Authored by Frank Fang via The Epoch Times,
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be devastating to the U.S. military as a result of Beijing’s aggressive military development in recent years, according to a U.S. Air Force general.
The outcome was based on a classified Pentagon war game simulation carried out over the years, Air Force Lt. Gen. S. Clinton Hinote said in a recent interview with Yahoo News. He said that U.S. forces were losing more quickly in recent simulations after taking into consideration the Chinese regime’s new military capabilities.
“After the 2018 war game, I distinctly remember one of our gurus of wargaming standing in front of the Air Force secretary and chief of staff, and telling them that we should never play this war game scenario [of a Chinese attack on Taiwan] again, because we know what is going to happen,” Hinote said.
“The definitive answer if the U.S. military doesn’t change course is that we’re going to lose fast. In that case, an American president would likely be presented with almost a fait accompli.”
“At that point the trend in our war games was not just that we were losing, but we were losing faster.”
Around September 2020, the U.S. Air Force gamed out a conflict set more than a decade in the future, which started with a Chinese biological-weapon attack on U.S. ships and bases in the Indo-Pacific region, according to the outlet. Using military drills as a cover, Beijing then deploys an invasion force to attack Taiwan, while targeting U.S. bases and ships in the region with missile strikes, the outlet said.
Last fall, the U.S. Air Force simulated a conflict set more than a decade in the future that began with a Chinese biological-weapon attack that swept through U.S. bases and warships in the Indo-Pacific region. Then a major Chinese military exercise was used as cover for the deployment of a massive invasion force. The simulation culminated with Chinese missile strikes raining down on U.S. bases and warships in the region, and a lightning air and amphibious assault on the island of Taiwan.
This is the first time that the outcome of that simulation has been made public.
Since President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, the Chinese Communist Party has escalated its war-mongering toward Taiwan, a democratic self-ruled island that Beijing claims as a part of its territory. In late January, a Chinese military official threatened war against the island.
Beijing also has sent military planes into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on a nearly daily basis since the start of this year. Most recently on March 10, a Chinese anti-submarine warfare aircraft entered southwestern Taiwan’s ADIZ, according to Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense.
Earlier this week, Adm. Philip Davidson, the head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, warned during a Senate hearing that the Chinese regime could invade Taiwan in the “next six years.”
When asked by a senator about the United States’ ability to defend Taiwan, Davidson said, “I think our conventional deterrent is actually eroding in the region,” citing the Chinese military’s “vast advances” in size over the past decade, and also in capability.
The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy is now larger than the U.S. Navy. By 2025, the PLA is projected to have three aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific to the United States’ one, 12 amphibious assault ships to the United States’ four, and 108 modern multi-warfare combatant ships to the United States’ 12, according to estimates by U.S. Indo-Pacific Command submitted to Congress.
Hinote told Yahoo News that certain adjustments are needed to tilt a possible war with China in favor of the United States. They include moving away from relying on large military bases, ports, and aircraft carriers while fighting the Chinese military, as well as deploying dispersed and mobile forces with large numbers of long-range, mobile strike systems, anti-ship cruise missile batteries, mobile rocket artillery systems, and unmanned mini-submarines, according to Hinote.
What’s more, the adjustments call for greater use of surveillance and reconnaissance sources to allow U.S. policymakers to make quicker decisions.
“If we can design a force that creates that level of uncertainty and causes Chinese leaders to question whether they can accomplish their goals militarily, I think that’s what deterrence looks like in the future,” Hinote said.
Air Force officials didn’t immediately respond to a request by The Epoch Times for comment.
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High note? Has the fat lady sung at last?
War games are just simulations based on mathematical abstractions of battles. Are they reliable? It depends.
” According to the military historians, the data from the Western European and Italian campaigns of WWII were the most reliable, whereas that from the Korean front was the least reliable. The reliability of the information from the Middle East wars stood in the middle, with data on the 1956 and 1973 wars being better than the data on the 1948 and 1967 wars.”
Objective variables are one thing.
Subjective variables are impossible to model. It is simply not possible to model with any accuracy important intangible factors; morale, leadership, and luck.
China is fast becoming equal in military might to the USA — and, in some cases already exceed our capabilities. A hot war? too close to call. But, if I were forced to make a prediction I’d guess both sides lose.
But when it comes to leadership and morale ……. well, we have a demented leader and fags in the military. China does not. Game over.
Maybe the USA could use it’s secret alien technology and space ships to turn the tide? /sarc/
Is that really sarcasm?
