WHO Names this Coronavirus a World Emergency

Guest Post by Martin Armstrong

The Coronavirus has been declared by the World Health Organization (WH) to be an emergency. As I reported yesterday, the death rate may not be as high as SARS which was 10%, but its spread rate is far greater. The number of cases jumped in a day from 7700 to 9682. The WHO defines a global emergency — formally, a Public Health Emergency of International Concern — as “an extraordinary event which is determined to constitute a public health risk to other States through the international spread of disease and to potentially require a coordinated international response.” This is the sixth declared in the past decade.

There have been only five such emergencies declared in the past decade:

  1. the H1 virus that caused an influenza pandemic (2009),
  2. West Africa’s Ebola outbreak (2013-2016),
  3. polio (2014),
  4. Zika virus (2016),
  5. and the ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (2019)

Four of those six global emergencies took place during the last ECM and this one began on the turn at the bottom. Since our disease model on influenza is a 13-year cycle, that is also pointing to 2022 as a crisis year. If this coronavirus has the same life-expectancy for its global spread before reaching a peak, that also points to 2022. The good news, the death rate seems to be legitimate and it still runs less than 3%.

This has the potential to reduce economic growth further on an overall global scale.

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28 Comments
Simon Simple
Simon Simple
January 31, 2020 11:53 am

God’s stock buy back equivalent

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
January 31, 2020 12:05 pm

Don’t fear the fearmongers either.

Ginger
Ginger
January 31, 2020 1:27 pm

Was he on first when he named it?

Billbob
Billbob
January 31, 2020 1:40 pm
niebo
niebo
January 31, 2020 1:54 pm

No suprise that the WHO would ring the bell, since it’s becoming clear that China is not being transparent. But I hope the info in this video turns out to be wrong . . .

https://youtu.be/h1j2bIo5Ogc?t=1391

Hardscrabble Farmer
Hardscrabble Farmer
January 31, 2020 2:18 pm

Shouldn’t there be a question mark at the end of the post title?

M G
M G
  Hardscrabble Farmer
February 1, 2020 3:52 am

I thought that too, briefly, but my foray into the sexuality and the politics of abortion led me to Planned Parenthood, Global Family Planning and smack dab into the founding of the World Health Organization in May 1948. Timing is everything.

I tried to pin it all on Harry Truman, but I realized he was really kept out of the loop on a lot until the very last second. Imagine becoming President and having your advisors inform you of the Atomic Bomb program. He was Vice-President and did not know!

https://www.jstor.org/stable/27550534?mag=how-harry-truman-transformed-the-vice-presidency

Things really can happen before our very eyes. An awful lot of things happened on the world stage while FDR was sick. Think Eleanor had anything to do with that?

No Segue.

Is this guy brilliant? You ever meet Weird Al?

I do apologize, but everytime I see some comedy icon, I wonder if you did warmup intros for them, OR, gasp… they for YOU?

I was watching/listening to some of his early stuff and came across the line “they finally let me into heaven anyway and i ended up in the room by the ice machine for eternity”

Is that brilliant for someone who has spent some time in crappy motels on the road making people laugh?

apocalypso
apocalypso
January 31, 2020 2:37 pm

are they harvesting the organs before cremation?

the cheese stands alone
the cheese stands alone
January 31, 2020 2:44 pm

wow so far we’ve had fires, floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, plagues of locusts, and the Black (yellow) Death. Think God is pissed? The 4 horsemen are riding hard.

M G
M G
  the cheese stands alone
January 31, 2020 2:51 pm

I want to verify the cheese stands alone because of the odor, right?

grace country pastor
grace country pastor
  the cheese stands alone
January 31, 2020 5:50 pm

They’ve not yet begun to ride. You won’t be able to mistake it when they do. It will be hell on earth. You ain’t seen nothin yet. God still offering free grace for all. Amen…

Mygirl....Maybe
Mygirl....Maybe
  grace country pastor
January 31, 2020 8:01 pm

comment image

Mygirl....Maybe
Mygirl....Maybe
  Mygirl....Maybe
January 31, 2020 8:12 pm
AC
AC
January 31, 2020 2:48 pm

Bear in mind that we do not yet have a clear picture of how infectious or how lethal this virus is, because the official Chinese government numbers on the number of cases and on the number of deaths are pure fiction.

niebo
niebo
  AC
January 31, 2020 5:06 pm

Study out today says R-naught value is 4.1. So, one person infect 4; 4 turns to 16; 16 to 64; 64 to 256; 256 to 1024; 1024 to 4096 to 16384 to 65536 to 262,144 to 1,048,576, etc.

