1. Trump Leaves Office By Year-End
There is only one thing Trump likes more than power – money. As his legal troubles grow exponentially in 2019, the president has an epiphany that he could lose all his wealth. He cuts a Spiro Agnew-like deal and resigns from office in return for leniency. The markets rally into the announcement but Trump doesn’t go easy and dog whistles to his base as he hits the exit. The U.S. experiences a period of political and social instability. Stocks sell-off hard.
2. China-Taiwan Conflict Gets Hot; Xi Launches Peaceful “Human Wave” Attack On Taiwan
War scenario games continue to evolve, but a very real threat could come from neither hard weaponry nor cyber hackers. In the case of Taiwan, a “peaceful invasion” may unfold, with a fleet of, say, 100,000 mainland Chinese arriving by private boats with the intention of settling in Taiwan. Surely this would be an incredible test of the “One China” policy and a potential game-changer in South China Sea geopolitics. – Japan Times
3. Brits Vote To Remain In Europe After Second Referendum
The House of Commons can’t pass a BREXIT deal, and the British government orders a second referendum. The “People’s Vote” results in a landslide victory for the remainers. Cable initially rallies to 1.35 on the referendum announcement where it experiences some volatility on the back of mass protests by the BREXITeers. The pound trades to 1.50 as the landslide victory becomes more evident.
Long British water cannons and pound sterling
4. Apple Nosedive Continues; Reinvents Itself As a Medical Services Company
Apple begins to lose market share to cheaper smartphones. Revenue growth turns negative, and the stock trades briefly with a double-digit handle. The company starts to reinvent itself into a significant medical hardware and services company.
Short Apple above $150/long at $100
5. Trouble In The Treasury Complex; Monthly Auctions Begin To Sputter
Several of the Monthly Treasury auctions experience rough sailing as foreign demand continues to fade (for a plethora of reasons) and supply grows. Markets also begin to fear more supply as talks of an infrastructure deal get serious. The Fed is forced to suspend its balance sheet reduction to reduce the size of monthly auctions, all in the name of softening economic data. Long speculators get smoked in the first quarter as interest rates drift higher after hitting their lows on the second trading day of the year. Market pundits are perplexed as rates move higher into a softer economy. Bond Market Conundrum 2.0 cometh.
Long American water cannons/Short the 10-year at 2.55 percent
Disclaimer – Before bombarding us with hate email, make nasty comments, and dance on our grave if we get a few wrong, please understand and think hard about the nature of tail events and what it means to be mispriced. Our trades are not recommendations, may or may not be in jest, and we may or may not execute all or none of them.
This guy has a thing for water cannons.
#4 is the most interesting. Maybe they’ll be smart enough to upend the entire apple cart by championing alternative care solutions.
Gettin witty about it, Trumpy’s opinion of a past mispriced tail event: that liason with Stormy. cha-ching.
Apple will start selling $999 Apple stickers made by Chinese kids (plus $399 for the 2 year extended warranty) to put on your Android phone, instead of selling electronics made by Chinese kids. Tim Cook, human tapeworm, will be lauded as an even greater genius than Steve Jobs (best known for incoherently screaming at actual smart people until they did something he could take credit for). Larry Ellison will remain miffed over being left out again, but try to console himself by convincing himself that he is smarter than the smart people he lies to – presumably because they must be stupid to believe anything he says.
Mark Zuckerberg will still call Facebook users morons for trusting him, as he auctions off their private data to anyone interested in it (you can’t really argue with him on this one). Sheryl Sandberg will offer to testify in exchange for immunity, only to find out that Zuck got there first (maybe he was reading her private messages?).
“Human Tapeworm”??? Man you made my day!
Brexit being purposefully sabotaged to generate a revote, and Trump being pushed out by the globalists, is all the evidence anyone paying attention needs to start the 3rd war of independence in what is quaintly known as the United States.
The first one was won seemingly by Divine Providence; do you really think the United States as today would be blessed yet again with that same Providence?
zawabeni1988_ >> http://ihot.ga
acquire exploding business at this point,soon
to gain months our group become predicting the launch at Disney+. walt disney world amazing membership going provider is provided fully displayed with standard sinks in, recently emits along with. motion picture at will facility theoretically commences in the usa on nov 12 even so anxious friends can before dominance the this.
disney+ include subject with, Pixar, marvel, transformers moreover nationwide Geographic. with their archive pointing to cartoon friends and family favorites, some sort of first two transformers trilogies moreover miracle movement, fans can also enjoy former walt disney world channel television shows but also videos, [url=https://philippinesgirlformarriage.blogspot.com/]philippines ladies[/url] And all new disney world launches six on ten months quickly ones theatre release.
ought to you cautious relevant to among them another subscription plan to your roster pertaining to activities treatments, consider this besides disney world prefer to stop licensing his article content to other stands, and Disney+ comes in at $7 a month, rendering it most likely affordable ongoing surging provider used. if you’re a parent or guardian there’s a chance a degree disney world, sight as well alien devotee, it is always nicely worth purchasing. inside by then sign up for disney world operated Hulu, in a position to combine Hulu, Disney+ moreover ESPN+ for less than $13 a month.