Submitted by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.com,
I’ve been saying this for a long time, and I’ll say it again here — in life there are only two kinds of people: those who know and those who don’t. Some might claim there is a third option: those who don’t want to know. In any case, if you want to be able to foresee geopolitical and social trends, you have to be one of the people who know.
Above all else, in order to know you must be willing to step outside of the confusion and theater of the circus and look at developments from above. If you are biased and retain too many sacred cows you will never understand how the world works. You will be too busy trying to reinforce your own fantasies to see anything else.
Beyond this, you must also understand that political and social developments are not random; they are either reactions to deliberate policies of special interests or they are driven by policies of special interests. Therefore, these developments are predictable and can be calculated (to a point).
I usually refer to these “special interests” as global elites, or globalists, because that is how they often refer to themselves. The point is, most of the events you see in the political world are engineered events designed to elicit a specific psychological response from you and the people around you. You are not a human being to these people; you are either an asset to be molded or an obstacle to be disposed of. This is how our world works. Period. And until we fully understand this and accept it, things will never change.
So, to be clear, if you understand the minds of globalists and understand what they want, you can understand the basic direction of the future.
It is this philosophy which has allowed me to consistently and accurately predict geopolitical and economic events that very few other people have been able to predict. For example, I correctly predicted the Federal Reserve taper of QE, I predicted the inclusion of China in the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights years in advance, I predicted the exact timing of the first Fed rate hike, I predicted the success of the Brexit referendum when most of the world and the liberty movement said it was never going to happen, I predicted that the Saudi 9/11 bill would pass, that Barack Obama would veto it and that congress would override his veto, I predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the Democratic candidate and that Donald Trump would be the Republican candidate for president of the U.S. and, for the past five months, I have been predicting that Donald Trump would win the 2016 election.
People can either attribute these series of successful predictions to pure “luck,” or they can consider the possibility that I know what I am talking about. I’ll leave that to them.
The real issue, though, is not that my predictions were correct. What is more important is WHY they were correct. To begin with, I am often correct because it is a fact that globalists influence events. Globalists are human (at least partially); thus, they are predictable, making events predictable. If you can see from the perspective of a globalist, you will know what they want and what they are likely to do to get it.
In a world without globalists I would have a hard time successfully predicting anything.
I never make a cold prediction without a concrete rationale for why I hold that view. I always break down the reasons and evidence that bring sense to them. Some analysts might be content to simply flip a coin and make a call without explanation; I am not.
As far as the Trump election win is concerned, this is what I said in June of this year:
“In light of the Brexit I’m going to have to call it here and now and predict that the most likely scenario for elections will be a Trump presidency. Trump has consistently warned of a recession during his campaign and with the Brexit dragging markets lower over the next few months, he will probably be proven “prophetic.”
… Even if Trump is a legitimate anti-establishment conservative, his entry into the Oval Office will seal the deal on the economic collapse, and will serve the globalists well. The international banks need only pull the plug on any remaining life support to the existing market system and allow it to fully implode, all while blaming Trump and his conservative supporters.
The mainstream media has been consistently comparing Trump supporters to Brexit supporters, and Trump himself has hitched his political wagon to the Brexit. This fits perfectly with the globalist narrative that populists and conservatives are killing the global economy and placing everyone at risk.”
All of my predictions are rooted in a particular premise; that the global elites have been, since 2008 at least, deliberately setting the stage for an evolving international financial crisis greater than any other seen in modern history. This crisis is a means to an end. Globalists use one strategy above all others to achieve their goals — the Hegelian Dialectic; problem, reaction, solution.
As I have documented for years, the elites openly call for the ultimate eradication of national sovereignty and the formation of a single world economy, a single world currency and, eventually, a single world government. In order to make this omelet, they intend to break a few eggs (and collapse a few economies). By blaming “national sovereignty” (and the people that defend it) for this crisis, they hope to convince the masses that the only practical solution is total centralization. You can read my in-depth analysis and evidence of this in my article “The Economic End Game Explained.”
