Guest Post by Eric Peters
The federal regulatory apparat – which has become an unelected legislature – has just decreed that there will be no new trucks by less than a decade from now.
“Decreed” in italics because that is precisely what has just happened.
No law was passed, but last week, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (note the blasé bureaucratic terminology; it is just an “administration,” ands yet it does a great deal more than merely administering) decreed that by 2032, new vehicles must average at least 58 miles-per-gallon.
As of today, there isn’t single new car available that can comply with this decree. “Comply” in italics to mark the outrageousness of the “administration” of such decrees, which no one in this “democracy” of ours ever had a chance to vote for – or against.
The only car that comes close to being able to “comply” is the Toyota Prius, a small hybrid – and even it doesn’t quite get there.
It averages 57 MPG.
How will trucks “comply” with a federal decree that requires them to average 58 MPG? The answer is – they won’t. Because they can’t. It is a functional impossibility. In order to be a truck, it must be capable of doing work – such as carrying and pulling heavy things. This makes trucks heavier – by a lot – than a small car such as the Prius. As an example, the Ford F-150 (not the electric version) has a curb weight of 4,465 lbs., notwithstanding that its body is made of aluminum. It has a steel frame – onto which the aluminum body is bolted. This is how trucks are laid out because it is the best layout for the type of work people expect trucks be able to do without breaking.
A small car like the Prius has an integrated body and frame – this is called a unibody – and it helps reduce weight; even so, the 2023 Prius still weighs 3,097 lbs. And it is a near-miracle that something that heavy manages to almost “comply” with the federal regulatory apparat’s decree.
But it required a hybrid drivetrain – in a small car – to get it almost there.
It will require a battery-powered drivetrain to get there in a truck. Or – for that matter – anything else that isn’t a small car.
And that is the purpose of this decree. It is not to outlaw the manufacture of new trucks, per se. It is to assure that only electric vehicles will be manufactured. They do “comply” – via the legerdemain of what is styled “MPGe” – or miles-per-gallon equivalent.
In italics to emphasis the fact that it isn’t.
The battery-powered version of the F-150 – the F-150 Lightning – carries a “68 MPGe3” rating – which makes it sound very “efficient” indeed. It makes it sound as if it is three times more “efficient” than its non-electric sibling, which averages “only” 21 MPG (sans the “e”).
But the “68 MPGe” Lightning can only travel 240 miles on a full “tank” – that is to say, a fully charged battery. The non-electric F-150 can travel more than 600 miles on a full tank. In order for the Lighting to be that “efficient,” it would need to be able to carry three times as much electricity as its current 1,800 pound battery pack can store, which would probably entail a three or four thousand pound battery. That would increase the curb weight of this already three-tom half-ton truck to more than 7,000 pounds, probably – which isn’t very “efficient,” especially when you take into account the “e” – the energy that it takes to make even an 1,800 lb. battery pack.
MPGe also does not take into account losses of “e” in transmission – as from the place where the “e” is generated to the place where it is used to power things. These losses-in-transmission can be in the double digits – but they are not factored into the “MPGe” equation. Power generation inefficiencies are also not factored into the equation.
All of this is not the result of stupidity but rather, dishonesty. Just the same as it wasn’t because they were stupid that the “experts” kept telling people that Face Diaper wearing and closing down small businesses (but not big box retailers) would ward-off a respiratory virus.
The purpose of the lying is to trick people into accepting.
In this case, the forcing of trucks and pretty much everything else that isn’t battery powered off the market – and by a lot sooner than 2032, by the way.
The auto industry responds to decrees much sooner than that – because it has been put on notice as regards what it will have to comply with just a few years hence. 2032 is only nine years away and that is not much time to make enough money selling new vehicles that won’t be “compliant” within a few years from now to recover what it costs to design them right now – or next year, etc.
It is why Dodge will stop making the Charger and Challenger after the end of this year – in favor of a “compliant” battery-powered device next year.
No manufacture will invest money in anything new they won’t be allowed to sell in a few years from now.
That means no new engine designs. Or at least, very few. Especially as regards V8s, which is what powers most current trucks. Some will probably continue to be available – in very low numbers, at very high cost (due to their not being “compliant.”). The fines levied by the government will see to that. But the very affluent will still be able to afford them, as the are able to afford Porsches and Ferraris.