Have you forgotten? We now have a SPACE FORCE!! Thanks to The Golden Golem. We really do have “secret alien technology”.
This is pretty funny ….. it shows ACTUAL “secret alien technology” we NOW have in our military arsenal. (Not sure how this got past the CIA, though.)
China has some decent anti-ship missiles and of course a very large ground force that is good at beating up unarmed peasants. Beyond that their equipment is a generation or two behind. At best a regional power with very limited capabilities at projecting power and sustaining a campaign beyond where they can drive. So we are never invading China in any conventional campaign but they aren’t going to launch a campaign to take over the US either. That leaves the possibility of a regional conflict and possibly a ground war with India thus the war games……As you point out leadership and determination count for a lot but I think a conflict will turn on different dimensions in the near term….lots of cyber, attacking infrastructure (power, communications, business information systems, etc.) and as this scenario points out biological……after the great success of the Wuflu…..why not, we nearly conquered ourselves without China firing a shot.
Our retarded MIC of course will want to throw lots of hardware at any problem….to justify buying more missiles, planes, ships, tanks etc…..not a great strategy for winning.
They only have to project it a very short distance. Whatever our plan might be, it can’t involve carriers because they’d be toast quick.
I’m pretty sure war games are just a means to securing congressional funding for whatever the general’s future defense contractor employer is selling this week.
This screams to me……”Hey China we are really weak, please attack Taiwan” because the MIC really really wants a big war. They are daring China to attack. Now assuming the USA is not taken over so that they would lose their cushy jobs and homes the MIC doesn’t really care win or lose the conflict but any conflict is very very good for business!
It still seems absurd that any American citizen would give a flying fuck about Taiwan. Do we not have our own problems?
Yeah…I don’t think that the twinkle toes brigade could beat the Chinese on any front…except, perhaps for fashion.
So far China has been bullying its way around the S. China Sea and nobody has done much about it. None of the regions have the capability to do anything but complain and they all rely on the US to intervene.
So far China’s navy has been limited to the S China Sea and they have little blue water capability and support structures. Plus China has been building these ships rapidly and are for the most part untested and their crews are of the same, so how they would perform under battle conditions is unknown.
Its likely that Taiwan will be the first testing that China will use to gauge US response with, soon. The US and virtually the world, did nothing when China took over Hong Kong. China is running down Taiwan’s resistance capability inside by propaganda and making Taiwan use recourses by the numerous incursions into Taiwanese space. Currently about 49% of Taiwan’s 20 – 30 yr olds said they would be good with Chinese rule, they won’t fight. They fully expect the US or other nations will fight for them. This is the success of chinese propaganda.
So sleepy creepy joe will either allow a war so the war mongers get richer, or he hands over Taiwan and pockets the money himself. Either way its not going to end well for anyone. China will take over Taiwan and eccentrically solidify the asian Pacific region whether it involves a kenetic war or sleepy hands it to them. imo
The only part I’ll dispute is that China forcibly took over Hong Kong. The 99 year lease was literally up and they retook possession. As per the agreement. Otherwise, yep.
No the 99 yr lease wasn’t up. The Chinese signed the agreement to extend the lease agreement by 50 more years, in 1997.
Only partially true. There was no lease extension. What was done was a ‘1 country-2 system’ idea. China took over political control and was to allow the capitalist system to remain for 50 yrs. The loophole was that China would have the final say on whether or not the ‘universal suffrage’ part of the agreement had been fulfilled. In all reality Britain has zero say about what goes on. It lies completely between China and Hong Kong, and its ‘Basic Law’. And China has, per every bit of every agreement, the final political say.
Wouldn’t matter what the legality of the agreement stated anyway, china has never honored any agreement they’ve signed. So basically the UK made it possible for china to look good and do what they intended anyway.
Anyrate, the world response sent the message that China can do as it wishes and there isn’t much anyone can do about it. But in reality if those countries ensnared in the debt trap, one belt one road, were to not repay their ‘loans’ due to the chinese release of the covid, there would be little the chinese could do about it. It would cripple the chinese economy and china could not recover the ‘assets’. Legally or otherwise. But I doubt this would happen.
What about America?
Yeah I unequivocally refuse to believe that the most honorable of the apple pie and flag waving patriotic politicals would even dare, inconceivable for them to remotely consider breaking ANY of their promises to any of their electorate regardless of the peons social positioning.
Thankfully our politicals here in canukistan are above that too.
