Sunspot & Climate Change

Guest Post by Martin Armstrong

Everything is far more complex than a single relationship. The lack of sunspots relates to the historical evidence that there was a period of nearly 100 years where there was very little sunspot activity, at one point reaching zero activity, which took place ONLY during Ice Ages.

What you are missing is the volatility. We are entering a period that is extremely volatile so we will have a hot summer followed by an extremely cold winter. The swings become more extreme. As I have stated, there is no indication that we are headed toward an Ice Age with a prolonged lack of sunspot activity.

We should only be making a RETEST of the Ice Age lows and not new lows (I personally hope). You are still looking at this with a single-dimensional analysis. You must realize that this is far more complex and a single hot August does not mean there is global warming that humans have created. There is one thing that the historical evidence illustrates that the global warming crowd will NEVER address. The climate has ALWAYS changed — it is cyclical!!!!!!!!!!! This is the same nonsense of looking for the mythical short position that makes a market crash, even though every investigation has never found one even once!

Keep in mind that a Solar Minimum does not mean that the sun gets colder but rather it changes. As sunspots fade away, we enter a Solar Minimum. The sun is heading toward a Solar Minimum now and the sunspot counts are collapsing. While intense activity such as sunspots and solar flares subside during a Solar Minimum, the solar activity changes form.

During a Solar Minimum, the sun develops coronal holes. These are vast regions in the sun’s atmosphere where the sun’s magnetic field opens up. This then allows streams of solar particles to escape the sun as the fast solar wind.

These holes throughout the solar cycle during a Solar Minimum can last for a very long time, even up to six months or more. Streams of this solar wind flowing from these coronal holes create space weather effects near Earth as they hit our magnetic field. These effects can include temporary disturbances called geomagnetic storms, auroras, and disruptions to communications and navigation systems. These are the effects of a Solar Minimum. These effects in the Earth’s upper atmosphere impact satellites in low Earth orbit as well. However, on our computer, they also correlate to these periods of an increase in volcanoes and earthquakes.

There are a number of scientific papers that are investigating the rise in earthquakes and volcanic activity that correlates to a Solar Minimum. This is an area that warrants serious study. All I can do is report, “Hey, there is a correlation here that is interesting.” What we have done is input everything and correlate markets, economies, weather, climate, etc. to look for patterns to try to understand what makes the world tick. I never begin with a theory and try to prove it. Just let the data speak for itself. You will NOT find a single global warming paper that has EVER addressed the issue with any historical analysis beyond 1850 to support their argument.

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20 Comments
SmallerGovNow
SmallerGovNow
September 12, 2019 9:50 am

Because 1850 was the end of the little ice age. It actually began to warm in 1750 but not enough to instantly reverse the effects of the little ice age. The current warming trend is less than the previous four warming trends in which it was much hotter than we are currently experiencing. Chip

SmallerGovNow
SmallerGovNow
  SmallerGovNow
September 12, 2019 9:52 am

And while not mentioned in the article, it also has much to do with the earth’s orbit and tilt on its axis, neither of which remain constant… Chip

Mygirl...maybe
Mygirl...maybe
  SmallerGovNow
September 12, 2019 12:08 pm

Wait! It’s the sun that’s responsible for climate? Nope, not possible. The rotation of the earth and the galaxy also effects the climate? Can’t be. Our climate is changing for the worse because of mankind and the only way to fix it is to tax it.

Shark
Shark
  Mygirl...maybe
September 13, 2019 9:05 am

Cow farts…once we fix that problem, the world will be safe.

KaD
KaD
September 12, 2019 9:51 am

“As I have stated, there is no indication that we are headed toward an Ice Age with a prolonged lack of sunspot activity.”
Except the sun’s four magnetic poles all being out of alignment.

KeyserSusie
KeyserSusie
September 12, 2019 10:41 am

Cool thoughts on the hot topic.
From one of those nerdy rent seekers who dabble in the unknown.

“Part -V Short to Medium-Term Cycles to Long-Term Cycles and Back Again”

“Just as the Earth and other planets rotate around our Sun, our solar system has a rotating trajectory around our galaxy Milky Way. And I must say…before I leave this plane of existence, I feel confident future research will reveal new evidence announcing that our galaxy (along with neighboring galaxies), will have a periodicity rotation with cyclical parameters rotating around…what is yet to be discovered.
comment image

The Earth is regularly exposed to cosmic rays as it oscillates upward through the galactic disc. Every 60 million years or so, astronomers believe that our Sun and planets cycle northward in the galactic plane. Just as the Earth has her magnetic field, Milky Way has its own. Without the galactic plane’s magnetic field shielding our solar system, we would be at even higher risk of radiation exposure.

The idea the evolution of life is punctuated by major extinction events with intervals of many millions of years is well established. Familiar episodes include the Cretaceous – Paleogene transition (65.5 mya), which saw the final demise of the non avian dinosaurs and many shallow sea life-forms, and the end-Permian (251 mya) when an estimated 56% of marine genera became extinct.
comment image

It is hypnotized the closer our solar system travels to the galactic center, we researchers observed a correlation between these cyclical events and its concordance with partial and mass extinctions transpiring with measurable regularity on Earth over the past 500 million years.

