As 3 US Carriers Patrol Western Pacific, Chinese Analysts Warn US-China Stumbling Toward War

Via ZeroHedge

No less than two new separate reports in The South China Morning Post are warning of a coming US-China military conflict, saying the prospect is now higher than ever given that amid a rising number of naval incidents, including a recent near-collision incident, communication channels used for deconfliction have fallen silent.

The observation is based in large part on new studies by China’s National Institute for South China Sea showing a steep drop-off in intergovernmental communications channels between the two sides.

This observed sharp decline in communication is also in regard to the military hotline between the Chinese and Taiwan defense ministries. No doubt the report was released in response the no less than three US carriers patrolling the western Pacific this week, including the USS Ronald Reagan, the USS Theodore Roosevelt, and the USS Nimitz. Needless to say, Beijing and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) are pissed.

The SCMP cites Wu Shicun, the president of the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, who explains that “with Beijing and Washington locked in a rivalry on multiple fronts, the political distrust that had built up between them had led to hundreds of ‘track one’ intergovernmental communication channels shutting down.”

The deterioration in communications is traced to two years ago when the US rebuffed an invitation from Beijing to participate in major multinational naval exercises called ‘Rim of the Pacific’. The Pentagon had cited the Chinese PLA’s militarization of the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea, also designed to assert expansive claims over what makes up Chinese territorial waters.

And further, Wu Shicun explains, “I think the risks of conflict are rising, especially after the near-collision between the USS Decatur guided-missile destroyer and China’s destroyer the Lanzhou in September in the South China Sea,” according to the report.

Video of the tense standoff and close call close-call was released at the time:

In a tense face-off in September 2018, the USS Decatur, which was performing a “freedom of navigation” operation, came within 41 metres (130 feet) of the Lanzhou close to Gaven Reef, which China claims as its territory, according to the US Navy, though Beijing accused the US of taking “provocative actions”.

Meanwhile, fears of a ratcheting Cold War level tensions as US carriers sail into the region.

“Led by Hua Changchun, a Shenzhen-based economist at the Guotai Junan Securities, the research claims Trump currently has only a 30 per cent chance of being re-elected in November against Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden having studied previous US presidential elections.”

Hua sets up what he sees as the central Trump reelection dilemma vis-a-vis Beijing: “Trump may take extreme measures. He could either expand international cooperation, such as pressing China to buy American commodities in bulk, to help jobs and the economy, or he can opt for extreme military conflicts.”

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25 Comments
Anonymous
Anonymous
June 25, 2020 8:24 am

Either way our Republic is screwed . Cold War , economic war or a hot war we as Americans are not prepared for what it would take to win even if we could .
Surface ships are less than 50/50 surviving a real full scale attack !
As for mainland attacks China can lose our entire population and benefit from it .
As for the US stopping a full scale invasion LOL ! We are over extended military wise world wide ! We cannot even contain a nationwide protest of our own citizens that lead to looting rioting arson and police running abandoning cars and stations in fear .
MAGA ? How many steel mills have been fired back up ? How many shipyards are prepared and staffed to go 24/7/365 ? How many young people are prepared to line up and answer the call ? People raised on X-BOX & Drag Queen story time don’t adapt well to military life . Consider this at one time the figure was 70% of American males 18 to 24 are physically , mentally and emotionally unfit .
MAGA : Great Idea , Great Slogan now the “BUT” where , with what and with who ? You cannot rebuild a nations industrial base that has been left to waste away for 4o plus years as the BIG CLUB feeds like pigs at the trough !
The CIRCLE JERK OF WALL STREET TO K-STREET TO CAPITAL STREET have systematically bleed this country dry economical and morally ! While enriching themselves and the connected few with the greatest transfer of wealth from the many to the few in the history of the world !
Now we stand on the edge of literal collapse internally in every aspect of our once great republic !
The Powers that be Democrat and Republican did this to us and we let them do it !
Now we have every aspect of American life threatened by our own people so we have 3 Carrier groups steaming around China ?
Fucking Brilliant (NOT)

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 8:34 am

Three sitting ducks that would easily be sunk by combined attack by sub and shore missles.

Joe Fahy
Joe Fahy
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 9:06 am

Brilliant!

Priceless: “People raised on X-BOX & Drag Queen story time don’t adapt well to military life .” I am going to use this!

Joe

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  Joe Fahy
June 25, 2020 10:13 pm

I was just about to C&P the same line.

Priceless.

22winmag - TBP's Latter Day Shit-poster
22winmag - TBP's Latter Day Shit-poster
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 10:04 am

You read the Book of Mormon, didn’t you?

Yahsure
Yahsure

I did but what’s that got to do with anything.

