NICE EYEBROWS

Submitted by Hardscrabble Farmer

A reasonable man might wonder how a Turk wound up dictating the energy consumption of the European people, but we’re short reasonable men these days. They might even wonder what losing a war with Russia would look like if winning means using terms like survive Winter.

Whatever.

I’m just distracted by those eyebrows. They look like the kind every angry feminist on Tik Tok sports these days. They say you can tell how tough the Winter will be by the space between them, but that’s just an old wives’ tale.

IEA Chief: Europe Must Cut Gas Usage 20% To Survive Winter

By Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com

After calling on all member states to reduce gas consumption by 15% in the face of the threat of a complete Russian gas cutoff, the IEA says the European Union will need to cut even more in order to get through the winter.

“Even if there is no single accident… #Europe still needs to reduce its gas consumption about 20% compared to today in order to have safe and normal winter months,” IEA chief Fatih Birol said, issuing what he called a “red alert” for energy markets. 

The short-term issue with the Nord Stream 1 pipeline may have been resolved, Birol told CNN, but “it’s too early to be happy about this”.

The amount Europe is receiving now from Russia is only about one-third of what it was receiving prior to the force majeure, and the IEA chief warned that even that reduced flow “can be cut anytime”.

After a 10-day pause for regular maintenance, Russian gas flows via Nord Stream resumed on Thursday morning, with orders for gas set at around 40% of Nord Stream’s capacity, the level from before the maintenance after Russia slashed flows in mid-June. Flows early on Thursday were at around 21.5 GWh, compared to 30GWh prior to the start of maintenance on July 11th, and compared to 70 GWh before Russia reduced supplies by 60% on June 13th.

On Wednesday, the European Commission unveiled measures for the bloc to conserve gas to pre-empt a Russian cutoff, asking member states to reduce consumption by 15% until next spring.

According to Birol, this won’t be enough to ensure a smooth winter for Europe, and there is no alternative to consumption reductions.

Even assuming that the current Russian gas flow is maintained, and considering all the LNG Europe is getting from the United States and elsewhere, plus other natural gas sources, and even if there are no accidents that hamper supply, Europe still needs to reduce more, starting now, Birol said.

There is not enough gas around the world for Europe to rely on, the IAE chief said, and there is no choice but to reduce consumption to avoid shortages and rationing this winter. If the bloc waits, and fails to adopt a coordinated method, once we get into the winter months, the measures will be “more drastic”.

Birol is calling on Europe to develop an emergency plan, noting that Germany is the most vulnerable, followed by Italy and some Eastern European countries.

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10 Comments
m
m
July 22, 2022 3:34 pm

Here an outlandish alternative:
Europe could allow Nordstream 2 to provide (as it’s operational and already filled with natural gas.)

World War Zeke
World War Zeke
  m
July 22, 2022 9:42 pm

NS2 a no go. The Big Guy did not receive his 15% political consulting fee on turning the last valve. Rates have gone up, things are tough all over.

JGS
JGS
July 22, 2022 3:58 pm

Mr. Hardscrabble Farmer-Your straightforward approach to distinguishing the salient points is admirable.

Eyes Wide Shut
Eyes Wide Shut
July 22, 2022 4:24 pm

Whoever controls the flow/shutoff valve controls the pain level

Anonymous
Anonymous
July 22, 2022 5:15 pm

Bogdan, the car wash owner, from Breaking Bad—

Anthony Aaron
Anthony Aaron
July 22, 2022 5:44 pm

So … when this stooge was ‘ … issuing what he called a “red alert” for energy markets …’ — is that code to all of the commodity (((speculators))) like Goldman Sachs to jump at the opportunity now to score big gains?

Warren
Warren
July 22, 2022 6:00 pm

Why should we care more about the Europeans than they care about themselves?

Harrington Richardson: Gimme Sachwerte!
Harrington Richardson: Gimme Sachwerte!
  Warren
July 22, 2022 10:25 pm

They are such suicidal idiots that they will freeze into giant popsicles of signaled virtue rather than frack or drill for the natgas under their feet. Hungary and its several small neighbors will wind up owning what’s left of Europe when all the shooting is done.

Machinist
Machinist
July 22, 2022 7:41 pm

Gee, really? A host of questions arise.

1. Will Europe turn its back on Putin and once again drop trou, and grab ankles?
Answer: Why, hell yeah. That’s like asking if Biden is a puppet.

2. Will the Europeans try reach some type of mutual business understanding?
Answer: Why, hell no. The arrogant bastards.

3. Will TPTB in Europe (and also, in ‘Merica’) have compassion on their population’s plights?
Answer: Why, hell no. They’ll blame the peasantry because… global warming.

4.Since it’s the fault of the peasants, should they have to pay?
Answer: Why, hell yeah. Hold my beer and check this out:
Soros Urges Europe to Levy Heavy Taxes on Russian Gas to …
https://www.businessinsider.com › News
May 24, 2022 — Soros also called on Europe to levy heavy taxes on gas imports. “Russia would never regain the
sales it has lost,” he wrote, per Bloomberg.
—————
Europe Should Tax Russian Gas, Not Ban It
https://www.washingtonpost.com › energy › 2022/03/31
Mar 31, 2022 — A tax that high would be enough to cut the income of Gazprom, the sole supplier of Russian gas, by more than three-quarters.

“Birol is calling on Europe to develop an emergency plan…”

Go long Fish n’ Chips, there’s more oil to be had there and gas is soon to follow.
Good luck

Boogieman
Boogieman
July 22, 2022 7:54 pm

He is a shifty looking fuck for sure