Real Covid numbers from Australia’s largest state

Guest Post by Alex Berenson

76 percent of deaths since mid January are in the vaccinated. Deaths in the boosted are soaring.

Every day, the Australian state of New South Wales reports Covid deaths by age – and vaccination status.

Unlike American figures, these do not depend on inaccurate hospital reporting of vaccination status. They are not manipulated or “age-adjusted.”

They are as close to real time data as exists anywhere in the world. New South Wales even reports whether people under 65 had serious health conditions.

Overall coronavirus deaths have accelerated dramatically in New South Wales in the last month, as the Omicron variant speads. (The state has about 8.2 million people, so 40 deaths a day there is equivalent to 1,600 in the United States.)

 

So who is dying?

In the last 15 days, 417 of the 552 people who died of Covid in New South Wales were vaccinated, compared to 135 who were unvaccinated.

Sixty of the vaccinated people who died had received a booster shot. Those deaths skew markedly to the last few days. Forty-nine of the 60 boosted people died in the last week – including the most recent, a man in his thirties who had no preexisting conditions. (CORRECTION: HE WAS NOT BOOSTED, HE HAD RECEIVED TWO SHOTS – AS THE SCREENSHOT CLEARLY STATES. MY ERROR – I WAS THINKING ABOUT THE LACK OF PREEXISTING CONDITIONS.)

SOURCE

The adult population in New South Wales is roughly 95 percent vaccinated, including about 40 percent boosted. So the “adjusted rate ratios” the Centers for Disease Control and media bluechecks love to present instead of actual numbers probably still show that the vaccinated have great protection.

But NSW also recently provided strong evidence that many of the unvaccinated elderly people who died were too sick to be vaccinated. On Jan. 28, it reported a batch of 35 deaths that had occurred earlier in January from nursing homes.

Nursing home residents are generally the frailest of the elderly – a 2010 study in the Journal of the American Geriatrics Society found that 65 percent of residents died within a year of entering the home.

SOURCE:

Thus, for the last year, they have been vaccinated as a matter of course.

Yet New South Wales reported that 14 of the 35 nursing home residents who died – 40 percent – had NOT been vaccinated. The only conceivable explanation for the fact that so many unvaccinated residents are among the dead is that most were too sick to be vaccinated.

When it comes to Covid deaths and vaccines, the adjusted ratios – especially from the United States – are effectively meaningless. The raw numbers are what matter.

Which is why the public health authorities and elite media go out of their way to hide them.

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15 Comments
daddy Joe
daddy Joe
February 7, 2022 6:45 pm

Thank you. News, but no surprises here. It has just been a matter of time before this kind of info can’t be denied or swept under some media rug. More of this to come.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
February 7, 2022 6:49 pm

Fake news.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  hardscrabble farmer
February 7, 2022 7:03 pm

LOL

Melty
Melty
February 7, 2022 8:08 pm

These articles are very deceptive. I glance and at the data and have no idea as to what exactly is the point? This is the fodder that is used on either side as to the storyline. If 95% are shit shotted, and 24% of the deaths are among the not shit shotted, then I see the spin that you are 76% less likely to die if you take the shit shot. Even if you take the number of high risk out of the equation, it doesn’t come to a 95/5 spilt or event close. More like 18%. So the claim now is adjusted to 58%. You are 58% less likely to die from the bug still gets people ready to sign up.

I’m not too fond of these articles. I am a shit house engineer and math/chemistry type by education.

I thought the real premise was that it was/is a miracle.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Melty
February 7, 2022 8:38 pm

24% from the 3% unvaxxed, vs 76% for the 97% vaxxed. That means that the vaxxed are far, far less likely to die – like ten or 15 times less likely.

Melty
Melty
  Anonymous
February 7, 2022 9:01 pm

Nope. 1,5x less likely. give or take. I don’t see a factor of 1000%

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Melty
February 7, 2022 10:02 pm

Because you are a moron. 76/97 is approx. .75. 24/3 is 8. 8 divided by .75 is 10.66. So the vaxxed are 10.66 times more likely to die. Based on the figures found in the article.

The unvaxxed are far over-represented in the figures – 8 times higher than straight odds would indicate. While the vaxxed are under-represented by 25%.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 7, 2022 11:10 pm

As the article mentions, most elderly unvaxxed are such because they have serious health conditions that prevent them getting vaxxed. So it is difficult to come to any conclusions based just on numbers.

Also, Alex is wrong about the data quality (tbh I find Alex’s reporting on covid data to be pretty ordinary, he’s definitely not a numbers guy and often makes unsupported assertions). The Health Minister has admitted that half of the people hospitalised went to hospital for something not covid, and then subsequently tested positive. So the hospitalisation and death numbers are polluted, as a positive case that dies regardless of the cause is counted as a covid death.

The data we need to look at is all-cause mortality and excess mortality, as that will tell the story. Unfortunately that data lags, but the signs from corporate reporting don’t look good in terms of increased mortality that correlates with known vaccine side-effects.

Anonymous
Anonymous
February 7, 2022 8:34 pm

Unvaxxed are 15 times more likely to die in Australia than the vaxxed. Yes, more vaxxed die. But 97% of the NSW population is vaxxed. The death rate of the unvaxxed is 1.5%, while for the vaxxed it is 0.1%. You can work a lot of that out from the figures in the article above. Yes, vaxxed die, but at a significantly reduced rate. And of course, most of the vaxxed that are dying are in nursing homes, whereas the unvaxxed are more widely spread in the general population.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 7, 2022 11:11 pm

“And of course, most of the vaxxed that are dying are in nursing homes, whereas the unvaxxed are more widely spread in the general population.” evidence for that assertion?

bob in apopka
bob in apopka
  Anonymous
February 8, 2022 2:01 am

I didn’t do the math but you seem at a glance to be correct about the rates of death due to covid, however there is still the not so small matter of vaccine injuries piling up bodies on the vaccine side of the ledger. Making your point moot.

flash
flash
February 7, 2022 8:57 pm

Back biting Berenson piles on Rogan cuz’ racisss..

https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/on-joe-rogan/comments

Two if by sea.
Two if by sea.
February 7, 2022 10:39 pm

This also begs the question, why are people, even the elderly, dying of omicron( or whatever)?
Is ivermectin still outlawed or frowned upon there?

very old white guy
very old white guy
February 8, 2022 6:15 am

Too much BS from too many people. The only numbers that count are the raw numbers. How many vaxxed died and how many unvaxxed die OF “covid”. Not with, of or from, directly.

Stucky
Stucky
February 8, 2022 11:41 am

Llpoh is in a Aussie Covid Internment Camp, and is suffering greatly. Please pray for him.