I also specifically predicted the Brexit and the Trump win based on another premise; that the elites are allowing conservative movements to take political power in certain regions, only to remove stimulus support from the global economy afterward. That is to say, I successfully predicted the Brexit and the Trump win because I understand and accept the reality that conservatives and liberty activists are not “winning;” we are being set up as scapegoats for a financial crash that the globalists already created.
Again, people can either say I am lucky, or that there is something to my position, but the fact of the matter is I have been right and I will probably continue to be right. This brings us to what will happen going into 2017.
The election of Donald Trump signals a sea change in not only global politics, but more importantly, global economic stability and social developments. As frenetic and insane as 2016 has been, 2017 will be drastically more chaotic. Some of these changes will be obvious, some of them will once again only be visible to a handful of people in the world. Lets start first with my happier predictions…
The Death Of The Mainstream Media
This is an easy one. The mainstream media, with its insane regressive-progressives and elitist bias, misrepresented the “Alt-Right,” the Trump campaign and anti-social justice movements during the entirety of the election process. Not only this, but through Wikileaks the leftist media was made naked as numerous journalists and outlets were exposed; colluding directly with the DNC and the Hillary campaign to first bushwhack Bernie Sanders and then rig debates and polling numbers to show Clinton in a farcically superior position to Trump.
The mainstream media is now seen by the majority of Americans on the left and right as a lumbering rotting propaganda corpse that needs to be decapitated before it spreads its disease to anyone else. I predict MSM outlet readership and viewership (with the exception of FOX News) will collapse even further than it already has and that many outlets will be forced to consolidate until they fade out of existence.
As I have said for years, the mainstream media is dead, they just don’t know it yet. Well, after this election, everyone knows. The alternative media will take the place of the mainstream media. We will be adopting their viewership and growing explosively over the next year while they shrivel.
They decided that their job was not to report the facts, but to manipulate public opinion. They are liars and a disgrace to true journalism. Good riddance.
That said, some people will argue that my position that the elites wanted a Trump presidency is not tenable exactly because the liberal media worked so hard to rig public opinion against Trump. I will explain in my next article why these people are missing the bigger picture.
The Crippling Of Social Justice Warriors
The SJW cult is not dead, but it has been crippled. It is now a drooling bedridden quadriplegic eating its meals through a straw; a malfunctioning shell of a movement destined to be put out of its misery.
When I think of social justice warriors I think of the Island of Misfit Toys; nobody wants these people. They are a detriment to everything they touch, including the Democratic party. It was the zealotry of SJWs that caused conservatives to rally in anger around Trump. It was they that awakened the sleeping giant.
One reason I was so certain Clinton had set herself up for a loss was her insistence that the Democrats openly adopt these hell spawn and their ideology. By embracing politically correct rhetoric and accusing all opposition of being “deplorable” racists, sexists and homophobes, Clinton doomed her campaign from the very beginning. Anyone with any sense could see the massive tide against SJWs growing on the internet. In fact, I propose that the globalists, using the advanced web analytics at their disposal, saw it even before the rest of us did.
SJWs are a tiny minority in American society. Their only strategy has been to use Alinsky tactics to make their movement appear much larger than it really is. Through mutual aid and elitist supporters in popular media, SJWs presented a fabricated consensus. They made it seem as though they were the majority view and, thus, the “superior” view.
One fantastic result of the 2016 election has been the realization by conservatives that they are not isolated on the fringes of society. In fact, in America at least, we are a considerable force to be reckoned with. There is an old story of a Roman Senator 2,000 years ago who suggested the idea of forcing slaves to wear armbands to make them easily identifiable. Another senator admonished the notion, stating “No, if they realize how many of them there really are, they may revolt.”
This is what Election 2016 did for conservatives — we have seen that millions of us have arm bands, and we are now in revolt.
