WHO Warns “Countries Should Prepare For Local Outbreaks” As Pentagon Increases Quarantine Housing

Via ZeroHedge

Summary:

  • 14,550 confirmed cases worldwide, 19,544 suspected cases, 304 deaths, 2,110 in serious/critical condition, 328 in China treated and released; 138,000 under observation
  • First death outside China recorded in the Philippines
  • 24 countries reporting cases
  • Philippines, New Zealand join list of countries several restricting travelers from China

* * *

Local officials in Hubei weren’t kidding when they warned that Saturday would be the worst day so far for confirmed cases/deaths related to the coronavirus outbreak. China’s body count climbed above 300, and the first death outside the mainland was recorded in the Philippines. Scientists predict that exponentially more cases are active in China, but the true number either haven’t yet been diagnosed, or the Chinese government is simply suppressing it for obvious PR purposes. Anecdotal reports also claim the death toll is higher than the 304+.

Even though the man who died in Manila was from Wuhan, now that the virus has proved lethal outside the confines of China’s deeply overburdened health-care system, even more countries have decided to defy the WHO and restrict entry for travelers from China. New Zealand, Iraq, Indonesia and the Philippines have joined the growing list of countries – including the US, Japan, Australia, Canada, Taiwan, etc. – who are imposing travel restrictions on people who have either recently been to China, or recently traveled to Hubei Province (or if they have a passport from Hubei).

“This is the first reported death outside China,” Rabindra Abeyasinghe, the World Health Organisation representative to the Philippines, said.

But that wasn’t all we heard from the WHO on Sunday. The organization, which just declared the outbreak a dangerous global pandemic, warned governments around the world to prepare for controlling domestic outbreaks.

“Countries need to get ready for possible importation in order to identify cases as early as possible and in order to be ready for a domestic outbreak control, if that happens,” WHO official Gauden Galea told The Associated Press in Bejing on Saturday.

Though the virus is the enemy, the people who carry it are also often treated with suspicion during outbreaks, and it appears this trend has finally peaked both inside and outside China. Two days ago, the New York Times published a story documenting what it described as ‘growing xenophobia’ in Japan, directed at Chinese whom locals feared might carry the virus. Inside China, videos have shown mobs surrounding families from Hubei. Government propaganda has directed a large swath of the country to stay inside until the outbreak subsides. It could be weeks before that happened. Businesses inside China have posted signs warning people from Hubei to stay away; in Japan and Hong Kong, signs are directed at all mainlanders.

Across China, the total number of cases under observation is now a whopping 137,594, an increase of over 19,000 from 118,478.

Outside China, the WHO reports roughly 130 confirmed cases of the virus in more than 20 countries outside of China and Taiwan. The Philippines reported the first death attributable to the virus outside of China. Other tallies put the number of confirmed cases outside China higher. Late Saturday in the US, new cases were confirmed in South Korea and India.

Chinese doctors are now claiming that the virus can be spread via fecal matter, as well as droplets passed through the air.

Expecting a bloodbath when markets open tomorrow (late Sunday evening in the US), Chinese financial regulators have already announced a massive $173 billion (Rmb1.2 trillion) support package. According to the FT, China’s central bank said on Sunday that it would provide the lending facilities to money markets as stock markets reopen following the LNY extended holiday, during which western markets logged heavy selling. Hong Kong markets also took a beating when they reopened for the second half of the week. BBG noted that the sum will come to $21 billion on a net basis, practically nothing, after covering the roll of previous liquidity injections.

The Huoshenshan Hospital, one of two hospitals being rapidly constructed in Wuhan, has finished construction, according to Chinese state media. It will begin admitting coronavirus patients on Monday, hopefully relieving some of the overwhelming burden on the city’s existing medical infrastructure. The Global Times reported that the hospital will be run by Huawei’s “remote consultation platform” which will improve efficiency. Nearly 2,000 PLA personnel are reportedly being dispatched to run a hospital that reportedly has been outfitted with what appear to be jail cells.

Across China, typically busy streets are empty. Several pointed out the eerie silence in one of the most popular nightlife neighborhoods in Beijing.

When it’s all said and done, economists inside and outside China have warned that the outbreak could shave a percentage point or more off of GDP, potentially pushing the rate of growth below 5% – not that many economists trust the Chinese data anyway.

Back in the US, the country is waiting with baited breath to see whether a suspected 9th case of the virus – this time, in NYC – will be confirmed. The Pentagon recently approved a request for quarantine housing for 1,000 people, according to Epoch Times.

Across the world, dozens of airlines have suspended flights to and from China, some as far out as April.

Does that sound like everything is under control to you?

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49 Comments
M G
M G
February 2, 2020 11:36 am

My son is here from Kansas City, where people are all excited about the Chiefs, for some reason.

He works for Cerner, which provides software solutions to all sorts of medical networks. Two guys from his branch of cubicle world (one beside, the other across and diangle (my word)) returned from a vacation to China last Thursday and they were asked to “work from home.”

So… after I decontaminated him… just kidding. He says they have not come into the office at all and won’t until cleared. He said he’s not concerned, but I am thinking there are dozens of folks who were on that same flight from China who are not working from home.

Still… it is a really good reminder of how the virus can waltz in your door and you might not even suspect.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  M G
February 2, 2020 1:06 pm

Two guys…. returned from a vacation to China

What race are they?

Anyone know what the racial breakdown is of people actually dying from the virus?

