response to the latest incidents, the US sent only limited reinforcements to the Middle East last week. According to sources, these forces were composed of several drone teams and a strike force capable of intervening in case of future attacks on oil tankers. The downing of the drone was Iran’s message to the US that nothing is off limits: all gloves are off. The Iranian message, made explicit already last year by Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and other political and military officials, is clear: if we can’t export our oil, nobody can. But this message seems not to have reached Trump’s ears.

The US media claim that President Trump approved military strikes against Iran but revoked the order hours later. What actually happened – according to the source – is the following:

Iran was informed in advance by a third party of a proposal by US intelligence that Iran selects one or two or three empty locations for the US to bomb. This was intended to make everyone happy by saving face for all concerned. Iran refused to play along with this charade, which was ultimately designed to save face for Trump. Nonetheless, Iran was reassured by this offer that the US has no intention of going to war and is trying to find a way out of its quandary; Trump is looking for a way out.

Iran also does not want war, but neither will it accept the continued embargo of its oil exports. As long as Iran is blocked from selling its oil, Iran and Trump will continue their danse macabre on the edge of the abyss.

Iran’s economy is under attack by Trump’s embargo on Iranian oil exports. Trump refuses to lift the embargo and wants to negotiate first. Trump, unlike Israel and the hawks in his administration, is trying to avoid a shooting war. Netanyahu has reiterated his desire for war with Iran—a war that the US will fight–and is meeting with his Arab allies to help bring it about. As Ha’aretz described Netanyahu’s Iran dilemma last month, the goal is to get Trump to go to war without putting Israel on the front line.

It is Trump’s desire to avoid war that makes him susceptible to Iranian pressure. Trump will be in an even more critical position domestically if Iranian missiles target Middle Eastern oil. Iran is offering only two choices to the US President: end the embargo on Iranian oil or go to war. Sources acknowledge that the future is uncertain and potentially very dangerous for the region and the global economy, since Iran will definitely not stop in its plans to halt all oil tanker navigation if its own oil cannot be exported.

Iran and the US are already at war economically. A way out of this crisis would be for Trump to close his eyes while allowing Europe to work to lift the economic pressure on Iran, without sanctioning the European companies concerned. Otherwise, there may be no escape from a regional and global catastrophe.

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54 Comments
Oracle
Oracle
June 21, 2019 2:24 pm

Warmongering bull over and over

Gloriously Deplorable Paul
Gloriously Deplorable Paul
June 21, 2019 2:25 pm

If it’s true that Iran rebuffed Trump’s attempt at face-saving then I believe Trump halted the attack for one reason: time to get more assets in place to make a major strike. That doesn’t necessarily mean ground troops.
I don’t think his ego will tolerate being told “no” by Iran.
I see big things on the horizon. By and large they’re not good things.

noBabel
noBabel
June 21, 2019 2:46 pm

It has to happen. Oil is the economy. The civilization is dying. Ragnarok approaches.

Bob P
Bob P
June 21, 2019 2:53 pm

Interesting article, though anonymous “sources” isn’t exactly proof. Rumours were rife that Trump told Putin the missile attack on Syria was coming so he could avoid Russian casualties and appease the deep state and MSM. If that wasn’t true, then the US better worry about the effectiveness of its missiles, since the attack patently failed. If it was true, then the notion that Trump asked Iran to allow the US to attack a few meaningless targets to assuage the deep state is believable. What is clearly true is that Iran has the world economy by the balls since there’s little doubt it can end or seriously limit Middle Eastern oil exports. Trump has painted himself into a corner with his foolish Iran policy. As things stand, Bolton, Pompeo and crew will arrange a successful false flag, and the USA will find itself in still another no-win war.

Dan
Dan
June 21, 2019 3:05 pm

I find it more believable that the attacks on shipping were false flag attacks by the usual suspects. I also find it more believable that the spy drone was over Iranian territory when shot down. The same way I find it more believable that Saddam did NOT have WMDs.

Pequiste
Pequiste
June 21, 2019 3:05 pm

I fully expect a war between USA and Iran, and as such, then the chances for all-out global conflict are very, very good.