The rest will be battery-powered devices.
They won’t be affordable, either – because 1,00-plus pound batteries aren’t inexpensive and neither will be the electricity they store.
But they will be “compliant” – and that will have achieved the objective.
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I do not understand how these elites are not just removed from the planet… Problem solved…
I don’t know why the auto manufactures don’t tell them
to go pound sand. There is NOTHING the bureaucrats
could do about it. Just say, “Nope. Fuck off. Go fetch up
a law from the house and then have the senate ratify it
and then have the president sign it. Until then, fuck off.”
Because the DC swamp bailed them our with our $ and will do so again whenever things get a little shaky.
Automakers know their primary benefactor going forward is the government and not customers.
It would only take one to bring that house of cards down.
If they told the bureaucrats to “pound sand” their ESG and DEI scores would suffer…no financing for you!
I’m definitely NOT disagreeing with your position but those are the realities before them.
Maybe Cuba is the automotive model? They are still running cars from the 50s. Or, wood gasification fuel as used during WW2?
Because it is not the elites, but rather it us, the proles, who are the problem. The elites all happen to agree on what needs to happen to us.
You understand it just fine. It’s the same reason YOU are not out and about killing ne’re do wells right now.
We’re not solving the problem because we see the cost as “too high”.
That is not always going to be the case, and we get a little closer every day.
You walk into this room at your own risk, because it leads to the present, not a future that will be but one that has become, de facto. This is not a new world, it is simply an extension of what began in the old one. It has patterned itself after every dictator who has ever planted the ripping imprint of a boot on the face of every man since the beginning of time. With the refinements, the technology advances, and a more sophisticated approach to the destruction of human freedom. But like every one of the super-states that preceded it, it has one iron rule: logic is an enemy and truth is a menace.
The “Convicted” is only partly correct ,he was obsolete. But so is the State, the entity he worshiped. Any state, entity, or ideology becomes obsolete when it stockpiles the wrong weapons: when it captures territories ; when it enslaves millions, but convinces nobody. When it is naked, yet puts on armor and calls it faith, while in the Eyes of God it has no faith at all. Any state, any entity, any ideology that fails to recognize the worth, the dignity, the rights of Man…that state is obsolete. A case to be filed under “MMM” for Mankind-Murder-Menace. The Twilight Zone.
(I didn’t quote this material directly; e.g. I made substantive changes to the original script. “The Obsolete Man”)
that’s assuming there is a 2032
2032! My old beast , 9 x3000 MPY average = 27,000 miles + 289k existing. Granted gasoline is still available and no major engine problems it could make that 2032 mark at least.
Meanwhile surely this means gasoline Pus will go up in price like almost today so now is the time to buy although I cannot afford one, at least the cost is not worth it to me. What to do? What to do? In rural areas PUs are almost a necessity. Perhaps a used one but then one could pay much for those too.
All this will be reversed of course after the next Selection.
Looks like everyone coming up with this shit failed basic thermodynamics and physics, in general.
Clown world is growing larger every day and it is fucken hilarious.
ZFG, out.
P.S. better familiar yourselves with ballistic coefficients and sectional densities in case you have not already done so.
My ’62 ‘cuda “identifies” as a 70 mpg fuel efficient vehicle.
It’s pronouns are “get/bent”
Joe Biden is a traitor.
In a parade of traitors from both parasite parties.
I just want to take a shit on his grave when he’s gone.
Biden is a button. Buttons are installed to be pushed.
Surplus deuce and a half trucks are getting more attractive especially the bobbed versions. Many are the multi fuel engines which prefer diesel but will burn gas, avgas, jp4, used oils, transmission fluids hell most anything that burns . Older mechanical diesels are great too. Yes it is time to plan these tyrants futures for them. They are destroying our way of life.
I would not try to burn gas or av gas in a compression engine.
That’s in an emergency only and they call for adding x amounts of quarts of oil per x gallons of gas. I did read the specs. Amazing isn’t it?
Even the little ford Rangers don’t get close…
Should be an entry for Friday Fail.
FJB. Let’s go Brandon. Just say/do Nooooo.
Right.
NOT MY PROBLEM!
Everything arrives at the store by truck.
Tell it to Yellow Freight.
