Predictions for 2018

Guest Post by Rob in Nova Scotia

The Stones at Callanish, Isle of Lewis, Scotland

“Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” –Nils Bohr

I was reading Admin’s breakdown of where he when wrong in his predictions for the year past and thought, hey maybe I can take one for the team and give it a try…
A while back on a trip to the Isle of Lewis in Scotland I happened upon a megalithic structure built 5000 years ago. There are varying theories about purpose. Many think that it was built to mark time, predict lunar eclipses, equinoxes and the solstice. It may be all those things and it may be none. All I know is that it is there.

So let’s get down to the nitty gritty of my predictions for 2018.

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Debt

  • What is a couple hundred billion between friends. Governments are broke everywhere, can’t balance the books, and solution is to write even moar cheques. But seeing as folks need a number here it is. 22.6 Trillion, though it hardly matters what the digits are on the roads of infinity.
  • The CPI is bullshit! I bought a hamburger at A&W during the Festivus season and it cost me 6 bucks without the drink and fries.. That number will be whatever the Fed Chairman/woman pulls out of their ass.
  • As for interest rates they are right now in a fight to the death with the long end of curve. They will rise 25 basis points and das ist alles. They should rise moar but if they did it would crush bond prices and the FED portfolio. Besides the Fed has found a better ways to mooch. These days they screw Granny out of interest on GIC’s.
  • Oil prices will be up and down like a whores drawers on Bourbon Street. But they will go up. Even with Saudi Arabia waterboarding Billionaires it still broke. They will to fix their holes in budget, eliminating competition one way or the other and thereby raising the price. Predicktion some flux and $65 dollars at end of year.
  • As for store closings, bankruptcy filings in the retail sector are sure to increase. How many? Does it even matter anymore. The Malls too are going to have another shitty year though analysts should know by now that it is in best interests of everyone to roll over their debt despite negative cash flow. In this world of Dire Straits the song being played anyways is Money for nuthin’ and the chicks are free.
  • Spending is going to go through the roof and personal debt into the stratosphere. And why the fuck not! When yer drunk ya might as well dance. Besides, it is two o’clock in the morning, the beer goggles are on, and there are no ugly girls! Even a pig will do..
  • Jobs are hypothetical. If you want one then the Government will think you have it.
  • The DOW is going to go up again this year. Around 10% but only because Trump and Wall Street now realize that they have no choice but see eye to eye. To anyone with clue about balance sheets it does not add up but these days reality and common sense have blinded by eyes that no longer see.

Civic Decay

  • Relations between the U.S. and Russia are going to deteriorate. With recent moves to provide the Ukes with more weapons it seems likely that moves are a foot. Count on some sort of provocation while World Cup is underway in Moscow.
  • Obama will continue to poke sticks in the eyes of Trump and his supporters by dispensing with tradition and involving himself in the fuckery of the election season.. Sure it will inflame but he is a one trick pony with an ego the size of Mt. Rushmore. In other news water is wet.
  • Trump will do everything in his power to investigate the Clinton foundation and still manage to not sent anyone to jail.
  • Well-funded (by Soros) domestic agitators, including BLM and various femi-nazi groups are going to continue with the violence, conflicts with Trump supporters, and police confrontations. The divide, already a chasm, is going to just get deeper. Expect another fat lesbian with a bad heart to stumble at a parade and be turned into a martyr.
  • The Mainstream media are going to double down on stupid. The blathering idiots will carry on shitting on white people and anyone productive. They have no choice.
  • Count on Trump to continue using twatter as a flamethrower with CNN and MSNBC taking it in the ass and singled out for special measures. Lemon and Cooper will be sure to approve.
  • There will be no beautiful wall. Though bits and ribbons will be cut in lead up to mid term elections. DACA will be passed in some form and the Muslim invasion will begin anew. Yojimbo will have mental health crisis of some sort once he fully realizes that Trump has sold his soul to the company store…
  • Obama is going to refuse to fade into the sunset. Mike and Barry realizing that their legacy is fading will break with tradition and, using their combined experience, go balls deep into this coming election season.
  • Through there will be some rumblings, ole Cankles Clinton will end the year free. Still signing books and lining up more targets for Bill to play with.
  • Not so for Debbie Wasserman Shultz. She is headed to crowbar motel thanks to a deal cut by Sessions with the Arwan Brothers.
  • Jullian Assange will be pardoned in March or April. Just in time the the next election silly season. Then count on many critters pleading the fifth at the inevitable congressional hearings.
  • The Fusion GPS story line will linger then fade. Those behind will slink off to which they came and John McCain will avoid jail by doing everyone a favour and take a dirt nap.