If the Evil Fuckers want a war then WAR it shall be.

noBabel
noBabel
  Pequiste
June 21, 2019 3:23 pm

Survival isn’t evil. Guess who has a lot of oil? Guess who needs a lot of oil to survive? The wolf doesn’t chase the rabbit because the rabbit is evil. Telling everyone that the rabbit is evil however, is evil (or that the wolf is evil). Convincing people that the world works any other way is evil. Convincing yourself that the world works any other way is foolish.

Ivan
Ivan
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 4:40 pm

The fish swim in the water, the clouds float in the sky. Rain comes down and goes into the water. It is wet, as are the fish.

noBabel
noBabel
  Ivan
June 21, 2019 5:21 pm

Some wish water wasn’t wet
or the sky wasn’t blue
or that the Constitution isn’t anything other than true.
“Blood of Patriots,” they cry,
“And our founding fathers did say!”
Me: “Where is YOUR blood, by the way?”

Ivan
Ivan
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 6:38 pm

Patrick Henry being a 5th great uncle I say give me liberty or give me death

Anonymous
Anonymous
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 6:06 pm

Exactly, noBabel. Way too many folks on this planet think of themselves as “good people”, and anyone who opposes them as evil. I think our fearless leader thinks of himself as a good man. The planet’s moment of truth approaches.

grace country pastor
grace country pastor
  noBabel
June 22, 2019 4:54 pm

“Isaiah 65:25 KJB… “The wolf and the lamb shall feed together, and the lion shall eat straw like the bullock: and dust shall be the serpent’s meat. They shall not hurt nor destroy in all my holy mountain, saith the Lord.”

The world was designed to operate very differently than it currently is. It will someday operate as God intended.

Bubbah
Bubbah
June 21, 2019 3:28 pm

Just send the Iranians pallets full of money, and have them pinky swear that they will be good and not mess with their neighbors. That’s sure to work. Or maybe just let them use their crappy oil to make money instead. Kick the can down the road strategy as Iran militarizes more and more. The above article seems pretty shady to me, is this from wiretaps or something? These insiders that know everything about the US and the Iranians? Seems suspect to me. But them wanting to ship oil, that does make sense. Them blowing shit up to try and play hardball, seems reasonable too. The Iranians have their warhawks as well it seems, they ain’t pacifists.

Bubbah
Bubbah
June 21, 2019 3:35 pm

AOC and her ilk must be drooling at the mouth with the hopes of an Iranian war. That will cripple oil for awhile, which will be a “green new deal” warstyle. Think of how much less carbon will be released if they just have the whole middle east blow up. Then people will finally have the financial incentive to run cars and trucks with windmills and solar cells. It must be a dream comes true for them, then they can mobilize the national guard when they win the Presidency and start the great cow genocide of 2021. They can save the world from the .17 degree increase the US is responsible for over the next 50years, amazing, the green new economy will finally be here. Imagine all the green new jobs, they will need millions of people to learn to deal with corpses and compost them properly as most of the country starves and freezes to death. Then they rest will start dying as all the elderly that moved to the sunny hot areas die since A.C. will of course be gone as well. Better figure out how to make windmills without mining as well, since that isn’t good for the environmental gods. Plus people that are starving have a tough time breeding so new babies won’t be being born, which again is good for the environment, plus babies really aren’t something Democrats like much anymore, beyond selling their body parts.

noBabel
noBabel
  Bubbah
June 21, 2019 4:52 pm

Fun fact: the globe is actually SHORT of atmospheric carbon, especially as it pertains to agriculture, from a geologic time perspective.
Not so fun Fact: oil is the economy and without Iranian (and Venezuelan and Russian for that matter) heavy crude, our ultralight sweet crude (produced at a loss) is useless to continue our comfortable convenient easy buy whatever from wherever but don’t take our jobs lifestyle is gone.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 6:38 pm

We should switch from gasoline to CNG since we have so much natgas. Regardless, core samples tell us the planet has the lowest carbon dioxide readings in the past 280,000 years. Plants and all the green shit needs it. Political Greenies are frauds or morons, probably both. To them it is just another throw away line in the never ending quest to tax and control. Who cares if it is junk science? As long as it lets them turn the thumb screws and take our money they are good with it.

noBabel
noBabel
  Harrington Richardson
June 21, 2019 7:12 pm

I say if it weren’t for our parents/grandparents foolishly setting up a system to blow through our remarkable oil endowment in so little time, we would be REALLY screwed. So thanks for what carbon we do have in the atmosphere. For those who know permaculture, and are strong and skilled, there’s a chance to survive the dieoff.

