Reassessing Whether Russia Is Winning Or Losing

Front page story today in the NJ Shit Ledger.  They copied it from the Washington comPost, who in turn copied it from Liz Sly …  a British journalist based in Beirut. Not linking the story, fuck ’em, but here are excerpts.  First, the entire piece is one of projection.  Second, this is the biggest reason NATO (USA!) will lose this war,  and every other war henceforth;  because you can’t win Jack or Shit in any war when you lack the ability to be honest with yourself. Reality trumps fantasy, each and every time. Eventually.

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“Russia’s escalation won’t turn tide of the war”

Russia’s efforts to counter Ukrainian advances by pounding Kyiv and other cities with missiles and mobilizing hundreds of thousands of reservists …. are unlikely to shift the dynamics of a conflict now clearly tilting in favor of Ukraine.

The missile strikes alone have little strategic value, although they are inflicting widespread human misery .

Ukraine’s electricity infrastructure appears to be the main target, meaning that SOME residential areas have been plunged into darkness, leaving civilians confronting the possibility of facing winter without power.

Conditions on the battlefield continue to favor the nimbler, more highly motivated and better armed Ukrainian military, which seems likely to retain the advantage over Russia’s lumbering, poorly equipped and exhausted army, at least for the foreseeable future.

“I expect that Ukraine will continue to do everything it can throughout the winter to regain its territory and to be effective on the battlefield,” U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told reporters in Brussels this week. “Most recently we’ve seen them be very effective both in the east and down in the south as they’ve taken back quite a bit of territory from the Russians.”

Ukraine consolidates the positions it has recently won. Russia has made SOME incremental gains, seizing some villages near the eastern Donbas town of Bakhmut, which the Russians have been trying to capture since July. Ukraine has captured SEVERAL more settlements in the southern province of Kherson, where it has made steady advances in recent weeks.

The Ukrainians maintain the initiative and the momentum.

No longer is there an expectation that Russia will be in a position to seize significantly more ground. So dramatically has Ukraine turned the fight around that the only outstanding question is how much more territory Ukraine will be able to take back — not whether Russia will be able to achieve its goals

Ukraine’s army, which was heavily outgunned by Russia at the start of the war, now outclasses the Russian military by almost every measure …… from the sophisticated Western artillery systems it is using to pinpoint Russian targets far from the front lines to the availability and quality of the soldiers it can bring to the fight.

Russia continues to suffer heavy losses of its forces and equipment and is digging into defensive positions while Ukraine is steadily receiving supplies of new and technologically advanced weaponry from its Western allies.

U.S. intelligence assessments say Russia has lost 6,000 tanks, armored vehicles and other military equipment during the course of the war, and some of those are being captured intact by the Ukrainians, further replenishing their arsenal.

Whether the influx of up to 300,000 freshly mobilized Russian soldiers will serve to blunt Ukrainian advances is hard to predict,  …. but, Ukrainian officials say that they have not noticed any discernible impact from those that have already shown up on the front lines, put at 16,000 by President Vladimir Putin on Friday.

There are doubts about Russia’s capacity to adequately train and equip such a large number of inexperienced troops. The ones that have shown up so far have been fielded with very, very limited training and very, very poor equipment. It’s really unlikely they will have any positive impact in the near term.

Russia is struggling to provide sleeping bags and other winter gear for all its soldiers, while Ukraine’s cold-weather allies such as Canada, Estonia and Lithuania are contributing tens of thousands of winter uniforms.

Russia also needs experienced and capable officers and commanders to lead the new men, but its existing leadership ranks have already suffered heavy casualties and are worn down from months of fighting.

Russia appears to be hoping that by flooding the battlefield with tens of thousands of new men it can use “a human wave” to blunt Ukraine’s advances, almost certainly suffering huge casualties in the process. But although Ukraine has the reserve forces to match Russia’s deployments, it is determined not to be drawn into fighting pitched, bloody battles with the Russians. Rather, Ukraine is hoping to continue to outsmart the Russians, by focusing on hitting their command posts, key equipment and supply lines.

Russia’s capacity to sustain the missile strikes is expected to dwindle, further constraining its options on the battlefield. Russia is running low on the precision-guided missiles that can be used to target key sites. …. Russia began the war with 1,844 precision guided missiles …. of which only 609 remain.

Russia does still have sizable stocks of unguided missiles that it can use to hit cities, without precision, and it is likely to continue to use them in an attempt to demoralize the Ukrainian population. But as long as the strikes are hitting civilians and civilian infrastructure rather than core military targets they are not going to turn the tide in this war.