I rarely comment on race issues because I don’t really see race as very relevant in most cases; but it has been the tactic of social justice cultists to constantly and brutally target straight white males as the monsters of history and therefore responsible for the ills and failures of every minority group from today to eternity. At this point I think it is safe to say that we will NO LONGER sit idly by as whipping boys for sad, deluded people clamoring for victim group status.
The End Of Mainstream Polling
I was also confident in my prediction of a Trump win based on my knowledge of inconsistencies in modern polling methods. The fact of the matter is, polling suffers from the same lack of objectivity that any other “science” can at times suffer from — the results will always be vulnerable to influence from the observer. If the observer wants a particular outcome for the numbers, they will consciously or unconsciously rig their method to produce the desired result.
I saw this happen time and time again during the Brexit polls leading up to the referendum, and, as I stated many times before the U.S. election, the campaign polls seemed to be behaving the same way. This is how you get media sources like Reuters claiming a 90 percent chance of a win by Hillary Clinton just before the election. When pollsters weight their polls with far more democrats than republicans and when they poll the same groups repeatedly they are not going to get varied or honest data.
In the end, polls become propaganda tools rather than litmus tests. The mainstream has tried desperately to explain why their polls were so utterly wrong, but it is too late for them. After the Brexit and the U.S. election, no one is going to trust these numbers again.
Liberty Groups Will Get Some Breathing Room (For A Little While)
The steady drum beat of government antagonism for “patriot groups” is probably going to subside for a short time. I happen to know that many militia groups and preparedness networks are breathing a heavy sigh of relief today after eight years of a hostile Obama presidency, the IRS sniping at liberty organizations and individual activists based purely on political zealotry, the DHS profiling liberty activists as terrorists and the SPLC frothing at the mouth like rabid animals looking to use their ties to the feds as a means to sink their teeth into any conservatives with the guts to refuse participation in the mainstream narrative.
With conservatives launching into 2017 with complete control of government and a Trump mandate, it would seem that liberty groups have “won the fight” and have nothing to worry about.
That said, don’t get too comfortable, folks, because now we are going to discuss my negative predictions going into next year…
The Final Stage Of Economic Collapse
Economic collapse is a process, not a singular event; stock markets play only a minor part in this process. Most Americans’ only relation to the economy is through the daily rise and fall of the Dow Jones. If they see the Dow in the green, they go on with their day. If they see the Dow in the red, they stop and question what is happening. The election of Donald Trump has surprised many with a sudden rise, rather than fall, in stock markets. But, as I told my readers before the election, it would be wise to wait a couple of weeks before trying to analyze these markets because that is how long it will take just to absorb the election results.
I predict first that central banks around the globe will further cut stimulus measures and that the Fed is now guaranteed to raise interest rates, probably in December before Trump even enters the White House. I also believe that the process of initiating a market crisis will take approximately six months to become widely visible to the public. As a consequence of the Fed pulling the plug on markets, I predict Trump and the Fed will enter into open hostilities against each other, which will erode international faith in the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency.
By extension, Trump’s presence in the White House will exacerbate already-existing tensions with Saudi Arabia. The Saudi 9/11 bill is just the beginning. As a result, I believe Saudi Arabia will dump the U.S. dollar as the petro-currency, influencing numerous other OPEC nations to do the same. I believe this will happen by early 2018.
In my view, for now, oil prices will be the best indicator for where stocks are headed in the next few months.
This is not something many Trump supporters want to hear. The response in the liberty movement to my prediction that the elites would allow Trump into office was rather predictable as well. In my article ‘Why The U.S. Election Has The Entire World Confused’ I stated:
“I have not taken this position just to be contrary. If I think about it honestly, my position is truly a losing position. If I am mistaken and Clinton wins on the 8th then I’ll probably never hear the end of it, but that’s a risk that has to be taken, because what I see here is a move on the chess board that others are not considering. If I’m wrong, then I’m wrong.
That said, if I am right, then I still lose, because Trump supporters and half the liberty movement will be so enraptured that they will probably ignore the greater issue — that Trump is the candidate the elites wanted all along.”