SmallerGovNow
SmallerGovNow
  Harrington Richardson
June 22, 2019 8:25 am

Global Warming Petition Project, over 30,000 scientists reject global warming projections… http://www.petitionproject.org/index.php

Diogenes’ Dung
Diogenes’ Dung
June 21, 2019 4:01 pm

Game, Set, Match.

“Iran’s allies will not hesitate to open fire against an already agreed on bank of objectives in a perfectly organized, orchestrated, synchronized and graduated response… to stop the flow of oil from the Middle East completely… by hitting the sources of oil in every single Middle Eastern country.”

If I were Iran, as soon as the “Attack Alarm” went off, I would target the U.S. and Israel’s grids and all oil exporting infrastructure in the ME. That would turn Russia into the world’s Oil Kingdom, only exporter and, along with China, the only manufacturers of the transformers needed to electrify cities.

Is it any wonder the Iranians are laughing at our backdoor offers to bomb a ‘meaningless’ target as Trump did in Syria? Iran just scoffed at the bully and said, “Bring it, pussy!!!”

Trump will announce an end to hostilities because Iran agreed to stop breeding Persian cats until they implement BMPs for kitty litter.

Ivan
Ivan
  Diogenes’ Dung
June 21, 2019 4:43 pm

kitty litter=saudiarabia

Diogenes’ Dung
Diogenes’ Dung
  Ivan
June 21, 2019 5:22 pm

Persian Cats = Houthi Rebels, Ansar Allah be upon them.

noBabel
noBabel
  Diogenes’ Dung
June 21, 2019 5:29 pm

Seriously, a clumsy low-grade nuke off a barge anywhere near an east coast port would tank our beta-male feminist economy for ten years. They know it and are laughing. Maybe the fire in Philly?

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 6:47 pm

Whatever any of these devils do, our Ohio class submarines can launch one nuclear missile every minute for twenty four hours. Nobody wants to “win” that jackpot.
I think Trump’s background as a construction guy makes him think, unlike his predecessors, of the cost and wasted capital such destruction causes. None of them ever built or owned huge infrastructure. Not sure if that could be a weakness or a strength for him in these situations.
Ignorance is supposedly bliss and in this regard the last three fuqueres were surely ignorant of such things.

Ginger
Ginger
  noBabel
June 21, 2019 7:30 pm

Did some landscape work for a old army air corps guy who flew b-17s, and this guy went on after the war to help set up the Hydrogen Bomb test at the Bikini Atoll . See video below.
Anyway he told me that through research the most effective atomic blast was in a shallow bay or lake where the blast lifted up all that contaminated water and sea bed soil and it would drift down and screw-up a huge area.
He also said on missions bombing Germany nobody EVER went through and bombed again if by chance they couldn’t see the target, it was bombs away and “to whomever it may concern below”. He retired a General.
check out about the 1:30 mark

MMinLamesa
MMinLamesa
  Diogenes’ Dung
June 22, 2019 9:50 am

So you believe that Trump made that offer, that is to bomb 2 or 3 empty sites? Get off the stupid couch. That ruse would have been outed immediately and Trump made a laughing stock.

The mullahs have run that country into the dirt, literally mud and filth is what comes out when people turn on their faucets. Couple that with the crippling sanctions and they know a war is all they’ve got. A war BTW Trump will not send troops into Iran-there’s no need.

And as for their “allies” get fucking real. They’ll slick away when the fire is turned up.

Iran is a terrorist state run by fanatical mullahs. We’ll see what we will see. But hitting a drone is a million miles from the bullshit, “all gloves are off”

No one wants all gloves are off, believe me, because when ours come off, that’s the end of this story.

Diogenes’ Dung
Diogenes’ Dung
  MMinLamesa
June 22, 2019 11:33 am

Admin provided a list of the countries we’ve attacked since WWII, over 50. Iran attacked none.

WHO’S THE AGGRESSOR?

Please remind us again, who are the terrorists? Israel and its hand-puppet Uncle Sam are, according to every reliable world-wide poll, the greatest threats to world peace.