The end.

================================= =

One moar related bullshit story …. 

An editorial is pushing for the election of Mikie Sherrill, a Democrap, because;

—1) MAGA repubs (her opponent) have “rotted souls

—2) She made two trips to country 404 to assure Zelenski that “we’ve got his back in his country’s  fight for freedom in the face of Russia’s atrocities“. 

—3) She brings home “the bacon“.  She brought to NJ $200 million dollars for a military base, andan additional  $100 million dollars to NJ “for research and development of new weapons like the powerful M777 howitzer that’s helping turn the tide in Ukraine“.

Faggotfuk gook Gordon Chang was on the radio today and said he’s encouraged by “the fact that Ukraine is now kicking the crap out of Russia“.

George Carlin as correct ===>  the American Dream is now a fucking Nightmare!!

SOURCE: www.Some-Dumbfuk-Brit-For-A-Shitfuk-Rag.com

THE END

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Author: Stucky

I'm right, you're wrong. Deal with it.

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23 Comments
Anonymous
Anonymous
October 16, 2022 1:32 pm

The American dream so called because you have to be asleep to believe it.

Colorado Artist
Colorado Artist
  Anonymous
July 16, 2023 4:49 pm

The people who believe a single “report” from
CIA owned and operated American Pravda Alphabet Media
are beyond saving. Though they have been shown the countless
proven lies over the decades, they still believe. No matter.
One can ignore reality, but one cannot ignore the consequences
of ignoring reality. When Russia has secured the russian speaking
parts of Ukraine, and the new border established and inevitably
accepted by the world, there will still be a sizable number of fools
who will KNOW Russia was defeated and Ukraine “won.”
They are beyond help.

Anonymous
Anonymous
October 16, 2022 1:43 pm

Y’kmow who’s DEFINITELY losing? A.lexandria O.bvious-C.onjob:

AOC losing support over the war

Black guy screams at O.ccasionally-C.ogent: “I believed in you!”; calls her a coward.

Everybody knows about vibes:

};^D

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
October 16, 2022 2:03 pm

They say the Russian army is exhausted from lobbing missiles all day? LMAO.

Jayrockstone
Jayrockstone
October 16, 2022 3:28 pm

I started to read, but I could not get through much more than the fourth paragraph. The utter nonsense they are peddling was making my monitor smell like dog shit, so I quickly retreated.

Jayrockstone
Jayrockstone
  Jayrockstone
October 16, 2022 3:38 pm

And fuck Elon. He’s up to his ass in fed bullshit if he keeps Starlink up and running for those Nazi fucks. His wheels are being well greased.

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
October 16, 2022 3:40 pm

A steady stream of Russian armor has been moving into UKR and General Armageddon has taken over, while Europe is entering a winter without gas, and burning down its forests for firewood….When winter hits, the NATO forces had better be ready to fight for the UKR again, cuz otherwise it’s all over…

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
October 16, 2022 3:44 pm

Russia may be delaying until the Midterms are past…,

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
October 16, 2022 3:48 pm

Wow. What a steaming pile. The biggest turd of all being that Russians are not prepared for winter war. The obsolete equipment thingy being a close second.

ursel doran
ursel doran
October 16, 2022 4:23 pm
i forget
i forget
October 16, 2022 4:26 pm

Projection. Good one. (I gotta Milwaukee cordless that I use to project leaves outta the garage @120mph claims the sales pitch fastball.)

Like when the short-shorter-shortest possible Pyrrhic Dictionary definition of “win” erase-ignores, or censors, the rest of the definition. Con(the)text. Best caramel lies are salted, sparingly, with Morton’s Iodized truth … but they rot the teeth, too.

Back in the 70’s the Soviet motocross team would sometimes follow orders to crash into & take out another team’s rider in hopes of gaining enough advantage to “win” a race. Mostly because their bikes were crap. Crap motocross bikes, but those Russians had highly sophist nukes & were the meanest of mean domino theory players – oh, my.

That’s not just an analogy for all this nationalist-empire bullshit ~ & all the “matadors” wave-taunting red capes at the dung piles du jour ~ it’s a symptom of it.

Like you, sorta, I couldn’t care less what NJshitledger prints – except you keep reading it/recounting it & I’ve never read it.

I also don’t care what the Russian version prints.

But more than that, I don’t care what these freak-“elites” & their billions of citizen-pawns do. It’s all just subconscious-unconscious weather passing thru; the eyes of those storms are all dead & pirate-patched, or glass marble prosthetics.