Biden will just outlaw stores next. That will take care of that problem, and your next meal too.
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Nothing I can do but laugh at the entirety of their idiocy. And of course to try and motivate, read force, people into a vehicle that won’t move because the power grid will crash trying to be all things for all people, we’d be either walking or riding bikes everywhere, which is where the utopia of 15-minute cities come into play. Funny how these things never manifest; because they can’t and because lobbyists.
see, you keep thinking theyre doing it because theyre stupid. theyre doing it because they KNOW the damage it will cause and they KNOW that most people will simply go along with it as long as the increments are small enough and the change is a few years down the line.. then when the time comes they say ‘see this was decided years ago, nothing can be done about it now, so sorry!’ and in their mind we can fuck right off.
their stupidity comes in at a totally different point in the process – they think they will still be able to rule a techno-totalitarian gulag state without an industrial economy in the first world. They think that with disparate facilities scattered across various third world shitholes that they will be able to coordinate enough equipment and infrastructure and consumables to keep their high tech surveillance and control grid operating. They think that anything electronic or computerized is simply magic and works perfectly. They have zero regard for the armies of moderately paid , overwhelmingly white males, who keep all their shit running. They demonstrate for years that they think the world is a video game and the gritty details dont matter.
~speaking of outlaws,
somebody did a good compilation for this one…
Trucks deliver every consumer product in every store across the nation. Whether it be a tractor with a 53′ trailer or a HotShot gooseneck flatbed. We deliver all commodities.
For now …
This is all just more of the game of “what’s your line”. The degenerates have learned that they can keep pushing and nobody in ‘regular America’ is going to do shit. So they are going to keep pushing the line to see how far it goes.
It’s times like this I admire the Muslims. At least they are willing to fight for what they believe in. We, in the West, believe in nothing outside financial prosperity.
I’m part of the problem. I see the enemy everyday. I hesitate.
I feel the same.
And just how do they think food is going to get to them if not by truck?
Train
How the Inconvenient Tonga Volcano Eruption Is Warming the Planet
When the colossal Hunga-Tonga Hunga Ha’apai Volcano erupted, it spewed a massive amount of water vapor into the upper atmosphere.
Even NASA admits that the big eruption at Tonga emitted a huge amount of water vapor into the atmosphere that “could end up temporarily warming the Earth’s surface.”
https://thenewamerican.com/how-the-inconvenient-tonga-volcano-eruption-is-warming-the-planet/?mc_cid=c4f94a4787&mc_eid=ca847857bd
The people who make this 58 mpg rule have a very clear idea of how much gasoline will be available in 20 years. The half life of a truck sold in 2032. Just lay the 3% a year oil field depletion rate on the existing oil fields. 60% of the current supply. Unless you want all your money to go to iran, iraq, saudia arabia and russia. The only known large reserves. Iran plus iraq could double from 6 million barrels a day to 12 million. Is that where you want your money to go?
you didnt see the part where they will simply be exempt from any of these rules. theyre specifically to shut down the little people’s economy because we’re still too well off and too capable of feeding ourselves. their goal is destruction, though they also think they will rule over the remains, which is where they are mistaken. As their destruction sets in more and more, enterprising emergent warlords, pirates, gangsters, including their own enforcers, will figure out that theyre really the ones in charge , and will end up eating the masters-of-the-universe for breakfast and declaring themselves bosses in their AOs. and in that sort of world nobody gives a shit about any rules set by any bureacrats anywhere, it’ll be strictly rule of direct and immediate force. tribal and local, and those warlords who figure out how to actually be a benefit to their region will end up founding kingdoms. those who just eat the last of the stored wealth and just rob and plunder the carcasse will die as the loot (and ammo) run out.
nobody will be manufacturing cars or trucks anywhere though, beyond the scale of bush mechanics.
Face facts we are sliding into a socialist shit hole thanks to the entire failed Biden Administration all while they all believe they are remarkably successful saving us former independent free citizens from ourselves !
We are going to Hell in a hand basket at great expense supporting idiots and parasites in government
Not to take anything away from “Biden’s” so called failures, but it has been a long march. Much longer than the last two and a half years.
Skill issue
I don’t think any of these more insane decrees become reality. They are always “10 years from now” precisely so they will be cancelled. It will probably be thrown out by the courts before the end of next year.