Of course, if Iran could top our ‘Countries Invaded’ list with 80 or 90 countries, build more than 800 military bases around the world, patrol the seven seas with nuclear-armed fleets, orbit space with eyes everywhere looking for targets, at the bidding of… say Russia, then Iran would be The Exceptional Nation. Grand Ayatollah Khomeini would get a Nobel Peace Prize for invading Israel.

If only… Iran were entitled to violate international law with each morning’s constitutional and call it fresh-squeezed orange juice. We do.

Iran’s allies/proxies aren’t like the CIA’s (Wahabis/Kurds). We’re well known for throwing our allies on the used condom pile when were done fucking ourselves. Iran has a decades-old record of reliable, steadfast support for those who implement its ‘ideological outreach’.

Israel’s dual-citizen infection of our body politic created a ME terrorist fever by getting us to torch ‘7 countries in 5 years’. WE are the world’s terrorist with a Zion fist up our ass. Wolfowitz applauds you. You know, he’s the guy who, after turning us into Nazis, became President of the World Bank. Your kind of guy.

Jack Lovett
Jack Lovett
June 21, 2019 4:04 pm

Perhaps satanyahoo just go fight his own war.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Jack Lovett
June 21, 2019 6:51 pm

Israel can field 18 divisions which is more than the US can at this time. If they want somebody beat up they have the means to do it themselves. They should not need us.
ALL THIS CRAP AND OUR SOUTHERN BORDER LOOKS LIKE A WAR ZONE! Fook the neocons of all parties right up the old yazoo!

just a thought
just a thought
June 21, 2019 5:06 pm

Geez. Didn’t Obongo give them 120 billion because they loved us and are our friends? Guess that money helped them with their struggling military. Poor country needed more missiles. I get it.

Ivan
Ivan
  just a thought
June 21, 2019 6:40 pm

Because they knew Big Mike wasn’t a woman.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Ivan
June 22, 2019 1:17 am

Did you see the video of a men vs. women dodgeball game with celebs and Big Mike was one of the players? I think she played college B-ball and is no shrinking violet. She nailed some boy band guy right in the jewels big time. Funnier than heck.

Ivan
Ivan
  Harrington Richardson
June 22, 2019 6:54 am

Missed that sounds like a must see!

flash
flash
June 21, 2019 5:56 pm

Was the Zionist controlled Trump administration expecting a casualty count to get the war party started when they sent a drone and an occupied plane into Iranian airspace?

IRAN SAYS IT REFRAINED FROM SHOOTING DOWN U.S. PLANE WITH 35 ON BOARD – TASNIM NEWS

https://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/Iran-says-it-refrained-from-shooting-down-US-plane-with-35-on-board-Tasnim-news-593262

22winmag - The South was Right!
22winmag - The South was Right!
June 21, 2019 6:30 pm

This is just a show and a shakedown for more $$$.

Jewish-dominated governments like Iran and the USSA are secretly good friends despite the hot air and sabre-rattling!

http://mileswmathis.com/iran.pdf

Hollow man
Hollow man
June 21, 2019 8:49 pm

Curious as to how this fellow knows so much about the inner workings of what is actually going on. Or is he just guessing?

noBabel
noBabel
  Hollow man
June 22, 2019 12:40 am

Funny how those who preach free market capitalism actually practice tribalism.

Dave
Dave
June 22, 2019 7:08 am

This is the most dangerous situation since the Cuban Missile Crisis of October, 1962. It could not only crash the global economy but could explode into a world war between superpowers. Pray for peace.

niebo
niebo
June 22, 2019 9:46 am

the goal is to get Trump to go to war without putting Israel on the front line.

How very “neo-con” of them, to have their own (human) resources in a protected state AND to want to USE (sacrifice/confiscate/steal/pillage) ours instead. Reminds me of the past 50 years of US oil policy, wherein our vast oil resources are “wildlife refuge’d” or “national park’d” . . . .

KaD
KaD
June 22, 2019 11:26 am
Southern Sage
Southern Sage
June 22, 2019 11:56 am

I have no love for the mullahs in Iran but this “crisis” is 100 percent a product of the treasonous actions of American Zionist Neo-Cons and the Israelis. Let us pray Trump does not fall into their trap.