I am not bashing America. You are not bashing Canada. We are realists …. who realize ALL nations break treaties when it is convenient/advantageous/safe to do so. Napoleon nails it …
I am NOT arguing the point, Stucky, but look at the other side of the blade. There were very few Indians who honored the treaties, also. There were no more ‘noble redmen’ than there were honorable politicians. A few on both sides come to mind, but they are the exceptions. The Indians were a Stone Age people with a commiserate mind-set in regards to tribe, individual and spirituality. Neither side had much interest in abiding by the treaties, only so long as it was advantageous. Most tribal leaders had a very limited scope of authority, and the members of the tribe were free to do whatever they wanted as long as they didn’t violate the general tribal customs. As such, they felt no obligation to abide by a treaty that they had not personally agreed to, and for only as long as they got what they wanted. In most instances, the treaties were only kept because they got food and blankets, etc. through the winter. Come spring they headed off to hunt and go to war. These were hard-core proud people. Even arrogant in their self-image of superiority.
The whites also were only interested in advancing their agenda, the same as every other technologically advanced group when they encountered a weaker less advanced group, all through history. The final result was inevitable, although the way it was done was far more brutal than it needed to be. But the Indians, by and large, were just as single-minded and brutal to those not of their tribe.
Human nature, Stuck, human nature. Greed. Control. Revenge. Rampant on both sides. It will out. Doesn’t matter what your identification is.
Me no argue either Paleface.
You speak ‘um words of Great Wisdom like Wakan Tanka.
You come over to Teepee. Me give you pretty Squaw as present.
Um, heap good.
Hitler openly boasted that his non-aggression pact with Stalin was only intended to buy time. There exists the likelihood that Stalin viewed it the same way, but just didn’t share Hitler’s timeline.
In contemporary history, I can not think of a country that has violated and broken more treaties than the USA. There has not been continuity of foreign policy in generations.
article about hong kong being taken over by the chicoms
https://email.breakpoint.org/meanwhile-in-hong-kong-.-.-.-the-tyranny-expands?ecid=ACsprvtFHBF0dQG7P1zmhsfG6JmMp_bKloGLLD5-
yVChBREht6oZdg1Z_Ey77gAziRru_y72D9o6&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_R8asktUsLeeoRGe7sS0I_SpaQ7S5-NSOS0UBEc0omj4K6d-0HTswybcCEwfzb-Un1jI9l1BrPMTtRuuV-RT1LPuRLGw
Don’t forget– Oceania must have it’s enduring enemies, how else will Big Brother convince the masses that stealing the fruits of their labor is for their own good and protection.
I read something once about how China needed to produce millions of new jobs a month because they have so many people. Just tell the Chinese Gov. to chill out or we cut them out of our market. there are always deadly missiles as a backup. I think the Chinese have a military/industrial war racket of their own going on.
— About 8 million students graduate from college each year.
— About 9 million graduate from high school …. and 40% do not go to college ….. that’s another 3.6 million jobs needed annually.
— A few million drop out of high school, or poor peasants who never attend.
Do the math. China needs to add a million jobs per month just for graduates.
People often talk about “oh just get training, or go to school or start a business”. It seems people are content to ignore that if everyone did it, it would not change the employment situation. They are aware the reality is that not everyone will apply their full potential, and so opportunity will exists for those who seize it. The problem with that is it ignores any fundamental problems to begin with.
Have we already lost? MajGen Higginbotham knows the score
From the above article:
” If the FBI did a Background Investigation on Kamala Harris, she never would have passed, because of her 40-year close ties with Marxists, Communists, Maoists, and Communist China. ”
The fbi, what a joke. They are too busy trying their very own coup.
Why should Americans sacrifice anything for Taiwan? To do so would be the definition of treason against Americans.
China will ultimately invade and conquer the US with its 20 million man army. They are to be the jailers of Americans at the behest of the coming communist one world government. The bankers have already begun setting this in motion with the staging and deployment of Chinese troops in rural Canada. They will blow the electrical grid (which Biden gave them access to) and invade America before Americans even realize what is happening . This is why President Xi has been speaking publicly about the pressing need to disarm Americans, as if us being armed is any of his business. When the gookers invade prepare to fight to the death for your family and community or face mass extermination. This is slated to happen within the next five years
Just two years ago I would have said you were nuts.
But things are moving at a pace I’ve never seen.
Put down the bong.
How will 20 million soldiers get here??
It took the USA about six months to get half a million troops to Kuwait and that was with ZERO resistance!”
Maybe exporting our manufacturing base and fabrication expertise to China was insane?
How did this happen? The Chinese realized the (((people))) running the corporations and government hold no allegiance to America and Americans.