Reality – Or Starvation?

Guest Post by Karl Denninger

Let’s cut the crap.

NHTSA has put forward an impossible fuel economy standard.

The “new/old rules” require 49mpg across the entire fleet of vehicles sold by a maker by 2026, and are thermodynamically impossible with internal combustion engines if you sell anything larger than a subcompact and that is barely achievable with a hybrid, two or three-cylinder engine.

Hybrids, I remind you, have consumable battery packs which are expensive to replace and more expensive to buy in the first place.

It is not possible to obtain 49mpg in a light (e.g. 1/2 ton) truck; aerodynamics prohibit it.

This means the only possible way to achieve that “fleet” number is to actually sell a very large number of EVs which are rated at roughly double that number in order to raise the corporate averages.

It cannot be done otherwise; thermodynamics are not the 10 suggestions.

EVs, however, are not green.  A half million pounds of earth has to be dug up for just one battery pack which must be moved for processing in huge (diesel-powered) trucks, crushed and then wildly-toxic chemicals used to extract the ores — specifically lithium, cobalt, nickel, copper and others.  None of this occurs with a traditional vehicle.  The packs are not economically recyclable and requiring them to be will wildly escalate their costs further.  Charging said vehicle is approximately equal to running your electric clothes dryer all night long, and the cost of power when you’re not at home is roughly double to triple when you use a “supercharger” or similar; this makes the cost on a per-mile basis higher than that of a gas car in many cases.

We do not have the electrical capacity nor is there any way to generate it using so-called “green” methods to charge these vehicles if a material percentage of the fleet converts.  Without power you own a $50,000 brick and being “out” means not going anywhere.  What’s worse is that the existing fueling stations are used by a vehicle for about 5 minutes; conservatively it requires 30 minutes to get usable range from an EV, so contemplate where you’re going to get six times the land you have for each fuel station nowplus you will need to place them twice as close together as the average EV range is half or less that of a gasoline vehicle.

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14 Comments
The Duke of New York
The Duke of New York
April 15, 2022 10:14 pm

Media and government con people on the idea that if they just buy an electric care, they will have done all they can to save the planet, …no mention ever of the waste and pollution that goes into making that car and the power for it every day, or the fact that our aging electrical grid could never sustain that many electric vehicles, no mention ever of diminishing water supplies, over fishing, over logging, inefficient and toxic agriculture, plastics everywhere, nuclear waste dumping, nope, none of that is important, just buy a Tesla and you can smugly say you’ve saved the Earth, ….la di da

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  The Duke of New York
April 16, 2022 9:21 am

With Elon’s effort to open up Twit to the truth, Tesla’s are now on the verboten list.

Coalclinker
Coalclinker
  TN Patriot
April 17, 2022 8:42 am

All of those people are crooked. The whole Tesla “thing” is just an account for government “subsidies”; i.e., a publically funded slush fund set up as a piggy bank for some subdivision of The Cabal. Mr. Musk is merely a player for one faction working against the other

Svarga Loka
Svarga Loka
April 16, 2022 2:50 am

They should make a body mass index of 20 be the next standard. Compliance won´t happen either, but we can all feel a little worse.

Steve
Steve
April 16, 2022 6:32 am

They know EVs won’t work. They were never supposed to work, and to replace the billion+ ICE cars in existence. The aim of the psychopaths was always to stop the peasants moving around. They want us stuck in one place or using smelly, inefficient mass transit to go to our McJobs or collect our UBI.

Anonymous
Anonymous
April 16, 2022 8:40 am

Carl lives in a perpetual state of butt hurt, lmao.

Keep it up!

NtroP
NtroP
  Anonymous
April 16, 2022 11:24 am

Karl also believes that Global Warming is a scam and a hoax.
Would you care to enlighten us about that too, while you have your head up your ass?

bug
bug
  Anonymous
April 16, 2022 5:54 pm

He is pretty angry all the time.

He should name his site “GET OFF MY LAWN!” instead of Market Ticker.

pyrrhuis
pyrrhuis
April 16, 2022 8:59 am

I’ve been pointing out for a decade that electric vehicles are the opposite of environmental, and consume far more energy than internal combustion engines, but people are so poorly educated in basic science that they buy into this fairy tale…

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  pyrrhuis
April 16, 2022 9:24 am

The same thing could be said about ethanol. It takes more energy to produce and produces less energy than regular gasoline, but it does buy the votes of corn farmers in Iowa, the home of the first presidential selection farce.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  TN Patriot
April 16, 2022 10:55 am

It takes more energy to produce and produces less energy than regular gasoline

Oh, you aint seen nuthin yet:

President Joe Biden said:
“I’ve spoken with the leading heads of all major airlines. It’s going to require billions of gallons of sustainable aviation fuel. And you simply can’t get to net zero by 2050 without biofuels.

“Aviation isn’t a case where you blend in a little bit of biofuel. It’s where it’s called ‘drop in’ – meaning 100% biofuel.

President Biden supports SAF

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Anonymous
April 16, 2022 4:01 pm

Using the word “drop” and aviation fuel does not give me a warm fuzzy feeling.

Mel
Mel
  pyrrhuis
April 16, 2022 12:25 pm

Ditto Wind Turbines. They take an incredible amount of energy to produce (mining, manufacturing, etc.), and they rarely produce enough energy over their lifespan to break even. Additionally, after they’re decommissioned, most of the materials cannot be recycled…so they just bury them.

Go Green!

General
General
April 16, 2022 1:13 pm

There are some factually incorrect statements in the article. I own a Tesla for the past five years. While it is correct that they are not cheap (I paid 60k for mine), 99% of the time, I charge the car at home. It doesn’t cost me very much to charge. It won’t require six times as many gas/charging stations, since almost always people will end up charging at home. The only real time charging outside the house is required is on trips.