Guest Post by Paul Craig Roberts
Vladimir Putin is the most impressive leader on the world stage. He survived and arose from a Russia corrupted by Washington and Israel during the Yeltsin years and reestablished Russia as a world power. He dealt successfully with American/Israeli aggression against South Ossetia and against Ukraine, incorporating at Crimea’s request the Russian province back into Mother Russia. He has tolerated endless insults and provocations from Washington and its empire without responding in kind. He is conciliatory and a peacemaker from a position of strength.
He knows that the American empire based as it is on arrogance and lies is failing economically, socially, politically, and militarily. He understands that war serves no Russian interest.
Washington’s murder of Qasem Soleimani, a great Iranian leader, indeed, one of the rare leaders in world history, has dimmed Trump’s leadership and placed the limelight on Putin. The stage is set for Putin and Russia to assume the leadership of the world.
Washington’s murder of Soleimani is a criminal act that could start World War 3 just as the Serbian murder of the Austrian Archduke set World War 1 in motion. Only Putin and Russia with China’s help can stop this war that Washington has set in motion.
Putin understood that the Washington/Israeli intended destabilization of Syria was aimed at Russia. Without warning Russia intervened, defeated the Washington financed and armed proxy forces, and restored stability to Syria.
Defeated, Washington and Israel have decided to bypass Syria and take the attack on Russia directly to Iran. The destabilization of Iran serves both Washington and Israel. For Israel Iran’s demise stops support for Hezbollah, the Lebanese militia that has twice defeated Israel’s army and prevented Israel’s occupation of southern Lebanon. For Washington Iran’s demise allows CIA-supported jihadists to bring instability into the Russian Federation.
Unless Putin submits to American and Israeli will, he has no choice but to block any Washington/Israeli attack on Iran.
The easiest and cleanest way for Putin to do this is to announce that Iran is under Russia’s protection. This protection should be formalized in a mutual defense treaty between Russia, China, and Iran, with perhaps India and Turkey as members. This is hard for Putin to do, because incompetent historians have convinced Putin that alliances are the cause of war. But an alliance such as this would prevent war. Not even the insane criminal Netanyahu and the crazed American neoconservatives would, even when completely drunk or deluded, declare war on Iran, Russia, China, and if included in the alliance India and Turkey. It would mean the death of America, Israel and any European country sufficiently stupid to participate.
If Putin is unable to free himself from the influence of incompetent historians, who in effect are serving Washington, not Russian, interests, he has other options. He can calm down Iran by giving Iran the best Russian air defense systems with Russian crews to train the Iranians and whose presence serve as a warning to Washington and Israel that an attack on Russian forces is an attack on Russia.
This done, Putin can then, not offer, but insist on mediating. This is Putin’s role as there is no other with the power, influence and objectivity to mediate.
Putin’s job is not so much to rescue Iran as to get Trump out of a losing war that would destroy Trump. Putin could set his own price. For example, Putin’s price can be the revival of the INF/START treaty, the anti-ballistic missile treaty, the removal of NATO from Russian borders. In effect, Putin is positioned to demand whatever he wants.
Iranian missiles can sink any American vessels anywhere near Iran. Chinese missiles can sink any American fleets anywhere near China. Russian missiles can sink American fleets anywhere in the world. The ability of Washington to project power in the Middle East now that everyone, Shia and Sunni and Washington’s former proxies such as ISIS, hates Americans with a passion is zero. The State Department has had to order Americans out of the Middle East. How does Washingon count as a force in the Middle East when no American is safe there?
Of course Washington is stupid in its arrogance, and Putin, China, and Iran must take this into consideration. A stupid government is capable of bringing ruin not only on itself but on others.
So there are risks for Putin. But there are also risks for Putin failing to take charge. If Washington and Israel attack Iran, which Israel will try to provoke by some false flag event as sinking an American warship and blaming Iran, Russia will be at war anyway. Better for the initiative to be in Putin’s hands. And better for the world and life on Earth for Russia to be in charge.
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I saw the headline and thought T4C, where are those cannabis suppositories available?
Sage advice!
Putin should put more than defensive weaponry into Iran. He should put Russian nukes into Iran controlled exclusively by Russian crews. That would be a warning to Israel to steer clear of any provocation.
The Israeli’s will never quit their incessant warmongering. Sooner or later someone is going to turn Israel into a glass sheet.
We finally agree on something. Israel is the Dead Man Walking that no one wants to look at during the frog march. Good riddance.
Do you remember playing “The Russians are coming the Russians are coming”, when you were young?
… “ Qasem Soleimani, a great Iranian leader, indeed, one of the rare leaders in world history,” …
If you believe this, you must believe Dick Cheney was a great Vice President.
I’m not in favor of the broad US presence in the middle east or elsewhere, and I shall never defend the actions of any President because I simply don’t know whether the alleged intelligence exits or if it is credible. However, I’m taking a wait and see perspective with the hope that the US largely withdraws from the middle east at the request of the respective countries we occupy.
My thoughts as well.
for a nation with a population half the size of Osaka Japan and a land mass slightly bigger than New Jersey Israel sure has a lot of influence. how the fuck did that happen?
Harvey,
You have to go back to the beginning…6,000 years ago a war began. A war to rule Heaven and Earth that dates all the way back to the Garden of Eden, and is tied to dry bones resurrected that is now half the size of Osaka Japan, and a land mass slightly bigger than New Jersey Israel.
Call it the new belt and road. hit the road Jack or we’ll belt you.
This is BS thinking. No one at this point knows what Russia is thinking.
I think it is safe to say that IF Russia/Putin wanted war . . . we would have had one under the Kenyan, when “we” dicked around in Syria and dicked around in Ukraine. In typical cry-bully fashion, the bitches in the State Dept and DoD pushed and pushed and pushed all the right buttons and waited to cry “victim” when they got smacked in the mouth. And it didn’t happen. But there’s a reason that the opinion of the rest of the world is so negative in the last 20 years . . . the Iraq war is one, Afghanistan another, but Ukraine and Syria take the cake. All the while, Putin has given just enough rope for “us” to hang ourselves.
Putin cares for his Country, and wants what is best for the Country.
Honestly think it is about people instead of a party.
To form a Defense Pact with Iran would be a very stupid thing for Putin to do. The Globalists who are running this Policy are not just the US or Trump but a world wide cartel. The cartel has its sights set on dominating the Middle East in order to control the oil which is a diminishing resource and crucial for the ongoing prosperity. Russia does not need Middle East oil and so has no dog in the fight except to try to prevent the Globalists from obtaining control.
A regional war in the Middle East which became a proxie war between the US and Russia would bankrupt Russia and create huge losses for them. I wonder if Mr. Roberts understands he is actually playing into the agenda of the Globalists and the Military Industrial Complex by calling for Russia to back Iran?
Clown.
Clown.