This seems to be the reaction from about half the liberty movement so far; a general blind faith and bias, clinging to the idea that the election (just like the Brexit) was a victory, and that conservatives had just won the culture war and defeated the globalists. It’s funny how it wasn’t much of a controversy when everyone thought I was wrong about Trump winning in the first place.
There are two primary arguments that come up with these people. First, that my view on the influence of the elites is “unrealistic” and that the elites would have to be “omnipotent” in order to succeed in directing the outcome of these events so effectively. I will address this argument in detail in my next article on the Trump presidency and what the consequences will be for us all if Trump turns out not to be a constitutionalist.
The second argument they present is that the elites “will never succeed” in blaming Trump and conservatives for an economic crisis that was decades in the making. To the people that embrace this argument I say — I understand mass psychology far better than you do.
The reality is, half of America is ALREADY primed to blame Trump for everything that happens over the next four years (if we even make it that long). Possession is nine-tenths of the law in the minds of many. Beyond that, every meme in the global media and on the left is promoting the idea that Trump is an apocalypse in the making. Even Germany’s ‘Der Spiegal’ published its after-election magazine with a cover depicting Trump’s head as a giant comet hurtling towards the Earth. Don’t tell me that Trump cannot be blamed for an economic crisis. Only a complete idiot would suggest that he is anything other than the perfect scapegoat.
At bottom, it does not matter whether people believe the above predictions or not. I have hundreds of emails from readers who called me a “tinfoil hatter” in the past and are now apologizing. So, if you plan to react in a knee-jerk fashion to the notion that Trump and conservatives are being set up by the elites for a final financial flagellation, be sure to write two letters — one for today saying I’ve lost touch, and the other for tomorrow when you find out I was right once again.
Brandon Smith is expressing my sentiments exactly. The globalist have many tricks in their playbook. Anyone with half a brain knows that world wide debt is not sustainable. The breaking of the eggs will begin next year if not sooner. I don’t know what kind of omelette will be made but I’m sure it won’t be a western!
That’s an interesting analysis that makes sense.
Trump wins.
Globalists collapse the US & World Economy
Blame Trump
Institute world hegemony.
>Profit
Seems to make sense. I wonder if it will play out that way??
The global economy isn’t going to need to have anyone collapse it, it is going to collapse from its own inherent defects no matter who or what tries to prevent it.
Placing blame for the collapse will be used by all sorts of political agenda’s from all sides to justify and further their causes, the majority of people are going to align themselves with one of these causes no matter the truth of a defective economic system being what is truly at fault.
There is nothing that can be done to prevent this, at least not for the vast majority of the world’s people.
Uses ‘I’ 73 times and ‘my’ ten more. He could be an obongo speechwriter. He’s dumb enough and pompous enough.
++++ for star, Again !!!
“…the globalist narrative that populists and conservatives are killing the global economy and placing everyone at risk.”
All of my predictions are rooted in a particular premise; that the global elites have been, since 2008 at least, deliberately setting the stage for an evolving international financial crisis greater than any other seen in modern history. This crisis is a means to an end. Globalists use one strategy above all others to achieve their goals — the Hegelian Dialectic; problem, reaction, solution.”
There is HUGUUUGE problem with this scenario.
1) Trump and the populist/nationalists only stepped onto the scene recently. Everything that is leading to an economic collapse has been in place for a long time. Only the dimmest bulbs will believe the “Trump wrecked it in a couple of weeks because he doesn’t like muslims” narrative.
2) If economic collapse is the key to installing a new global order, why didn’t they do it when they had everything in their control politically over the last 8 years?
2) Trump will still be in charge of things in what remains the world leading super power including the military, the security apparatus, the economic markets, etc. If a full scale color revolution/economic collapse is deliberately triggered by these people, do you imagine he will sit on his hands in the corner and whimper? I don’t think so. There are people behind these kinds of deliberate events and they put on their pants just like everyone else. Target them and their families and their wealth like Osama or Saddam and suddenly their plans for problem-reaction-solution will seem quaint.