Global Disorder

  • There will be no war in Korea. Once Kim and Trump get done measuring their cocks they will get back to their desks and cigars.
  • Syria is in the demarcation phase with hostilities subsiding somewhat. It might lead to some reprieve in migrant crisis but it will the short lived. Reason being that Israel needs a shitshow somewhere to distract their locals from the realities they face. Same ole, same ole. Watch Lebanon!
  • Iran is going to teeter but it won’t break. The vast majority having seen the benefits of democracy in places like Libya, Egypt, Syria and Ukraine will say thanks but no thanks to your colour revolutions. And yeah you Yanks, colour is spelled right!
  • The U.S. dependency on Saudi oil will continue. Not because of the oil in the ground but the paper castles in the sky. Tempers will flare and prices for oil will rise. In the end the only ones getting screwed will be at the pumps.
  • Turkey should be in the Russian sphere of influence based on past U.S. meddling. But like the two timing whore that it is will continue playing both sides and hoping for the middle. Here’s hoping that country gets fucked from both ends..
  • Israel will pre-emptively take action either covertly or overtly to damage the Iranian nuclear program. Cause that is what they do and in other news the sun came up today.
  • As for relations between India and Pakistan expect more soldiers getting shot in border skirmishes though it won’t amount to much in the grand scheme. A few dead here and few bleeding there. Doesn’t make for any great mischief in a place where 1.5 billion people live.
  • As for the financial turmoil in India.. meh! They worship cows while people starve in the streets. They may be late to the party but they ain’t pikers to the game.
  • In Japan, that country has been wrote off as far as the smart people are concerned for years. They are going to continue to avoid catastrophe only because they are a homogeneous society that for the most part pull in the same direction. As for the population declines underway there nothing to see either. Yeah its going down but there are still more people living now then at the height of Imperial Japan. And back then they almost took over all of East Asia. Go long Japan..
  • China will rumble on. Why because it is China and folks in the West need their shit.
  • Things are going to cool off a bit with the potential military conflict between China and Japan/U.S. over the islands in the South China Sea. China will continue to build ’em and the US will continue to fly over them.
  • The EU will remain in tact though the edges will continue to fray.
  • Count on efforts by Globalists to bring a better democracy to Poland and Hungary.

Sports

  • There will be continued declines in ratings for NFL as the overpaid continue pissing off the fans that feed them..
  • Kapernick will work on his afro, practice “would you like fries with that” and still somehow not have a job.
  • The Cleveland Browns will still suck.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays will finish at bottom of American East.
  • Mikhal Sergachev will be rookie of the year… dammit nkit, it is Denis Savard all over.
  • and the Habs will finish out of playoffs… again.
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27 Comments
nkit
nkit
January 3, 2018 4:48 pm

Very nicely done, Rob. I can only pray that you are wrong about Cankles the Hog and correct about my Russian buddy. BTW, no SC prediction?

RiNS
RiNS
  nkit
January 3, 2018 8:34 pm

By SC predictions I presume you mean the court. So I’ll add one more..

No retirements so there will be no change.
Ginsburg won’t kick the bucket and will continue to fog mirrors for another year.
GOP wins both houses again this fall.

nkit
nkit
  RiNS
January 3, 2018 9:05 pm

No, I meant Lord Stanley..

RiNS
RiNS
  nkit
January 3, 2018 9:13 pm

too funny.