Identifying mass extinction signals is part of a wider search of periodicity to causal processes associated with geological events. Previous studies have identified a variety of periods including:

1) 26-35 Myr. (million year) geo-period evidenced by mantle plumes, flood basalt, and large igneous provinces (LIPs): 2) A 60-62 Myr cycle identified by marine genera, sea level and LIPs: 3) A 135 -145 Myr. cycle established by marine genera, and oxygen isotope records and also identified a ice age epoch.

I’m guessing some of you know where I’m going with this new series of research articles. However, I believe most of you are still not quite sure. I must say, it has been a long-long time since I had to re-written 2 or 3 times on this article and the previous ones. I feel confident this series of articles are very important and perhaps it may be difficult for one to wrap their mind around this information realizing how closely connected our little planet is to our solar system and galaxy.

*If you find this information meaningful feel free to contribute. Go to the click here button to support this work. CLICK HERE

At this moment I truly can’t say how many parts to this series there will be. I am certain of at least two more after this one, but 3 to 5 additional is not out of the question. I wish to thank you the two or three of you for your contribution. It comes at a good time. I have made a choice to dedicate a significant amount of time to these new understandings, and it is very important for me to present them to you in a method and style which most people will understand; and eventually all of you.”

Nice graphics on his homepage here. The images did not copy and paste.

https://scienceofcycles.com/part-v-short-to-medium-term-cycles-to-long-term-cycles-and-back-again/

grace country pastor
grace country pastor
  KeyserSusie
September 12, 2019 11:17 am

“It is hypnotized the closer our solar system travels to the galactic center, we researchers…”

Yea, it sure is.

Genesis 1:1 KJB… “In the beginning God created the heaven and the earth.”

Anonymous
Anonymous
  grace country pastor
September 12, 2019 5:11 pm

Hypothesized?

overthecliff
overthecliff
September 12, 2019 11:12 am

Who observed the lack of sunspots during the last ice age?
That is like developing a human ancestor from a 1 centimeter bone fragment. Bullshit pretending to be science.

Annie
Annie
  overthecliff
September 12, 2019 2:09 pm

The people who were alive at the time. We’re only talking 10,000 years ago. There were people then. He’s also talking about a CYCLE. If you see a lack of sunspots every X years over and over it is highly likely that it happened every X years back into the past. Unless you think that the ice age on the earth changed the sunspot cycle on the sun???

Mygirl...maybe
Mygirl...maybe
  Annie
September 13, 2019 12:22 am

Wait, how did the ancients see sunspots? ?Wouldn’t they have gone blind?

Dan
Dan
  overthecliff
September 13, 2019 8:48 am

I completely agree with you on the bone & fossil records… they try to draw waaaay too much form those, and are basically used to support whatever idiotic idea they want to promote. The ice core samples though, do provide a much better record of the past via air bubbles trapped in them. Those air samples indicate a much more volatile atmosphere in the past, and seem to suggest different levels of solar activity. Now, as with all geologic investigations, I always take this stuff with a grain of salt, bc we are trying to interpret ancient clues and piece together past events which we cant really know for sure. So I only take this stuff so far.

daddysteve
daddysteve
September 12, 2019 1:57 pm
Annie
Annie
September 12, 2019 2:01 pm

Huge amount of information on this topic here:

Observer Portal

the experienced
the experienced
September 12, 2019 3:07 pm

When I counted the sunspots yesterday there were only 25 less than when I counted them 10 years ago. But the big snowstorm was on new years 1979. There may be a connection to the dust storms wearing off the layers of rock formation in Arizona and Nevada that have been built up over 25 million years. The lowest visible layer is about 12 million years old, while the very top layer is 28 million years old. And now they are wearing down rapidly in a couple hundred years. The tilting of the moon axis certainly has an influence on the acceleration. But since Mars is not coming as close anymore as it used to 4750 years ago, we also have to deduct that number. And then there is the Venus-effect. Just a lot of variables in an intrinsic affair.

Ginger
Ginger
  the experienced
September 12, 2019 3:51 pm

Man, you should have listened to Chip Monck and stayed away from the brown acid.

the experienced
the experienced
  Ginger
September 13, 2019 8:23 am

I don’t need brown acid to make up stuff. I just don’t have pretty youtubes and such to add pictures to the fables, what so many call ” science” .
The only written data we have is that the earth is about 6000 years old. No where in the historical records is there an ice age reported. Those are nothing but wild assumptions. There are also records of a world wide flood, that had a major impact on shaping the surface of the earth and the life on it before and after.

22winmag - Guns now, due process later DJT 2-28-19
22winmag - Guns now, due process later DJT 2-28-19
September 12, 2019 4:07 pm

Like most authors, Armstrong has no clue that the new cycle started last year.

http://milesmathis.com/apollo.pdf

gatsby1219
gatsby1219
September 12, 2019 4:12 pm

How do you have “global warming” without a firmament ?

Karabar
Karabar
September 12, 2019 6:56 pm

” The climate has ALWAYS changed “
While I don’t disagree with the sentiment, this statement always pisses me off.
DON’T CONFLATE CLIMATE AND TEMPERATURE!
Climate consists of far more than a measured temperature. It is the composite or generally prevailing weather conditions of a region, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years. It is a REGIONAL parameter.
In fact the only metric that can be applied to “climate” is a classification; either Koppen-Geioger or Trewartha.
A metric is necessary to assess a “change”. While a specific region’s climate might change from one classification to another, or the region itself might change in shape or size, such changes over the past century or more are generally temporary.
This makes the very term “climate change” ignorant nonsense.