3) A friend who was absolutely CONVINCED the Clinton was going to win, as well as all the bad things said about Trump being facts asked me yesterday what I would say to all these frightened people who were worried he would pull a Hitler 2.0. I told him the same thing I tell everyone else who asks- “You have been wrong about everything else.” These people have one thing in common if nothing else- full of fail. Failure in your opponent provides win for your side. This is ours to lose at this point.
4) The whole system is a fraud, why would any sane person seek to perpetuate it? Find the right way to communicate that message and you can turn things around in an honest and meaningful way. Create a sane, logical, rational and honest system and see how that flies.
The real doom and gloom is in losing something valuable and worthwhile. We’ve almost lost that completely. Pretending what we’ve had and what we’ve been doing is the wave of the future and the only direction we can go is a farce. Globalism is a relic of greedy, parasitic, deceitful and evil people with no vision, hollow souls and black hearts. Their buildings are ugly, their programs meaningless, their art an abomination, their view of humanity degraded and they and all they represent need to go. If they want to be the ones to trigger it, more’s the better for painting a neon target on their effete asses.
We’ll see.
@HSF
1. The populists/nationalists may have only just stepped onto the scene but they have always been there. Not only that but they’ve lost their homes & jobs and their pride and intelligence has been insulted daily….for years. They’ve been primed to rise by the same people who created the fed in 1913. The financial collapse was engineered and put in motion that same year. It’s not hard to imagine that Trump *could* have been being groomed to be president at this time. Like Smith says, half the people already blame Trump for the coming end of civilization. There are many dems who went for Trump this time and these people are primed to pounce if Trump waffles. Commentors have been chastised here on TBP for over a week now for exactly that and he’s not even been sworn in. And then there are people like myself and Bea and plenty of others who never had faith in Trump (or any other) to begin with. It’s not hard at all to imagine Trump quickly becoming the scapegoat.
2. Trump and the populists/nationalists being the scapegoat for the greatest economic collapse in human history collapse will finish them off. Our owners are of the socialist/fascist/communist bent so Trump and his supporters will take a massive hit by presiding over the world economic collapse before being tossed in the waste bin of human history and the leftist scum ascends in the post Trump/populist/nationalist era on our way to central banker nirvana. (for the next 100 years or so anyway which is the average fiat currency life life expectancy)
2.1. I don’t think Trump or any other president in recent history has ever been truly in charge. I’d damn near bet my life on it. He won’t just sit in a corner and whimper but everything he does will be a failure in the eyes of the angry masses.
3. I don’t think Trump was/is ever intended to be Hitler 2.0. Trump is probably destined to be the poster child for just how bad things can/will be under a right wing govt. Hitler 2.0 is probably entering some elite, private high school right about now being groomed to to take power down the road to preside over the glory of the new, one world economy that replaces the one TRump is blamed for destroying.
4. You get no argument from me there. I’d gladly give my life to make that happen but our owners will not stand for it. You are right in that “this is ours to lose”. Any real and lasting change will have to come from the people, ALL OF US, rising up against the globalist scum. The best Trump can do is educate us the realities of the evil we ALL face.
I am with you Dear HSF.
Thank you for being so articulate!
To be nice, I’ll just say that I disagree with the premise that Trump was being set up in order to initiate an economic fail.
Too much was put on the Hillary train. She had everything in her favor, except critical thinking people that knew the political establishment (Dem’s and Rep’s) had thrown them and their progeny under the bus. This is evident for decades to support globalism and NWO run by the elite.
“She had everything in her favor, except critical thinking people that knew the political establishment (Dem’s and Rep’s) had thrown them and their progeny under the bus.”
Perhaps those “critical thinking people” were paid or otherwise compensated to sit this one out? If you think Hillary’s loss came down to that then it’s a pretty small pool of people to *convince* to take a powder is it not?
It’s been a long day and week……..I’m off to bed!