Estimated fatality rate: 6.5 percent

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  niebo
January 31, 2020 5:09 pm

7.7 billion X .065 = about 500 million.

niebo
niebo
  Iska Waran
January 31, 2020 5:40 pm

enough to destroy economy in the world

Anonymous
Anonymous
  niebo
January 31, 2020 6:23 pm

The only hard numbers we have are from the initial group of patients, where 15% of them died. Until I see better numbers, I’m presuming a 15% mortality rate.

AC
AC
  Anonymous
January 31, 2020 11:50 pm
gilberts
gilberts
  niebo
February 1, 2020 2:12 am

I was about to post this, myself. Good job. This video scares the shit out of me.

gilberts
gilberts
  gilberts
February 1, 2020 2:37 am

So far, I’ve been tempering my concern about this outbreak with the fact it seems more deadly to Chinese than Westerners. I’m theorizing the Chinese’ lack of sanitation and hygiene, bad food, and poisonous air, water, and soil combines to lower their health to a level where the flu runs among them like a lamb among sheep. With no deaths in the West to date, could all this be hype?

nkit
nkit
January 31, 2020 4:04 pm

comment image

niebo
niebo
January 31, 2020 5:40 pm

Appears to have proteins unlike any other known corona, according to scientists is an insert . . . from HIV

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/coronavirus-contains-hiv-insertions-stoking-fears-over-artificially-created-bioweapon

grace country pastor
grace country pastor
  niebo
January 31, 2020 5:56 pm

Dang… people are sick in the soul.

TampaRed
TampaRed
  niebo
January 31, 2020 8:19 pm

if this really is a chicom designer disease that got loose it explains their locking down these cities–
though if true,there is no excuse 4 not informally telling western govts to shut down all travel & to quarantine all people who had recently come from china–
as callous & secretive as china has been in the past,there’s no excuse 4 our “pros” in the infectious field not to have also recommended that our govt do it–

Ginger
Ginger
  TampaRed
February 1, 2020 6:45 am

Though secular in nature, watch the movie ’12 Monkees’;
and read the book of Isaiah.
Judgement comes swiftly, and not too pretty when it finally comes down.

The wonder of it all
The wonder of it all
January 31, 2020 10:58 pm

We have both reps from the ‘do not worry’ and ‘this shit is real.’
Curse of the Internet is everyone gets a voice. For too long science has warned of a mutation that we could not combat. I know, just trying to scare us. But what if they were for real ? Everyone gets a vote.

gilberts
gilberts
February 1, 2020 2:19 am

So I started warning my friends and family a few days ago to get masks. And I have been searching hard to fine my own this entire time. I have been watching them vaporize on amazon and elsewhere. Price gougers are on ebay selling them at massive markups. I saw one dude selling an N100 mask for $160. Someone else might even be crazy enough to buy it. So I tried to buy from AirGas and they refuse to sell masks online to anyone who doesn’t already have an account and purchased them previously. I tried to buy from Grainger. They were backordered and now they have a policy to not sell medical respirators to people. All the medical supply places online I’ve checked were out. I had one take an order and tell me 12 hours later they had no masks and don’t know when they’ll get a shipment between now and March. I went to Home Depot today and I saw 3 dudes walk up to the paint aisle where the masks and tyvek suits are. They were disappointed the cases of masks were all sold out. All the Despot had were onesies and twosies. And the prices weren’t that good, either.
If you look online, you may still get lucky. Otherwise, you might consider a half-mask with filters and eye pro.