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 10:22 am

You are 100% right. We are worthless and weak….now what? Lay back and enjoy it? Can we do anything except wallow in self-pity…..all you negative folks are correct but so what the real challenge is what to do in the next minute, week, month, and year? Your self defeatism at this point costs you nothing to come on TBP and bray about how terrible the situation is….It can get worse much much worse…..Genocide of whites while still, a low probability is a growing probability. So yeah we get it, things are a little fucked up….but what should be done?

Tom
Tom
  Martel's Hammer
June 25, 2020 1:13 pm

<—This right here, could not agree more. Stop with the self flaggelation and self defeatism. Yeah you are likely to die but will you die as a man or a groveling cuck piece of shit. What have you done to prepare today? How have you fought today. Be the change you want to see. Harden up. So far today is a good day, benched this morning and it was a good session. Looking to up my PR. Transplanted some veggies. Gonna pick some fruit next. My chickens are on pasture. Get self sufficient. Talk to everyone look for common ground indicators then say hello. The commies are all over this shit and they are highly confident they are going to win. They can't fathom that there are people who will put them in the dirt if they move to harm others in their AO. So far they've been lucky as fuck but that time is ending. You former .mil out there who are shooter scooters you're on deck.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Tom
June 25, 2020 8:04 pm

If I dig a hole, it is to plant something. I thought we would just leave them out for the buzzards to feed on.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Tom
June 25, 2020 8:07 pm

Cut slash and run , surgical strikes . Works every time !

Panzerlied
Panzerlied
  Martel's Hammer
June 25, 2020 6:23 pm

Shit- I know we’re all emotional right now, but we got this guy Not Sure who is so smart, he’s going to fix all of our problems………………………………….

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  Martel's Hammer
June 25, 2020 10:20 pm

You know.

Get out of the cities.

Feed yourself.

Learn or master skills.

Build communities with like minded.

Prepare for the inevitable.

Listen to your conscience.

Set a good example.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 10:26 am

you seem to have missed the fact the the military now wears high heels, and are fully on board with having homos in the trenches, on the back 9, and below deck.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 3:06 pm

Here is a solution..

A Thousand Points of White: One Strategy for Achieving White Nationalism

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
  Fleabaggs
June 25, 2020 10:02 pm

Flea,

Very interesting. How does that guy stay employed at a major uni?

It’s this type of idea that spurred me to ask where you are located a few days ago.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Glock-N-Load
June 25, 2020 11:07 pm

Glock.
Maybe he teaches in another field and does this on the side. Not sure. I just thought I would throw out a plausable solution to see if there were any takers. Myself, I don’t see anything short of a falangist type replacement at this point in time being able to launch a counter attack that would kill Zionism/Communism here. Here is a group with a plan. It doesn’t mean it has to be copied to the letter. It’s another template that can be used. I’m always leery of tipping my hand here but I have helped do something like this from Canada to Mexico in small groups. 3 to 5 man cells, each member then starts another unknown to the others but connected in mind and deed. No moderates whatsoever and no current government employees.
https://www.henrymakow.com/2020/06/italians-form-new-nationalist-movement.html
Moderates are everyones enemy. Read what the Commies thought about them. They are what the commies sent to infiltrate the enemy.

Hollow man
Hollow man
June 25, 2020 8:51 am

So…… We can’t even defeat a few communist inside our own country what do we think we are going to do with billion or so communist. We could give trillions of so to be worthless dollars.

kc
kc
June 25, 2020 10:11 am

Start by invading the country of CHAZ, LOL classic

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  kc
June 25, 2020 12:34 pm

Nobody worth raping in there.

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 25, 2020 10:36 am

This is nothing but propaganda.
China is 100% involved in the globohomo agenda, they are the testing ground for silicon valley surveillance grid, soon to be rolled out in the US.

Eu is also 100% involved in the globohomo agenda, they are the testing ground for a border-less economic zone using a common currency, the blue print for a global currency

the ships are there, just to burn some diesel, put some hours on the clock.

nothing will change, eventually, a fully global 5G satellite system will be in place, thanks to guys like Elon Musk, at which point they will begin implementing their beast system onto world.

you will not be allowed to leave your house, until your credit score is improved, by removing all those nasty comments you put on your twatter act.

If you are caught roaming the streets without your .gov approved electronic dog leash, you will be arrested, and have a negative social credit score, which you will have to work on, while you are breaking rocks all day, to help destroy what is left of Mt Rushmore, a raycist display of white privledge.

Tom
Tom
  Anonymous
June 25, 2020 1:15 pm

Nah some of us will go hunting instead.

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
June 25, 2020 11:02 am

Nobody is stumbling towards war. They are trying desperately to PROVOKE IT. That has been the M.O. of the US government since the early 1900s.

Fedup
Fedup
  MrLiberty
June 25, 2020 4:35 pm

They are trying desperately to PROVOKE IT.

The Europeans are like Ralphie.

Yahsure
Yahsure
June 25, 2020 12:46 pm

I predict a nice diversion will be coming soon.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
June 25, 2020 10:11 pm

Globalist theater is the best.

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