Fool’s Parade. (’71. How much is that gold retriever in the window, Tricky Dick?) Whole is good, but for now, ‘bout 29:10:

But I do like pointing & delight-laughing at the “changing” seasons.

Right now the pretty gold & yellow & scarlet leaves are being wind-stripped from the trees & falling down (cue the Michael Douglas flick) all over the place (& when the trees do it I don’t think of Ft. Knox bankers, cowards & blood at all).

Took a drive thru Rocky Mtn “nat” park, up over the divide, & down into Grand Lake last week: beautiful Fall colors, the divide that is the basis of all nationalism, huge nationalized tracts of burned up & beetle-killed ~ of course ~ pines’ing for better days & “the win.”

And not for the first time in a “nat” park I listened to the queueline-punchline that resulted when some rube, maybe on vacation from NJ, stopped dead in the road to ogle-glass an elk, or a deer, way off in the distance, just as if the ogler were sitting on his couch back home (which, too, is part of the nat parking lot system, right?), indifferent to the stacked deck he was creating-perpetuating in his six (& nine-twelve-three … & all the fractions betwixt brain/billeting-the-occupying-conquerors quarters, too).

Too funny. Forrest Gump-in-the-Nam & gumped “nat” forests, & laughter just go together, right?

This one, Edwin Way Teale, by way of Carl Sagan (Demon Haunted World, maybe):

“Socrates urges men not to let what is out of their control to affect their action. They should separate out their hopes & fears from their understanding & manfully follow the prescriptions of what true knowledge they possess. They must not let their passionate aspirations corrupt that knowledge. But such a solution is not satisfactory to most men; they must see the world in such a way that their personal ambitions have a cosmic status. The fate of an individual man is no more significant to the knower of man than is the fate of a particular leaf to the botanist. The way of the knower is unacceptable for the life of men & cities. They must see a world governed by providence & the gods, a world in which art & science are inexplicable, a world which confuses general & particular, nature & chance. This is the world of poetry to which man clings to intensely, for it consoles & flatters him. As long as human wishes for the significance of particular existences dominate, it remains impossible to discover nature, the intelligible & permanent order, for nature cannot satisfy those wishes. Ion cannot imagine an art of the whole because, as rhapsode, he most of all serves the longing for individual immortality, & he uses his poetry to that end. The effect of this longing for immortality on the soul is illuminated by Socrates’ comparison of the enthusiastic diviners & rhapsodes with the Bacchic or Corybantic dancers. The fear of death, the most profound kind of fear & the most powerful of passions, moves them until they are out of their minds, & they can be healed only in the fanatic religious practice. In the Ion, Socrates points to the most important source of religious fanaticism & suggests that the function of that kind of poetry which is taken most seriously is to heal this fear & console man in his awareness of his threatened existence. This poetry irrationally soothes the madness in all of us. It is a useful remedy but a dangerous one. Fanaticism is often the result. The man who most believes the poet’s stories is likely to be most intolerant of those who do not. Socrates, the philosopher who tests the stories as well as those who tell them, is a menace to the sense of security provided by them. It is precisely overcoming this concern with oneself, in all its subtle & pervasive forms, that is *the* precondition of philosophy & a rational account of one’s own life. Poetry, as Ion administers it to suffering man, gives a spurious sense of knowledge while really serving & watering the passions hostile to true knowledge. While a philosopher is truly a citizen of the world, in that his pursuit is essentially independent of the opinions or consent of any group of men, the political man needs a country & a people to serve. Ion has no satisfactions which are not dependent on the approval of his spectators. He needs the city as they need him. For political men the accident of where they are born is decisive in limiting their possibilities of fulfillment. The philosopher, of course, begins, as do all men, in the cave; & he pays the strictest attention not only to particular or individual things but to their shadows. But the difference between him & other men is that he learns that they are only shadows – shadows which give us access to the truth – whereas they believe the shadows are the real things & are passionately committed to that belief. That is what cave-dwelling means. The cave must always remain cave, so the philosopher is the enemy of the prisoners since he cannot take the non-philosophers’ most cherished beliefs seriously. Similarly, Socrates does care for other men; but only to the extent that they, too, are capable of philosophy, which only a few are. Only they are capable of true virtue. To the extent that the philosopher turns some men to the light, he robs the cave-dwellers of allies. It is not because he lives in the sun, out of the cave, that I say that the philosopher is at tension with the city; his problem is due precisely to the fact that he is in it, but in a way different from that of other men.” ~ oops, not EWT, prolly Allan Bloom, Giants & Dwarfs maybe
And this one by way of searching for the first one:

You can prove almost anything with the evidence of a small enough segment of time. How often, in any search for truth, the answer of the minute is positive, the answer of the hour qualified, the answer of the year contradictory! ~ Edwin Way Teale

And this one, where Hannah takes a leaf blower to it:

Politically speaking, tribal nationalism [patriotism] always insists that its own people are surrounded by ‘a world of enemies’ – ‘one against all’ – and that a fundamental difference exists between this people and all others. It claims its people to be unique, individual, incompatible with all others, and denies theoretically the very possibility of a common mankind long before it is used to destroy the humanity of man. ~ Hannah Arendt

Heluva Kitchen & thanks for the cook. ☻

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“and” is where the ouroboros tail slithers into is sucked down the ouroboros mouth … purty nlue eyes & all

Putin it where it counts
Putin it where it counts
  i forget
October 16, 2022 5:07 pm

Sshhhh gramps – time for your morphine and nap time!

i forget
i forget
  Putin it where it counts
October 16, 2022 9:53 pm

Could it also be time for Morpheus to make you the Neo/ffer? Which color pil/fer you, Putin (cuz only one counts).

tony
tony
October 16, 2022 4:40 pm

did zelensky write that farticle with ghost writing by the biden actor? who believes that idiotic drivel? i was going to comment on a point or two but the entirety of the article is too absurd for that dignity.

i am still waiting for zelensky’s corpse to float down the dneiper.

when is russia going to drop bombs? i mean real bombs?

Putin it where it counts
Putin it where it counts
  tony
October 16, 2022 5:07 pm

Never. The war is fake news

Anonymous
Anonymous
October 16, 2022 4:42 pm

shills have to make us, the taxpayer, feel we’re getting our money’s worth.

Putin it where it counts
Putin it where it counts
October 16, 2022 5:04 pm

Pretty sus how we haven’t heard any news for a few days, good or bad, about the “war”. Script writers having a disagreement?

Foot in the Forest
Foot in the Forest
October 16, 2022 5:10 pm

I love the exact count of Russian munitions expenditure and remaining stockpiles.

rhs jr
rhs jr
  Foot in the Forest
October 16, 2022 10:34 pm

I agree. The Russians and Chinese have stockpiles and stockpiles of stuff in caves and sometimes in our own country our intel discover all the time.

overthecliff
overthecliff
October 16, 2022 5:46 pm

That settles it. It seems the Ghost of Kiev has been transferred to the ground forces and is kicking Russian ass . That is why we haven’t heard anything about him for months. He is humble.

rhs jr
rhs jr
October 16, 2022 11:13 pm

I publicly admit I was evidently wrong about Russia purposely setting a trap; they pulled to many men out to strengthen the southern lines and left the northern lines to thin; they saw a build up but did not reinforce in time, the Nazis broke thru and kept going. The Russians will fix the leak in the dam like the Allies fixed the Bulge. It will become a trap. As for the Analysis which is evidently by Gen Austin, he sounds about as brilliant as Bagdad Bob or whatever his name was; or Chamberlain. Ukraine is a Fascist worm that lost its’ tail (Donbass) on the Demographic RR track and decided to fight the trains (Russia). ZOG is an Ally of the the Fascist worm and wanted to defeat an old common enemy (Czarist Russia and Putin’s Russia who both kicked the Money Masters out ) no matter how many Europeans and Americans suffer fighting another Banker War for them. Fascist Tyrants will be Fascist Tyrants. Let’s show them our negative support 8Nov2022. Italy has shown the Oligarchs what they think of the NWO & Bankster Wars. Congratulations to their Iron Lady (Georgia Meloni).

m
m
October 17, 2022 3:07 am

“Russia’s escalation won’t turn tide of the war”

That statement is correct.
Russia had already been winning before their escalation, so no turn of anything here.

Aardvark-Gnosis
Aardvark-Gnosis
October 17, 2022 1:27 pm

All wars are losing battles, no winners, just losers who believe their imagined hallucinations of grandeur… And the dead,? thay are the real winners… Never again do they have to whiteness the humans who say they have intelligentsia that represents the intelligent, killing each other over money and land. Fools of reactionary and emotional retardation, producing the killing tools always advertised as self protection. Insanity rules the minds of the conditioned masses who believe they can save themselves from the coming so called “Shit Hitting the Fan”. Buy this gun,! and support your local merchant’s of tyrannical foresights inevitable human collapse. Chaos rules the minds of all with these delusional delusions, thinking somehow, he or she, will be better off when we as a society regress back into the dark ages… Of course those elites in their underground bunkers will be left to direct the masses once again and force them into believing the lies spoken as truth!