Short while ago, shortly after the election, or just before, on UNZ Review, Linh Dinh forcefully made much of the same points.
That Trump was the one the elites wanted in power. For reasons of completing their plans.
The future is not for us to see.
Any and all predictions of future events, are as if attempting to clearly see through a dirty window pane, in the fog, at night, who is entering the harbor a couple of miles away!
The very best that may be achieved, is a sense of future outcomes to present plans. The totality of all variables is just to immense, for any prediction to even approach 80% accuracy. As with predicting weather one day ahead approaches 80% accuracy, but thereafter rapidly diminishes until any prediction made is purely wishful thinking on the individuals part.
At this point in President-elect Trump’s chosen path and the one in which world events will send him on, is pure conjecture. Expending too much time and energy on prognosticating which prediction is the more valid, is about as constructive as contemplating one’s navel!
This guy seems to have missed the point that Trump winning signaled that America was jumping off the globalization bandwagon. Major themes in American social mood running counter to globalization include:
1) Less tolerance for illegal (and even legal) immigration (and demanding Mexico pay for a wall!)
2) Tariffs threatened on ‘currency manipulators’, trade violators and countries we don’t like
3) Repatriating tax money and manufacturing jobs to the US
4) A ‘US first’ approach in establishing new jobs
5) Shrinking the US military umbrella over Europe and Japan ( and demanding they pay for it!)
6) Backing away from trying to run the Middle East
7) Repudiation of the TPP and significant parts of NAFTA
8) Removing restrictions on US energy sources, production and distribution
It appears efforts at “Making America Great Again!” will include a healthy helping of an ‘America first’ posture, with a notable ‘globalization be damned’ attitude. Just try selling the globalization theme to the average Trump voter! They have become very adept at sniffing out the real sources of political, financial and social crisis, and believe for sure that “it ain’t us!” LOL
“This guy seems to have missed the point that Trump winning signaled that America was jumping off the globalization bandwagon.”
It could end up being a case of jumping out of the frying pan and into the fire.
US balance sheet can still accommodate few large, multi-year stimulus packages – so Trump administration may subvert coming recession with one of those. But in 10-15 years America will have completely exhausted finances, majority brown low-productivity workforce, splintered, dispirited society – and at that point all of its benign options will be foreclosed. It’s who comes after the Donald that will be staring into the depths of the abyss.
Collapse is coming but probably after Trump, even if he serves two terms.
Twice in oone day by two very different authors I have heard somehting said that Ihave been thinking about during this election, mostly what will happen if Trump loses.
And that premise is: the citizens in the Blue areas forsake the red areas and cut off food, energy etc from the libs who are voting things for themselves that are, in part, paid for and produced by the people in the red areas.
Towns in flyover country have lost their manufacturing, tax bases and middle class incomes….strangled by a government and crony capitalist corporations. They have been told by a corrupt, treasonous media that they are racist, selfish because they don’t want to pay more and more taxes. Well, with the election of Trump they have sent a big FU to The Dems, the libs, the media and the uniparty.
The flailing media and their coverage of the protests that are violent is probably the last shot at stopping freedom in our country. But, if they keep pushing , they may be sorry when the fly over country Red state America decides they’ve had enough and shrugs these leeches off of them like a fly off an elephant. The Patriots of America have had enough. Blue states may be lucky that Trump got elected
Brandon Smith is a fucking BAD ASS! PREACH IT BROTHER!
I agree with many points in the article including that the debt is not sustainable. However, I can’t quite wrap my head around why the elites would want to collapse the system, at least not yet. The elites are reaping fantastic rewards from the current system and the efforts being taken to sustain it. Why would they purposely collapse it and stop reaping those rewards? The system has not yet been bled dry. Once it is, then I can see that the collapse will come.
I just can’t fathom why the elites would leave money on the table.
Set up or not, makes no difference. Trump will become the Hoover of this 4 turning. There are no guarantees that this turning will have a positive outcome.