To be honest I haven’t been paying attention a whole lot. Kinda lost interest since the Habs shit the bed. Still if I had to pick right now I’d be going with the Bolts.

computer sez so…

https://boltsbythebay.com/2017/10/06/tampa-bay-lightning-ea-sports-predicts-win-stanley-cup/

and that model was done a couple months back before Sergachev started tearing it up.

nkit
nkit
  RiNS
January 3, 2018 10:09 pm

Your Blue Jay prediction is amiss too. Last place is already reserved for the Rays this year. Chalk it up now. We traded Longo ( bastards) and rumor is that Archer and/or Odorizzi, Major League save leader Alex Colome, Morrison, Dickerson, Miller and Ramos won’t see the Rays spring training camp. Owner (((Sternberg))) wants payroll at or below 50 million. What a joke. A complete rebuild. Going very cheap. Nobody will make more than 2 million it seems. He’s holding a gun to St. Pete’s head. And you and LGR are whining? We won’t have a team in a year or two.

He wants a new stadium that will cost no less than 600 million and bless his little heeb fucking heart, he’s willing to pony up 160 million if the taxpayers take the other 75% up the bunghole.. He’s not making any friends at home in St. Pete, and if Tampa doesn’t bite, well then you may get the Expos Deux.

RiNS
RiNS
  nkit
January 3, 2018 10:20 pm

I think the Rays are going to overachieve, still it is hard to believe that 50 million dollars gets so little these days in professional sport.. As for the Jays the team needs to be blown up. I’d love to see a team in Montreal again. It would make for excellent road trip.

The Strippers there are amazing…

LGR
LGR
  RiNS
January 3, 2018 10:45 pm

Nahhhh… nKit, that wasn’t whinin’… that was one fan lamenting the loss of good players and the demise of a once promising team telling another similar one to crack a beer and forget about the dream of returning to competitiveness anytime soon. If the Rays are in the same cellar bound way down or worse, grab a 12 pack of long necks and hoist one up in a toast to our collective angst.
Or, a Crown Royal and ginger ale will work. Single malt 12 year on the rocks?
The possibilities are endless.

nkit
nkit
  RiNS
January 3, 2018 11:23 pm

LGR,
Most major league teams’ AAA teams have 50 mil payrolls it seems. I’ve been grabbing cases of longnecks trying to tolerate our cheap ass owner’s shenanigans for years, and now they trade Longoria. If that is not raising the white flag for 2018, I don’t know what is. We’ve been dog dung for the last seven years (or more). One trip to the WS (2008) in our history. I suppose I shall expire before we return..that’s if we don’t move to Habville. BTW, Verlander’s wife is kind of cute…just a little bit. She’s probably doing Altuve….

nkit
nkit
  RiNS
January 3, 2018 11:31 pm

Unfortunately Robbie, just winning 60 games will be over-achieving. It is painful to accept that..

Anonymous
Anonymous
  RiNS
January 4, 2018 10:07 am

Are you sure Ginsburg hasn’t already kicked the bucket and just sort of mummified in place?

As long as someone wheels her around to other place once in a while to cover up her never moving, I doubt anyone would notice it.

RiNS
RiNS
  Anonymous
January 4, 2018 10:23 am

I was originally going to say something along those lines. She does look like she has been dead for years. Reminds me of Capt. Pike on Star Trek. He just answered by flicking a switch. I am guessing the Dems plan on doing same thing if push come to shove..

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Iska Waran
Iska Waran
January 3, 2018 5:43 pm

I don’t think Trump wants any of the investigations (of him, of Clinton, of Comey-Clapper-Obama-Brennan) resolved anytime soon. I think it’s too much fun as it is. He could nuke Lichtenstein and distract everyone by tweeting out “Peter Strzok throws like a girl. Sad.”

The one guaranteed thing for 2018 is that Trump is going to tweet out some seriously funny shit.

Gator
Gator
January 3, 2018 5:57 pm

So, in other words, another year of muddling along, but everything ending slightly worse than it is now? That almost marks you as an optimist….