How many non-Asians have died? Valid question.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 2, 2020 2:54 pm

It’s too early to tell. The regions with non-Asian populations will not be seeing many deaths yet. We’ll have to wait a few months before it becomes clear.

impermanence
impermanence
February 2, 2020 11:44 am

THE VIRUS IS COMING!! THE VIRUS IS COMING!!

Sometimes it’s downright embarrassing to be human.

niebo
niebo
February 2, 2020 12:09 pm

Chinese doctors are now claiming that the virus can be spread via fecal matter

Then a good policy from now on is “Don’t play with poop.”

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  niebo
February 2, 2020 4:05 pm

The virus was detected in the feces in the Washington State case – 35 year old man of Chinese descent who had travelled to China. He is reportedly almost fully recovered, but may still be infectious and was given an HIV drug (remdesivir) at the worst point in his pneumonia. The manufacturer, Gilead, just cut a deal with China for them to test it in afflicted patients in China. https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/coronavirus-case-treated-with-gilead-drug-may-spur-wider-tests/ar-BBZxnf9

SeeBee
SeeBee
February 2, 2020 12:33 pm

Martial Law. Coming soon….. to a town near you.

Last of the BOHICANS (EC)
Last of the BOHICANS (EC)
February 2, 2020 1:35 pm

“The Pentagon recently approved a request for quarantine housing for 1,000 people,”

You read the entire article to find out about the Pentagon action and this is the whole info you find at the end. Talk about a one pump chump.

BL THE VOICE OF REASON
BL THE VOICE OF REASON
February 2, 2020 2:32 pm

I’m going to a Chinese buffet shortly that is crawling with Chinese who just came in fresh out the shipping container. I like to live on the edge, “Danger” is my middle name.

Should I wear a mask or throw caution to the wind?

EL Chen
EL Chen
  BL THE VOICE OF REASON
February 2, 2020 3:05 pm

I’ve always sung this as secret Asian man:

M G
M G
  EL Chen
February 2, 2020 3:35 pm

This song has nothing to do with funny sounding latino love songs (which is what I looked for), but it is a really profound tune and I thought it was secret asian man too when I was a kid.

And the cheesecake looks awesome.

Not recommending these guys. I suspect they are angry, divorced software engineers paying child support.

Mygirl....Maybe
Mygirl....Maybe
  BL THE VOICE OF REASON
February 2, 2020 4:55 pm

Forget the mask, it’s really hard to eat wearing a mask.

mark
mark
  BL THE VOICE OF REASON
February 2, 2020 7:43 pm

BL…just spray all the Chicoms with with Colloidal Silver!

Anonymous
Anonymous
February 2, 2020 2:53 pm

By the middle if February, expect another 80,000 cases (they likely had about 25,000 cases as of Friday) and just under 9000 additional deaths (they likely have had about 2800 deaths so far).

Da Perfessor
Da Perfessor
  Anonymous
February 2, 2020 3:54 pm

Not saying you are wrong but….sources for this, Anon?

Running the existing pattern established for the last two weeks, it would project total cases between 60-65K. About 1,600 of those would be “ex Asia”. (Data I am using is from here: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/geographical-distribution-2019-ncov-cases)

EDIT: Missed the second link…

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

I started the count just two weeks back to eliminate the early reporting errors that are common with new epidemics.

Use of the current media’s (all of them) “doom extrapolations” and on V-Day we’d be looking at between 1.5 – 6.5 MM cases.

We will see where we are at in a couple weeks, I guess.

Da P

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Da Perfessor
February 2, 2020 6:09 pm

Just run the numbers. R-0 of 4.1, 11% mortality rate.

niebo
niebo
  Anonymous
February 2, 2020 7:34 pm

Still nowhere near 11 percent “officially”. Around 2 percent earlier this pm when I last ‘crunched’ ’em.

Of course, that’s just going with what’s “public” info, so who knows?

ASIG
ASIG
  niebo
February 2, 2020 9:14 pm

I think comparing the number of deaths and the number that have recovered to date is a better indicator of the mortality rate and as of today the totals are:
DEATHS 362
RECOVERED 487.
2% I don’t think so.

niebo
niebo
  ASIG
February 2, 2020 10:12 pm
Da Perfessor
Da Perfessor
  Anonymous
February 2, 2020 7:52 pm

Run the R0 in what model equation?

I am modeling in real-time with the simplest 2nd order polynomial function applicable to prior epidemiology numbers that I have had to deal with. The “bugs” may change but the R0, Duration, and Latency variables generally set up along a similar line of equation: an “x-square” in combination with an “x” in combination with a constant.

It just takes what the data “is”. Currently looking at just under a 0.99 R-square.

Not saying you’re wrong about hidden data, just saying that you cannot assume it.

Further, China matters little to me…it is the “ex-Asia” data that has my focus and will not be really useful for another couple weeks to see if the growth rate between “In-Asia” and “Ex-Asia” have differentiated.

Da P

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
February 2, 2020 3:36 pm

16.5 million folks were treated for the flu in the USA in 2019 . Of that 34,000 died from the complications from the flu…all according to the CDC.

When the Coronavirus has matched those numbers in the USA then I’ll worry .

Mygirl....Maybe
Mygirl....Maybe
  BUCKHED
February 2, 2020 4:58 pm

You do that, and in the mean time watch as supplies disappear. Then, you do know that the corona virus’ major complication is viral pnuemonia don’t you? Most flu variants don’t cause pneumonia. Think you can survive that on your own? Think the ICU’s will be full? Got respirator?