Francis Marion
Francis Marion
January 3, 2018 6:13 pm

My prediction for 2018: I have no fucking idea how it’s going to end. But it will be entertaining.

Also: Still not tweets from GS since Nov.

But this from Alexander yesterday. His first since mid December:

Capital Punishment Deserves a Quick Death (via @nytimes) https://t.co/rLiTNbqFlT— Alexander Soros (@AlexanderSoros) January 2, 2018

There are no coincidences.

Gator
Gator
  Francis Marion
January 3, 2018 11:13 pm

Im gonna disagree with you. There are LOTS of coincidences.

But I will say, if you guys are right, we can devote an entire thread to all of you telling me how stupid and wrong I was, and ill take it with all humility.

Francis Marion
Francis Marion
  Gator
January 4, 2018 2:28 am

Ditto.

BL
BL
January 3, 2018 6:20 pm

Makes a lot of sense to me, well done and well thought out.

BoB
BoB
January 3, 2018 6:42 pm

In other news, man reads predictions and opens another bottle of wine. Thank you.

kokoda Raccoon
kokoda Raccoon
January 3, 2018 7:06 pm

DOW – up 30%
The WALL – building it starts later this year
Turkey – wow, you are slam dunking on this one
Super Bowl – Pats win another
NFL – Cleveland Browns use their gaggle of #1 and #2 picks as deftly as in the past. The Pats will pick up their cast-offs to become stars (it’s all organization and coaching).
Globalists will lose to the Visegrad 4

musket
musket
January 3, 2018 7:54 pm

Alabama or Georgia?

robert
robert
January 3, 2018 8:11 pm

Interesting read but ” . . that country has been wrote . . .” from a guy giving instruction on how to spell color?

Stucky
Stucky
January 4, 2018 1:21 am

I predict slightly less than half your predictions may be correct, or possibly incorrect.

Question. You are the owner of the Cleveland Indians. Two incredible new players become available. You have rights to one of them. Jesus and Odin. Who do you pick, and why?

RiNS
RiNS
  Stucky
January 4, 2018 7:50 am

Yeah the best predictions are right half the the time… Most prognostications I read contain hedges so in writing this I decided to spend less effort trying to hide them. Seeing as I ain’t as smart as the ones getting paid to do this for a living I thought it better to go for the chuckles. But I did throw in a few things that I thought important. Started out with good intentions but they didn’t last long. My inherent willing incompetence soon to the fore, reached an inflection with my spelling of colour and then it was all down hill from there.

To your question. I’d pick Odin.

Hits for power.
Better on-base percentage.
Versatile on the field .
Would rather swing the bat then take a base
Doesn’t strike out as much..

and most importantly

Ain’t a Pussy.

Llpoh
Llpoh
January 4, 2018 3:08 am

Thanks Rob. Nice read.

I did notice a lot of predictions were the non-prediction types, though. Like, hey, relations with my mother in law will get better/worse this year.

If you cannot put a ruler to it and measure it, it is not a prediction.

Here is mine: Trump’s wanger is lots longer than Biddy Kim’s.

Oh, and news just out: Kimbo blew up one of his own towns in one of those missile tests. Hard to believe, I know.

RiNS
RiNS
  Llpoh
January 4, 2018 5:50 am

That was intentional. My “predictions” are, in most part, for entertainment purposes only. Except for the sports where looking to the future really matters..

Maggie
Maggie
January 4, 2018 9:34 am

Finally had time to sit and read this… enjoyed it and wish I hadn’t been so busy with visitors over the Holly Days. Remember the scene in Raising Arizona when Holly Hunter’s character tells Hi’s prisoner escapee friends they have to leave because she and Hi have “decent people” coming over. Kind of like that.

Anyway, a good contribution to a really rather predictionless AND New Year’s Resolutionless year.

Desertrat
Desertrat
January 4, 2018 3:35 pm

An apparent consensus on predictions, from my browsings across the Internet:

“The future lies ahead, but not nearly so much as government and media.”